CordobaAD Ceuta FC

Cordoba v AD Ceuta FC prediction

Segunda División · · Estadio Nuevo Arcángel

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Cordoba v AD Ceuta FC, Segunda División on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.47 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Cordoba host AD Ceuta FC in Segunda División on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 17:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

AD Ceuta FC have conceded 27 goals, the most of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game).

Cordoba have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Cordoba’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Cordoba’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Cordoba have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.57. Cordoba have scored 19 goals, the seventh-most of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Cordoba have conceded 22 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 22 clubs.

Eight of AD Ceuta FC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of AD Ceuta FC’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, AD Ceuta FC have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 2.29. AD Ceuta FC have scored 10 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game).

Cordoba (12th) and AD Ceuta FC (22nd) are 11 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Cordoba the stronger side, 233 rating points above AD Ceuta FC (Cordoba 1544, AD Ceuta FC 1311, after at least 54 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 25 February 2026, finished AD Ceuta FC 3–2 Cordoba.

Team news

Predicted Cordoba XI (4-3-3): I. Álvarez, D. Budesca, D. Tasende, Á. Martín, R. Alves, I. Ruiz, A. Ghailan, E. Garcia, C. Carracedo, Percan, D. Bri — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Cristian Carracedo (5.3 per match over 12 appearances, one goal and four assists) and Isma Ruiz (3.5 per match over 12 appearances, two goals) have been Cordoba’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Cordoba (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Cristian Carracedo averages 0.8 shots per 90 over 955 minutes, with a shot in four of the last 10 appearances. Isma Ruiz averages 0.3 key passes per 90 over 1075 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted AD Ceuta FC XI (4-3-3): G. Vallejo, C. Hernández, C. Redruello, A. Caparrós, A. Lapeña, M. Illescas, Á. Meléndez, Y. Bodiger, Kuki, J. Escobar, C. Teguia — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Marino Illescas (3.8 per match over eight appearances) and Carlos Hernández (3.5 per match over 12 appearances, four goals) have been AD Ceuta FC’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AD Ceuta FC (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Marino Illescas averages 3.3 key passes per 90 over 552 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last eight appearances. Carlos Hernández averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 1010 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Segunda División · Estadio Nuevo Arcángel
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Cordoba 1 · draws 0 · AD Ceuta FC 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cordoba 3W 0D 2L · AD Ceuta FC 1W 0D 4L

Cordoba v AD Ceuta FC (Segunda División): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
6.86 / 7
Corners
against 3.71 / 2.57 · 4 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.57 / 4.43
Shots on target
against 3.43 / 5 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
3.86 / 3.29
Cards
against 3.86 / 3.57 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCordoba for / againstLineAD Ceuta FC for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5our book
1 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
6.86 for · 3.71 against n 7
9.5standard
7 for · 2.57 against n 7
Shots
17.29 for · 10.86 against n 7
19.5standard
17 for · 12.43 against n 7
Shots on target
5.57 for · 3.43 against n 7
8.5standard
4.43 for · 5 against n 7
Fouls committed
16.43 for · 13 against n 7
21.5standard
13 for · 18 against n 7
Cards shown
3.86 for · 3.86 against n 7
3.5standard
3.29 for · 3.57 against n 7

Cordoba

Cordoba Goalkeeper

Cordoba — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Iker Álvarez690540 min132.2 /9091.5 /9000 /90
Guilherme Fernandes590450 min122.4 /9030.6 /9000 /90
Cordoba — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cordoba before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Iker Álvarez n 890
2.36/2
Guilherme Fernandes n 590
2.43/2

Cordoba Defensive

Cordoba — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Rubén Alves1078780 min161.8 /90161.8 /9040.5 /90526 /90101.2 /9020.2 /90
Dani Tasende1078779 min91 /90131.5 /9040.5 /90374.3 /90121.4 /9030.3 /90
Daniel Budesca974666 min182.4 /9070.9 /9000 /90375 /90111.5 /9030.4 /90
Álex Martín873584 min60.9 /90101.5 /9060.9 /90253.9 /90101.5 /9030.5 /90
Juan Gutiérrez766460 min142.7 /9061.2 /9020.4 /90336.5 /90102 /9030.6 /90
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Cordoba — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cordoba before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Isma Ruiz n 890
0.95/2
1.56/5
—
Cristian Carracedo n 882
0.43/0
1.97/4
—
Percan n 874.1
2.18/3
1.46/3
—
Rubén Alves n 875
1.25/2
0.83/2
—
Dani Tasende n 874.9
1.26/2
1.24/2
—
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Cordoba — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cordoba before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Isma Ruiz n 890
2.36/5
Cristian Carracedo n 882
1.15/2
Percan n 874.1
0.32/0
Rubén Alves n 875
2.17/3
Dani Tasende n 874.9
0.53/0
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Cordoba Attacking

Cordoba — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Cristian Carracedo1183910 min10.1 /9030.3 /9070.7 /9070.7 /90424.2 /90262.6 /90
Percan1165717 min40.5 /9010.1 /90283.5 /90101.3 /90121.5 /9091.1 /90
Diego Bri1066664 min10.1 /9020.3 /90192.6 /9081.1 /90131.8 /9070.9 /90
Enol Rodríguez834275 min10.3 /9010.3 /90113.6 /9020.7 /9031 /9031 /90
Kevin Villodres828227 min00 /9000 /9052 /9010.4 /9031.2 /90114.4 /90
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Cordoba — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cordoba before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Isma Ruiz n 890
17/1
0.54/0
Cristian Carracedo n 882
0.73/1
0.73/1
Percan n 874.1
3.57/6
1.47/1
Rubén Alves n 875
0.32/0
0.21/0
Dani Tasende n 874.9
0.84/1
0.53/0
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Cordoba — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cordoba before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Isma Ruiz n 890
0.32/0
00/0
Cristian Carracedo n 882
0.11/0
0.32/0
Percan n 874.1
0.53/0
0.21/0
Rubén Alves n 875
0.21/0
00/0
Dani Tasende n 874.9
00/0
0.21/0
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AD Ceuta FC

AD Ceuta FC Goalkeeper

AD Ceuta FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Guille Vallejo790630 min223.1 /90111.6 /9000 /90
Pedro López390270 min93 /9051.7 /9000 /90
AD Ceuta FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AD Ceuta FC before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Guille Vallejo n 890
3.25/4
Pedro López n 890
3.17/4

AD Ceuta FC Defensive

AD Ceuta FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Carlos Hernández1083830 min151.6 /9050.5 /90101.1 /90454.9 /90161.7 /9030.3 /90
José Matos687522 min30.5 /9040.7 /9000 /90172.9 /9050.9 /9010.2 /90
Carlos Redruello682494 min50.9 /9030.5 /9020.4 /90224 /9050.9 /9000 /90
Albert Caparrós587435 min142.9 /9081.7 /9040.8 /90306.2 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
Adrián Lapeña490360 min61.5 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90153.8 /9082 /9020.5 /90
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AD Ceuta FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AD Ceuta FC before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Kuki n 888.4
0.85/1
3.78/7
—
Carlos Hernández n 881.3
1.97/5
13/2
—
Alejandro Camacho n 857.3
1.24/2
0.42/0
—
Jordi Escobar n 865.1
1.26/1
0.72/1
—
Guille Vallejo n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
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AD Ceuta FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AD Ceuta FC before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Kuki n 888.4
17/1
Carlos Hernández n 881.3
1.86/5
Alejandro Camacho n 857.3
2.24/3
Jordi Escobar n 865.1
0.52/1
Marino Illescas n 878.5
2.97/6
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AD Ceuta FC Attacking

AD Ceuta FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Kuki1085847 min00 /9010.1 /90141.5 /9060.6 /90171.8 /90121.3 /90
Jordi Escobar960544 min30.5 /9010.2 /90213.5 /9081.3 /9040.7 /9071.2 /90
E. Sevikyan762437 min00 /9000 /90122.5 /9030.6 /9081.6 /90132.7 /90
K. Koné652311 min00 /9010.3 /9051.4 /9000 /9072 /9051.4 /90
Cedric Teguia563315 min00 /9000 /9041.1 /9000 /9072 /9030.9 /90
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AD Ceuta FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AD Ceuta FC before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Kuki n 888.4
1.76/2
0.63/2
Carlos Hernández n 881.3
15/2
0.32/0
Alejandro Camacho n 857.3
1.86/3
0.63/0
Jordi Escobar n 865.1
3.37/6
1.24/2
Guille Vallejo n 890
00/0
00/0
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AD Ceuta FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AD Ceuta FC before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Kuki n 888.4
00/0
0.11/0
Carlos Hernández n 881.3
0.32/0
00/0
Alejandro Camacho n 857.3
0.21/0
00/0
Jordi Escobar n 865.1
0.32/0
0.21/0
Guille Vallejo n 890
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cordoba v AD Ceuta FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CordobaWLWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
AD Ceuta FCLLLWL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Cordoba 1 · 0 draws · AD Ceuta FC 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-02-25 AD Ceuta FC 3–2 Cordoba
  • 2025-11-02 Cordoba 2–0 AD Ceuta FC
League standing · 2026/27
Cordoba#12 pos16 pts12 pl-3 GD
AD Ceuta FC#22 pos5 pts12 pl-17 GD
Goals per game
Cordoba scored1.58
AD Ceuta FC scored0.83
Cordoba conceded1.83
AD Ceuta FC conceded2.25

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Cordoba v AD Ceuta FC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cordoba v AD Ceuta FC is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.47 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Cordoba and AD Ceuta FC?
In their last 2 meetings, Cordoba won 1, AD Ceuta FC won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cordoba and AD Ceuta FC?
Recent form — Cordoba 3W 0D 2L; AD Ceuta FC 1W 0D 4L.

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