Botafogo v Cruzeiro result

Full-time · Botafogo 0–2 Cruzeiro

Serie A – Brazil ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Botafogo · Cruzeiro · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Botafogo 0–2 Cruzeiro — Cruzeiro won this Serie A – Brazil match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Cruzeiro won 2–0 at Botafogo in Serie A – Brazil on Sunday 3 August.

The goals

Cruzeiro led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Cruzeiro: Christian (23’, assisted by Kaiki) and Matheus Pereira (41’, assisted by Kaio Jorge).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Christian’s goal on 23 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Botafogo 0.76, Cruzeiro 1.55, from 11 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Matheus Delgado Candançan, Brazil showed five yellow cards — against 3.1 yellows a game across the last 16 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Botafogo: A. Barboza (9’), Allan (53’) and J. Correa (75’); Cruzeiro: Christian (26’) and Kaiki (61’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kaiki (Cruzeiro) 5.8, Matheus Pereira (Cruzeiro) 5.5 and Álvaro Montoro (Botafogo) 5.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 52.3% of the time in the last 90 days (92 of 176).

Next up

Botafogo next travel to Internacional on 24 October 2026.

Cruzeiro next travel to Gremio on 18 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Botafogo: Internacional v Botafogo, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Cruzeiro: Gremio v Cruzeiro, Sunday 18 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Botafogo 0–2 Cruzeiro · Serie A – Brazil
  • Referee: Matheus Delgado Candançan, Brazil
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Botafogo 0 · draws 3 · Cruzeiro 3 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Botafogo 3W 2D 0L · Cruzeiro 2W 2D 1L

Botafogo 0–2 Cruzeiro (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 1.63
Goals
against 0.38 / 0.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 6.13
Corners
against 6.88 / 5.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 5.63
Shots on target
against 4 / 3.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 2.25
Cards
against 2.38 / 2.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.13 yellows
Referee · Matheus Delgado Candançan, Brazil
1.13 home / 2 away
over 16 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 July 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 July 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBotafogo for / againstLineCruzeiro for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 0.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 0.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 6.88 against n 8
9.5standard
6.13 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
13.88 for · 13.88 against n 8
19.5standard
15.75 for · 12.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
5.63 for · 3.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.75 for · 12.13 against n 8
21.5standard
13.88 for · 14 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2.63 against n 8

Referee: Matheus Delgado Candançan, Brazil — 3.13 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 23.88 fouls over 16 matches (1.13 to the home side, 2 to the away side).

Botafogo
Botafogo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Gregore n 886.1
3.57/6
0.42/1
—
Allan n 848.4
2.64/3
1.42/2
—
Santiago Rodríguez n 822.4
2.53/2
56/3
—
M. Ponte n 832.5
2.14/1
0.72/0
—
Arthur Cabral n 858.8
1.75/2
1.13/2
Kaio Jorge
Botafogo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Arthur Cabral n 858.8
2.55/3
1.15/1
Santiago Rodríguez n 822.4
2.53/2
1.52/1
Igor Jesus n 897.1
2.18/4
1.37/3
Jefferson Savarino n 865.4
1.97/2
0.94/1
Nathan Fernandes n 835.1
1.95/1
1.64/1
Botafogo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Nathan Fernandes n 835.1
0.31/0
0.62/0
Cuiabano n 829.9
0.41/0
0.41/0
Igor Jesus n 897.1
0.54/0
00/0
Arthur Cabral n 858.8
0.42/0
00/0
Jair n 881.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
Botafogo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Cuiabano n 829.9
4.16/3
A. Barboza n 893.8
48/8
Gregore n 886.1
3.37/5
M. Ponte n 832.5
3.14/2
Allan n 848.4
2.85/2
Botafogo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
John n 893.8
3.57/6
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Yannick Bolasie n 820.5
3.85/2
0.51/0
—
Kaiki n 888.6
2.38/5
1.47/2
—
Kauã Prates n 566.2
2.24/2
00/0
—
Kaio Jorge n 877.3
1.97/3
0.74/1
Arthur Cabral
Wanderson n 861.9
1.85/3
0.92/1
—
Cruzeiro — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Kaio Jorge n 877.3
3.38/7
1.77/3
Yannick Bolasie n 820.5
3.34/2
2.23/1
Marquinhos n 833.5
2.45/1
0.71/1
Gabriel Barbosa n 841.5
2.24/3
1.64/2
Matheus Pereira n 872.3
1.97/4
1.15/2
Cruzeiro — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Kaio Jorge n 877.3
14/2
0.31/1
Gabriel Barbosa n 841.5
0.51/1
0.51/1
Matheus Pereira n 872.3
00/0
0.62/2
Yannick Bolasie n 820.5
00/0
0.51/0
Jonathan Jesus n 857.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
Cruzeiro — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
William Furtado n 866
4.46/6
Kaiki n 888.6
3.28/5
Fagner n 874.3
2.77/4
Kauã Prates n 566.2
2.25/2
Walace n 841.1
2.26/2
Cruzeiro — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Cássio n 890.8
2.65/3
Léo Aragão n 390
0.70/0

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BotafogoCruzeiro
56%Possession44%
0.76Expected goals (xG)1.55
11Shots11
2Shots on target4
7Shots off target4
2Blocked shots3
8Shots inside the box7
6Corners5
1Offsides2
15Fouls7
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves2
488Passes385
84%Pass accuracy80%

Botafogo player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
John9000000006.3
Vitinho9000001406.9
A. Barboza90002100Y6.2
Jefferson Savarino9000203107.5
Álvaro Montoro9000001206.9
Arthur Cabral9000000106.9
Marlon Freitas7000000006.9
Allan59000002Y6.6
Artur5900310107.2
Alex Telles5800202006.9
Kaio Pantaleão4500000006.2
David Ricardo sub4500000006.6
Cuiabano sub3200001206.9
Newton sub3200000006.5
J. Correa sub32000001Y6.7
Danilo sub2100000006.7

Cruzeiro player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Cássio9000000007.3
William Furtado9000004307.5
Fabrício Bruno9000000207.5
Lucas Villalba9000000107.3
Kaiki90010021Y7.9
Lucas Romero9000000106.7
Lucas Silva9000001206.9
Christian89104300Y7.7
Matheus Pereira8910210007.7
Kaio Jorge8901101007.3
Wanderson7000102006.6
Marquinhos sub2100000206.6
Matheus Henrique sub20000000–
Eduardo sub20000000–
L. Díaz sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Botafogo v Cruzeiro — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BotafogoWDWDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.2 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
CruzeiroWWDLD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Botafogo 0 · 3 draws · Cruzeiro 3 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2024-07-28 Botafogo 0–3 Cruzeiro
  • 2024-04-14 Cruzeiro 3–2 Botafogo
  • 2023-12-03 Botafogo 0–0 Cruzeiro
  • 2023-08-06 Cruzeiro 0–0 Botafogo
  • 2019-11-01 Botafogo 0–2 Cruzeiro
  • 2019-07-14 Cruzeiro 0–0 Botafogo
League standing · 2025
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Botafogo#6 pos63 pts38 pl+20 GD
Cruzeiro#3 pos70 pts38 pl+24 GD
Goals per game
Botafogo scored1.53
Cruzeiro scored1.45
Botafogo conceded1
Cruzeiro conceded0.82

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Botafogo v Cruzeiro?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Botafogo v Cruzeiro was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Botafogo and Cruzeiro?
In their last 6 meetings, Botafogo won 0, Cruzeiro won 3 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Botafogo and Cruzeiro?
Recent form — Botafogo 3W 2D 0L; Cruzeiro 2W 2D 1L.

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