Malaga v Castellón result

Full-time · Malaga 2–3 Castellón

Segunda División · · Estadio La Rosaleda

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Malaga · Castellón · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Malaga 2–3 Castellón — Castellón won this Segunda División match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Both teams to score: Yes.

Free pick
Both teams to score: Yes
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: 0 of 1 calls the model rated 70% or more on Both teams to score: Yes landed in the last 90 days (too few for a rate). How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Castellón won 3–2 at Estadio La Rosaleda in Segunda División on Saturday 25 April. Castellón are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Malaga: Chupe (12’ pen; 85’, assisted by Carlos Dotor); Castellón: Álex Calatrava (27’, assisted by B. Cipenga; 68’, assisted by B. Cipenga; 76’, assisted by Ronaldo).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Álex Calatrava’s goal on 68 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Malaga 0.00, Castellón 0.00, from 12 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

C. Muniz showed six yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Malaga: Carlos Dotor (24’) and Julen Lobete (75’); Castellón: A. Sienra (56’), Ronaldo (72’), Martín Conde (90+4’) and F. Brignani (90+6’).

What it changes

Malaga move down from sixth to eighth (37 league matches played). Malaga have scored 75 goals, the third-most of the 22 clubs (2025/26 so far). Malaga have conceded 52 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 22 clubs.

Castellón move down from second to third (37 league matches played). Castellón have scored 70 goals, the fourth-most of the 22 clubs (2025/26 so far). Castellón have conceded 51 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 22 clubs.

Malaga have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Castellón have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Álex Calatrava (Castellón) 16.4, Chupe (Malaga) 11.0 and B. Cipenga (Castellón) 8.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Both teams to score: Yes, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market: 0 of 1 landed in the last 90 days.

Next up

Malaga next travel to Real Betis on 31 October 2026.

Castellón next travel to Conquense on 29 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Malaga: Real Betis v Malaga, Saturday 31 October — the preview. Next for Castellón: Conquense v Castellón, Thursday 29 October — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Malaga 2–3 Castellón · Segunda División
  • Venue: Estadio La Rosaleda · Málaga
  • Referee: C. Muniz
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Malaga 3 · draws 0 · Castellón 2 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Malaga 1W 3D 1L · Castellón 3W 2D 0L

Malaga 2–3 Castellón (Segunda División): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.38 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 5.63
Corners
against 6.25 / 4 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 4.88
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 3.75
Cards
against 2.5 / 2.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.27 yellows
Referee · C. Muniz
24.73 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMalaga for / againstLineCastellón for / against
Goals scored
2.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 6.25 against n 8
9.5standard
5.63 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
15.13 for · 14.63 against n 8
19.5standard
14.88 for · 10.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5.5 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.88 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.75 for · 14.25 against n 8
21.5standard
15.13 for · 13.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
3.75 for · 2.75 against n 8

Referee: C. Muniz — 3.27 yellow cards a game, 0.36 red cards, 24.73 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Malaga

Malaga Goalkeeper

Malaga — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Alfonso Herrero34903060 min1103.2 /90421.2 /9000 /90
Malaga — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malaga before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Alfonso Herrero n 890
3.27/6

Malaga Defensive

Malaga — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Diego Murillo29882565 min491.7 /90401.4 /90281 /901384.8 /90281 /9080.3 /90
Puga22851868 min673.2 /90321.5 /9080.4 /901246 /90412 /9080.4 /90
Javi Montero21841774 min160.8 /90140.7 /90251.3 /90643.2 /90271.4 /9070.4 /90
Rafita18861550 min331.9 /90191.1 /9050.3 /90895.2 /90130.8 /9020.1 /90
Joaquín Muñoz29641853 min271.3 /90211 /9010 /90884.3 /90190.9 /9030.1 /90
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Malaga — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malaga before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Alfonso Herrero n 890
00/0
0.53/1
—
David Larrubia n 878.3
0.94/2
1.75/4
—
Chupe n 869.9
0.84/1
0.52/1
Álex Calatrava
Diego Murillo n 890
0.96/1
1.46/2
Lucas Alcázar
Joaquín Muñoz n 875.3
0.95/1
1.68/2
—
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Malaga — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malaga before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
David Larrubia n 878.3
37/5
Chupe n 869.9
0.53/0
Diego Murillo n 890
1.14/3
Joaquín Muñoz n 875.3
1.24/3
Dani Lorenzo n 883.5
1.97/5
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Malaga Attacking

Malaga — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Chupe31682100 min160.7 /9030.1 /90552.4 /90351.5 /90231 /90120.5 /90
Adrián Niño Heredia1947885 min70.7 /9010.1 /90252.5 /90171.7 /9060.6 /9030.3 /90
Joaquín Muñoz29641853 min30.1 /9030.1 /90321.6 /90140.7 /90251.2 /90231.1 /90
Carlos Dotor28651822 min10 /9020.1 /90170.8 /9050.2 /90321.6 /90110.5 /90
Izan Merino25832079 min00 /9010 /9090.4 /9050.2 /90100.4 /9070.3 /90
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Malaga — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malaga before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Alfonso Herrero n 890
00/0
00/0
David Larrubia n 878.3
1.36/2
0.73/2
Chupe n 869.9
3.47/4
1.84/3
Diego Murillo n 890
0.85/1
0.32/0
Joaquín Muñoz n 875.3
2.47/5
1.36/2
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Malaga — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Malaga before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Alfonso Herrero n 890
00/0
00/0
David Larrubia n 878.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
Chupe n 869.9
13/3
00/0
Diego Murillo n 890
0.32/0
00/0
Joaquín Muñoz n 875.3
0.32/0
0.32/0
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Castellón

Castellón Defensive

Castellón — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Álex Calatrava n 887.8
1.98/5
2.17/5
Chupe
J. Mellot n 883.9
0.74/1
1.25/3
—
R. Matthys n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Alberto Jiménez n 889
0.53/1
37/6
—
Lucas Alcázar n 868.4
1.58/1
0.73/1
Diego Murillo
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Castellón — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Álex Calatrava n 887.8
2.27/4
J. Mellot n 883.9
2.36/6
R. Matthys n 890
00/0
Alberto Jiménez n 889
1.97/5
Lucas Alcázar n 868.4
2.58/5
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Castellón Attacking

Castellón — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Álex Calatrava n 887.8
2.27/5
1.25/4
J. Mellot n 883.9
0.42/1
00/0
R. Matthys n 890
00/0
00/0
Alberto Jiménez n 889
0.42/1
0.11/0
Lucas Alcázar n 868.4
0.73/1
0.21/0
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Castellón — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Álex Calatrava n 887.8
0.43/0
0.11/0
J. Mellot n 883.9
00/0
00/0
R. Matthys n 890
00/0
00/0
Alberto Jiménez n 889
00/0
00/0
Lucas Alcázar n 868.4
00/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MalagaCastellón
56%Possession44%
12Shots13
7Shots on target8
4Shots off target2
1Blocked shots3
12Shots inside the box10
1Corners3
3Offsides4
12Fouls23
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
4Saves5
445Passes347
84%Pass accuracy79%

Malaga Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Alfonso Herrero9000000006.9
Puga9000000307.2
Diego Murillo9000000207
Einar Galilea9000000006.3
Rafita9000000206.3
Carlos Dotor90011022Y6.9
Izan Merino9000000006.3
Chupe9020441108.2
A. Ochoa7900220006.9
Joaquín Muñoz7800100206.7
Adrián Niño Heredia7000102007.2
Julen Lobete sub20000000Y6.2
H. Abaida sub1200002007.2
Eneko Jauregi sub1100210006.7

Castellón Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Matthys9000000006.5
J. Mellot9000002006.7
F. Brignani90001003Y6.3
Lucas Alcázar9000000406.2
Barri9000100206.5
Álex Calatrava9030552309.3
A. Sienra86000000Y6.7
B. Cipenga8602113107
A. Jakobsen7900221106.5
Pablo Santiago6700000006.2
Ousmane Camara4500000006.5
Ronaldo sub45010021Y7.2
A. Mabil sub2300001106.3
Martín Conde sub12000000Y6.5
Salva Ruiz sub1200000006.6
Raúl Sánchez sub1100000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Malaga v Castellón — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MalagaDDDWL
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
CastellónDWWDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Malaga 3 · 0 draws · Castellón 2 · 2 goals/game
  • 2025-11-02 Castellón 2–1 Malaga
  • 2025-04-27 Malaga 1–0 Castellón
  • 2024-12-01 Castellón 2–0 Malaga
  • 2021-05-30 Malaga 3–0 Castellón
  • 2020-09-19 Castellón 0–1 Malaga
League standing · 2025/26
Malaga#4 pos73 pts42 pl+23 GD
Castellón#6 pos72 pts42 pl+19 GD
Goals per game
Malaga scored1.79
Castellón scored1.67
Malaga conceded1.24
Castellón conceded1.21

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Malaga v Castellón?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Malaga v Castellón was Both teams to score: Yes.
What is the head-to-head record between Malaga and Castellón?
In their last 5 meetings, Malaga won 3, Castellón won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Malaga and Castellón?
Recent form — Malaga 1W 3D 1L; Castellón 3W 2D 0L.

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