Castellón v AD Ceuta FC result

Full-time · Castellón 1–1 AD Ceuta FC

Segunda División · · Nou Estadi Castalia

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Castellón · AD Ceuta FC

The model’s pre-match pick

Castellón 1–1 AD Ceuta FC — this Segunda División match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.27 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78% of 246 landed (95% range 72.5–82.8%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Castellón and AD Ceuta FC drew 1–1 at Nou Estadi Castalia in Segunda División on Sunday 4 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: AD Ceuta FC out-shot Castellón 13 to 10 and created the better chances, 2.47 xG to 0.83 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Castellón led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Castellón: Israel Suero (2’, assisted by Alvaro Garcia); AD Ceuta FC: Jordi Escobar (53’, assisted by Joaquín).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jordi Escobar’s goal on 53 minutes.

Discipline

Marta Huerta de Aza, Spain showed four yellow cards — against 4.4 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Castellón: Alberto Jiménez (55’); AD Ceuta FC: A. Osoro (6’), Carlos Hernández (49’) and José Matos (84’).

What it changes

Castellón move down from first to second (eight league matches played). Castellón have scored 22 goals, the most (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far). Castellón have conceded four goals, the fewest of the 22 clubs.

AD Ceuta FC move down from 19th to 21st (eight league matches played). AD Ceuta FC have scored 10 goals, the third-fewest of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far). AD Ceuta FC have conceded 25 goals, the most of the 22 clubs.

Castellón are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. AD Ceuta FC are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Castellón have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jordi Escobar (AD Ceuta FC) 10.4, Israel Suero (Castellón) 8.3 and Alejandro Camacho (AD Ceuta FC) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Castellón to win, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Castellón next travel to Conquense on 29 October 2026.

AD Ceuta FC next travel to Poblense on 29 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Castellón: Conquense v Castellón, Thursday 29 October — the preview. Next for AD Ceuta FC: Poblense v AD Ceuta FC, Thursday 29 October — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Castellón 1–1 AD Ceuta FC · Segunda División
  • Venue: Nou Estadi Castalia · Castellón de la Plana
  • Referee: Marta Huerta de Aza, Spain
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Castellón 0 · draws 2 · AD Ceuta FC 0 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Castellón 4W 1D 0L · AD Ceuta FC 0W 1D 4L

Castellón 1–1 AD Ceuta FC (Segunda División): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 0.88
Goals
against 0.75 / 2.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
6.25 / 4
Corners
against 3.75 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.75 / 2.75
Shots on target
against 2.88 / 5.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 2.63
Cards
against 3.63 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.44 yellows
Referee · Marta Huerta de Aza, Spain
26.78 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCastellón for / againstLineAD Ceuta FC for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 0.75 against n 8
3.5our book
0.88 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
6.25 for · 3.75 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 2.5 against n 8
Shots
16.13 for · 10.13 against n 8
19.5standard
9.88 for · 12.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5.75 for · 2.88 against n 8
8.5standard
2.75 for · 5.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.38 for · 13 against n 8
21.5standard
14.75 for · 15.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 3.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 2.88 against n 8

Referee: Marta Huerta de Aza, Spain — 4.44 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 26.78 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Castellón

Castellón Goalkeeper

Castellón — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Matthys590450 min132.6 /9010.2 /9000 /90
Castellón — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 28 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Matthys n 890
24/3

Castellón Defensive

Castellón — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Alberto Jiménez590450 min71.4 /9081.6 /9030.6 /90193.8 /9010.2 /9010.2 /90
J. Mellot579397 min92 /9030.7 /9030.7 /90296.6 /9040.9 /9000 /90
A. Sienra490360 min102.5 /9041 /9010.3 /90297.3 /9010.3 /9000 /90
Lucas Alcázar356169 min42.1 /9000 /9010.5 /9073.7 /9021.1 /9000 /90
Barri580401 min102.2 /9071.6 /9020.4 /90132.9 /9020.4 /9000 /90
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Castellón — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 28 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Alberto Jiménez n 890
0.42/1
1.56/4
Carlos Hernández
R. Matthys n 890
00/0
0.63/2
—
Ousmane Camara n 887.1
1.47/2
1.27/2
—
Barri n 883.8
1.25/2
0.43/0
Alejandro Camacho
J. Mellot n 882.1
0.84/2
1.67/4
—
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Castellón — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 28 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Alberto Jiménez n 890
1.46/3
Ousmane Camara n 887.1
0.53/1
Barri n 883.8
2.17/5
J. Mellot n 882.1
2.37/6
Juanjo Nieto n 570.6
2.35/2
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Castellón Attacking

Castellón — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Ousmane Camara586429 min30.6 /9010.2 /90153.1 /9081.7 /9020.4 /9061.3 /90
Israel Suero557287 min20.6 /9020.6 /9082.5 /9041.3 /9061.9 /9020.6 /90
Pablo Santiago447188 min10.5 /9010.5 /9041.9 /9010.5 /9031.4 /9000 /90
A. Jakobsen352155 min10.6 /9010.6 /9052.9 /9021.2 /9084.6 /9042.3 /90
Rodrigo Miguel Ferreira Rêgo337111 min00 /9000 /9032.4 /9000 /9021.6 /9010.8 /90
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Castellón — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 28 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Alberto Jiménez n 890
0.54/0
00/0
R. Matthys n 890
00/0
00/0
Ousmane Camara n 887.1
2.57/5
1.47/3
Barri n 883.8
0.96/1
0.43/0
J. Mellot n 882.1
0.11/0
00/0
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Castellón — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 28 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Alberto Jiménez n 890
00/0
0.11/0
R. Matthys n 890
00/0
00/0
Ousmane Camara n 887.1
0.42/1
0.11/0
Barri n 883.8
0.11/0
00/0
J. Mellot n 882.1
00/0
00/0
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AD Ceuta FC

AD Ceuta FC Goalkeeper

AD Ceuta FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Guille Vallejo490360 min143.5 /90102.5 /9000 /90
Pedro López19090 min00 /9033 /9000 /90
AD Ceuta FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AD Ceuta FC before kick-off, to 28 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Guille Vallejo n 890
47/5

AD Ceuta FC Defensive

AD Ceuta FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Carlos Hernández590450 min91.8 /9030.6 /9030.6 /90214.2 /9091.8 /9010.2 /90
Carlos Redruello390269 min20.7 /9020.7 /9020.7 /90165.4 /9020.7 /9000 /90
José Matos387261 min10.3 /9031 /9000 /9082.8 /9031 /9000 /90
C. Redruello Nimo292184 min10.5 /9021 /9010.5 /9083.9 /9021 /9000 /90
A. Tuhami290180 min10.5 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9052.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
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AD Ceuta FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AD Ceuta FC before kick-off, to 28 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Carlos Hernández n 890
1.35/4
14/3
Alberto Jiménez
Kuki n 883.4
1.87/3
3.88/7
—
Alejandro Camacho n 573.4
0.52/0
0.73/0
Barri
Y. Bodiger n 878
13/3
1.26/1
—
Guille Vallejo n 890
00/0
00/0
—
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AD Ceuta FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AD Ceuta FC before kick-off, to 28 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Carlos Hernández n 890
1.36/2
Kuki n 883.4
0.85/1
Alejandro Camacho n 573.4
3.24/3
Y. Bodiger n 878
2.38/5
Jordi Escobar n 452.8
0.41/0
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AD Ceuta FC Attacking

AD Ceuta FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Alejandro Camacho573367 min00 /9000 /9051.2 /9010.2 /9030.7 /9082 /90
Jordi Escobar453211 min10.4 /9010.4 /9083.4 /9020.9 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90
O. Sadik369206 min00 /9000 /9031.3 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9031.3 /90
E. Sevikyan271141 min00 /9000 /9010.6 /9000 /9010.6 /9021.3 /90
K. Koné257113 min00 /9010.8 /9021.6 /9000 /9032.4 /9000 /90
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AD Ceuta FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AD Ceuta FC before kick-off, to 28 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Carlos Hernández n 890
0.85/1
0.32/0
Kuki n 883.4
1.16/1
0.43/0
Alejandro Camacho n 573.4
1.23/2
0.21/0
Y. Bodiger n 878
0.11/0
00/0
Guille Vallejo n 890
00/0
00/0
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AD Ceuta FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AD Ceuta FC before kick-off, to 28 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Carlos Hernández n 890
0.32/0
00/0
Kuki n 883.4
00/0
0.11/0
Alejandro Camacho n 573.4
00/0
00/0
Y. Bodiger n 878
00/0
00/0
Guille Vallejo n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CastellónAD Ceuta FC
72%Possession28%
0.83Expected goals (xG)2.47
10Shots13
2Shots on target4
6Shots off target6
2Blocked shots3
6Shots inside the box11
3Corners7
5Offsides2
14Fouls16
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves1
578Passes223
90%Pass accuracy70%

Castellón Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Matthys9000000007.3
Alberto Jiménez90000003Y6.9
A. Sienra9000000107
Barri9000001307
Israel Suero9010112208.2
A. Jakobsen9000411006.9
Pablo Santiago8600100306.5
Alvaro Garcia8601001006.6
Álvaro Martín7900001307
F. Ceccherini6300000507
Iñigo Córdoba6300001206.9
A. Gala sub2700201206.6
Lucas Alcázar sub2700000006.6
Hamza Bellari sub1100000006.9
Raúl Sánchez sub40000010–
D. Muale Nzanza sub40000000–

AD Ceuta FC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Guille Vallejo9000000006.2
Albert Caparrós9000201307.2
Carlos Hernández90000000Y6.5
Daniel Mas Soria9000001106.9
José Matos90000000Y6.9
Jordi Escobar9010431207.7
Alejandro Camacho8500101307.3
Kuki7700003107.2
Joaquín7701101306.3
K. Koné6900102307
A. Osoro45000003Y6.7
Marino Illescas sub4500003206.6
E. Sevikyan sub2100110006.7
Álex Meléndez sub1300000206.9
O. Sadik sub1300000106.7
Alex Petxarroman sub800000106.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Castellón v AD Ceuta FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CastellónDWWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
AD Ceuta FCLLLLD
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Castellón 0 · 2 draws · AD Ceuta FC 0 · 4 goals/game
  • 2026-05-09 AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Castellón
  • 2025-09-14 Castellón 3–3 AD Ceuta FC
League standing · 2026/27
Castellón#1 pos26 pts11 pl+18 GD
AD Ceuta FC#21 pos5 pts11 pl-15 GD
Goals per game
Castellón scored2
AD Ceuta FC scored0.91
Castellón conceded0.36
AD Ceuta FC conceded2.27

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Castellón v AD Ceuta FC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Castellón v AD Ceuta FC was Home win (best price 1.27 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Castellón and AD Ceuta FC?
In their last 2 meetings, Castellón won 0, AD Ceuta FC won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Castellón and AD Ceuta FC?
Recent form — Castellón 4W 1D 0L; AD Ceuta FC 0W 1D 4L.

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