Castellón v Almeria result

Full-time · Castellón 2–0 Almeria

Segunda División ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Castellón 2–0 Almeria — Castellón won this Segunda División match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.

Free pick
Away win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 86.3% of 117 landed (95% range 78.9–91.4%); it had given them 76.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Castellón beat Almeria 2–0 in Segunda División on Thursday 2 April. Castellón have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Castellón led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Castellón: Ronaldo (34’) and Pablo Santiago (90’). Martín Conde (89’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ronaldo’s goal on 34 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Castellón 0.00, Almeria 0.00, from 19 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

E. Mallo showed seven yellow cards and one red — against 5.7 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Castellón: Ronaldo (38’), Martín Conde (75’) and Martín Conde (89’); Almeria: S. Džodić (24’), F. Bonini (54’), André Horta (76’) and D. Chirino (77’).

What it changes

Castellón move up from seventh to sixth (33 league matches played). Castellón have scored 70 goals, the fourth-most of the 22 clubs (2025/26 so far). Castellón have conceded 51 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 22 clubs.

Almeria move down from second to third (33 league matches played). Almeria have scored 81 goals, the second-most of the 22 clubs (2025/26 so far). Almeria have conceded 63 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 22 clubs.

Castellón are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Alberto Jiménez (Castellón) 7.1, Pablo Santiago (Castellón) 5.6 and J. Mellot (Castellón) 4.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Almeria to win, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Castellón next travel to Conquense on 29 October 2026.

Almeria next travel to Eibar on 31 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Castellón: Conquense v Castellón, Thursday 29 October — the preview. Next for Almeria: Eibar v Almeria, Saturday 31 October — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Castellón 2–0 Almeria · Segunda División
  • Referee: E. Mallo
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Castellón 2 · draws 0 · Almeria 3 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Castellón 0W 3D 2L · Almeria 3W 1D 1L

Castellón 2–0 Almeria (Segunda División): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 2.25
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4.88
Corners
against 3.75 / 4.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 4.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.88 / 2.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.69 yellows
Referee · E. Mallo
26.08 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 13 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCastellón for / againstLineAlmeria for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
2.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 3.75 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
13.63 for · 11.25 against n 8
19.5standard
13.88 for · 13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.63 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
14 for · 13.5 against n 8
21.5standard
13.63 for · 12.5 against n 8
Cards shown
3.63 for · 2.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2.75 against n 8

Referee: E. Mallo — 5.69 yellow cards a game, 0.31 red cards, 26.08 fouls over 13 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Castellón

Castellón Defensive

Castellón — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Álex Calatrava n 880.9
1.57/4
1.76/4
—
J. Mellot n 886.9
0.94/3
0.95/2
—
R. Matthys n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Alberto Jiménez n 888.9
1.35/2
2.76/6
—
Beñat Gerenabarrena n 888.1
1.96/5
2.26/5
—
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Castellón — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Álex Calatrava n 880.9
2.45/4
J. Mellot n 886.9
1.95/5
R. Matthys n 890
00/0
Alberto Jiménez n 888.9
2.48/5
Beñat Gerenabarrena n 888.1
3.37/5
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Castellón Attacking

Castellón — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Álex Calatrava n 880.9
2.48/5
1.46/4
J. Mellot n 886.9
0.42/1
00/0
R. Matthys n 890
00/0
00/0
Alberto Jiménez n 888.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
Beñat Gerenabarrena n 888.1
0.85/1
0.43/0
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Castellón — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Álex Calatrava n 880.9
0.32/0
0.32/0
J. Mellot n 886.9
00/0
00/0
R. Matthys n 890
00/0
0.11/0
Alberto Jiménez n 888.9
00/0
00/0
Beñat Gerenabarrena n 888.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Almeria

Almeria Defensive

Almeria — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Almeria before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Andrés Fernández n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Sergio Arribas n 884
0.74/1
1.15/2
—
Adri Embarba n 849.4
37/4
1.46/0
—
Arnau Puigmal n 828.8
1.63/1
2.34/1
—
Álex Muñoz n 886
1.77/5
1.35/2
—
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Almeria — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Almeria before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Andrés Fernández n 890
00/0
Sergio Arribas n 884
1.35/3
Adri Embarba n 849.4
1.14/1
Arnau Puigmal n 828.8
23/1
Álex Muñoz n 886
1.36/4
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Almeria Attacking

Almeria — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Almeria before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Andrés Fernández n 890
00/0
00/0
Sergio Arribas n 884
2.88/7
1.66/5
Adri Embarba n 849.4
3.67/6
1.45/1
Arnau Puigmal n 828.8
0.82/0
00/0
Álex Muñoz n 886
0.53/1
0.11/0
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Almeria — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Almeria before kick-off, to 28 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Andrés Fernández n 890
00/0
00/0
Sergio Arribas n 884
0.96/1
0.11/0
Adri Embarba n 849.4
0.21/0
0.52/0
Arnau Puigmal n 828.8
00/0
0.41/0
Álex Muñoz n 886
0.11/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CastellónAlmeria
45%Possession55%
19Shots7
6Shots on target3
6Shots off target3
7Blocked shots1
13Shots inside the box3
8Corners5
1Offsides1
16Fouls12
3Yellow cards4
1Red cards0
3Saves3
345Passes435
81%Pass accuracy82%

Castellón Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Matthys9000000007.3
J. Mellot9000000307.7
F. Brignani9000110007.2
Alberto Jiménez9000002508.2
Pablo Santiago9010221107.6
Barri9000100206.9
A. Jakobsen8400110106.9
Álex Calatrava8400103107.3
Ousmane Camara8400203006.5
Ronaldo56102112Y7.7
Lucas Alcázar4400000206.7
Martín Conde sub43001101RY6.2
M. Doué sub3400001206.9
Israel Suero sub1200000006.9
Raúl Sánchez sub1200000106.6
Alvaro Garcia sub1200100006.3

Almeria Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Andrés Fernández9000000006.2
D. Chirino90000013Y6.7
Nélson Monte9000000106.5
F. Bonini90000001Y7.6
Álex Centelles9000000206.5
D. Lopy9000110207
Sergio Arribas7400102107
S. Džodić74000000Y6.3
Léo Baptistão6700211006.3
P. Soko5900110006.3
Rodrigo Ely4500000006.3
Miguel de la Fuente sub4500000006.3
Jon Morcillo sub3100000006.3
Nico Melamed sub2300000006.2
Adri Embarba sub1600100106.7
André Horta sub16000000Y6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Castellón v Almeria — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CastellónDLLDD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
AlmeriaWDWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Castellón 2 · 0 draws · Almeria 3 · 4 goals/game
  • 2025-10-26 Almeria 1–0 Castellón
  • 2025-04-18 Castellón 4–1 Almeria
  • 2024-09-16 Almeria 2–5 Castellón
  • 2021-01-30 Almeria 3–1 Castellón
  • 2020-10-28 Castellón 1–2 Almeria
League standing · 2025/26
Castellón#6 pos72 pts42 pl+19 GD
Almeria#3 pos74 pts42 pl+18 GD
Goals per game
Castellón scored1.67
Almeria scored1.93
Castellón conceded1.21
Almeria conceded1.5

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Castellón v Almeria?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Castellón v Almeria was Away win.
What is the head-to-head record between Castellón and Almeria?
In their last 5 meetings, Castellón won 2, Almeria won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Castellón and Almeria?
Recent form — Castellón 0W 3D 2L; Almeria 3W 1D 1L.

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How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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