Castellón v Burgos result

Full-time · Castellón 3–1 Burgos

Segunda División ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Castellón · Burgos

The model’s pre-match pick

Castellón 3–1 Burgos — Castellón won this Segunda División match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4833 landed (95% range 76.2–78.5%); it had given them 74.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Castellón beat Burgos 3–1 in Segunda División on Saturday 18 April. Castellón have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions. Burgos have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Castellón: Ousmane Camara (9’, assisted by Lucas Alcázar), Álex Calatrava (79’, assisted by A. Mabil) and A. Mabil (81’, assisted by A. Jakobsen); Burgos: Curro Sánchez (21’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Álex Calatrava’s goal on 79 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Castellón 2.01, Burgos 1.36, from 14 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. Perez showed seven yellow cards — against 6.1 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Castellón: Beñat Gerenabarrena (24’), F. Brignani (35’), Alberto Jiménez (40’), Ousmane Camara (62’) and M. Doué (90+7’); Burgos: Sergio González (48’) and Curro Sánchez (62’).

What it changes

Castellón move up from sixth to second (36 league matches played). Castellón have scored 70 goals, the fourth-most of the 22 clubs (2025/26 so far). Castellón have conceded 51 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 22 clubs.

Burgos move down from fourth to seventh (36 league matches played). Burgos have scored 48 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 22 clubs (2025/26 so far). Burgos have conceded 33 goals, the fewest of the 22 clubs.

Castellón are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Miguel Atienza (Burgos) 7.3, A. Mabil (Castellón) 7.2 and Álex Calatrava (Castellón) 6.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

Castellón are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Burgos, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Castellón or Burgos (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3740 of 4833).

Next up

Castellón next travel to Conquense on 29 October 2026.

Burgos next travel to Laredo on 29 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Castellón: Conquense v Castellón, Thursday 29 October — the preview. Next for Burgos: Laredo v Burgos, Thursday 29 October — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Castellón 3–1 Burgos · Segunda División
  • Referee: M. Perez
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Castellón 2 · draws 1 · Burgos 0 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Castellón 2W 3D 0L · Burgos 4W 1D 0L

Castellón 3–1 Burgos (Segunda División): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.75 / 0.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 2.88
Corners
against 4.38 / 6.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 3 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 2.5
Cards
against 2.75 / 3.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
6.08 yellows
Referee · M. Perez
26.31 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 13 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCastellón for / againstLineBurgos for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 0.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
2.88 for · 6.25 against n 8
Shots
15 for · 11 against n 8
19.5standard
8.63 for · 10.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
3.5 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.25 for · 14.13 against n 8
21.5standard
12.5 for · 14 against n 8
Cards shown
3.63 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 3.38 against n 8

Referee: M. Perez — 6.08 yellow cards a game, 0.46 red cards, 26.31 fouls over 13 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Castellón

Castellón Defensive

Castellón — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Álex Calatrava n 888.6
1.78/4
1.87/4
—
J. Mellot n 883.9
0.74/1
1.25/3
—
R. Matthys n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Alberto Jiménez n 888.9
0.53/1
3.57/7
—
Lucas Alcázar n 866
1.47/1
0.73/1
—
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Castellón — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Álex Calatrava n 888.6
2.47/4
J. Mellot n 883.9
2.36/6
R. Matthys n 890
00/0
Alberto Jiménez n 888.9
2.47/5
Lucas Alcázar n 866
2.47/5
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Castellón Attacking

Castellón — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Álex Calatrava n 888.6
1.97/4
15/3
J. Mellot n 883.9
0.42/1
00/0
R. Matthys n 890
00/0
00/0
Alberto Jiménez n 888.9
0.53/1
0.11/0
Lucas Alcázar n 866
0.73/1
0.21/0
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Castellón — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Álex Calatrava n 888.6
0.43/0
0.32/0
J. Mellot n 883.9
00/0
00/0
R. Matthys n 890
00/0
00/0
Alberto Jiménez n 888.9
00/0
00/0
Lucas Alcázar n 866
00/0
00/0
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Burgos

Burgos Defensive

Burgos — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burgos before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
David González n 878.9
1.77/4
1.66/3
—
Ander Cantero n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Miguel Atienza n 885.9
0.95/2
1.25/3
—
Iñigo Córdoba n 863.5
0.73/1
1.14/1
—
Iván Morante n 879.5
0.73/2
0.64/0
—
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Burgos — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burgos before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
David González n 878.9
1.46/3
Ander Cantero n 890
00/0
Miguel Atienza n 885.9
2.67/6
Iñigo Córdoba n 863.5
38/7
Iván Morante n 879.5
1.87/5
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Burgos Attacking

Burgos — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burgos before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
David González n 878.9
1.35/3
0.43/0
Ander Cantero n 890
00/0
00/0
Miguel Atienza n 885.9
0.85/1
0.32/0
Iñigo Córdoba n 863.5
0.94/1
0.52/1
Iván Morante n 879.5
0.11/0
00/0
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Burgos — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burgos before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
David González n 878.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
Ander Cantero n 890
00/0
00/0
Miguel Atienza n 885.9
0.11/0
00/0
Iñigo Córdoba n 863.5
0.21/0
00/0
Iván Morante n 879.5
00/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CastellónBurgos
64%Possession36%
2.01Expected goals (xG)1.36
14Shots7
6Shots on target2
4Shots off target3
4Blocked shots2
9Shots inside the box6
7Corners1
3Offsides2
17Fouls15
5Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves3
482Passes276
83%Pass accuracy75%

Castellón Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Matthys9000000006.5
Beñat Gerenabarrena90000001Y6.6
Alberto Jiménez90000032Y7.3
Lucas Alcázar9001002107.3
Barri9000000307.2
Ousmane Camara89102111Y8
A. Jakobsen8301102207.3
Álex Calatrava8310321207.9
Pablo Santiago7100001106.2
F. Brignani56000003Y7.2
Ronaldo5600000106.7
A. Sienra sub3400000106.9
B. Cipenga sub3400000207.9
A. Mabil sub1911221007.3
Israel Suero sub1400110007.9
M. Doué sub14000000Y6.9
Alvaro Garcia sub10010000–

Burgos Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Ander Cantero9000000006.7
Grego9000002206.9
F. Miguel9000000306.3
Iván Morante9000000106.3
Miguel Atienza9000000607
Fer Niño8900110006.2
Sergio González80000002Y6.3
Curro Sánchez76101112Y7
Víctor Mollejo6400000206.2
K. Appin6400200306.7
Álex4500001106.7
Aitor Buñuel sub4500000106
Iñigo Córdoba sub2600001306.7
David González sub2600001106.9
Oier Luengo sub1400100106.2
Mario González sub1000000006.5
José Mateo Mejía Piedrahita sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Castellón v Burgos — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CastellónDDWWD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
BurgosWWDWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Castellón 2 · 1 draw · Burgos 0 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2025-11-10 Burgos 0–0 Castellón
  • 2025-03-01 Castellón 2–1 Burgos
  • 2024-09-01 Burgos 0–2 Castellón
League standing · 2025/26
Castellón#6 pos72 pts42 pl+19 GD
Burgos#7 pos72 pts42 pl+15 GD
Goals per game
Castellón scored1.67
Burgos scored1.14
Castellón conceded1.21
Burgos conceded0.79

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Castellón v Burgos?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Castellón v Burgos was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Castellón and Burgos?
In their last 3 meetings, Castellón won 2, Burgos won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Castellón and Burgos?
Recent form — Castellón 2W 3D 0L; Burgos 4W 1D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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