Nacional v Estoril result

Full-time · Nacional 0–1 Estoril

Primeira Liga · Sun, 15 Mar 2026 15:30 GMT

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Nacional · Estoril

Nacional 0–1 Estoril — Estoril won this Primeira Liga match.

Match report, in numbers

The result

Estoril won 1–0 at Nacional in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 15 March. Nacional are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

Estoril led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Estoril: Felix Bacher (8’, assisted by João Carvalho).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Nacional 0.80, Estoril 1.12, from 16 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. Fonseca showed eight yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Nacional: C. Ramírez (76’), Lucas João (80’), Zé Vitor (83’), Chiheb Labidi (90’) and Pablo Ruan (90+3’); Estoril: João Carvalho (16’), Joel Robles (88’) and Ricard Sánchez (90+4’).

What it changes

Nacional move down from 14th to 16th (26 league matches played). Nacional have scored 37 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Nacional have conceded 45 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 19 clubs.

Estoril move up from eighth to seventh (26 league matches played). Estoril have scored 54 goals, the fifth-most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Estoril have conceded 57 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 19 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Felix Bacher (Estoril) 6.0, João Carvalho (Estoril) 5.2 and Ferro (Estoril) 4.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

Estoril are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Nacional, every meeting checked.

Next up

Nacional next travel to Maritimo on 27 November 2026.

Estoril next travel to GIL Vicente on 29 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Nacional: Maritimo v Nacional, Friday 27 November — the preview. Next for Estoril: GIL Vicente v Estoril, Sunday 29 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Nacional 0–1 Estoril · Primeira Liga
Referee: M. Fonseca
Head-to-head (last 3): Nacional 0 · draws 2 · Estoril 1 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Nacional 0W 2D 3L · Estoril 1W 2D 2L

Nacional 0–1 Estoril (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 2.25

Goals

against 1.38 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.75 / 4.13

Corners

against 5.75 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 4.63

Shots on target

against 5.25 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.75 / 1.88

Cards

against 2.13 / 2.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.11 yellows

Referee · M. Fonseca

25.89 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 9 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Nacional for / against	Line	Estoril for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.75 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.13 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.75 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.38 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.5 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.63 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	15 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.13 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.75 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: M. Fonseca — 4.11 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 25.89 fouls over 9 matches.

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Nacional

Nacional Goalkeeper

Nacional — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Kaique	19	901710 min	613.2 /90	271.4 /90	20.1 /90
Lucas França	6	90540 min	183 /90	101.7 /90	00 /90

Nacional — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 7 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Kaique n 8	90	3.9 7/6
Lucas França n 8	90	3 6/4

Nacional Defensive

Nacional — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Léo Santos	23	871999 min	140.6 /90	221 /90	210.9 /90	904.1 /90	301.4 /90	100.5 /90
Zé Vitor	22	891953 min	381.8 /90	291.3 /90	170.8 /90	1145.3 /90	401.8 /90	70.3 /90
José Gomes	20	851706 min	261.4 /90	160.8 /90	90.5 /90	764 /90	160.8 /90	20.1 /90
João Aurélio	15	841253 min	332.4 /90	201.4 /90	50.4 /90	765.5 /90	171.2 /90	20.1 /90
A. Núñez	11	83914 min	141.4 /90	70.7 /90	10.1 /90	242.4 /90	151.5 /90	10.1 /90
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Nacional — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 7 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Ramírez n 8	86.5	1.3 6/3	1.2 6/2	—
Paulinho Bóia n 8	83.1	1.1 5/2	2.6 8/6	—
Matheus Dias n 8	85.8	1.3 6/3	1 5/3	—
Liziero n 8	87.6	1.4 6/3	0.9 6/1	—
Léo Santos n 8	90	2 6/5	0.3 2/0	—
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Nacional — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 7 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Ramírez n 8	86.5	0.3 2/0
Paulinho Bóia n 8	83.1	1.8 8/3
Matheus Dias n 8	85.8	1.7 6/5
Liziero n 8	87.6	2.7 8/7
Léo Santos n 8	90	0.6 4/1
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Nacional Attacking

Nacional — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. Ramírez	25	872173 min	130.5 /90	00 /90	602.5 /90	341.4 /90	200.8 /90	180.7 /90
Paulinho Bóia	25	852123 min	30.1 /90	20.1 /90	371.6 /90	190.8 /90	321.4 /90	291.2 /90
Witi	15	45678 min	00 /90	00 /90	91.2 /90	20.3 /90	101.3 /90	60.8 /90
Pablo Ruan	14	49688 min	00 /90	00 /90	81 /90	50.7 /90	111.4 /90	50.7 /90
Gabriel Veron	7	70488 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	61.1 /90	30.6 /90	40.7 /90	40.7 /90
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Nacional — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 7 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Ramírez n 8	86.5	2.5 7/5	0.9 6/1
Paulinho Bóia n 8	83.1	1.8 6/4	1.1 6/2
Matheus Dias n 8	85.8	0.7 3/2	0.1 1/0
Liziero n 8	87.6	0.8 4/2	0.4 3/0
Léo Santos n 8	90	1 6/2	0.4 3/0
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Nacional — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 7 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Ramírez n 8	86.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Paulinho Bóia n 8	83.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Matheus Dias n 8	85.8	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Liziero n 8	87.6	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Léo Santos n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Estoril

Estoril Goalkeeper

Estoril — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Joel Robles	25	902250 min	662.6 /90	421.7 /90	00 /90

Estoril — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estoril before kick-off, to 7 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Joel Robles n 8	90	2.3 7/3

Estoril Defensive

Estoril — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
F. Bacher	25	902250 min	331.3 /90	361.4 /90	150.6 /90	1285.1 /90	301.2 /90	30.1 /90
K. Boma	19	871659 min	261.4 /90	241.3 /90	140.8 /90	945.1 /90	191 /90	50.3 /90
Ferro	19	601131 min	252 /90	252 /90	50.4 /90	624.9 /90	121 /90	20.2 /90
Pedro Amaral	18	751349 min	130.9 /90	70.5 /90	20.1 /90	412.7 /90	171.1 /90	30.2 /90
Ricard Sánchez	18	711281 min	261.8 /90	110.8 /90	10.1 /90	704.9 /90	241.7 /90	70.5 /90
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Estoril — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estoril before kick-off, to 7 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
F. Bacher n 8	90	1.3 7/2	1.3 8/2	—
Joel Robles n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Y. Begraoui n 8	89.9	0.4 3/0	1.1 7/2	—
J. Holsgrove n 8	88.5	0.8 4/1	1.7 7/4	—
João Carvalho n 8	87	0.8 4/1	1.7 7/3	—
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Estoril — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estoril before kick-off, to 7 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
F. Bacher n 8	90	1.1 3/3
Y. Begraoui n 8	89.9	0.6 3/1
J. Holsgrove n 8	88.5	1.5 5/5
João Carvalho n 8	87	1.4 7/3
R. Guitane n 8	80.5	0.6 2/1
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Estoril Attacking

Estoril — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Y. Begraoui	25	781956 min	170.8 /90	10 /90	492.3 /90	291.3 /90	160.7 /90	150.7 /90
Alejandro Marqués	17	58987 min	40.4 /90	00 /90	151.4 /90	100.9 /90	40.4 /90	141.3 /90
André Lacximicant	14	60835 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	232.5 /90	101.1 /90	70.8 /90	40.4 /90
Fabrício Garcia	6	27164 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.1 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90
Peixinho	5	21104 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.7 /90	00 /90	10.9 /90	43.5 /90
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Estoril — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estoril before kick-off, to 7 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
F. Bacher n 8	90	0.3 1/1	0.1 1/0
Joel Robles n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Begraoui n 8	89.9	2.4 8/6	1.4 4/4
J. Holsgrove n 8	88.5	0.5 3/1	0 0/0
João Carvalho n 8	87	0.9 6/1	0.6 5/0
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Estoril — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estoril before kick-off, to 7 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
F. Bacher n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Joel Robles n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Begraoui n 8	89.9	1.1 4/4	0 0/0
J. Holsgrove n 8	88.5	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
João Carvalho n 8	87	0.4 3/0	0.5 2/2
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Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Nacional		Estoril
55%	Possession	45%
0.80	Expected goals (xG)	1.12
16	Shots	11
4	Shots on target	2
9	Shots off target	6
3	Blocked shots	3
8	Shots inside the box	8
5	Corners	4
3	Offsides	1
16	Fouls	13
5	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	4
397	Passes	343
75%	Pass accuracy	76%

Nacional Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Kaique	90	0	0	0	0	0	5.6
A. Núñez	90	0	0	1	2	0	7.3
Léo Santos	90	0	0	1	3	0	7.2
Zé Vitor	90	3	1	0	3	Y	7.7
L. Vallier	90	0	0	3	1	0	7.2
C. Ramírez	90	4	1	3	0	Y	6.5
Matheus Dias	79	0	0	1	2	0	6.6
Paulinho Bóia	79	4	1	2	1	0	7.2
Miguel Baeza	63	1	1	1	2	0	6.6
Gabriel Veron	63	0	0	0	1	0	7
Joel da Silva	45	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
C. Labidi sub	45	0	0	1	2	Y	6.5
Lucas João sub	27	1	0	1	1	Y	6.5
Pablo Ruan sub	27	0	0	0	1	Y	6.7
Daniel Júnior sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
André Carreira Sousa sub	11	0	0	0	1	0	6.6

Estoril Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Joel Robles	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	7.6
Ferro	90	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	7.9
F. Bacher	90	1	0	2	1	0	1	0	7.9
Ricard Sánchez	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	Y	7.2
A. Tsoungui	90	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	8
J. Holsgrove	90	0	0	1	1	1	3	0	7.2
Pedro Carvalho	78	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.9
João Carvalho	78	0	1	1	0	1	1	Y	7.2
Jandro Orellana	59	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
Y. Begraoui	59	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.3
Alejandro Marqués	59	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6
Xeka sub	31	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.9
André Lacximicant sub	31	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.2
R. Guitane sub	31	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Pedro Amaral sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Pizzi sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Nacional v Estoril — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

NacionalDLLLD

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

EstorilDLWLD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 3

Nacional 0 · 2 draws · Estoril 1 · 2.33 goals/game

2025-10-26 Estoril 1–1 Nacional
2025-02-15 Nacional 2–2 Estoril
2024-09-15 Estoril 1–0 Nacional

League standing · 2025/26

Nacional#14 pos34 pts34 pl-8 GD

Estoril#10 pos39 pts34 pl-3 GD

Goals per game

Nacional scored1.09

Estoril scored1.59

Nacional conceded1.32

Estoril conceded1.68

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Nacional and Estoril?: In their last 3 meetings, Nacional won 0, Estoril won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nacional and Estoril?: Recent form — Nacional 0W 2D 3L; Estoril 1W 2D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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