Vitória SC v Casa Pia result

Full-time · Vitória SC 0–0 Casa Pia

Primeira Liga · · Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Vitória SC 0–0 Casa Pia — this Primeira Liga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.13 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.9% of 1635 landed (95% range 73.8–77.9%); it had given them 75% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 930 of 1,251 times (74.3%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Vitória SC and Casa Pia drew 0–0 at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 6 September. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Vitória SC out-shot Casa Pia 29 to 7 and created the better chances, 2.48 xG to 0.21 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time.

Discipline

Gustavo Correia, Portugal showed four yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Vitória SC: Gustavo (62’) and Thiago Balieiro (86’); Casa Pia: Ivan Mandić (62’) and JP (72’).

What it changes

Vitória SC move up from 12th to 11th (five league matches played). Vitória SC have scored 10 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Vitória SC have conceded 10 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Casa Pia stay 18th after this result (five league matches played). Casa Pia have scored five goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Casa Pia have conceded 17 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Casa Pia are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Casa Pia have failed to score in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo (Casa Pia) 6.0, Pedro Rosas (Casa Pia) 5.8 and Silvi (Casa Pia) 5.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

Casa Pia are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Vitória SC, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Vitória SC or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.9% of the time in the last 90 days (1241 of 1635).

Next up

Vitória SC next travel to GIL Vicente on 2 November 2026.

Casa Pia next host Sporting CP on 30 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Vitória SC: GIL Vicente v Vitória SC, Monday 2 November — the preview. Next for Casa Pia: Casa Pia v Sporting CP, Friday 30 October — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Vitória SC 0–0 Casa Pia · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques · Guimarães
  • Referee: Gustavo Correia, Portugal
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Vitória SC 1 · draws 3 · Casa Pia 2 · 1 goals/game
  • Recent form: Vitória SC 1W 0D 4L · Casa Pia 1W 0D 4L

Vitória SC 0–0 Casa Pia (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 0.5
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4.75
Corners
against 3 / 3.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 3.75 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 2.38
Cards
against 2.75 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.14 yellows
Referee · Gustavo Correia, Portugal
22.29 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameVitória SC for / againstLineCasa Pia for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5our book
0.5 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 3 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
14.88 for · 7.5 against n 8
19.5standard
11.13 for · 13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.38 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
3.5 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.75 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
14 for · 13.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: Gustavo Correia, Portugal — 4.14 yellow cards a game, 0.29 red cards, 22.29 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Vitória SC

Vitória SC Goalkeeper

Vitória SC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
O. Zych490360 min41 /9051.3 /9000 /90
Vitória SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Zych n 490
11/1

Vitória SC Defensive

Vitória SC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
João Mendes490360 min61.5 /9030.8 /9020.5 /9092.3 /9041 /9000 /90
Óscar Rivas490360 min41 /9061.5 /9020.5 /90184.5 /9041 /9020.5 /90
Thiago Balieiro490360 min61.5 /9092.3 /9010.3 /90123 /9051.3 /9010.3 /90
T. Strata462246 min72.6 /9031.1 /9020.7 /90114 /9041.5 /9010.4 /90
Miguel Maga257114 min10.8 /9000 /9000 /9021.6 /9010.8 /9000 /90
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Vitória SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Thiago Balieiro n 890
1.57/3
0.54/0
David Sousa
João Mendes n 890
1.37/3
0.54/0
Geraldes
Óscar Rivas n 890
0.63/2
0.84/1
—
O. Zych n 490
00/0
00/0
—
Samu n 886
0.95/1
0.74/1
—
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Vitória SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
João Mendes n 890
2.15/4
Thiago Balieiro n 890
27/4
Óscar Rivas n 890
1.37/3
Samu n 886
2.18/4
A. Ndoye n 867
0.83/2
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Vitória SC Attacking

Vitória SC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Ndoye484335 min10.3 /9000 /90123.2 /9020.5 /9051.3 /9020.5 /90
O. Camara443171 min00 /9000 /9021.1 /9000 /9031.6 /9021.1 /90
Samu488352 min10.3 /9000 /9082 /9030.8 /9061.5 /9010.3 /90
Gustavo484334 min10.3 /9000 /90143.8 /9061.6 /9061.6 /9041.1 /90
Gonçalo Nogueira472287 min00 /9000 /9010.3 /9000 /9041.3 /9000 /90
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Vitória SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
João Mendes n 890
0.95/2
0.32/0
Thiago Balieiro n 890
0.32/0
00/0
Óscar Rivas n 890
0.11/0
00/0
O. Zych n 490
00/0
00/0
Samu n 886
28/3
16/2
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Vitória SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Zych n 490
00/0
00/0
Óscar Rivas n 890
00/0
00/0
João Mendes n 890
00/0
00/0
Thiago Balieiro n 890
00/0
00/0
Samu n 886
0.32/0
00/0
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Casa Pia

Casa Pia Goalkeeper

Casa Pia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
André Gomes490360 min112.8 /9092.3 /9000 /90
Casa Pia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Casa Pia before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
André Gomes n 490
2.84/2

Casa Pia Defensive

Casa Pia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
David Sousa490360 min82 /9061.5 /9000 /90307.5 /9051.3 /9010.3 /90
Geraldes490360 min61.5 /9051.3 /9030.8 /90174.3 /9061.5 /9000 /90
João Goulart488351 min30.8 /9061.5 /9020.5 /90164.1 /9020.5 /9000 /90
Abdu Conté378233 min41.5 /9010.4 /9020.8 /90124.6 /9010.4 /9000 /90
Pedro Rosas257114 min21.6 /9032.4 /9000 /90107.9 /9021.6 /9010.8 /90
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Casa Pia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Casa Pia before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
David Sousa n 890
1.48/3
0.32/0
Thiago Balieiro
Geraldes n 887.6
1.25/4
1.27/2
João Mendes
L. Ofori n 883.9
1.26/2
1.76/4
—
André Gomes n 490
00/0
00/0
—
João Goulart n 888.9
1.15/3
0.63/2
—
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Casa Pia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Casa Pia before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
David Sousa n 890
2.37/6
Geraldes n 887.6
1.35/2
L. Ofori n 883.9
1.25/2
João Goulart n 888.9
0.53/1
Rochinha n 472.3
0.62/0
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Casa Pia Attacking

Casa Pia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Henrique Araújo376227 min00 /9000 /9041.6 /9010.4 /9041.6 /9000 /90
A. Jatta359178 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /9000 /9031.5 /90
K. Osundina24997 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.9 /90
Cassiano23059 min00 /9000 /9011.5 /9011.5 /9000 /9000 /90
Claudio12121 min00 /9000 /9028.6 /9014.3 /9000 /9000 /90
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Casa Pia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Casa Pia before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
David Sousa n 890
1.16/2
0.43/0
L. Ofori n 883.9
1.16/2
0.43/0
Geraldes n 887.6
0.11/0
00/0
André Gomes n 490
00/0
00/0
João Goulart n 888.9
00/0
00/0
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Casa Pia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Casa Pia before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Ofori n 883.9
0.11/0
00/0
David Sousa n 890
00/0
00/0
André Gomes n 490
00/0
00/0
Geraldes n 887.6
00/0
00/0
João Goulart n 888.9
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Vitória SCCasa Pia
74%Possession26%
2.48Expected goals (xG)0.21
29Shots7
8Shots on target3
10Shots off target4
11Blocked shots0
17Shots inside the box4
17Corners4
2Offsides0
16Fouls6
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves7
550Passes191
83%Pass accuracy56%

Vitória SC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
O. Zych9000000007
T. Strata9000005107.2
Thiago Balieiro90002111Y6.9
João Mendes9000321107.7
Beni9000003207.9
Gustavo90003172Y7.5
L. Doucet8700001106.9
Samu8700220106.6
A. Sidibé7100000207.3
Miguel Nogueira7000100006.7
A. Ndoye6300213106.6
A. Jakupovic sub2700200006.2
O. Camara sub2000002006.9
Óscar Rivas sub1900100006.9
Gonçalo Nogueira sub1100000006.6
V. Ouotro sub1100210006.2

Casa Pia Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Geraldes9000000106.9
David Sousa9000100308.3
Pedro Rosas9000100407.7
João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo9000002308
L. Ofori9000102006.3
Silvi9000110207.3
Kaly7000000307.3
A. Jatta5700000006.7
B. Pauwels5700110106.7
João Trevisol45000017Y6.3
K. Prieto4500000106.7
André Gomes2900000006.3
Ivan Mandić sub61000000Y8.2
JP sub45000017Y6.9
Henrique Araújo sub3300110006.2
M. El Boukammiri sub3300100006.5
João Goulart sub2000000107.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Vitória SC v Casa Pia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Vitória SCLLLWL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Casa PiaWLLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Vitória SC 1 · 3 draws · Casa Pia 2 · 1 goals/game
  • 2026-05-11 Guimaraes 0–1 Casa Pia
  • 2025-12-28 Casa Pia 0–0 Guimaraes
  • 2025-03-01 Guimaraes 1–0 Casa Pia
  • 2024-09-28 Casa Pia 1–1 Guimaraes
  • 2024-02-24 Guimaraes 0–2 Casa Pia
  • 2023-09-23 Casa Pia 0–0 Guimaraes
League standing · 2026/27
Vitória SC#13 pos8 pts9 pl0 GD
Casa Pia#16 pos7 pts9 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Vitória SC scored1.11
Casa Pia scored0.56
Vitória SC conceded1.11
Casa Pia conceded1.89

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Vitória SC v Casa Pia?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Vitória SC v Casa Pia was Home or Draw (best price 1.13 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Vitória SC and Casa Pia?
In their last 6 meetings, Vitória SC won 1, Casa Pia won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Vitória SC and Casa Pia?
Recent form — Vitória SC 1W 0D 4L; Casa Pia 1W 0D 4L.

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