Las PalmasEldense

Las Palmas v Eldense prediction

Segunda División · · Estadio de Gran Canaria

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Las Palmas v Eldense, Segunda División on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Odds: 1.72 at Betvictor
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Las Palmas host Eldense in Segunda División on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 17:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

Form and the table

10 of Las Palmas’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Las Palmas’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Las Palmas have one win, two draws and three defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 0.83 points per game, scoring 0.83 and conceding 1.50. Las Palmas have scored 17 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Las Palmas have conceded 21 goals, the seventh-most of the 22 clubs.

Eight of Eldense’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Eldense’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Eldense have three wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 0.71 and conceding 1.29. Eldense have scored 13 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Eldense have conceded 17 goals, the 10th-most of the 22 clubs.

Las Palmas (11th) and Eldense (15th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Las Palmas the stronger side, 123 rating points above Eldense (Las Palmas 1556, Eldense 1433, after at least 96 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Las Palmas XI (4-2-3-1): J. Caro, V. Pezzolesi, Á. Suárez, J. Herzog, A. Rodriguez, I. Jaime, T. Miyashiro, K. Rodríguez, E. Loiodice, I. Zambrano, Jesé — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Valentín Pezzolesi (5.1 per match over 12 appearances, two goals and one assist) and Iván Jaime (4.1 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Las Palmas’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Las Palmas (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Valentín Pezzolesi averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 1080 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Iván Jaime averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 1558 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Eldense XI (4-2-3-1): R. Vila, F. Smand, A. G. Serradell, J. Larios, J. Clemente, C. Guirao, A. Olabarrieta, Fidel, J. Martínez, J. Smith, J. Rastrojo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Smith (3.4 per match over 10 appearances, one goal) and Jesús Clemente (3.2 per match over nine appearances) have been Eldense’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Eldense (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Smith averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 848 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Jesús Clemente averages 3.2 tackles per 90 over 748 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Segunda División · Estadio de Gran Canaria
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Las Palmas 2W 1D 2L · Eldense 3W 0D 2L

Las Palmas v Eldense (Segunda División): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.38
Goals
against 2 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.43 / 4.5
Corners
against 6.14 / 5.13 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.57 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 5.43 / 3.5 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
3.71 / 2.63
Cards
against 2.14 / 3.5 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLas Palmas for / againstLineEldense for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 2 against n 8
2.75our book
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.43 for · 6.14 against n 7
9.5standard
4.5 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
10.71 for · 13.86 against n 7
19.5standard
12.75 for · 10.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.57 for · 5.43 against n 7
8.5standard
4.38 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.43 for · 15.57 against n 7
21.5standard
11.5 for · 12.25 against n 8
Cards shown
3.71 for · 2.14 against n 7
3.5standard
2.63 for · 3.5 against n 8

Las Palmas

Las Palmas Goalkeeper

Las Palmas — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
José Caro1190990 min353.2 /90171.5 /9000 /90
Las Palmas — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Las Palmas before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
José Caro n 890
3.17/5

Las Palmas Defensive

Las Palmas — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Valentín Pezzolesi1190990 min302.7 /90201.8 /9040.4 /90877.9 /90181.6 /9020.2 /90
Juan Herzog985765 min70.8 /9060.7 /9040.5 /90273.2 /90111.3 /9030.4 /90
Álex Suárez985761 min131.5 /9091.1 /9070.8 /90283.3 /9060.7 /9030.4 /90
G. Bonfanti881650 min101.4 /9091.2 /9010.1 /90243.3 /90141.9 /9030.4 /90
A. Rodriguez467267 min51.7 /9051.7 /9010.3 /90113.7 /9031 /9020.7 /90
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Las Palmas — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Las Palmas before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Valentín Pezzolesi n 890
1.97/5
2.38/4
—
José Caro n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
T. Miyashiro n 879.4
0.72/1
1.86/4
—
E. Loiodice n 878.6
1.14/3
1.76/2
—
Kirian Rodríguez n 873.9
0.52/1
1.56/3
—
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Las Palmas — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Las Palmas before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Valentín Pezzolesi n 890
2.88/5
T. Miyashiro n 879.4
2.16/3
E. Loiodice n 878.6
2.46/4
Kirian Rodríguez n 873.9
1.25/2
Manu Fuster n 859.4
0.94/1
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Las Palmas Attacking

Las Palmas — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Manu Fuster1065648 min20.3 /9010.1 /90121.7 /9071 /90152.1 /9040.6 /90
Jefté Betancor1054536 min10.2 /9010.2 /9050.8 /9030.5 /9050.8 /9010.2 /90
Jesé965587 min30.5 /9010.2 /90121.8 /9060.9 /9071.1 /9071.1 /90
Rafa Cruz625152 min00 /9000 /9031.8 /9010.6 /9000 /9031.8 /90
Elías Romero536181 min10.5 /9010.5 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
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Las Palmas — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Las Palmas before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Valentín Pezzolesi n 890
0.63/2
0.42/1
José Caro n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Miyashiro n 879.4
1.14/2
0.63/1
E. Loiodice n 878.6
0.95/1
0.32/0
Kirian Rodríguez n 873.9
0.64/0
0.21/0
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Las Palmas — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Las Palmas before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Valentín Pezzolesi n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
José Caro n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Miyashiro n 879.4
0.11/0
00/0
E. Loiodice n 878.6
00/0
0.11/0
Kirian Rodríguez n 873.9
00/0
00/0
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Eldense

Eldense Goalkeeper

Eldense — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Ramón Vila1190990 min322.9 /90111 /9000 /90
Juanpa19090 min55 /9011 /9000 /90
Eldense — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Eldense before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Ramón Vila n 890
2.66/4

Eldense Defensive

Eldense — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Smand12901080 min110.9 /90201.7 /9080.7 /90363 /9080.7 /9000 /90
A. G. Serradell1190985 min131.2 /90100.9 /9040.4 /90474.3 /90111 /9030.3 /90
Jesús Clemente983748 min273.2 /9070.8 /9010.1 /90506 /9091.1 /9020.2 /90
Juan Larios770491 min234.2 /9071.3 /9000 /90376.8 /90162.9 /9040.7 /90
Jordi Martín744309 min10.3 /9051.5 /9010.3 /9082.3 /9020.6 /9000 /90
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Eldense — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Eldense before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Smand n 890
15/2
0.54/0
—
Fidel n 875.6
0.72/1
1.56/3
—
Ramón Vila n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
A. G. Serradell n 889.4
1.17/2
1.68/4
—
Javi Martínez n 847.6
2.16/2
2.45/3
—
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Eldense — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Eldense before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Smand n 890
1.34/3
Fidel n 875.6
0.94/2
A. G. Serradell n 889.4
17/1
Javi Martínez n 847.6
0.21/0
J. Smith n 880.4
2.98/7
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Eldense Attacking

Eldense — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Jorge Rastrojo1048479 min20.4 /9010.2 /90112.1 /9071.3 /9061.1 /90101.9 /90
M. Carmona757402 min20.4 /9000 /9092 /9030.7 /9020.4 /9051.1 /90
Manu Nieto753369 min00 /9000 /90122.9 /9020.5 /9041 /9010.2 /90
Waldo Rubio341122 min00 /9000 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9021.5 /9021.5 /90
Pau Cabanes25099 min00 /9000 /9021.8 /9021.8 /9021.8 /9021.8 /90
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Eldense — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Eldense before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Smand n 890
0.32/0
00/0
Fidel n 875.6
15/2
0.63/1
Ramón Vila n 890
00/0
00/0
A. G. Serradell n 889.4
0.31/1
0.11/0
Javi Martínez n 847.6
1.95/2
0.52/0
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Eldense — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Eldense before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Smand n 890
00/0
00/0
Fidel n 875.6
0.32/0
00/0
Ramón Vila n 890
00/0
0.11/0
A. G. Serradell n 889.4
00/0
00/0
Javi Martínez n 847.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Las Palmas v Eldense — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Las PalmasDLLWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
EldenseWWLWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Las Palmas#11 pos17 pts12 pl-4 GD
Eldense#15 pos14 pts12 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Las Palmas scored1.42
Eldense scored1.08
Las Palmas conceded1.75
Eldense conceded1.42

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Las Palmas v Eldense?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Las Palmas v Eldense is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.72 at Betvictor).
What is the recent form of Las Palmas and Eldense?
Recent form — Las Palmas 2W 1D 2L; Eldense 3W 0D 2L.

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