Almeria v Castellón result

Full-time · Almeria 3–2 Castellón

Segunda División ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Almeria · Castellón · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Almeria 3–2 Castellón — Almeria won this Segunda División match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.72 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Almeria beat Castellón 3–2 in Segunda División on Tuesday 9 June. Almeria have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Castellón have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Almeria led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Almeria: Adri Embarba (41’, assisted by D. Lopy), Álex Muñoz (80’, assisted by Miguel de la Fuente) and S. Džodić (90’, assisted by Nico Melamed); Castellón: Álex Calatrava (57’, assisted by Beñat Gerenabarrena) and A. Sienra (69’, assisted by Ronaldo).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with S. Džodić’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Almeria 1.63, Castellón 1.15, from 13 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

J. A. Gonzalez Esteban showed five yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Almeria: D. Chirino (37’), D. Lopy (66’), Rodrigo Ely (74’) and Nico Melamed (90+5’); Castellón: Barri (87’).

What it changes

Almeria have scored 81 goals, the second-most of the 22 clubs (2025/26 so far). Almeria have conceded 63 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 22 clubs.

Castellón have scored 70 goals, the fourth-most of the 22 clubs (2025/26 so far). Castellón have conceded 51 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 22 clubs.

Almeria are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Beñat Gerenabarrena (Castellón) 8.6, S. Džodić (Almeria) 7.9 and Adri Embarba (Almeria) 7.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (389 of 581).

Next up

Almeria next travel to Eibar on 31 October 2026.

Castellón next travel to Conquense on 29 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Almeria: Eibar v Almeria, Saturday 31 October — the preview. Next for Castellón: Conquense v Castellón, Thursday 29 October — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Almeria 3–2 Castellón · Segunda División
  • Referee: J. A. Gonzalez Esteban
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Almeria 2 · draws 1 · Castellón 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Almeria 1W 2D 2L · Castellón 2W 3D 0L

Almeria 3–2 Castellón (Segunda División): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
3.75 / 7.38
Corners
against 5.5 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.75 / 6.38
Shots on target
against 5 / 3.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.75 / 3.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.18 yellows
Referee · J. A. Gonzalez Esteban
25.82 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 June 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 June 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAlmeria for / againstLineCastellón for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.75our book
1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 5.5 against n 8
9.5standard
7.38 for · 2.5 against n 8
Shots
16.75 for · 13.13 against n 8
19.5standard
17.5 for · 8.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5.75 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
6.38 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.88 for · 11.5 against n 8
21.5standard
15.13 for · 14.38 against n 8
Cards shown
3 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 3.63 against n 8

Referee: J. A. Gonzalez Esteban — 4.18 yellow cards a game, 0.36 red cards, 25.82 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Almeria

Almeria Goalkeeper

Almeria — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Andrés Fernández41903690 min1493.6 /90611.5 /9010 /90
Almeria — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Almeria before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Andrés Fernández n 890
3.67/6

Almeria Defensive

Almeria — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Álex Muñoz35852978 min501.5 /90371.1 /90160.5 /901554.7 /90631.9 /90130.4 /90
F. Bonini34893013 min260.8 /90511.5 /90190.6 /901043.1 /90300.9 /9060.2 /90
D. Chirino28742075 min522.3 /90231 /9070.3 /901104.8 /90251.1 /9090.4 /90
Nélson Monte27882374 min200.8 /90411.6 /90160.6 /90692.6 /90301.1 /9090.3 /90
Marcos Luna27591605 min341.9 /90201.1 /9060.3 /90744.1 /90271.5 /9040.2 /90
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Almeria — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Almeria before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Andrés Fernández n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Sergio Arribas n 885.4
0.84/1
1.46/5
—
Adri Embarba n 877.8
0.64/0
1.67/3
—
Álex Muñoz n 889.9
1.68/4
0.96/1
Alberto Jiménez
F. Bonini n 890
1.36/2
0.42/1
Alberto Jiménez
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Almeria — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Almeria before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Sergio Arribas n 885.4
0.74/1
Adri Embarba n 877.8
1.24/2
Álex Muñoz n 889.9
1.16/2
F. Bonini n 890
0.63/1
Arnau Puigmal n 835.8
1.95/1
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Almeria Attacking

Almeria — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Léo Baptistão33591946 min90.4 /9010 /90572.6 /90301.4 /90211 /90150.7 /90
Miguel de la Fuente21731529 min40.2 /9040.2 /90271.6 /90171 /90231.4 /90171 /90
Thalys1643691 min20.3 /9000 /9091.2 /9040.5 /9030.4 /9040.5 /90
Sergio Arribas41843464 min240.6 /9070.2 /90922.4 /90501.3 /90892.3 /90471.2 /90
Adri Embarba39712762 min130.4 /90100.3 /90832.7 /90401.3 /90591.9 /90451.5 /90
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Almeria — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Almeria before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Andrés Fernández n 890
00/0
00/0
Sergio Arribas n 885.4
2.47/6
1.25/2
Adri Embarba n 877.8
2.37/5
15/2
Álex Muñoz n 889.9
0.42/1
0.11/0
F. Bonini n 890
0.43/0
00/0
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Almeria — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Almeria before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Andrés Fernández n 890
00/0
00/0
Sergio Arribas n 885.4
0.73/1
00/0
Adri Embarba n 877.8
0.42/1
0.32/0
Álex Muñoz n 889.9
00/0
0.32/0
F. Bonini n 890
00/0
00/0
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Castellón

Castellón Goalkeeper

Castellón — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Matthys37903330 min922.5 /90371 /9000 /90
Castellón — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Matthys n 890
2.65/4

Castellón Defensive

Castellón — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Alberto Jiménez35873041 min732.2 /90521.5 /90280.8 /902387 /90341 /90110.3 /90
Lucas Alcázar34762597 min501.7 /90351.2 /9090.3 /901113.8 /90361.2 /9070.2 /90
Pablo Santiago30611826 min231.1 /9070.3 /9010 /90824 /90301.5 /9030.1 /90
F. Brignani25781943 min351.6 /90251.2 /9090.4 /901034.8 /90341.6 /9090.4 /90
A. Sienra23721659 min382.1 /90251.4 /9090.5 /90874.7 /90170.9 /9050.3 /90
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Castellón — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Álex Calatrava n 888.3
1.56/4
1.77/4
—
R. Matthys n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
J. Mellot n 885.8
0.53/1
1.46/4
—
Alberto Jiménez n 888
0.63/2
1.96/5
F. Bonini
Lucas Alcázar n 875.3
1.26/2
0.63/1
—
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Castellón — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Álex Calatrava n 888.3
2.26/4
J. Mellot n 885.8
2.16/6
Alberto Jiménez n 888
1.98/5
Lucas Alcázar n 875.3
1.95/4
Beñat Gerenabarrena n 885.4
1.47/3
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Castellón Attacking

Castellón — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Ousmane Camara33692272 min90.4 /9020.1 /90471.9 /90251 /90251 /90220.9 /90
Raúl Sánchez935314 min00 /9000 /9051.4 /9020.6 /9010.3 /9041.1 /90
Alvaro Garcia42495 min10.9 /9000 /9043.8 /9021.9 /9021.9 /9000 /90
Álex Calatrava40853399 min120.3 /9070.2 /90782.1 /90451.2 /90952.5 /90681.8 /90
Beñat Gerenabarrena34742508 min20.1 /9010 /90110.4 /9050.2 /90260.9 /90180.6 /90
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Castellón — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Álex Calatrava n 888.3
3.37/6
1.96/4
R. Matthys n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Mellot n 885.8
0.11/0
00/0
Alberto Jiménez n 888
0.32/0
0.11/0
Lucas Alcázar n 875.3
0.63/1
0.11/0
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Castellón — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 6 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Álex Calatrava n 888.3
0.63/1
0.11/0
R. Matthys n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Mellot n 885.8
00/0
00/0
Alberto Jiménez n 888
00/0
0.11/0
Lucas Alcázar n 875.3
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AlmeriaCastellón
47%Possession53%
1.63Expected goals (xG)1.15
13Shots10
4Shots on target6
8Shots off target2
1Blocked shots2
13Shots inside the box7
5Corners7
1Offsides1
20Fouls14
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
4Saves1
320Passes358
73%Pass accuracy78%

Almeria Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Andrés Fernández9000000006.7
F. Bonini9000100306.7
Rodrigo Ely90000001Y6.5
Álex Muñoz9010211206.7
S. Džodić9010110308
Sergio Arribas9000005107.5
Miguel de la Fuente8901212106.7
D. Chirino75000001Y6
D. Lopy75010015Y7
Léo Baptistão6800101306.3
Adri Embarba6710211307.3
Arnau Puigmal sub2300101006.3
Jon Morcillo sub2200000106.6
Marcos Luna sub1500100006.9
Nico Melamed sub15011011Y7
Thalys sub1000000006.7

Castellón Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Matthys9000000005.9
Alberto Jiménez9000100105.9
F. Brignani9000000206.2
Álex Calatrava9010430107
Ousmane Camara9000111006.2
A. Jakobsen9000110207
Barri89000011Y6.3
Beñat Gerenabarrena8901003407.5
A. Sienra8410111108
Raúl Sánchez8400000306.6
Pablo Santiago6800000206.5
Ronaldo sub2201002007
Lucas Alcázar sub1700000006.2
Israel Suero sub1700000006.5
T. De Nipoti sub10000000–
Alvaro Garcia sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Almeria v Castellón — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AlmeriaDLLWD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
CastellónDDWWD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Almeria 2 · 1 draw · Castellón 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-06-06 Castellón 1–1 Almeria
  • 2026-04-02 Castellón 2–0 Almeria
  • 2025-10-26 Almeria 1–0 Castellón
  • 2025-04-18 Castellón 4–1 Almeria
  • 2024-09-16 Almeria 2–5 Castellón
  • 2021-01-30 Almeria 3–1 Castellón
League standing · 2025/26
Almeria#3 pos74 pts42 pl+18 GD
Castellón#6 pos72 pts42 pl+19 GD
Goals per game
Almeria scored1.93
Castellón scored1.67
Almeria conceded1.5
Castellón conceded1.21

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Almeria v Castellón?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Almeria v Castellón was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.72 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Almeria and Castellón?
In their last 6 meetings, Almeria won 2, Castellón won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Almeria and Castellón?
Recent form — Almeria 1W 2D 2L; Castellón 2W 3D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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