NEOM v Abha prediction
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for NEOM v Abha, Pro League on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 15:00 BST.
The match
NEOM host Abha in the Pro League (Saudi-Arabia) on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is NEOM to win.
The key numbers
Abha are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Six of NEOM’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of NEOM’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, NEOM have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.13. NEOM have scored 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). NEOM have conceded eight goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs.
11 of Abha’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Abha’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Abha have no wins, one draw and eight defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 0.11 points per game, scoring 0.67 and conceding 3.00. Abha have scored six goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Abha have conceded 15 goals, the seventh-most of the 18 clubs.
NEOM (sixth) and Abha (18th) are 14 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have NEOM the stronger side, 328 rating points above Abha (NEOM 1623, Abha 1295, after at least 43 rated matches each).
Team news
Predicted NEOM XI (4-4-2): M. Bulka, M. Sarr, N. Zézé, I. Hawsawi, K. Al Dawsari, A. Koné, G. Masouras, K. Al-Absi, A. Al Oyayari, A. Lacazette, H. Camara — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Lacazette (4.8 per match over nine appearances, five goals and one assist) and A. Koné (4.8 per match over eight appearances, four goals and one assist) have been NEOM’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for NEOM (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Lacazette averages 1.6 shots per 90 over 723 minutes, with a shot in six of the last nine appearances. A. Koné averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 669 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances.
Predicted Abha XI (4-5-1): D. Léon, J. Gaari, A. Al-Hindi, S. Saud, A. Diallo, F. Al Ghamdi, N. Fekir, A. Gory, K. Al-Qahtani, A. Al Fahad, M. Batshuayi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mohammed Al Dossary (7.5 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) and Safwan Saud (3.6 per match over seven appearances, one assist) have been Abha’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Abha (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mohammed Al Dossary averages 5.4 tackles per 90 over 347 minutes. Safwan Saud averages 3.0 tackles per 90 over 456 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last seven appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Pro League · King Khalid Sports City
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: NEOM 3W 1D 1L · Abha 0W 1D 4L
NEOM v Abha (Pro League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | NEOM for / against | Line | Abha for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.75 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.5 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 2.88 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.88 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 9.38 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.13 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.5 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.25 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.13 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
NEOM
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhannad Al Saad n 8 | 48.6 | 2.5 | 0.5 | — |
| Abdulmalik Al Oyayari n 8 | 70.8 | 2.1 | 1.3 | — |
| Haroune Camara n 8 | 60.1 | 2.1 | 0.7 | — |
| A. Koné n 8 | 83.6 | 1.6 | 1.9 | — |
| Khalifah Al Dawsari n 8 | 37.6 | 1.5 | 0 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Al Hassan n 3 | 5.3 | 5.6 | 0 |
| S. Benrahma n 8 | 64.9 | 3.6 | 2.1 |
| Muhannad Al Saad n 8 | 48.6 | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| Haroune Camara n 8 | 60.1 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| A. Lacazette n 8 | 80.3 | 1.7 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Al Anzi n 5 | 12.4 | 0 | 1.5 |
| S. Benrahma n 8 | 64.9 | 1 | 0.3 |
| A. Lacazette n 8 | 80.3 | 0.7 | 0 |
| A. Koné n 8 | 83.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| Faisal Al Ghamdi n 8 | 18.8 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Al Hassan n 3 | 5.3 | 5.6 |
| Mohannad Abu Taha n 8 | 41 | 4.1 |
| Abbas Al Hassan n 8 | 40.9 | 3.3 |
| Khalifah Al Dawsari n 8 | 37.6 | 3.3 |
| Mohammed Al Burayk n 8 | 36.1 | 3.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Bulka n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
Abha
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Fekir n 8 | 57.8 | 3.3 | 3.1 | — |
| Faisal Al Subiani n 8 | 14.5 | 1.6 | 0 | — |
| K. Al Shamrani n 5 | 48.4 | 1.5 | 2.2 | — |
| L. Rosier n 8 | 66.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | — |
| J. Gaari n 8 | 90 | 1.3 | 0.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gory n 8 | 56.6 | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| N. Fekir n 8 | 57.8 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| M. Batshuayi n 8 | 84.4 | 2 | 0.5 |
| G. N'Koudou n 8 | 74.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| Nasser Al-Daajani n 5 | 52.2 | 1 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gory n 8 | 56.6 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Basil Al Sayyali n 8 | 32.6 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Mohammed Al Dossary n 8 | 88.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Safwan Saud n 8 | 68.3 | 0 | 0.2 |
| L. Rosier n 8 | 66.6 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Mohammed Al Dossary n 8 | 88.3 | 4.1 |
| K. Al Shamrani n 5 | 48.4 | 3.7 |
| Abdulbasit Al-Hindi n 8 | 59 | 2.9 |
| Safwan Saud n 8 | 68.3 | 2.8 |
| M. Al-Zaid n 8 | 50.4 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Léon n 8 | 90 | 2 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind NEOM v Abha — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win NEOM v Abha?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for NEOM v Abha is Home win.
- What is the recent form of NEOM and Abha?
- Recent form — NEOM 3W 1D 1L; Abha 0W 1D 4L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.