Celta de Vigo II v Castellón result

Full-time · Celta de Vigo II 1–2 Castellón

Segunda División · · Municipal de Barreiro

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Celta de Vigo II 1–2 Castellón — Castellón won this Segunda División match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
Best price: 1.25 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1426 landed (95% range 65.6–70.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Castellón won 2–1 at Municipal de Barreiro in Segunda División on Monday 31 August.

Castellón have conceded four goals, the fewest of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far).

The goals

Castellón led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Castellón: F. Castillo (9’) and Pablo Santiago (48’, assisted by F. Castillo); Celta de Vigo II: O. Marcos (79’, assisted by H. Cuenca).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with F. Castillo’s goal on 9 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Celta de Vigo II 0.92, Castellón 1.97, from 12 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

O. Rivera Olmedo showed four yellow cards — against 4.4 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Celta de Vigo II: Joel López (74’); Castellón: Ousmane Camara (54’), F. Castillo (59’) and Álvaro Martín (90’).

What it changes

Celta de Vigo II move down from third to 11th (three league matches played). Celta de Vigo II have scored 16 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far). Celta de Vigo II have conceded 21 goals, the fourth-most of the 22 clubs.

Castellón move up from third to second (shared) (three league matches played). Castellón have scored 22 goals, the most (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Castellón are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, F. Castillo (Castellón) 8.7, Pablo Santiago (Castellón) 6.5 and O. Marcos (Celta de Vigo II) 6.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Castellón, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (971 of 1426).

Next up

Celta de Vigo II next host Cordoba on 31 October 2026.

Castellón next travel to Conquense on 29 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Celta de Vigo II: Celta de Vigo II v Cordoba, Saturday 31 October — the preview. Next for Castellón: Conquense v Castellón, Thursday 29 October — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Celta de Vigo II 1–2 Castellón · Segunda División
  • Venue: Municipal de Barreiro · Vigo
  • Referee: O. Rivera Olmedo
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Castellón 2W 2D 1L

Celta de Vigo II 1–2 Castellón (Segunda División): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

246
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Celta de Vigo IICastellón
46%Possession54%
0.92Expected goals (xG)1.97
12Shots13
4Shots on target5
6Shots off target5
2Blocked shots3
7Shots inside the box10
3Corners3
3Offsides1
11Fouls10
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves2
443Passes520
80%Pass accuracy84%

Celta de Vigo II Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Coke Carrillo9000000007
K. Ribes9000000106.5
A. Rodriguez9000000106.2
G. Miller9000001106.7
J. Lopez90000013Y6.9
A. Arcos9000100307.2
Ángel Arcos9000100207
Joel López90000013Y6.9
O. Marcos8210321107.9
Adrià Capdevila6500110206.3
A. Marin6500100006.2
P. Meixus4500000006.7
Andrés Antañón4500110406.5
A. Kibet sub4500102206.2
H. Burcio sub4500000106.9
H. Cuenca sub2501002107.2
B. Somuah sub2500100006.7
B. Somuah sub2500100006.7
A. Davila Outerelo sub800101006.3

Castellón Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Matthys9000000006.3
J. Mellot9000002007.5
Alberto Jiménez9000000107.5
A. Sienra9000100406.9
Álvaro Martín90000012Y6.5
Ousmane Camara90003202Y6.6
Barri8900001406.9
Pablo Santiago8010211107.2
Juanjo Nieto6500000107
F. Castillo65111123Y8.3
Iñigo Córdoba6400211006.2
Raúl Sánchez sub2600100106.3
Lucas Alcázar sub2500000006.2
A. Gala sub2500000006.5
Rodrigo Miguel Ferreira Rêgo sub1000001006.2
J. Vlak sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Celta de Vigo II v Castellón — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Celta de Vigo II
CastellónWWDLD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Celta de Vigo II#16 pos12 pts11 pl-5 GD
Castellón#1 pos26 pts11 pl+18 GD
Goals per game
Celta de Vigo II scored1.45
Castellón scored2
Celta de Vigo II conceded1.91
Castellón conceded0.36

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Celta de Vigo II v Castellón?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Celta de Vigo II v Castellón was Draw or Away (best price 1.25 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Celta de Vigo II and Castellón?
Recent form — Castellón 2W 2D 1L.

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