Chapecoense-sc v Mirassol prediction

Serie A – Brazil · Tue, 03 Nov 2026 22:30 GMT · Arena Condá

Updated 29 Oct 2026, 08:03 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Chapecoense-sc v Mirassol, Serie A – Brazil on Tue, 03 Nov 2026 22:30 GMT.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 1436 landed (95% range 66.1–70.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 774 of 1,188 times (65.2%), against an average rating of 69.6%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Chapecoense-sc host Mirassol in Serie A – Brazil on Tuesday 3 November (kick-off 22:30 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Mirassol, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Chapecoense-sc have scored 32 goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Chapecoense-sc have conceded 66 goals, the most of the 20 clubs.

Form and the table

10 of Chapecoense-sc’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of Chapecoense-sc’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Chapecoense-sc have two wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.33 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.67.

Four of Mirassol’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in nine of Mirassol’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Mirassol have one win, three draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.75 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 1.25. Mirassol have scored 37 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Mirassol have conceded 45 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Chapecoense-sc (20th) and Mirassol (15th) are 16 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Mirassol the stronger side, 262 rating points above Chapecoense-sc (Mirassol 1609, Chapecoense-sc 1347, after at least 70 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished Mirassol 1–1 Chapecoense-sc.

Team news

Predicted Chapecoense-sc XI (4-2-3-1): Anderson, E. Doma, Kauan, B. Pacheco, B. Tubarão, Camilo, M. Garcez, Y. Felipe, G. Augusto, Marcinho, Túlio — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Walter Clar (3.4 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and one assist) and Bruno Pacheco (3.2 per match over 24 appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Chapecoense-sc’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Chapecoense-sc (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Walter Clar averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 1261 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Bruno Pacheco averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 2550 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Mirassol XI (4-3-3): Walter, Reinaldo, I. Formiga, W. Machado, J. Victor, Denilson, N. Moura, Eduardo, B. Santos, A. Luis, Fernandinho — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Igor Formiga (5.3 per match over 36 appearances, four goals and six assists) and Negueba (3.6 per match over 11 appearances, two goals) have been Mirassol’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Mirassol (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Igor Formiga averages 2.9 tackles per 90 over 2991 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Negueba averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 983 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Tue, 03 Nov 2026 22:30 GMT · Serie A – Brazil · Arena Condá
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 1): Chapecoense-sc 0 · draws 1 · Mirassol 0 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Chapecoense-sc 1W 0D 4L · Mirassol 2W 2D 1L

Chapecoense-sc v Mirassol (Serie A – Brazil): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.25

Goals

against 2.13 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

3.75 / 5.75

Corners

against 5.5 / 6.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.13 / 4.63

Shots on target

against 7.63 / 4.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 2.63

Cards

against 1.13 / 2.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Chapecoense-sc for / against	Line	Mirassol for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.75 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.75 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	10.38 for · 17 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15.63 for · 15.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.13 for · 7.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.63 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.38 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.38 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Chapecoense-sc

Chapecoense-sc Goalkeeper

Chapecoense-sc — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
Anderson	19	951803 min	834.1 /90	311.5 /90
Leo Vieira	7	92642 min	324.5 /90	111.5 /90
Rafael Santos	4	90360 min	205 /90	102.5 /90
Matheus Aurélio	3	92276 min	123.9 /90	82.6 /90

Chapecoense-sc — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chapecoense-sc before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Anderson n 8	92.6	4.5 7/6

Chapecoense-sc Defensive

Chapecoense-sc — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Eduardo Doma	31	902797 min	240.8 /90	260.8 /90	220.7 /90	953.1 /90	230.7 /90	70.2 /90
Bruno Pacheco	23	801844 min	361.8 /90	211 /90	70.3 /90	1205.9 /90	190.9 /90	40.2 /90
Everton	23	661513 min	201.2 /90	100.6 /90	40.2 /90	764.5 /90	181.1 /90	50.3 /90
Bruno Leonardo	17	851441 min	120.7 /90	171.1 /90	110.7 /90	623.9 /90	150.9 /90	30.2 /90
Walter Clar	11	73801 min	80.9 /90	70.8 /90	30.3 /90	262.9 /90	30.3 /90	00 /90
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Chapecoense-sc — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chapecoense-sc before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Eduardo Doma n 8	92.6	0.6 4/1	0 0/0	—
Marcinho n 8	85	1.3 7/2	0.9 4/2	—
Camilo n 8	90.1	2.1 7/5	0.1 1/0	—
Bruno Pacheco n 8	69.9	1.3 5/3	1.4 6/3	—
Everton n 8	54.3	1.2 4/2	0.8 2/2	—
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Chapecoense-sc — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chapecoense-sc before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Eduardo Doma n 8	92.6	0.9 4/1
Marcinho n 8	85	0.9 4/3
Camilo n 8	90.1	1.5 6/3
Bruno Pacheco n 8	69.9	2.4 8/3
Everton n 8	54.3	1.9 5/2
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Chapecoense-sc Attacking

Chapecoense-sc — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Marcinho	30	661976 min	60.3 /90	20.1 /90	231 /90	120.5 /90	341.5 /90	261.2 /90
Yannick Bolasie	23	651506 min	20.1 /90	20.1 /90	241.4 /90	110.7 /90	130.8 /90	90.5 /90
Maurício Garcez	17	641088 min	20.2 /90	00 /90	191.6 /90	60.5 /90	110.9 /90	110.9 /90
Italo	16	50804 min	00 /90	00 /90	91 /90	10.1 /90	60.7 /90	80.9 /90
Túlio	10	69686 min	30.4 /90	00 /90	172.2 /90	70.9 /90	40.5 /90	70.9 /90
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Chapecoense-sc — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chapecoense-sc before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Eduardo Doma n 8	92.6	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
Marcinho n 8	85	0.9 3/2	0.5 2/1
Camilo n 8	90.1	0.2 2/0	0 0/0
Bruno Pacheco n 8	69.9	0.6 4/0	0.2 1/0
Everton n 8	54.3	0.6 2/1	0 0/0
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Chapecoense-sc — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chapecoense-sc before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Eduardo Doma n 8	92.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Marcinho n 8	85	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
Camilo n 8	90.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Bruno Pacheco n 8	69.9	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Everton n 8	54.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Mirassol

Mirassol Goalkeeper

Mirassol — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
Walter	34	913077 min	1013 /90	391.1 /90
Alex Muralha	9	84760 min	263.1 /90	91.1 /90
Thomazella	2	93186 min	10.5 /90	41.9 /90

Mirassol — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mirassol before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Walter n 8	85.6	3.7 6/4

Mirassol Defensive

Mirassol — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Joao Victor	39	903491 min	280.7 /90	310.8 /90	451.2 /90	1564 /90	260.7 /90	30.1 /90
Reinaldo	36	893198 min	300.8 /90	160.5 /90	110.3 /90	932.6 /90	210.6 /90	60.2 /90
Igor Formiga	35	852981 min	942.8 /90	652 /90	120.4 /90	2246.8 /90	501.5 /90	40.1 /90
Willian Machado	33	923029 min	411.2 /90	371.1 /90	280.8 /90	1654.9 /90	280.8 /90	60.2 /90
Lucas Oliveira	17	751267 min	231.6 /90	141 /90	120.9 /90	453.2 /90	80.6 /90	50.4 /90
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Mirassol — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mirassol before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Joao Victor n 8	84.8	0.5 3/1	0.5 3/1	—
Reinaldo n 8	91.3	0.6 2/1	0.7 5/1	—
Alesson n 8	61.8	1.8 6/3	2.7 7/3	—
Igor Formiga n 8	88.1	0.5 4/0	0.6 4/1	—
Walter n 8	85.6	0 0/0	0.3 1/1	—
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Mirassol — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mirassol before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Joao Victor n 8	84.8	0.8 4/2
Reinaldo n 8	91.3	0.5 4/0
Alesson n 8	61.8	1.5 6/1
Igor Formiga n 8	88.1	2.8 8/5
Willian Machado n 8	88.6	1.4 7/2
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Mirassol Attacking

Mirassol — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Alesson	36	642313 min	10 /90	80.3 /90	371.4 /90	190.7 /90	391.5 /90	461.8 /90
Edson Carioca	30	581727 min	40.2 /90	20.1 /90	331.7 /90	130.7 /90	261.4 /90	301.6 /90
Andre Luis	23	41938 min	30.3 /90	00 /90	141.3 /90	60.6 /90	60.6 /90	40.4 /90
Carlos Eduardo	21	47977 min	10.1 /90	20.2 /90	90.8 /90	10.1 /90	70.6 /90	191.8 /90
Bruno Santos	17	811372 min	40.3 /90	00 /90	261.7 /90	110.7 /90	100.7 /90	110.7 /90
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Mirassol — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mirassol before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Joao Victor n 8	84.8	0.8 5/1	0.3 2/0
Reinaldo n 8	91.3	1.5 5/4	0.4 3/0
Alesson n 8	61.8	1.8 5/3	0.5 3/0
Igor Formiga n 8	88.1	1.3 6/3	0.5 4/0
Walter n 8	85.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Mirassol — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mirassol before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Joao Victor n 8	84.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Reinaldo n 8	91.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Alesson n 8	61.8	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Igor Formiga n 8	88.1	0 0/0	0.4 2/1
Walter n 8	85.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Chapecoense-sc v Mirassol — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Chapecoense-scLLLWL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2.6 conceded per game

MirassolWDLWD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 1

Chapecoense-sc 0 · 1 draw · Mirassol 0 · 2 goals/game

2026-05-10 Mirassol 1–1 Chapecoense-sc

League standing · 2026

Chapecoense-sc#20 pos21 pts32 pl-34 GD

Mirassol#15 pos37 pts32 pl-8 GD

Goals per game

Chapecoense-sc scored1

Mirassol scored1.16

Chapecoense-sc conceded2.06

Mirassol conceded1.41

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Chapecoense-sc v Mirassol?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Chapecoense-sc v Mirassol is Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Chapecoense-sc and Mirassol?: In their last 1 meetings, Chapecoense-sc won 0, Mirassol won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chapecoense-sc and Mirassol?: Recent form — Chapecoense-sc 1W 0D 4L; Mirassol 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 29 Oct 2026, 08:03 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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