This Matchweek

Sporting CPNacional

Sporting CP v Nacional result

Full-time · Sporting CP 2–0 Nacional

Primeira Liga · · Estádio José Alvalade

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Sporting CP · Nacional · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Sporting CP 2–0 Nacional — Sporting CP won this Primeira Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.23 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.5% of 279 landed (95% range 73.3–82.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 178 of 266 times (66.9%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Sporting CP beat Nacional 2–0 at Estádio José Alvalade in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 5 September. Sporting CP have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Sporting CP led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Sporting CP: L. Suárez (32’ pen) and Flávio Gonçalves (49’, assisted by L. Suárez).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with L. Suárez’s goal on 32 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Sporting CP 3.00, Nacional 0.08, from 19 shots to 3 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal showed three yellow cards — against 2.7 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Sporting CP: M. Araújo (5’) and Sergi Altimira (20’); Nacional: Markus Jensen (48’).

What it changes

Sporting CP move down from first to second (five league matches played). Sporting CP have scored 23 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Sporting CP have conceded 11 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Nacional move down from ninth to 10th (five league matches played). Nacional have scored 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Nacional have conceded 19 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Sporting CP are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Nacional have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, L. Suárez (Sporting CP) 9.9, Flávio Gonçalves (Sporting CP) 6.9 and Issa Doumbia (Sporting CP) 4.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Sporting CP are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Nacional, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Sporting CP to win, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78.5% of the time in the last 90 days (219 of 279).

Next up

Sporting CP next host Moreirense on 7 November 2026.

Nacional next host Academico Viseu on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sporting CP: Sporting CP v Moreirense, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Nacional: Nacional v Academico Viseu, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Sporting CP 2–0 Nacional · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Estádio José Alvalade · Lisbon
  • Referee: Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Sporting CP 6 · draws 0 · Nacional 0 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sporting CP 3W 1D 1L · Nacional 2W 1D 2L

Sporting CP 2–0 Nacional (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

3.13 / 1.38
Goals
against 1 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4 / 5.13
Corners
against 3.57 / 4.88 · 0 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
6.43 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 2.71 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.43 / 2.38
Cards
against 2.86 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
2.67 yellows
Referee · Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal
22.33 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSporting CP for / againstLineNacional for / against
Goals scored
3.13 for · 1 against n 8
3.5our book
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 3.57 against n 7
9.5standard
5.13 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
13.43 for · 10.29 against n 7
19.5standard
13.25 for · 16.38 against n 8
Shots on target
6.43 for · 2.71 against n 7
8.5standard
3.5 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.43 for · 13.43 against n 7
21.5standard
12.88 for · 13.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.43 for · 2.86 against n 7
3.5standard
2.38 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal — 2.67 yellow cards a game, 0.17 red cards, 22.33 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Sporting CP

Sporting CP Goalkeeper

Sporting CP — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Rui Silva490360 min51.3 /9051.3 /9000 /90
Sporting CP — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Rui Silva n 890
1.84/1

Sporting CP Defensive

Sporting CP — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Gonçalo Inácio390270 min20.7 /9051.7 /9000 /9072.3 /9031 /9010.3 /90
M. Araújo390270 min31 /9031 /9000 /90103.3 /9041.3 /9000 /90
Eduardo Quaresma365195 min41.8 /9010.5 /9031.4 /90167.4 /9020.9 /9010.5 /90
Iván Fresneda290180 min63 /9021 /9000 /90105 /9021 /9000 /90
Z. Debast283165 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9052.7 /9021.1 /9000 /90
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Sporting CP — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Sergi Altimira n 490
2.34/3
13/1
—
Rui Silva n 890
00/0
00/0
—
R. Zalazar n 487.3
00/0
0.82/1
—
Issa Doumbia n 481.8
2.24/2
0.31/0
—
Geny Catamo n 866.6
1.25/2
2.47/5
—
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Sporting CP — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Sergi Altimira n 490
4.84/4
R. Zalazar n 487.3
1.53/2
Issa Doumbia n 481.8
2.84/3
Geny Catamo n 866.6
0.84/1
Flávio Gonçalves n 465
2.83/2
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Sporting CP Attacking

Sporting CP — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Suárez454214 min31.3 /9000 /9031.3 /9031.3 /9000 /9010.4 /90
F. Ioannidis354161 min21.1 /9021.1 /9084.5 /9042.2 /9031.7 /9010.6 /90
Luis Guilherme32471 min00 /9000 /9022.5 /9022.5 /9000 /9011.3 /90
N. Irankunda12222 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90312.3 /9000 /90
J. Derry11515 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9016 /90
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Sporting CP — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Sergi Altimira n 490
0.31/0
0.31/0
Rui Silva n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Zalazar n 487.3
1.33/2
0.82/1
Issa Doumbia n 481.8
1.42/1
00/0
Geny Catamo n 866.6
14/1
0.32/0
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Sporting CP — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Sergi Altimira n 490
0.31/0
00/0
Rui Silva n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Zalazar n 487.3
0.31/0
0.31/0
Issa Doumbia n 481.8
00/0
0.31/0
Geny Catamo n 866.6
0.21/0
0.53/0
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Nacional

Nacional Goalkeeper

Nacional — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Renato Bellucci490360 min133.3 /9061.5 /9010.3 /90
Nacional — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Renato Bellucci n 490
3.23/3

Nacional Defensive

Nacional — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Léo Santos490360 min51.3 /9041 /9030.8 /90235.8 /9051.3 /9000 /90
Zé Vitor490360 min82 /9010.3 /9051.3 /90246 /9071.8 /9010.3 /90
Matheus Dias482326 min20.6 /9051.4 /9041.1 /90133.6 /9041.1 /9010.3 /90
Daniel De la Cruz22651 min11.8 /9011.8 /9023.5 /9035.3 /9011.8 /9000 /90
Liziero485338 min112.9 /9071.9 /9000 /90195.1 /9082.1 /9000 /90
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Nacional — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Zé Vitor n 890
2.17/6
0.53/1
—
Léo Santos n 890
15/3
0.54/0
—
Renato Bellucci n 490
00/0
00/0
—
Liziero n 879.9
1.55/4
1.88/4
—
Pablo Ruan n 860
1.94/3
1.16/0
—
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Nacional — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Zé Vitor n 890
1.97/5
Léo Santos n 890
0.84/1
Liziero n 879.9
3.88/7
Pablo Ruan n 860
1.74/3
Matheus Dias n 876.5
14/2
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Nacional Attacking

Nacional — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Pablo Ruan484337 min10.3 /9000 /9071.9 /9030.8 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90
Daniel Júnior480320 min00 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9000 /9061.7 /9061.7 /90
Miguel Baeza471284 min10.3 /9000 /9020.6 /9010.3 /9020.6 /9000 /90
A. Obando12121 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9014.3 /9000 /90
Liziero485338 min10.3 /9010.3 /9030.8 /9020.5 /9030.8 /9000 /90
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Nacional — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Léo Santos n 890
0.83/2
0.11/0
Zé Vitor n 890
0.64/1
0.32/0
Renato Bellucci n 490
00/0
00/0
Liziero n 879.9
0.85/1
0.31/1
Pablo Ruan n 860
1.55/3
0.83/1
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Nacional — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Léo Santos n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
Zé Vitor n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Renato Bellucci n 490
00/0
00/0
Liziero n 879.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
Pablo Ruan n 860
0.21/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Sporting CPNacional
67%Possession33%
3.00Expected goals (xG)0.08
19Shots3
8Shots on target2
10Shots off target0
1Blocked shots1
10Shots inside the box0
12Corners0
1Offsides2
10Fouls7
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves6
660Passes318
89%Pass accuracy80%

Sporting CP Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Rui Silva9000000007.5
Iván Fresneda9000220307.2
Z. Debast9000002108
Gonçalo Inácio9000000107.5
Issa Doumbia9000101307.9
Flávio Gonçalves9010112207.7
Sergi Altimira87000003Y7.2
M. Araújo78002130Y7.3
Geny Catamo6700211007.2
R. Zalazar6700301106.5
L. Suárez6711221007.3
Luis Guilherme sub2300104107
N. Irankunda sub2300200106.5
F. Ioannidis sub2300210006.5
G. Vagiannidis sub1200000006.6
S. Andersen sub30000000–

Nacional Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Renato Bellucci9000000007.7
Zé Vitor9000000106.3
Wesley Gasolina9000000106.2
Matheus Dias9000001206.5
W. Kokolo9000000106.2
Francisco Gonçalves9000000406.7
Miguel Baeza8000110206.9
Stavros Gavriel7300001206.6
Pablo Ruan6200000106.3
M. Jensen62000002Y6.7
Léo Santos4500000006.2
Deivison sub4500110006.6
A. Obando sub2800000006.2
C. Labidi sub2800000207
Matchoi Djaló sub1700000006.6
Daniel Júnior sub1000000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sporting CP v Nacional — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Sporting CPLDWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
NacionalWDWLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Sporting CP 6 · 0 draws · Nacional 0 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-02-01 Sporting CP 2–1 Nacional
  • 2025-08-23 Nacional 1–4 Sporting CP
  • 2025-01-25 Sporting CP 2–0 Nacional
  • 2024-08-17 Nacional 1–6 Sporting CP
  • 2021-05-01 Sporting CP 2–0 Nacional
  • 2021-01-08 Nacional 0–2 Sporting CP
League standing · 2026/27
Sporting CP#3 pos21 pts10 pl+12 GD
Nacional#15 pos7 pts10 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Sporting CP scored2.3
Nacional scored1
Sporting CP conceded1.1
Nacional conceded1.9

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Sporting CP v Nacional?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sporting CP v Nacional was Home win (best price 1.23 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Sporting CP and Nacional?
In their last 6 meetings, Sporting CP won 6, Nacional won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sporting CP and Nacional?
Recent form — Sporting CP 3W 1D 1L; Nacional 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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