Vitória SC v Moreirense result

Full-time · Vitória SC 1–1 Moreirense

Primeira Liga · Sun, 20 Sep 2026 15:30 BST · Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Updated 16 Oct 2026, 07:53 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Vitória SC · Moreirense · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Vitória SC 1–1 Moreirense — this Primeira Liga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick

Home or Draw

Best price: 1.14 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.5% of 1685 landed (95% range 73.4–77.5%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 944 of 1,269 times (74.4%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Vitória SC and Moreirense drew 1–1 at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 20 September. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Vitória SC out-shot Moreirense 16 to 7 and created the better chances, 1.07 xG to 0.52 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Moreirense: Tiago Andrade (52’, assisted by Leonardo Vonić); Vitória SC: Toni Borevković (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Toni Borevković’s goal on 90 minutes.

What it changes

Vitória SC move down from 12th to 14th (seven league matches played). Vitória SC have scored 10 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Vitória SC have conceded 10 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Moreirense move down from 11th to 12th (seven league matches played). Moreirense have scored 11 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Moreirense have conceded 16 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs.

Vitória SC are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Tiago Andrade (Moreirense) 8.6, Toni Borevković (Vitória SC) 6.7 and Kiko (Moreirense) 6.3 led the match.

Head-to-head

Moreirense are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Vitória SC, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Vitória SC or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1273 of 1685).

Next up

Vitória SC next travel to GIL Vicente on 2 November 2026.

Moreirense next host Estrela on 31 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Vitória SC: GIL Vicente v Vitória SC, Monday 2 November — the preview. Next for Moreirense: Moreirense v Estrela, Saturday 31 October — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Vitória SC 1–1 Moreirense · Primeira Liga
Venue: Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques · Guimarães
Referee: Sergio Guelho, Portugal
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Vitória SC 3 · draws 1 · Moreirense 2 · 1.67 goals/game
Recent form: Vitória SC 1W 1D 3L · Moreirense 2W 0D 3L

Vitória SC 1–1 Moreirense (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.5 / 0.88

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

6.13 / 3.5

Corners

against 3.25 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.25 / 2.88

Shots on target

against 3 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.75 / 3.13

Cards

against 3 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 14 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Vitória SC for / against	Line	Moreirense for / against
Goals scored	0.5 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	0.88 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.13 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.5 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	18.25 for · 7.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	8.38 for · 14.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.25 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	2.88 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.63 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.75 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	3.13 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Sergio Guelho, Portugal.

Vitória SC

Vitória SC Goalkeeper

Vitória SC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
O. Zych	6	90540 min	91.5 /90	71.2 /90	00 /90

Vitória SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 14 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
O. Zych n 6	90	1.5 3/2

Vitória SC Defensive

Vitória SC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
João Mendes	6	90540 min	81.3 /90	40.7 /90	20.3 /90	142.3 /90	61 /90	00 /90
Thiago Balieiro	6	90540 min	122 /90	152.5 /90	20.3 /90	223.7 /90	91.5 /90	20.3 /90
T. Strata	6	71426 min	102.1 /90	30.6 /90	20.4 /90	173.6 /90	71.5 /90	10.2 /90
Óscar Rivas	5	76379 min	40.9 /90	71.7 /90	20.5 /90	204.7 /90	51.2 /90	20.5 /90
A. Sidibé	2	78155 min	21.2 /90	31.7 /90	00 /90	84.6 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90
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Vitória SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 14 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Thiago Balieiro n 8	90	1.6 7/4	0.4 3/0	Kiko
João Mendes n 8	90	1.1 6/3	0.4 3/0	Gilberto Batista
O. Zych n 6	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Samu n 8	86.3	1 5/2	0.8 4/2	—
Gustavo n 8	83	2 7/5	1.4 5/5	—
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Vitória SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 14 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
João Mendes n 8	90	1.8 6/3
Thiago Balieiro n 8	90	1.8 7/3
Samu n 8	86.3	2.2 8/5
Gustavo n 8	83	1.9 6/3
T. Strata n 8	75.8	1.9 7/4
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Vitória SC Attacking

Vitória SC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Ndoye	6	69416 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	173.7 /90	40.9 /90	81.7 /90	51.1 /90
A. Jakupovic	2	52104 min	00 /90	00 /90	43.5 /90	21.7 /90	10.9 /90	00 /90
Samu	6	88529 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	122 /90	50.9 /90	71.2 /90	10.2 /90
Gustavo	6	86514 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	213.7 /90	71.2 /90	183.2 /90	40.7 /90
Beni	6	57341 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	41.1 /90	30.8 /90
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Vitória SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 14 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
João Mendes n 8	90	1.3 6/3	0.4 2/1
Thiago Balieiro n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.1 1/0
O. Zych n 6	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Samu n 8	86.3	2 8/4	0.9 5/2
Gustavo n 8	83	3.5 7/7	1.4 5/3
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Vitória SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 14 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
O. Zych n 6	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
João Mendes n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Thiago Balieiro n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Samu n 8	86.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Gustavo n 8	83	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Moreirense

Moreirense Goalkeeper

Moreirense — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
André Ferreira	6	91548 min	193.1 /90	132.1 /90	00 /90

Moreirense — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Moreirense before kick-off, to 14 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
André Ferreira n 8	91	3 6/3

Moreirense Defensive

Moreirense — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Gilberto Batista	6	91548 min	91.5 /90	101.6 /90	40.7 /90	233.8 /90	50.8 /90	20.3 /90
Kiko	6	89535 min	142.4 /90	111.9 /90	20.3 /90	254.2 /90	81.3 /90	20.3 /90
Maracás	5	86430 min	51 /90	51 /90	61.3 /90	234.8 /90	20.4 /90	10.2 /90
Dinis Pinto	5	76380 min	71.7 /90	40.9 /90	10.2 /90	225.2 /90	71.7 /90	10.2 /90
Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos	3	69207 min	31.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90	125.2 /90	20.9 /90	10.4 /90
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Moreirense — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Moreirense before kick-off, to 14 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Gilberto Batista n 8	91	1 4/2	0.2 2/0	João Mendes
André Ferreira n 8	91	0 0/0	0.5 3/1	—
Kiko n 8	83.6	1.3 6/3	0.9 6/1	Thiago Balieiro
A. Duville-Parsemain n 6	73.7	2 4/4	1 3/1	—
N. John n 8	76.5	1.3 7/2	1.3 5/3	—
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Moreirense — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Moreirense before kick-off, to 14 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Gilberto Batista n 8	91	1.6 6/5
Kiko n 8	83.6	2.4 8/5
A. Duville-Parsemain n 6	73.7	0.2 1/0
N. John n 8	76.5	1.8 6/4
Landerson n 8	59	1 4/1
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Moreirense Attacking

Moreirense — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Duville-Parsemain	6	74442 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	61.2 /90	40.8 /90	30.6 /90	00 /90
Kiko Bondoso	5	33166 min	00 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90
Tiago Andrade	4	41164 min	00 /90	10.5 /90	21.1 /90	10.5 /90	42.2 /90	10.5 /90
L. Vonić	1	6161 min	11.5 /90	00 /90	23 /90	23 /90	00 /90	00 /90
N. John	6	72432 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	40.8 /90	20.4 /90	20.4 /90	20.4 /90
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Moreirense — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Moreirense before kick-off, to 14 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
André Ferreira n 8	91	0 0/0	0 0/0
Gilberto Batista n 8	91	0 0/0	0 0/0
Kiko n 8	83.6	0.8 6/0	0.3 2/0
A. Duville-Parsemain n 6	73.7	1.2 5/1	0.8 4/0
N. John n 8	76.5	1.3 6/2	0.7 4/1
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Moreirense — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Moreirense before kick-off, to 14 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
André Ferreira n 8	91	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Gilberto Batista n 8	91	0 0/0	0 0/0
Kiko n 8	83.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
A. Duville-Parsemain n 6	73.7	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
N. John n 8	76.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Vitória SC		Moreirense
66%	Possession	34%
1.07	Expected goals (xG)	0.52
16	Shots	7
5	Shots on target	3
8	Shots off target	4
3	Blocked shots	0
11	Shots inside the box	4
3	Corners	0
1	Offsides	0
10	Fouls	13
2	Saves	2
650	Passes	332
87%	Pass accuracy	76%

Vitória SC Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
T. Borevković	90	1	0	2	1	0	1	7.7
A. Jakupovic	90	0	0	0	0	0	8	6.4
João Mendes	90	0	0	0	0	2	1	6.9
T. Strata	90	0	0	1	1	1	4	6.8
Thiago Balieiro	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	7
O. Zych	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	6
Miguel Nogueira	78	0	1	3	0	2	1	6.6
O. Camara	72	0	0	3	2	1	0	6.5
Alan	57	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.4
L. Doucet	57	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Gonçalo Nogueira	57	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.8
M. Mitrović	33	0	0	3	0	2	1	6.4
Beni	33	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.1
Samu	33	0	0	1	1	2	1	6.7
V. Andersson	18	0	0	1	0	0	0	6.1
Gustavo	12	0	0	1	0	0	0	6.3

Moreirense Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
Gilberto Batista	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	6.9
Guilherme Liberato	90	0	0	0	0	0	6	6.3
Kiko	90	0	0	0	0	2	5	6.7
Maracás	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	7
Dinis Pinto	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	6
André Ferreira	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
N. John	89	0	0	1	0	2	2	6.4
Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça	67	0	0	1	1	0	3	6.4
Tiago Andrade	66	1	0	2	1	0	1	7.9
Kiko Bondoso	63	0	0	0	0	1	1	6.4
L. Vonić	63	0	1	1	1	1	1	7.3
Chipyoka Songa	27	0	0	1	0	0	0	5.9
Maranhão	27	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Rodri Alonso	24	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
Landerson	23	0	0	0	0	0	2	6.5
Kevyn Monteiro	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.1

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Vitória SC v Moreirense — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Vitória SCLWLDL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

MoreirenseLWLLW

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Vitória SC 3 · 1 draw · Moreirense 2 · 1.67 goals/game

2026-01-30 Guimaraes 1–0 Moreirense
2025-08-23 Moreirense 2–0 Guimaraes
2025-03-30 Moreirense 2–2 Guimaraes
2024-11-03 Guimaraes 1–0 Moreirense
2024-03-30 Guimaraes 1–0 Moreirense
2023-11-05 Moreirense 1–0 Guimaraes

League standing · 2026/27

Vitória SC#13 pos8 pts9 pl0 GD

Moreirense#10 pos11 pts9 pl-5 GD

Goals per game

Vitória SC scored1.11

Moreirense scored1.22

Vitória SC conceded1.11

Moreirense conceded1.78

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Vitória SC v Moreirense?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Vitória SC v Moreirense was Home or Draw (best price 1.14 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Vitória SC and Moreirense?: In their last 6 meetings, Vitória SC won 3, Moreirense won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Vitória SC and Moreirense?: Recent form — Vitória SC 1W 1D 3L; Moreirense 2W 0D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 16 Oct 2026, 07:53 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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