Valladolid v Leganes prediction

Segunda División · Mon, 02 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT

Updated 29 Oct 2026, 07:03 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Valladolid · Leganes · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Valladolid v Leganes, Segunda División on Mon, 02 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.1% of 586 landed (95% range 63.2–70.7%); it had given them 76.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Predicted on 25 October 2026, before the fixture moved

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Valladolid host Leganes in Segunda División on Monday 2 November (kick-off 17:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Leganes have scored seven goals, the fewest of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Valladolid have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Leganes are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Valladolid’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Valladolid’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Valladolid have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.29. Valladolid have scored 16 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far). Valladolid have conceded 16 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 22 clubs.

Five of Leganes’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in four of Leganes’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). Away from home, Leganes have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 0.29 and conceding 1.86. Leganes have conceded 16 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Valladolid (15th) and Leganes (17th) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Valladolid the stronger side, 91 rating points above Leganes (Valladolid 1450, Leganes 1359, after at least 183 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 14 March 2026, finished Valladolid 3–2 Leganes.

Team news

Predicted Valladolid XI (4-1-3-2): Á. Aceves, D. Torres, I. Garriel, P. Tomeo, I. Alejo, S. Jurić, J. Ponceau, V. Fernández, T. Ojeda, A. Arnuncio, J. Latasa — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Adrian Arnuncio (4.9 per match over seven appearances, four goals and one assist) and Iván Alejo (4.4 per match over 10 appearances) have been Valladolid’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Valladolid (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Adrian Arnuncio averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 461 minutes, with a shot in six of the last seven appearances. Iván Alejo averages 4.6 tackles per 90 over 834 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Leganes XI (5-3-2): L. Zidane, J. Montero, R. Pulido, L. Aguilar, I. Miquel, Marvel, Y. Kechta, Z. Buurmeester, D. Rodríguez, Á. Morata, I. Gharbi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ismaël Gharbi (4.0 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and one assist) and L. Zidane (3.4 per match over nine appearances) have been Leganes’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Leganes (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ismaël Gharbi averages 1.5 shots per 90 over 1022 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. L. Zidane averages 3.5 saves per 90 over 1238 minutes, with two or more saves in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Mon, 02 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT · Segunda División
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Valladolid 1 · draws 3 · Leganes 2 · 2.17 goals/game
Recent form: Valladolid 2W 1D 2L · Leganes 0W 1D 4L

Valladolid v Leganes (Segunda División): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 0.5

Goals

against 1.5 / 1.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.88 / 4.38

Corners

against 3.5 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.5 / 3.25

Shots on target

against 4.38 / 5.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

3.75 / 3.75

Cards

against 3.13 / 2.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Valladolid for / against	Line	Leganes for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	0.5 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.88 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.38 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.63 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.13 for · 16.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.5 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.25 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.88 for · 14.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	17.63 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	3.75 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	3.75 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5

Valladolid

Valladolid Goalkeeper

Valladolid — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Álvaro Aceves	11	90990 min	282.5 /90	121.1 /90	00 /90

Valladolid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valladolid before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Álvaro Aceves n 8	90	3 8/4

Valladolid Defensive

Valladolid — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
David Torres	11	90990 min	80.7 /90	131.2 /90	60.5 /90	433.9 /90	70.6 /90	20.2 /90
Iván Alejo	10	83834 min	434.6 /90	70.8 /90	20.2 /90	859.2 /90	272.9 /90	40.4 /90
Iván Garriel	9	79714 min	283.5 /90	91.1 /90	10.1 /90	374.7 /90	40.5 /90	20.3 /90
Pablo Tomeo	5	81405 min	61.3 /90	92 /90	10.2 /90	102.2 /90	30.7 /90	00 /90
Ramón Martínez	4	88352 min	30.8 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90	51.3 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90
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Valladolid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valladolid before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
David Torres n 8	90	0.8 4/2	0.9 4/3	—
Álvaro Aceves n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
J. Ponceau n 8	76.5	1 5/2	1 4/2	—
Iván Alejo n 8	81.8	2.9 8/6	2.9 8/5	—
Víctor Fernández n 8	60.9	2 7/3	2.2 5/4	—
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Valladolid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valladolid before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
David Torres n 8	90	0.4 3/0
J. Ponceau n 8	76.5	1.3 6/2
Iván Alejo n 8	81.8	5.4 8/8
Víctor Fernández n 8	60.9	2.6 6/3
Juanmi Latasa n 8	53.5	1.3 5/1
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Valladolid Attacking

Valladolid — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Juanmi Latasa	10	59588 min	30.5 /90	00 /90	152.3 /90	71.1 /90	101.5 /90	00 /90
Yeray Cabanzón	9	44392 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	112.5 /90	40.9 /90	81.8 /90	40.9 /90
Adrian Arnuncio	7	66461 min	40.8 /90	10.2 /90	102 /90	81.6 /90	30.6 /90	81.6 /90
K. de Rooij	7	40279 min	00 /90	00 /90	31 /90	31 /90	20.6 /90	31 /90
R. Duiven	6	46275 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	31 /90	00 /90
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Valladolid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valladolid before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
David Torres n 8	90	0.9 5/2	0.3 2/0
Álvaro Aceves n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Ponceau n 8	76.5	0.7 5/0	0.3 2/0
Iván Alejo n 8	81.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Víctor Fernández n 8	60.9	2 6/3	0.7 3/1
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Valladolid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valladolid before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
David Torres n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Álvaro Aceves n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Ponceau n 8	76.5	0.3 2/0	0.7 5/0
Iván Alejo n 8	81.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Víctor Fernández n 8	60.9	0.2 1/0	0.7 2/2
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Leganes

Leganes Goalkeeper

Leganes — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
L. Zidane	9	87784 min	333.8 /90	101.1 /90	00 /90
Raúl Fernández	3	68203 min	73.1 /90	20.9 /90	00 /90

Leganes — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leganes before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
L. Zidane n 8	90	3.6 7/5
Raúl Fernández n 3	67.7	3.1 1/1

Leganes Defensive

Leganes — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Lalo Aguilar	9	86771 min	141.6 /90	101.2 /90	101.2 /90	354.1 /90	80.9 /90	00 /90
Marvel	9	82735 min	212.6 /90	81 /90	70.9 /90	354.3 /90	81 /90	50.6 /90
Ignasi Miquel	8	84671 min	111.5 /90	91.2 /90	30.4 /90	273.6 /90	70.9 /90	10.1 /90
Javi Montero	6	68407 min	30.7 /90	112.4 /90	20.4 /90	163.5 /90	61.3 /90	10.2 /90
Rubén Pulido	6	46277 min	41.3 /90	31 /90	31 /90	154.9 /90	51.6 /90	31 /90
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Leganes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leganes before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Naim García n 8	76.9	1.9 8/4	1 6/1	—
Z. Buurmeester n 8	62.3	0.7 2/1	0 0/0	—
P. Soko n 8	51.4	1.3 4/2	0.7 2/1	—
Dani Rodríguez n 8	44.1	3.1 4/2	3.3 8/3	—
Ismaël Gharbi n 8	80.4	1 5/2	2.2 6/4	—
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Leganes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leganes before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Naim García n 8	76.9	1.9 5/5
Z. Buurmeester n 8	62.3	2.3 8/4
P. Soko n 8	51.4	0.7 2/1
Dani Rodríguez n 8	44.1	0.8 2/1
Ismaël Gharbi n 8	80.4	1.7 6/4
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Leganes Attacking

Leganes — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
P. Soko	11	54595 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	101.5 /90	60.9 /90	20.3 /90	81.2 /90
Ismaël Gharbi	10	76764 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	131.5 /90	50.6 /90	161.9 /90	111.3 /90
Álex Sancris	8	56444 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	102 /90	30.6 /90	102 /90	71.4 /90
Álvaro Morata	7	62435 min	00 /90	00 /90	61.2 /90	00 /90	61.2 /90	10.2 /90
Álex Millán	6	33196 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	41.8 /90	20.9 /90	31.4 /90	31.4 /90
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Leganes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leganes before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Naim García n 8	76.9	2 7/5	0.4 3/0
Z. Buurmeester n 8	62.3	0.7 3/1	0.4 1/1
P. Soko n 8	51.4	1.8 4/3	0.9 3/1
Dani Rodríguez n 8	44.1	0.5 2/0	0.3 1/0
Ismaël Gharbi n 8	80.4	1.7 6/4	0.6 2/1
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Leganes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leganes before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Naim García n 8	76.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Z. Buurmeester n 8	62.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Soko n 8	51.4	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Dani Rodríguez n 8	44.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Ismaël Gharbi n 8	80.4	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Valladolid v Leganes — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

ValladolidWDWLL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

LeganesLLLLD

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Valladolid 1 · 3 draws · Leganes 2 · 2.17 goals/game

2026-03-14 Valladolid 3–2 Leganes
2026-01-11 Leganes 3–0 Valladolid
2025-05-24 Leganes 3–0 Valladolid
2024-08-28 Valladolid 0–0 Leganes
2024-02-03 Leganes 0–0 Valladolid
2023-11-17 Valladolid 1–1 Leganes

League standing · 2026/27

Valladolid#15 pos12 pts11 pl0 GD

Leganes#17 pos12 pts11 pl-9 GD

Goals per game

Valladolid scored1.45

Leganes scored0.64

Valladolid conceded1.45

Leganes conceded1.45

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Valladolid v Leganes?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Valladolid v Leganes is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Valladolid and Leganes?: In their last 6 meetings, Valladolid won 1, Leganes won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Valladolid and Leganes?: Recent form — Valladolid 2W 1D 2L; Leganes 0W 1D 4L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 29 Oct 2026, 07:03 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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