Al Diriyah v NEOM prediction

Pro League · Fri, 30 Oct 2026 14:50 GMT · Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium

Updated 28 Oct 2026, 23:03 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Total offsides under 5.5 the free pick for Al Diriyah v NEOM, Pro League on Fri, 30 Oct 2026 14:50 GMT.

Free pick

Total offsides under 5.5

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Al Diriyah host NEOM in the Pro League (Saudi-Arabia) on Friday 30 October (kick-off 14:50 UK); the model’s free pick is Total offsides under 5.5, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Three of Al Diriyah’s last 11 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in three of Al Diriyah’s last 11 results in all competitions (27%). At home, Al Diriyah have one win, three draws and two defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.50 and conceding 0.83. Al Diriyah have scored nine goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Al Diriyah have conceded 11 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Five of NEOM’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in six of NEOM’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, NEOM have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.00. NEOM have scored 16 goals, the seventh-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). NEOM have conceded nine goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Al Diriyah (eighth) and NEOM (sixth) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have NEOM the stronger side, 55 rating points above Al Diriyah (NEOM 1624, Al Diriyah 1569, after at least 11 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Al Diriyah XI (4-4-2): A. Al Bukhari, C. Mbemba, B. Djimsiti, H. Al Sibyani, A. Al Faraj, E. Millot, Ó. Rodríguez, I. Gueye, A. Boulbina, D. Núñez, C. Diandy — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, I. Gueye (3.8 per match over nine appearances) and A. Boulbina (3.7 per match over eight appearances, two goals) have been Al Diriyah’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al Diriyah (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), I. Gueye averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 1236 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances. A. Boulbina averages 1.5 shots per 90 over 649 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted NEOM XI (4-4-2): M. Bulka, M. Sarr, N. Zézé, I. Hawsawi, K. Al Dawsari, V. Vada, A. Al Oyayari, K. Al-Absi, A. Koné, A. Lacazette, S. Benrahma — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, S. Benrahma (5.3 per match over six appearances, three goals and two assists) and A. Lacazette (4.9 per match over 11 appearances, six goals and two assists) have been NEOM’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for NEOM (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), S. Benrahma averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 374 minutes, with a shot in five of the last six appearances. A. Lacazette averages 1.7 shots per 90 over 903 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Fri, 30 Oct 2026 14:50 GMT · Pro League · Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Al Diriyah 1W 2D 2L · NEOM 2W 1D 2L

Al Diriyah v NEOM (Pro League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.5

Goals

against 1.13 / 0.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.13 / 5.63

Corners

against 5.75 / 3.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3 / 3.75

Shots on target

against 5.13 / 2.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.63 / 1.75

Cards

against 2.38 / 2.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Al Diriyah for / against	Line	NEOM for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.5 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.13 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.63 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.13 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.38 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.75 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	8.88 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.88 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.63 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Al Diriyah

Al Diriyah Goalkeeper

Al Diriyah — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
N. Vasilj	7	90630 min	263.7 /90	40.6 /90
Amin Al Bukhari	3	90270 min	93 /90	20.7 /90
W. Abdullah	1	9090 min	66 /90	33 /90

Al Diriyah — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al Diriyah before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
N. Vasilj n 7	90	3.7 7/5
Amin Al Bukhari n 3	90	3 2/2

Al Diriyah Defensive

Al Diriyah — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Mbemba	11	89977 min	111 /90	100.9 /90	30.3 /90	423.9 /90	00 /90	10.1 /90
Abdulaziz Al Faraj	10	77770 min	202.3 /90	70.8 /90	20.2 /90	455.3 /90	141.6 /90	20.2 /90
B. Djimsiti	9	90810 min	60.7 /90	80.9 /90	00 /90	202.2 /90	30.3 /90	10.1 /90
Hussain Al Sibyani	7	66463 min	101.9 /90	81.6 /90	00 /90	275.2 /90	51 /90	10.2 /90
M. Hameran	7	42292 min	41.2 /90	30.9 /90	00 /90	92.8 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90
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Al Diriyah — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al Diriyah before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Mbemba n 8	90	0 0/0	0.9 4/2	—
Abdulaziz Al Faraj n 8	73.9	2.1 7/3	1.7 4/4	—
C. Diandy n 8	65.3	0.9 3/2	1.2 5/2	—
B. Djimsiti n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.4 2/1	—
E. Millot n 8	89.1	1.9 7/5	0.9 3/2	—
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Al Diriyah — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al Diriyah before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Mbemba n 8	90	0.9 3/3
Abdulaziz Al Faraj n 8	73.9	2.4 8/5
C. Diandy n 8	65.3	1.6 6/2
B. Djimsiti n 8	90	0.8 3/2
E. Millot n 8	89.1	1.6 7/4
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Al Diriyah Attacking

Al Diriyah — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. Diandy	10	69689 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	131.7 /90	40.5 /90	81 /90	182.4 /90
D. Núñez	9	81732 min	30.4 /90	00 /90	182.2 /90	60.7 /90	101.2 /90	50.6 /90
Óscar Rodríguez	8	86691 min	10.1 /90	40.5 /90	182.3 /90	70.9 /90	121.6 /90	81 /90
Hattan Bahebri	5	36182 min	00 /90	00 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	21 /90
L. Chelfi	3	49146 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	21.2 /90	00 /90
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Al Diriyah — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al Diriyah before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Mbemba n 8	90	1.3 4/2	0.3 2/0
Abdulaziz Al Faraj n 8	73.9	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
C. Diandy n 8	65.3	1.6 5/3	0.5 3/0
B. Djimsiti n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
E. Millot n 8	89.1	1 6/2	0.1 1/0
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Al Diriyah — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al Diriyah before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Mbemba n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Abdulaziz Al Faraj n 8	73.9	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
C. Diandy n 8	65.3	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
B. Djimsiti n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Millot n 8	89.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
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NEOM

NEOM Goalkeeper

NEOM — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Bulka	10	90900 min	242.4 /90	70.7 /90	00 /90
Luís Maximiano	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90	00 /90

NEOM — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEOM before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Bulka n 8	90	2 4/2
Luís Maximiano n 8	90	3.6 8/4

NEOM Defensive

NEOM — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Sarr	11	90990 min	181.6 /90	161.5 /90	80.7 /90	474.3 /90	30.3 /90	00 /90
N. Zézé	11	90990 min	131.2 /90	70.6 /90	40.4 /90	302.7 /90	50.5 /90	10.1 /90
Islam Hawsawi	9	76688 min	111.4 /90	50.7 /90	00 /90	506.5 /90	50.7 /90	00 /90
Mohannad Abu Taha	6	64381 min	122.8 /90	51.2 /90	10.2 /90	184.3 /90	51.2 /90	10.2 /90
Khalifah Al Dawsari	6	63380 min	143.3 /90	51.2 /90	00 /90	225.2 /90	71.7 /90	00 /90
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NEOM — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEOM before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Zézé n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.5 3/1	—
M. Sarr n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.4 2/1	—
A. Lacazette n 8	89.3	0.9 6/1	1.5 6/4	—
Abdulmalik Al Oyayari n 8	68.6	2.3 7/4	1 5/1	—
M. Bulka n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
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NEOM — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEOM before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Sarr n 8	90	1.9 8/5
N. Zézé n 8	90	1.1 5/2
A. Lacazette n 8	89.3	1.3 5/3
Abdulmalik Al Oyayari n 8	68.6	1.6 5/3
Islam Hawsawi n 8	74.8	1.7 6/4
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NEOM Attacking

NEOM — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Lacazette	11	82903 min	60.6 /90	20.2 /90	171.7 /90	90.9 /90	141.4 /90	80.8 /90
Muhannad Al Saad	8	51408 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	102.2 /90	30.7 /90	81.8 /90	20.4 /90
Haroune Camara	7	69480 min	00 /90	20.4 /90	112.1 /90	40.8 /90	40.8 /90	50.9 /90
S. Benrahma	5	74368 min	30.7 /90	20.5 /90	143.4 /90	51.2 /90	153.7 /90	61.5 /90
Ala Al Haji	2	67134 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	42.7 /90	10.7 /90
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NEOM — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEOM before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Sarr n 8	90	0.8 4/2	0.1 1/0
N. Zézé n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
A. Lacazette n 8	89.3	1.5 6/3	0.8 5/1
Abdulmalik Al Oyayari n 8	68.6	0.3 1/1	0.2 1/0
M. Bulka n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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NEOM — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEOM before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Sarr n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Zézé n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Lacazette n 8	89.3	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
Abdulmalik Al Oyayari n 8	68.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Bulka n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Al Diriyah v NEOM — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Al DiriyahDLDWL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

NEOMWDLLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Al Diriyah#8 pos15 pts11 pl-2 GD

NEOM#6 pos19 pts11 pl+7 GD

Goals per game

Al Diriyah scored0.82

NEOM scored1.45

Al Diriyah conceded1

NEOM conceded0.82

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Al Diriyah v NEOM?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Al Diriyah v NEOM is Total offsides under 5.5.
What is the recent form of Al Diriyah and NEOM?: Recent form — Al Diriyah 1W 2D 2L; NEOM 2W 1D 2L.

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