Rio AveSporting CP

Rio Ave v Sporting CP result

Full-time · Rio Ave 1–4 Sporting CP

Primeira Liga · · Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Rio Ave 1–4 Sporting CP — Sporting CP won this Primeira Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 546 of 850 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Sporting CP won 4–1 at Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube in the Primeira Liga on Monday 11 May. Sporting CP are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Rio Ave, every meeting checked.

The goals

Sporting CP led 2–1 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Rio Ave: Diogo Bezerra (12’, assisted by Tamble Monteiro) and an own goal by Gustavo Mancha (42’); Sporting CP: L. Suárez (35’ pen), Trincão (66’, assisted by Ousmane Diomande) and Geovany Tcherno Quenda (90’, assisted by M. Araújo). Francisco Petrasso (52’) and Ryan Guilherme (85’) were sent off.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Rio Ave 0.70, Sporting CP 1.58, from 12 shots to 16 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

J. Goncalves showed seven yellow cards and two reds — against 4.4 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Rio Ave: Diogo Bezerra (13’), Francisco Petrasso (34’), Francisco Petrasso (52’), Ryan Guilherme (83’) and Ryan Guilherme (85’); Sporting CP: L. Suárez (32’) and Ousmane Diomande (32’).

What it changes

Sporting CP’s three-goal margin was the biggest of round 33, across nine matches. Rio Ave are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Sporting CP are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, L. Suárez (Sporting CP) 7.2, Trincão (Sporting CP) 6.9 and Tamble Monteiro (Rio Ave) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Rio Ave next host SC Braga on 8 November 2026.

Sporting CP next host Moreirense on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Rio Ave: Rio Ave v SC Braga, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Sporting CP: Sporting CP v Moreirense, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Rio Ave 1–4 Sporting CP · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube · Vila do Conde
  • Referee: J. Goncalves
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Rio Ave 0 · draws 1 · Sporting CP 5 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Rio Ave 1W 2D 2L · Sporting CP 1W 3D 1L

Rio Ave 1–4 Sporting CP (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.25
Goals
against 1 / 0.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
6 / 5.13
Corners
against 5.5 / 5.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 4.75
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 1.38
Cards
against 1.88 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.44 yellows
Referee · J. Goncalves
23.22 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameRio Ave for / againstLineSporting CP for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1 against n 8
3.5our book
1.25 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 5.5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.13 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
13.13 for · 11.75 against n 8
19.5standard
12.63 for · 12.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.75 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.38 for · 12.13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.25 for · 12.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.88 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: J. Goncalves — 4.44 yellow cards a game, 0.33 red cards, 23.22 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Rio Ave

Rio Ave Goalkeeper

Rio Ave — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Miszta20901800 min753.8 /90341.7 /9000 /90
E. van der Gouw990810 min252.8 /90101.1 /9000 /90
K. Chamorro390270 min93 /9082.7 /9000 /90
Rio Ave — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rio Ave before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Miszta n 890
3.67/5
E. van der Gouw n 890
2.67/4

Rio Ave Defensive

Rio Ave — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Vrousai30822467 min792.9 /90542 /90130.5 /901846.7 /90351.3 /9050.2 /90
N. Abbey25812032 min411.8 /90251.1 /90100.4 /90753.3 /90130.6 /9040.2 /90
J. Brabec23882025 min271.2 /90301.3 /90261.2 /90622.8 /90110.5 /9040.2 /90
F. Petrasso17801368 min151 /9080.5 /90110.7 /90432.8 /90161.1 /9050.3 /90
J. Panzo14781095 min191.6 /90191.6 /90161.3 /90473.9 /90181.5 /9030.2 /90
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Rio Ave — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rio Ave before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Vrousai n 889
1.15/3
0.64/1
M. Araújo
Ole Pohlmann n 866.6
1.46/2
26/4
—
D. Špikić n 875.4
1.87/4
0.96/0
Trincão
A. Ntoi n 885.1
1.37/2
0.83/2
—
N. Abbey n 882.6
0.74/1
0.74/1
Gonçalo Inácio
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Rio Ave — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rio Ave before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Vrousai n 889
2.98/7
Ole Pohlmann n 866.6
1.47/1
D. Špikić n 875.4
14/3
A. Ntoi n 885.1
1.75/3
N. Abbey n 882.6
2.28/4
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Rio Ave Attacking

Rio Ave — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Clayton19841600 min100.6 /9040.2 /90321.8 /90231.3 /90110.6 /9060.3 /90
André Luiz19791500 min70.4 /9050.3 /90342 /90191.1 /90221.3 /90301.8 /90
J. Blesa1182897 min60.6 /9000 /90181.8 /90131.3 /9090.9 /9080.8 /90
Tamble Monteiro1052520 min00 /9000 /90101.7 /9050.9 /9030.5 /9040.7 /90
K. Zoabi23570 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.3 /9000 /90
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Rio Ave — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rio Ave before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Vrousai n 889
0.94/2
0.53/1
Ole Pohlmann n 866.6
0.84/1
0.53/0
D. Špikić n 875.4
1.37/2
0.74/1
A. Ntoi n 885.1
1.15/2
0.43/0
N. Abbey n 882.6
00/0
00/0
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Rio Ave — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rio Ave before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Vrousai n 889
00/0
0.11/0
Ole Pohlmann n 866.6
0.21/0
00/0
D. Špikić n 875.4
00/0
0.42/1
A. Ntoi n 885.1
0.11/0
00/0
N. Abbey n 882.6
00/0
0.11/0
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Sporting CP

Sporting CP Goalkeeper

Sporting CP — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Rui Silva42903795 min1052.5 /90350.8 /9010 /90
João Virgínia390270 min62 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Sporting CP — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Rui Silva n 891.3
2.76/6

Sporting CP Defensive

Sporting CP — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Araújo39793080 min932.7 /90431.3 /9050.1 /902196.4 /90651.9 /90120.4 /90
Gonçalo Inácio38863257 min531.5 /90361 /90240.7 /901564.3 /90240.7 /9040.1 /90
Iván Fresneda32782498 min521.9 /90230.8 /9060.2 /901204.3 /90271 /9060.2 /90
O. Diomande23861987 min221 /90211 /90110.5 /90793.6 /90311.4 /9040.2 /90
G. Vagiannidis21631323 min322.2 /9080.5 /9020.1 /90815.5 /90241.6 /9030.2 /90
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Sporting CP — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Trincão n 879.3
0.32/0
0.43/0
D. Špikić
L. Suárez n 884.1
0.84/2
2.37/5
—
Rui Silva n 891.3
00/0
0.11/0
—
M. Araújo n 879.5
2.47/4
15/2
M. Vrousai
Gonçalo Inácio n 887.5
0.54/0
0.54/0
N. Abbey
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Sporting CP — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Trincão n 879.3
1.17/1
L. Suárez n 884.1
0.83/2
M. Araújo n 879.5
3.47/5
Gonçalo Inácio n 887.5
1.46/3
Geny Catamo n 878.5
0.64/0
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Sporting CP Attacking

Sporting CP — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Suárez43833554 min310.8 /9070.2 /901233.1 /90711.8 /90551.4 /90391 /90
F. Ioannidis1445623 min20.3 /9010.1 /9081.2 /9040.6 /90111.6 /9091.3 /90
Alisson Santos631187 min10.5 /9000 /9094.3 /9041.9 /9021 /90115.3 /90
S. Faye522110 min00 /9000 /9032.5 /9010.8 /9000 /9000 /90
Rafael Ferreira Nel274147 min21.2 /9010.6 /9042.4 /9021.2 /9021.2 /9000 /90
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Sporting CP — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Trincão n 879.3
1.16/2
00/0
L. Suárez n 884.1
1.66/3
0.95/2
Rui Silva n 891.3
00/0
00/0
M. Araújo n 879.5
1.16/2
0.86/0
Gonçalo Inácio n 887.5
0.32/0
0.32/0
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Sporting CP — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Trincão n 879.3
00/0
0.11/0
L. Suárez n 884.1
0.32/0
0.31/1
Rui Silva n 891.3
00/0
00/0
M. Araújo n 879.5
0.11/0
00/0
Gonçalo Inácio n 887.5
0.32/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Rio AveSporting CP
36%Possession64%
0.70Expected goals (xG)1.58
12Shots16
3Shots on target5
6Shots off target6
3Blocked shots5
9Shots inside the box11
5Corners6
9Fouls7
5Yellow cards2
2Red cards0
2Saves2
299Passes535
82%Pass accuracy91%

Rio Ave Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Miszta9000000005.9
Gustavo Mancha9000000105.3
T. Nikitscher9000000206.3
J. Blesa9000103107.2
Ryan Guilherme85000012RY6.2
D. Špikić7300201106.2
Diogo Bezerra73101130Y7.9
N. Abbey7200000206.2
M. Vrousai6400000306.6
Tamble Monteiro5501421107
F. Petrasso52000000RY4.9
J. Brabec sub3500000005.9
João Tomé sub2600100206.3
O. Richards sub1800000006.2
A. Papakanellos sub1700000006.7
A. Ntoi sub1700000006.2

Sporting CP Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Rui Silva9000000006.6
Eduardo Quaresma9000001206.6
O. Diomande90010010Y6.9
Gonçalo Inácio9000000006.9
M. Araújo9001002006.3
Trincão9010112107.7
L. Suárez89105110Y7.7
Daniel Bragança8200001307.2
Pote8200312206.6
H. Morita6500000106.9
Luis Guilherme6400003106.3
Geny Catamo sub2600000006.9
Geovany Tcherno Quenda sub2510220007.3
Giorgi Kochorashvili sub800000106.6
Eduardo Felicíssimo sub800000006.6
Rafael Ferreira Nel sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Rio Ave v Sporting CP — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Rio AveLWDLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Sporting CPLDDDW
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Rio Ave 0 · 1 draw · Sporting CP 5 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2025-12-28 Sporting CP 4–0 Rio Ave
  • 2025-04-22 Rio Ave 1–2 Sporting CP
  • 2025-04-03 Sporting CP 2–0 Rio Ave
  • 2025-01-18 Rio Ave 0–3 Sporting CP
  • 2024-08-09 Sporting CP 3–1 Rio Ave
  • 2024-02-25 Rio Ave 3–3 Sporting CP
League standing · 2025/26
Rio Ave#12 pos36 pts34 pl-22 GD
Sporting CP#2 pos82 pts34 pl+65 GD
Goals per game
Rio Ave scored1.03
Sporting CP scored2.62
Rio Ave conceded1.68
Sporting CP conceded0.71

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Rio Ave v Sporting CP?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rio Ave v Sporting CP was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Rio Ave and Sporting CP?
In their last 6 meetings, Rio Ave won 0, Sporting CP won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rio Ave and Sporting CP?
Recent form — Rio Ave 1W 2D 2L; Sporting CP 1W 3D 1L.

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