TondelaNacional

Tondela v Nacional result

Full-time · Tondela 0–2 Nacional

Primeira Liga · · Estádio João Cardoso

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Tondela · Nacional · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Tondela 0–2 Nacional — Nacional won this Primeira Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55.7% of 140 landed (95% range 47.4–63.7%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Nacional won 2–0 at Estádio João Cardoso in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 25 April. Tondela are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

Nacional led 2–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Nacional: C. Ramírez (22’, assisted by Daniel Júnior); Tondela: an own goal by B. Medina (31’).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Tondela 1.38, Nacional 1.26, from 22 shots to 17 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

H. Malheiro showed three yellow cards — against 5.3 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Tondela: Tiago Manso (58’) and M. Aïko (90’); Nacional: C. Ramírez (64’).

What it changes

Tondela stay 17th after this result (30 league matches played).

Nacional stay 13th after this result (31 league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Bebeto (Tondela) 6.2, Filipe Soares (Nacional) 6.0 and Rony Lopes (Tondela) 5.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Nacional next travel to Maritimo on 27 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Nacional: Maritimo v Nacional, Friday 27 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Tondela 0–2 Nacional · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Estádio João Cardoso · Tondela
  • Referee: H. Malheiro
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Tondela 1 · draws 1 · Nacional 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Tondela 0W 2D 3L · Nacional 2W 0D 3L

Tondela 0–2 Nacional (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 0.63
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 4
Corners
against 5.13 / 6.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 5.13
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3 / 3.38
Cards
against 3.13 / 3 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.33 yellows
Referee · H. Malheiro
32 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameTondela for / againstLineNacional for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
0.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 6.75 against n 8
Shots
9.75 for · 13.5 against n 8
19.5standard
13.38 for · 13.13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.38 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5.13 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.5 for · 12.88 against n 8
21.5standard
15.25 for · 12.88 against n 8
Cards shown
3 for · 3.13 against n 8
3.5standard
3.38 for · 3 against n 8

Referee: H. Malheiro — 5.33 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 32 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Tondela

Tondela Goalkeeper

Tondela — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Bernardo Fontes29902615 min1003.4 /90481.7 /9010 /90
Tondela — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tondela before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Bernardo Fontes n 890.6
2.65/4

Tondela Defensive

Tondela — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Christian Marques27872361 min301.1 /90331.3 /90210.8 /90722.7 /90230.9 /9050.2 /90
B. Medina24882114 min602.6 /90210.9 /90150.6 /901335.7 /90271.1 /90100.4 /90
Bebeto22811789 min623.1 /90241.2 /90130.7 /901105.5 /90291.5 /9040.2 /90
E. Maviram18801445 min171.1 /90261.6 /9030.2 /90503.1 /90161 /9040.2 /90
Tiago Manso18621120 min292.3 /90110.9 /9060.5 /90665.3 /90191.5 /9040.3 /90
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Tondela — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tondela before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Bernardo Fontes n 890.6
00/0
0.75/1
—
Pedro Maranhão n 877.6
1.34/3
2.38/4
—
Christian Marques n 887
1.26/2
0.32/0
—
B. Medina n 888.1
1.35/3
0.54/0
Zé Vitor
J. Rodríguez n 868.5
1.55/4
1.15/2
—
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Tondela — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tondela before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Pedro Maranhão n 877.6
0.94/2
Christian Marques n 887
1.76/4
B. Medina n 888.1
2.68/4
J. Rodríguez n 868.5
26/4
Bebeto n 883.8
37/7
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Tondela Attacking

Tondela — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Siebatcheu19651230 min10.1 /9000 /90201.5 /9080.6 /9080.6 /9020.1 /90
M. Aïko1360776 min00 /9010.1 /9091 /9030.3 /90121.4 /90202.3 /90
Rony Lopes1062623 min20.3 /9020.3 /90121.7 /9060.9 /9081.2 /9030.4 /90
Yarlen948435 min00 /9000 /9040.8 /9030.6 /9051 /9091.9 /90
Y. Rodriguez940362 min10.2 /9000 /9061.5 /9030.7 /9030.7 /9020.5 /90
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Tondela — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tondela before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Bernardo Fontes n 890.6
00/0
00/0
Pedro Maranhão n 877.6
1.46/4
0.64/0
Christian Marques n 887
0.11/0
00/0
B. Medina n 888.1
0.54/0
0.32/0
J. Rodríguez n 868.5
0.72/1
00/0
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Tondela — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tondela before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Bernardo Fontes n 890.6
00/0
00/0
Pedro Maranhão n 877.6
0.11/0
00/0
Christian Marques n 887
00/0
00/0
B. Medina n 888.1
00/0
0.11/0
J. Rodríguez n 868.5
00/0
00/0
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Nacional

Nacional Goalkeeper

Nacional — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Kaique24902160 min773.2 /90311.3 /9030.1 /90
Lucas França690540 min183 /90101.7 /9000 /90
Nacional — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Kaique n 890
3.46/5
Lucas França n 890
36/4

Nacional Defensive

Nacional — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Zé Vitor27892403 min532 /90391.5 /90210.8 /901525.7 /90511.9 /9080.3 /90
Léo Santos27872359 min251 /90251 /90240.9 /901124.3 /90351.3 /90120.5 /90
José Gomes23851956 min331.5 /90170.8 /90100.5 /90914.2 /90170.8 /9020.1 /90
A. Núñez16851364 min261.7 /90110.7 /9030.2 /90453 /90241.6 /9020.1 /90
João Aurélio15841253 min332.4 /90201.4 /9050.4 /90765.5 /90171.2 /9020.1 /90
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Nacional — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Ramírez n 886.8
1.76/3
1.48/3
—
Paulinho Bóia n 885.9
0.95/2
2.48/6
—
Zé Vitor n 890
2.57/6
0.84/2
B. Medina
Léo Santos n 890
1.56/4
0.32/0
—
Liziero n 887.4
1.35/3
1.27/2
—
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Nacional — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Ramírez n 886.8
0.32/0
Paulinho Bóia n 885.9
1.48/2
Zé Vitor n 890
2.46/5
Léo Santos n 890
1.87/4
Liziero n 887.4
3.78/8
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Nacional Attacking

Nacional — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Ramírez29872532 min150.5 /9000 /90712.5 /90381.4 /90250.9 /90210.7 /90
Paulinho Bóia29852466 min40.1 /9020.1 /90451.6 /90230.8 /90361.3 /90331.2 /90
Pablo Ruan1647744 min00 /9000 /9091.1 /9060.7 /90131.6 /9050.6 /90
Witi1646739 min00 /9000 /90101.2 /9030.4 /90101.2 /9070.9 /90
Gabriel Veron1073727 min10.1 /9000 /9081 /9040.5 /9040.5 /9050.6 /90
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Nacional — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Ramírez n 886.8
2.38/5
0.97/0
Paulinho Bóia n 885.9
1.88/4
1.28/1
Zé Vitor n 890
15/2
0.54/0
Léo Santos n 890
0.84/2
0.32/0
Liziero n 887.4
0.95/2
0.32/0
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Nacional — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Ramírez n 886.8
0.32/0
00/0
Paulinho Bóia n 885.9
0.32/0
00/0
Zé Vitor n 890
00/0
00/0
Léo Santos n 890
00/0
0.11/0
Liziero n 887.4
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
TondelaNacional
62%Possession38%
1.38Expected goals (xG)1.26
22Shots17
5Shots on target6
9Shots off target4
8Blocked shots7
13Shots inside the box8
8Corners7
1Offsides1
16Fouls15
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
5Saves5
449Passes275
83%Pass accuracy67%

Tondela Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Bernardo Fontes9000000007.2
Bebeto9000001406.9
João Silva9000100106.3
B. Medina9000110206.3
J. Rodríguez9000101006.9
Moudjatovic9000003007.3
Rony Lopes9000513107.2
J. Hodge7600112106.3
A. van der Heide6100204107.2
Hugo Félix6100002006.7
Rodrigo Conceição3800001106.2
Tiago Manso sub52002125Y7.7
S. Sithole sub2900000106.6
M. Aïko sub29001100Y6.2
B. Mbunga Kimpioka sub1400000006.3

Nacional Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Kaique9000000007.6
A. Núñez9000000207.2
Léo Santos9000000007.3
Zé Vitor9000101207.6
Matheus Dias9000222207.2
Paulinho Bóia9000222206.9
C. Ramírez90102102Y7.5
José Gomes8900100006.2
Filipe Soares8900100507.9
Daniel Júnior7801115106.9
Gabriel Veron1400000006.7
Pablo Ruan sub7600001306.6
André Carreira Sousa sub1200000106.9
João Aurélio sub900000006.7
Joel da Silva sub900000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Tondela v Nacional — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
TondelaLDLDL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
NacionalLLWLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Tondela 1 · 1 draw · Nacional 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2025-12-15 Nacional 3–1 Tondela
  • 2022-11-09 Nacional 1–0 Tondela
  • 2021-04-22 Tondela 2–1 Nacional
  • 2020-12-27 Nacional 2–0 Tondela
  • 2019-03-02 Nacional 3–2 Tondela
  • 2018-10-05 Tondela 1–1 Nacional
League standing · 2025/26
Tondela#17 pos28 pts34 pl-28 GD
Nacional#14 pos34 pts34 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
Tondela scored0.79
Nacional scored1.09
Tondela conceded1.62
Nacional conceded1.32

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Tondela v Nacional?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Tondela v Nacional was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Tondela and Nacional?
In their last 6 meetings, Tondela won 1, Nacional won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Tondela and Nacional?
Recent form — Tondela 0W 2D 3L; Nacional 2W 0D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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