AlmeriaMirandes

Almeria v Mirandes result

Full-time · Almeria 4–2 Mirandes

Segunda División ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Almeria · Mirandes · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Almeria 4–2 Mirandes — Almeria won this Segunda División match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Almeria beat Mirandes 4–2 in Segunda División on Monday 4 May. Almeria have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Mirandes have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 2–2 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Almeria: Léo Baptistão (1’, assisted by Marcos Luna) and Jon Morcillo (90’ pen); Mirandes: Fernando Medrano (3’, assisted by S. El Jebari), an own goal by Juan Gutiérrez (15’), S. El Jebari (18’, assisted by Hugo Novoa) and an own goal by Fernando Medrano (58’).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Almeria 1.38, Mirandes 0.97, from 9 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

G. Etayo showed four yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Almeria: Léo Baptistão (62’); Mirandes: Juan Gutiérrez (52’), S. El Jebari (65’) and Juanpa (89’).

What it changes

Almeria stay second after this result (38 league matches played).

Mirandes move down from 19th to 20th (38 league matches played).

Almeria have won their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Fernando Medrano (Mirandes) 8.6, S. El Jebari (Mirandes) 8.1 and Jon Morcillo (Almeria) 7.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

Almeria are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Mirandes, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Almeria next travel to Girona on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Almeria: Girona v Almeria, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Almeria 4–2 Mirandes · Segunda División
  • Referee: G. Etayo
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Almeria 3 · draws 3 · Mirandes 0 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Almeria 3W 0D 2L · Mirandes 2W 2D 1L

Almeria 4–2 Mirandes (Segunda División): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
3.5 / 6
Corners
against 4.63 / 3.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 5.5
Shots on target
against 5.25 / 5.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 2.13
Cards
against 3.13 / 2.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.12 yellows
Referee · G. Etayo
26.29 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 17 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAlmeria for / againstLineMirandes for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.25our book
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
3.5 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
6 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
13.25 for · 13.38 against n 8
19.5standard
14.88 for · 14.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 5.25 against n 8
8.5standard
5.5 for · 5.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.88 for · 12 against n 8
21.5standard
12.75 for · 16.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 3.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2.75 against n 8

Referee: G. Etayo — 4.12 yellow cards a game, 0.12 red cards, 26.29 fouls over 17 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Almeria

Almeria Goalkeeper

Almeria — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Andrés Fernández35903150 min1263.6 /90531.5 /9010 /90
Almeria — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Almeria before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Andrés Fernández n 890
3.28/4

Almeria Defensive

Almeria — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Bonini29882563 min220.8 /90441.5 /90150.5 /90913.2 /90220.8 /9040.1 /90
Álex Muñoz29842438 min421.6 /90271 /90140.5 /901294.8 /90532 /90100.4 /90
D. Chirino26741920 min482.3 /90211 /9070.3 /90994.6 /90251.2 /9080.4 /90
Rodrigo Ely581405 min102.2 /9020.4 /9020.4 /90245.3 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90
Sergio Arribas35852961 min391.2 /90120.4 /9010 /901324 /90180.5 /9030.1 /90
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Almeria — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Almeria before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Andrés Fernández n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Sergio Arribas n 880.3
0.84/2
1.16/2
—
Adri Embarba n 859.4
0.94/1
1.77/2
—
Arnau Puigmal n 842.3
2.46/2
1.14/0
—
F. Bonini n 890
0.64/1
0.32/0
Fernando Medrano
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Almeria — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Almeria before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Sergio Arribas n 880.3
1.45/3
Adri Embarba n 859.4
0.94/1
Arnau Puigmal n 842.3
2.46/2
F. Bonini n 890
0.64/1
Álex Muñoz n 885.9
1.77/5
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Almeria Attacking

Almeria — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Léo Baptistão28571599 min80.5 /9010.1 /90492.8 /90251.4 /90160.9 /90120.7 /90
Miguel de la Fuente15701048 min30.3 /9040.3 /90181.5 /90131.1 /90181.5 /90100.9 /90
Sergio Arribas35852961 min220.7 /9070.2 /90812.5 /90461.4 /90772.3 /90411.2 /90
Adri Embarba33702307 min120.5 /9090.4 /90722.8 /90361.4 /90512 /90381.5 /90
Arnau Puigmal31381181 min20.2 /9040.3 /90191.4 /9070.5 /90342.6 /90171.3 /90
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Almeria — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Almeria before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Andrés Fernández n 890
00/0
00/0
Sergio Arribas n 880.3
2.58/6
1.45/3
Adri Embarba n 859.4
37/5
1.14/2
Arnau Puigmal n 842.3
1.13/1
0.31/0
F. Bonini n 890
00/0
00/0
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Almeria — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Almeria before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Andrés Fernández n 890
00/0
00/0
Sergio Arribas n 880.3
14/2
00/0
Adri Embarba n 859.4
0.62/1
0.42/0
Arnau Puigmal n 842.3
00/0
00/0
F. Bonini n 890
00/0
00/0
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Mirandes

Mirandes Defensive

Mirandes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mirandes before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Juan Gutiérrez n 890
0.53/1
0.64/1
—
Rafel Bauzà n 887.6
1.97/6
15/3
—
Carlos Fernández n 878.1
1.46/2
0.75/0
—
T. Helguera n 870.6
0.32/0
0.53/0
—
Fernando Medrano n 889
27/5
2.48/6
F. Bonini
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Mirandes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mirandes before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Juan Gutiérrez n 890
0.85/1
Rafel Bauzà n 887.6
1.55/4
Carlos Fernández n 878.1
0.31/1
T. Helguera n 870.6
1.66/4
Fernando Medrano n 889
1.97/3
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Mirandes Attacking

Mirandes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mirandes before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Juan Gutiérrez n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
Rafel Bauzà n 887.6
1.47/3
0.64/1
Carlos Fernández n 878.1
1.97/5
1.47/3
T. Helguera n 870.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
Fernando Medrano n 889
0.53/1
0.32/0
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Mirandes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mirandes before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Juan Gutiérrez n 890
00/0
00/0
Rafel Bauzà n 887.6
00/0
0.11/0
Carlos Fernández n 878.1
0.95/1
00/0
T. Helguera n 870.6
00/0
00/0
Fernando Medrano n 889
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AlmeriaMirandes
59%Possession41%
1.38Expected goals (xG)0.97
9Shots12
3Shots on target5
3Shots off target4
3Blocked shots3
5Shots inside the box7
5Corners6
2Offsides2
11Fouls14
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves2
464Passes321
85%Pass accuracy72%

Almeria Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Andrés Fernández9000000006.6
Marcos Luna9001001307.2
Rodrigo Ely9000000006.3
F. Bonini9000100006.3
Álex Muñoz9000001205.7
S. Džodić9000100506.9
D. Lopy9000001106.9
Sergio Arribas8700000007
Miguel de la Fuente8700110007.5
Adri Embarba7400100106.2
Léo Baptistão63101112Y7.9
Arnau Puigmal sub2700001006.9
Jon Morcillo sub1610111008
André Horta sub1100000006.7
Thalys sub1100000106.9

Mirandes Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Juanpa90000000Y5.3
Juan Gutiérrez90001003Y5.6
Jorge Cabello9000001306.3
Fernando Medrano9010111306.2
T. Helguera9000000106.3
Rafel Bauzà9000100206.2
U. del Cura9000101006.7
Javier Hernandez8900002006.7
Ali Houary8200111106.6
Hugo Novoa7601112306.9
S. El Jebari76112112Y7.6
Pablo Pérez sub1400001006.2
Toni Tamarit sub1400000006.6
Julen Martinez sub800110006.3
M. Malsa sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Almeria v Mirandes — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AlmeriaLWLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
MirandesDWDLW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Almeria 3 · 3 draws · Mirandes 0 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-01-10 Mirandes 2–2 Almeria
  • 2025-05-25 Mirandes 0–0 Almeria
  • 2024-12-13 Almeria 1–0 Mirandes
  • 2022-02-20 Almeria 2–1 Mirandes
  • 2021-10-24 Mirandes 1–4 Almeria
  • 2021-04-25 Mirandes 1–1 Almeria
League standing · 2025/26
Almeria#3 pos74 pts42 pl+18 GD
Mirandes#19 pos40 pts42 pl-22 GD
Goals per game
Almeria scored1.93
Mirandes scored1.12
Almeria conceded1.5
Mirandes conceded1.64

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Almeria v Mirandes?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Almeria v Mirandes was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Almeria and Mirandes?
In their last 6 meetings, Almeria won 3, Mirandes won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Almeria and Mirandes?
Recent form — Almeria 3W 0D 2L; Mirandes 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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