This Matchweek

AC MilanVenezia

AC Milan v Venezia result

Full-time · AC Milan 2–0 Venezia

Serie A · · San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

AC Milan 2–0 Venezia — AC Milan won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.72 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 593 of 923 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.5%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said AC Milan: 3.22 to 0.52 in expected goals, from 16 shots to 10, ahead on xG from the 0th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

AC Milan beat Venezia 2–0 at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza in Serie A on Friday 28 August. AC Milan have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — AC Milan: Gonçalo Ramos (69’, assisted by Alexis Saelemaekers); Venezia: an own goal by Redouane Halhal (89’).

Discipline

G. Manganiello showed four yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — AC Milan: Strahinja Pavlović (71’); Venezia: Joël Schingtienne (27’), Kike Pérez (48’) and Ridgeciano Haps (54’).

What it changes

AC Milan move up from fourth to first (two league matches played).

Venezia move down from 18th to 19th (shared) (two league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Gonçalo Ramos (AC Milan) 6.3, Samuel Chukwueze (AC Milan) 5.1 and Antoine Hainaut (Venezia) 5.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

AC Milan are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Venezia, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

AC Milan next host Frosinone on 22 November 2026.

Venezia next travel to Juventus on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for AC Milan: AC Milan v Frosinone, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Venezia: Juventus v Venezia, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: AC Milan 2–0 Venezia · Serie A
  • Venue: San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza · Milan
  • Referee: G. Manganiello
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): AC Milan 4 · draws 0 · Venezia 0 · 2.75 goals/game
  • Recent form: AC Milan 2W 0D 3L · Venezia 3W 1D 1L

AC Milan 2–0 Venezia (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 2
Goals
against 1.5 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
3 / 5.75
Corners
against 3.38 / 4 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 6.88
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.33 yellows
Referee · G. Manganiello
19.17 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 23 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAC Milan for / againstLineVenezia for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.75our book
2 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
3 for · 3.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5.75 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
13 for · 12.63 against n 8
19.5standard
18 for · 10.38 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
6.88 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 11.88 against n 8
21.5standard
14.5 for · 14.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: G. Manganiello — 3.33 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 19.17 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

AC Milan

AC Milan Defensive

AC Milan — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. De Winter19090 min55 /9022 /9011 /9077 /9011 /9000 /90
S. Pavlović19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /9066 /9000 /9000 /90
Mario Gila17676 min11.2 /9000 /9000 /9055.9 /9011.2 /9000 /90
D. Bartesaghi12424 min00 /9000 /9000 /9013.8 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Chukwueze19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /9033 /9000 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

AC Milan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Y. Musah n 861.8
1.55/2
1.13/3
G. Busio
S. Pavlović n 890
1.15/3
0.94/2
J. Schingtienne
K. De Winter n 886
15/1
0.11/0
J. Schingtienne
S. Chukwueze n 839.4
0.31/0
1.43/1
G. Busio
M. Maignan n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
See more players · Pro
AC Milan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Pavlović n 890
27/5
K. De Winter n 886
27/5
Y. Musah n 861.8
1.16/0
S. Chukwueze n 839.4
1.13/1
P. Estupiñán n 870
1.65/3
See more players · Pro

AC Milan Attacking

AC Milan — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Gonçalo Ramos19090 min00 /9000 /9033 /9011 /9011 /9011 /90
A. Cissè16666 min11.4 /9000 /9034.1 /9011.4 /9011.4 /9000 /90
R. Loftus-Cheek15656 min00 /9000 /9034.8 /9000 /9034.8 /9011.6 /90
A. Saelemaekers12424 min00 /9000 /9013.8 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Chukwueze19090 min00 /9011 /9022 /9011 /9044 /9011 /90
See more players · Pro
AC Milan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Chukwueze n 839.4
25/2
1.14/0
Y. Musah n 861.8
0.73/1
0.21/0
S. Pavlović n 890
0.53/1
0.11/0
K. De Winter n 886
0.11/0
00/0
M. Maignan n 890
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
AC Milan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Chukwueze n 839.4
0.31/0
0.93/0
S. Pavlović n 890
0.11/0
00/0
K. De Winter n 886
00/0
0.11/0
M. Maignan n 890
00/0
00/0
Y. Musah n 861.8
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Venezia

Venezia Goalkeeper

Venezia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
F. Stanković290180 min42 /9042 /9000 /90
Venezia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Venezia before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Stanković n 890
2.37/3

Venezia Defensive

Venezia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Bella-Kotchap290180 min52.5 /9052.5 /9010.5 /90178.5 /9021 /9000 /90
J. Schingtienne290180 min31.5 /9031.5 /9000 /9052.5 /9000 /9000 /90
R. Haps24284 min22.1 /9022.1 /9000 /9044.3 /9000 /9000 /90
B. Franjić19090 min22 /9022 /9000 /9066 /9000 /9000 /90
R. Halhal19090 min00 /9022 /9000 /9011 /9022 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Venezia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Venezia before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
G. Busio n 889.4
1.36/2
1.67/2
S. Chukwueze
J. Schingtienne n 886.9
0.64/1
0.54/0
K. De Winter
F. Stanković n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
J. Yeboah n 885
0.43/0
27/5
—
A. Hainaut n 884.1
0.74/1
0.84/1
—
See more players · Pro
Venezia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Venezia before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Busio n 889.4
2.17/7
J. Schingtienne n 886.9
1.77/4
J. Yeboah n 885
0.85/1
A. Hainaut n 884.1
1.56/3
Kike Pérez n 880.4
1.76/5
See more players · Pro

Venezia Attacking

Venezia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Adams290180 min21 /9010.5 /9063 /9042 /9021 /9021 /90
J. Yeboah290179 min10.5 /9000 /9063 /9021 /9042 /9042 /90
G. Busio290180 min00 /9000 /9052.5 /9031.5 /9031.5 /9031.5 /90
A. Hainaut280159 min00 /9000 /9031.7 /9000 /9021.1 /9000 /90
Kike Pérez272144 min00 /9000 /9042.5 /9021.3 /9042.5 /9010.6 /90
See more players · Pro
Venezia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Venezia before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Busio n 889.4
1.56/5
0.52/1
J. Schingtienne n 886.9
0.32/0
00/0
F. Stanković n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Yeboah n 885
2.57/6
1.67/4
A. Hainaut n 884.1
0.74/1
0.11/0
See more players · Pro
Venezia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Venezia before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Busio n 889.4
00/0
0.32/0
F. Stanković n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Schingtienne n 886.9
00/0
00/0
J. Yeboah n 885
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Hainaut n 884.1
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AC MilanVenezia
58%Possession42%
2.21Expected goals (xG)0.80
16Shots9
5Shots on target2
9Shots off target3
2Blocked shots4
11Shots inside the box7
2Corners3
1Offsides4
8Fouls11
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves4
508Passes363
87%Pass accuracy83%

AC Milan Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Maignan9000000007.3
K. De Winter9000200106.6
S. Pavlović90001005Y7.5
S. Chukwueze9000113307.9
Y. Musah9000101207.3
Gonçalo Ramos9010730106.9
Mario Gila8700001107.2
D. Bartesaghi8700002407.3
L. Modrić7400002007.5
R. Loftus-Cheek5900003006.7
A. Cissè5900100006.2
A. Saelemaekers sub3101003107.5
A. Rabiot sub3100000106.3
A. Jashari sub1600110006.9
M. Gabbia sub30000000–
P. Estupiñán sub30000010–

Venezia Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Stanković9000000007.5
J. Schingtienne90000002Y6.2
A. Bella-Kotchap9000100106.7
A. Hainaut9000101406.7
G. Busio9000001307
A. Adams9000111006.5
Kike Pérez80000006Y6.7
J. Yeboah8000212106.7
R. Haps66000011Y6.3
T. Bašić6500000106.6
B. Franjić4400000206.9
R. Halhal sub4600000105.9
S. Sohm sub2500001006.2
Thierry Correia sub2400000106.3
A. Rrahmani sub1000000006.2
L. Lauberbach sub1000000106.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind AC Milan v Venezia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AC MilanLLWLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
VeneziaWDWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
AC Milan 4 · 0 draws · Venezia 0 · 2.75 goals/game
  • 2025-04-27 Venezia 0–2 AC Milan
  • 2024-09-14 AC Milan 4–0 Venezia
  • 2022-01-09 Venezia 0–3 AC Milan
  • 2021-09-22 AC Milan 2–0 Venezia
League standing · 2026/27
AC Milan#4 pos24 pts11 pl+10 GD
Venezia#19 pos6 pts11 pl-13 GD
Goals per game
AC Milan scored2.09
Venezia scored0.73
AC Milan conceded1.18
Venezia conceded1.91

Shot Map and Expected Goals

AC Milan 3.22 xG from 16 shots, Venezia 0.52 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Yunus Musah 54' · 0.60 xGArdon Jashari 88' · 0.52 xGGonçalo Ramos 59' · 0.51 xGGonçalo Ramos 41' · 0.38 xGGonçalo Ramos 11' · 0.28 xGAkor Adams 66' · 0.13 xGGonçalo Ramos 32' · 0.11 xGJohn Yeboah 23' · 0.10 xGKoni de Winter 51' · 0.09 xGGonçalo Ramos 0' · 0.09 xGAkor Adams 18' · 0.07 xGAlbion Rrahmani 92' · 0.07 xGStrahinja Pavlovic 64' · 0.07 xGKoni de Winter 39' · 0.06 xGGonçalo Ramos 50' · 0.06 xGJohn Yeboah 72' · 0.05 xGAkor Adams 90' · 0.04 xGAdrien Rabiot 85' · 0.04 xGAlphadjo Cissè 4' · 0.03 xGAntoine Hainaut 48' · 0.03 xGGonçalo Ramos 21' · 0.02 xGSamuel Chukwueze 43' · 0.02 xGJohn Yeboah 36' · 0.01 xGArmel Bella Kotchap 90' · 0.01 xGRedouane Halal 88' · 0.00 xGGonçalo Ramos 68' · 0.36 xG · goal
AC Milan (attacking right)Venezia (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
AC Milan1613.22
Venezia1000.52

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, AC Milan led on xG, 0.99 to 0.19. At full time, AC Milan led on xG, 3.22 to 0.52. The widest gap was 2.82 xG to AC Milan, in the 88th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.21.600′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - AC Milan 68 min
AC Milan 3.22 xGVenezia 0.52 xGdots = goals · 26 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for AC Milan v Venezia?
TACTIX’s free model pick for AC Milan v Venezia was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.72 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between AC Milan and Venezia?
In their last 4 meetings, AC Milan won 4, Venezia won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.75 goals per game.
What is the recent form of AC Milan and Venezia?
Recent form — AC Milan 2W 0D 3L; Venezia 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 19 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+