Castellón v Almeria result

Full-time · Castellón 1–1 Almeria

Segunda División ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Castellón · Almeria · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Castellón 1–1 Almeria — this Segunda División match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.62 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Castellón and Almeria drew 1–1 in Segunda División on Saturday 6 June. Castellón have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Castellón led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Castellón: F. Brignani (44’); Almeria: Sergio Arribas (66’, assisted by Adri Embarba).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Sergio Arribas’s goal on 66 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Castellón out-shot Almeria 15 to 4 and created the better chances, 1.79 xG to 0.74 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

L. Bestard Servera showed six yellow cards — against 5.6 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Castellón: Barri (37’) and A. Jakobsen (41’); Almeria: Jon Morcillo (5’), Sergio Arribas (24’), Miguel de la Fuente (32’) and Álex Muñoz (90+2’).

What it changes

Castellón have scored 70 goals, the fourth-most of the 22 clubs (2025/26 so far). Castellón have conceded 51 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 22 clubs.

Almeria have scored 81 goals, the second-most of the 22 clubs (2025/26 so far). Almeria have conceded 63 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 22 clubs.

Castellón are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Adri Embarba (Almeria) 7.3, Sergio Arribas (Almeria) 6.5 and D. Lopy (Almeria) 6.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (389 of 581).

Next up

Castellón next travel to Conquense on 29 October 2026.

Almeria next travel to Eibar on 31 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Castellón: Conquense v Castellón, Thursday 29 October — the preview. Next for Almeria: Eibar v Almeria, Saturday 31 October — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Castellón 1–1 Almeria · Segunda División
  • Referee: L. Bestard Servera
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Castellón 3 · draws 0 · Almeria 3 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Castellón 2W 2D 1L · Almeria 2W 1D 2L

Castellón 1–1 Almeria (Segunda División): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.25 / 2 · 0 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
7.25 / 3.88
Corners
against 3.5 / 5.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.88 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 6.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 2.88
Cards
against 3.13 / 3.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.58 yellows
Referee · L. Bestard Servera
25.42 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 12 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCastellón for / againstLineAlmeria for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
3our book
1.88 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
7.25 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
3.88 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
18 for · 9 against n 8
19.5standard
17.5 for · 14.5 against n 8
Shots on target
6.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5.88 for · 6.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
15 for · 13.88 against n 8
21.5standard
14.25 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 3.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.88 for · 3.13 against n 8

Referee: L. Bestard Servera — 5.58 yellow cards a game, 0.25 red cards, 25.42 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Castellón

Castellón Goalkeeper

Castellón — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Matthys36903240 min912.5 /90361 /9000 /90
Castellón — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 31 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Matthys n 890
3.16/5

Castellón Defensive

Castellón — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Alberto Jiménez34872951 min712.2 /90521.6 /90280.9 /902287 /90321 /90110.3 /90
Lucas Alcázar33762509 min481.7 /90351.3 /9090.3 /901093.9 /90341.2 /9070.3 /90
Pablo Santiago29601754 min211.1 /9070.4 /9010.1 /90774 /90301.5 /9030.2 /90
F. Brignani24771853 min351.7 /90241.2 /9090.4 /901004.9 /90321.6 /9090.4 /90
A. Sienra23721659 min382.1 /90251.4 /9090.5 /90874.7 /90170.9 /9050.3 /90
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Castellón — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 31 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Álex Calatrava n 888.1
1.56/4
1.57/3
Sergio Arribas
R. Matthys n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
J. Mellot n 885.8
0.53/1
1.46/4
—
Alberto Jiménez n 888
0.42/1
26/5
Álex Muñoz
Lucas Alcázar n 866.9
1.26/1
0.73/1
F. Bonini
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Castellón — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 31 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Álex Calatrava n 888.1
2.37/4
J. Mellot n 885.8
2.16/6
Alberto Jiménez n 888
1.77/4
Lucas Alcázar n 866.9
25/3
Beñat Gerenabarrena n 885.4
1.77/4
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Castellón Attacking

Castellón — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Ousmane Camara32682184 min90.4 /9020.1 /90461.9 /90241 /90241 /90220.9 /90
A. Jakobsen30621850 min30.1 /9020.1 /90291.4 /90150.7 /90261.3 /90180.9 /90
Alvaro Garcia42495 min10.9 /9000 /9043.8 /9021.9 /9021.9 /9000 /90
Álex Calatrava39853309 min120.3 /9070.2 /90772.1 /90451.2 /90912.5 /90681.8 /90
Beñat Gerenabarrena33732418 min20.1 /9010 /90110.4 /9050.2 /90240.9 /90160.6 /90
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Castellón — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 31 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Álex Calatrava n 888.1
3.47/7
2.27/5
R. Matthys n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Mellot n 885.8
0.11/0
00/0
Alberto Jiménez n 888
0.53/1
0.11/0
Lucas Alcázar n 866.9
0.73/1
0.21/0
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Castellón — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 31 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Álex Calatrava n 888.1
0.84/1
0.32/0
R. Matthys n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Mellot n 885.8
00/0
00/0
Alberto Jiménez n 888
00/0
0.11/0
Lucas Alcázar n 866.9
00/0
0.21/0
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Almeria

Almeria Goalkeeper

Almeria — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Andrés Fernández40903600 min1483.7 /90601.5 /9010 /90
Almeria — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Almeria before kick-off, to 31 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Andrés Fernández n 890
4.58/7

Almeria Defensive

Almeria — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Álex Muñoz34852888 min491.5 /90321 /90150.5 /901524.7 /90601.9 /90120.4 /90
F. Bonini33892923 min230.7 /90491.5 /90180.6 /90993 /90290.9 /9060.2 /90
Nélson Monte27882374 min200.8 /90411.6 /90160.6 /90692.6 /90301.1 /9090.3 /90
D. Chirino27742000 min502.3 /90231 /9070.3 /901044.7 /90251.1 /9090.4 /90
Marcos Luna27591605 min341.9 /90201.1 /9060.3 /90744.1 /90271.5 /9040.2 /90
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Almeria — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Almeria before kick-off, to 31 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Andrés Fernández n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Sergio Arribas n 883.8
0.74/1
1.36/4
Álex Calatrava
Adri Embarba n 878.8
0.64/0
1.47/3
—
Álex Muñoz n 889.9
1.48/3
0.96/1
Alberto Jiménez
F. Bonini n 890
1.15/2
0.11/0
Lucas Alcázar
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Almeria — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Almeria before kick-off, to 31 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Sergio Arribas n 883.8
0.74/1
Adri Embarba n 878.8
14/1
Álex Muñoz n 889.9
1.46/3
F. Bonini n 890
0.43/0
Léo Baptistão n 857.3
1.23/3
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Almeria Attacking

Almeria — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Léo Baptistão33591946 min90.4 /9010 /90572.6 /90301.4 /90211 /90150.7 /90
Miguel de la Fuente20731467 min40.2 /9040.2 /90261.6 /90171 /90231.4 /90161 /90
Jon Morcillo1445623 min30.4 /9010.1 /90131.9 /9060.9 /90162.3 /90142 /90
Sergio Arribas40853380 min230.6 /9070.2 /90912.4 /90491.3 /90882.3 /90441.2 /90
Adri Embarba38712687 min130.4 /9090.3 /90832.8 /90401.3 /90581.9 /90411.4 /90
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Almeria — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Almeria before kick-off, to 31 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Andrés Fernández n 890
00/0
00/0
Sergio Arribas n 883.8
2.67/7
1.14/2
Adri Embarba n 878.8
2.98/6
1.36/3
Álex Muñoz n 889.9
0.42/1
0.11/0
F. Bonini n 890
0.43/0
00/0
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Almeria — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Almeria before kick-off, to 31 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Andrés Fernández n 890
00/0
00/0
Sergio Arribas n 883.8
0.52/1
00/0
Adri Embarba n 878.8
0.63/1
0.11/0
Álex Muñoz n 889.9
00/0
0.32/0
F. Bonini n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CastellónAlmeria
61%Possession39%
1.79Expected goals (xG)0.74
15Shots4
2Shots on target2
6Shots off target2
7Blocked shots0
13Shots inside the box3
8Corners0
3Offsides3
15Fouls18
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
1Saves1
427Passes291
81%Pass accuracy70%

Castellón Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Matthys9000000006.7
Beñat Gerenabarrena9000002106.9
F. Brignani9010210007.5
Alberto Jiménez9000001207.5
Barri90000002Y6.5
Álex Calatrava9000104008.2
Lucas Alcázar8800002207
Ousmane Camara8800111206.5
Pablo Santiago7200200206.5
A. Jakobsen72000000Y6.3
Ronaldo6000100006.7
M. Doué sub3000000206.3
Israel Suero sub1800000006.9
Raúl Sánchez sub1800100006.3
Martín Conde sub800000006.7
Douglas Aurélio sub800000006.5

Almeria Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Andrés Fernández9000000007
Rodrigo Ely9000110107
F. Bonini9000000307.2
Álex Muñoz90000001Y6.9
D. Lopy9000000407.5
S. Džodić9000000507.3
Sergio Arribas84101112Y7.3
D. Chirino7500000206.3
Adri Embarba7501001207.5
Jon Morcillo62000011Y6.3
Miguel de la Fuente62001001Y6.2
Nico Melamed sub2800100006.7
Thalys sub2800000006.2
Chumi sub1500000006.3
Arnau Puigmal sub1500000106.7
Léo Baptistão sub1200000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Castellón v Almeria — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CastellónLDDWW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
AlmeriaWDLLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Castellón 3 · 0 draws · Almeria 3 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2026-04-02 Castellón 2–0 Almeria
  • 2025-10-26 Almeria 1–0 Castellón
  • 2025-04-18 Castellón 4–1 Almeria
  • 2024-09-16 Almeria 2–5 Castellón
  • 2021-01-30 Almeria 3–1 Castellón
  • 2020-10-28 Castellón 1–2 Almeria
League standing · 2025/26
Castellón#6 pos72 pts42 pl+19 GD
Almeria#3 pos74 pts42 pl+18 GD
Goals per game
Castellón scored1.67
Almeria scored1.93
Castellón conceded1.21
Almeria conceded1.5

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Castellón v Almeria?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Castellón v Almeria was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.62 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Castellón and Almeria?
In their last 6 meetings, Castellón won 3, Almeria won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Castellón and Almeria?
Recent form — Castellón 2W 2D 1L; Almeria 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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