Chapecoense-sc v Vasco DA Gama prediction

Serie A – Brazil · Sat, 14 Nov 2026 23:30 GMT · Arena Condá

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 21:31 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Chapecoense-sc · Vasco DA Gama · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Chapecoense-sc v Vasco DA Gama, Serie A – Brazil on Sat, 14 Nov 2026 23:30 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 2.15 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 556 of 865 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Chapecoense-sc host Vasco DA Gama in Serie A – Brazil on Saturday 14 November (kick-off 23:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Chapecoense-sc have scored 33 goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games, ranked per game). Chapecoense-sc have conceded 68 goals, the most of the 20 clubs.

Form and the table

10 of Chapecoense-sc’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of Chapecoense-sc’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Chapecoense-sc have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.71.

Seven of Vasco DA Gama’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Vasco DA Gama’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Vasco DA Gama have five wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.78 points per game, scoring 1.11 and conceding 0.67. Vasco DA Gama have scored 43 goals, the ninth-most of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games, ranked per game). Vasco DA Gama have conceded 50 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs.

Chapecoense-sc (20th) and Vasco DA Gama (13th) are 20 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Vasco DA Gama the stronger side, 320 rating points above Chapecoense-sc (Vasco DA Gama 1637, Chapecoense-sc 1318, after at least 185 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Chapecoense-sc are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Vasco DA Gama. The most recent meeting, on 5 February 2026, finished Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Chapecoense-sc.

Team news

Predicted Chapecoense-sc XI (4-2-3-1): Anderson, B. Pacheco, Kauan, E. Doma, B. Tubarão, Camilo, Marcinho, Y. Felipe, G. Augusto, M. Garcez, Túlio — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Heitor (3.5 per match over five appearances, one assist) and Walter Clar (3.4 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Chapecoense-sc’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Chapecoense-sc (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Heitor averages 2.6 tackles per 90 over 528 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last seven appearances. Walter Clar averages 1.3 tackles per 90 over 1338 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Vasco DA Gama XI (4-1-4-1): L. Jardim, R. Renan, A. Saldivia, Cuiabano, G. Pereira, T. Mendes, A. Lescano, S. Sosa, F. Colidio, Jair, B. Duarte — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Cuiabano (5.0 per match over 34 appearances, two goals and four assists) and Coutinho (4.5 per match over three appearances, one goal) have been Vasco DA Gama’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Vasco DA Gama (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Cuiabano averages 3.5 tackles per 90 over 2548 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. Coutinho averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 639 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 23:30 GMT · Serie A – Brazil · Arena Condá
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Chapecoense-sc 0 · draws 4 · Vasco DA Gama 2 · 1.83 goals/game
Recent form: Chapecoense-sc 1W 0D 4L · Vasco DA Gama 2W 0D 3L

Chapecoense-sc v Vasco DA Gama (Serie A – Brazil): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.13

Goals

against 2.25 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.25

over 8 matches

4.13 / 3.5

Corners

against 5.5 / 5.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3 / 3.13

Shots on target

against 7.5 / 3.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 1.63

Cards

against 1.25 / 2.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Chapecoense-sc for / against	Line	Vasco DA Gama for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.25our book	1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.13 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.5 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11 for · 16.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3 for · 7.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.13 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.13 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.63 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Chapecoense-sc

Chapecoense-sc Goalkeeper

Chapecoense-sc — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
Anderson	22	952081 min	984.2 /90	371.6 /90
Leo Vieira	7	92642 min	324.5 /90	111.5 /90
Rafael Santos	4	90360 min	205 /90	102.5 /90
Matheus Aurélio	3	92276 min	123.9 /90	82.6 /90

Chapecoense-sc — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chapecoense-sc before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Anderson n 8	92.8	5.1 7/7

Chapecoense-sc Defensive

Chapecoense-sc — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Eduardo Doma	33	902985 min	250.8 /90	290.9 /90	230.7 /90	993 /90	260.8 /90	80.2 /90
Bruno Pacheco	26	822122 min	431.8 /90	261.1 /90	70.3 /90	1345.7 /90	231 /90	50.2 /90
Everton	23	661513 min	201.2 /90	100.6 /90	40.2 /90	764.5 /90	181.1 /90	50.3 /90
Bruno Leonardo	17	851441 min	120.7 /90	171.1 /90	110.7 /90	623.9 /90	150.9 /90	30.2 /90
Fernando	12	53630 min	50.7 /90	111.6 /90	40.6 /90	284 /90	172.4 /90	10.1 /90
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Chapecoense-sc — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chapecoense-sc before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Eduardo Doma n 8	92.8	1 5/2	0 0/0	—
Marcinho n 8	81.1	1.4 8/2	1.4 5/4	—
Camilo n 8	91.8	2.1 7/6	0.7 3/2	—
Bruno Pacheco n 8	88.4	1.1 6/3	1 5/3	—
Yannick Bolasie n 8	47.8	2.1 7/2	0.9 3/1	—
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Chapecoense-sc — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chapecoense-sc before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Eduardo Doma n 8	92.8	0.7 3/1
Marcinho n 8	81.1	1.7 7/5
Camilo n 8	91.8	2.2 6/4
Bruno Pacheco n 8	88.4	2.4 8/5
Yannick Bolasie n 8	47.8	0.7 2/1
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Chapecoense-sc Attacking

Chapecoense-sc — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Yannick Bolasie	26	661728 min	30.2 /90	20.1 /90	281.5 /90	150.8 /90	130.7 /90	100.5 /90
Italo	16	50804 min	00 /90	00 /90	91 /90	10.1 /90	60.7 /90	80.9 /90
Túlio	13	65846 min	30.3 /90	10.1 /90	181.9 /90	70.7 /90	50.5 /90	101.1 /90
Neto Pessoa	9	37332 min	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	113 /90	51.4 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90
K. Ramírez	8	37297 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	51.5 /90	30.9 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90
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Chapecoense-sc — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chapecoense-sc before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Eduardo Doma n 8	92.8	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
Marcinho n 8	81.1	1 4/2	0.6 2/1
Camilo n 8	91.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Bruno Pacheco n 8	88.4	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
Yannick Bolasie n 8	47.8	0.9 3/1	0.9 3/1
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Chapecoense-sc — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chapecoense-sc before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Eduardo Doma n 8	92.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Marcinho n 8	81.1	0.3 1/1	0.1 1/0
Camilo n 8	91.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Bruno Pacheco n 8	88.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Yannick Bolasie n 8	47.8	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
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Vasco DA Gama

Vasco DA Gama Goalkeeper

Vasco DA Gama — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Léo Jardim	52	914738 min	1342.5 /90	591.1 /90	00 /90
Daniel Fuzato	2	90180 min	63 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90

Vasco DA Gama — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vasco DA Gama before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Léo Jardim n 8	90.9	1.9 6/2

Vasco DA Gama Defensive

Vasco DA Gama — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Robert Renan	45	914074 min	701.5 /90	751.7 /90	190.4 /90	1884.2 /90	430.9 /90	40.1 /90
Puma Rodríguez	36	732619 min	321.1 /90	230.8 /90	70.2 /90	1304.5 /90	120.4 /90	40.1 /90
Cuiabano	34	752548 min	993.5 /90	582 /90	70.2 /90	2268 /90	501.8 /90	50.2 /90
Paulo Henrique	32	712276 min	632.5 /90	251 /90	50.2 /90	1807.1 /90	361.4 /90	50.2 /90
Lucas Piton	31	662033 min	371.6 /90	221 /90	40.2 /90	843.7 /90	271.2 /90	20.1 /90
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Vasco DA Gama — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vasco DA Gama before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Léo Jardim n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Robert Renan n 8	90.9	1.1 4/2	0.4 2/1	—
Thiago Mendes n 8	77.9	1 4/3	1.6 5/2	—
Andrés Gómez n 8	68.9	0.7 3/1	1.3 4/3	—
Puma Rodríguez n 8	71.3	0.6 3/1	0.5 3/0	—
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Vasco DA Gama — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vasco DA Gama before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Robert Renan n 8	90.9	1.9 6/5
Thiago Mendes n 8	77.9	0.7 3/1
Andrés Gómez n 8	68.9	2.3 6/6
Puma Rodríguez n 8	71.3	1.3 6/2
David n 8	32.1	0.4 1/0
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Vasco DA Gama Attacking

Vasco DA Gama — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
David	35	481668 min	50.3 /90	40.2 /90	341.8 /90	150.8 /90	291.6 /90	160.9 /90
Claudio Spinelli	30	521559 min	50.3 /90	10.1 /90	583.3 /90	271.6 /90	90.5 /90	50.3 /90
Brenner	28	451259 min	40.3 /90	20.1 /90	282 /90	141 /90	171.2 /90	20.1 /90
Marino Hinestroza	24	451070 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	161.3 /90	30.3 /90	171.4 /90	292.4 /90
Bruno Duarte	13	59764 min	30.4 /90	20.2 /90	141.6 /90	50.6 /90	50.6 /90	20.2 /90
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Vasco DA Gama — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vasco DA Gama before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Léo Jardim n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Robert Renan n 8	90.9	0.2 2/0	0.1 1/0
Thiago Mendes n 8	77.9	0.7 3/1	0.1 1/0
Andrés Gómez n 8	68.9	2.1 6/4	1 4/2
Puma Rodríguez n 8	71.3	2.2 7/4	0.6 4/0
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Vasco DA Gama — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vasco DA Gama before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Léo Jardim n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Robert Renan n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Thiago Mendes n 8	77.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Andrés Gómez n 8	68.9	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
Puma Rodríguez n 8	71.3	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Chapecoense-sc v Vasco DA Gama — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Chapecoense-scLLWLL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Vasco DA GamaLWLLW

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Chapecoense-sc 0 · 4 draws · Vasco DA Gama 2 · 1.83 goals/game

2026-02-05 Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Chapecoense-sc
2022-07-31 Vasco DA Gama 0–0 Chapecoense-sc
2022-04-23 Chapecoense-sc 0–0 Vasco DA Gama
2019-12-08 Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Chapecoense-SC
2019-09-14 Chapecoense-SC 1–2 Vasco DA Gama
2018-08-26 Vasco DA Gama 3–1 Chapecoense-sc

League standing · 2026

Chapecoense-sc#20 pos21 pts33 pl-35 GD

Vasco DA Gama#13 pos41 pts33 pl-7 GD

Goals per game

Chapecoense-sc scored1

Vasco DA Gama scored1.3

Chapecoense-sc conceded2.06

Vasco DA Gama conceded1.52

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Chapecoense-sc v Vasco DA Gama?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Chapecoense-sc v Vasco DA Gama is Over 2.5 goals (best price 2.15 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Chapecoense-sc and Vasco DA Gama?: In their last 6 meetings, Chapecoense-sc won 0, Vasco DA Gama won 2 and there were 4 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chapecoense-sc and Vasco DA Gama?: Recent form — Chapecoense-sc 1W 0D 4L; Vasco DA Gama 2W 0D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 7 Nov 2026, 21:31 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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