AS RomaFiorentina

AS Roma v Fiorentina result

Full-time · AS Roma 4–0 Fiorentina

Serie A ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: AS Roma · Fiorentina · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

AS Roma 4–0 Fiorentina — AS Roma won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,943 of 2,598 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said AS Roma: 2.84 to 0.13 in expected goals, from 14 shots to 4, ahead on xG from the 11th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

AS Roma beat Fiorentina 4–0 in Serie A on Monday 4 May. AS Roma have scored in 14 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

AS Roma led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — AS Roma: Gianluca Mancini (13’, assisted by Niccolò Pisilli), Wesley (17’, assisted by Hermoso), Hermoso (34’, assisted by M. Koné) and Niccolò Pisilli (58’, assisted by Donyell Malen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Gianluca Mancini’s goal on 13 minutes.

Discipline

L. Zufferli showed four yellow cards — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — AS Roma: Hermoso (48’) and Stephan El Shaarawy (90+2’); Fiorentina: Marin Pongračić (25’) and F. Parisi (66’).

What it changes

AS Roma stay fifth after this result (35 league matches played).

Fiorentina stay 15th after this result (35 league matches played).

AS Roma’s four-goal margin was the biggest of round 35, across 10 matches. AS Roma are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Fiorentina are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Niccolò Pisilli (AS Roma) 11.7, Hermoso (AS Roma) 8.9 and Wesley (AS Roma) 8.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, AS Roma or Fiorentina (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

AS Roma next host Sassuolo on 7 November 2026.

Fiorentina next host Juventus on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for AS Roma: AS Roma v Sassuolo, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Fiorentina: Fiorentina v Juventus, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: AS Roma 4–0 Fiorentina · Serie A
  • Referee: L. Zufferli
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): AS Roma 2 · draws 2 · Fiorentina 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: AS Roma 3W 1D 1L · Fiorentina 2W 2D 1L

AS Roma 4–0 Fiorentina (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1
Goals
against 1.5 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.71 / 3.75
Corners
against 5.57 / 4.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.14 / 4
Shots on target
against 4.57 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2 / 3
Cards
against 1.43 / 2.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3 yellows
Referee · L. Zufferli
22.4 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAS Roma for / againstLineFiorentina for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5our book
1 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.71 for · 5.57 against n 7
9.5standard
3.75 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
9.71 for · 12.43 against n 7
19.5standard
12.63 for · 13.75 against n 8
Shots on target
3.14 for · 4.57 against n 7
8.5standard
4 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
13 for · 13.29 against n 7
21.5standard
11.88 for · 12.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.43 against n 7
3.5standard
3 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: L. Zufferli — 3 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.4 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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AS Roma

AS Roma Goalkeeper

AS Roma — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Svilar43903870 min1202.8 /90380.9 /9000 /90
P. Gollini19090 min00 /9011 /9000 /90
AS Roma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Svilar n 890
3.17/5

AS Roma Defensive

AS Roma — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Mancini39833231 min541.5 /90521.4 /90150.4 /902025.6 /90832.3 /90110.3 /90
E. Ndicka38833143 min300.9 /90591.7 /90120.3 /901724.9 /90421.2 /9070.2 /90
Hermoso29752164 min401.7 /90301.2 /9080.3 /901194.9 /90411.7 /9080.3 /90
D. Ghilardi23621430 min452.8 /90231.4 /9080.5 /901086.8 /90291.8 /9030.2 /90
J. Ziółkowski1255658 min233.1 /90131.8 /9071 /90608.2 /90131.8 /9020.3 /90
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AS Roma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Svilar n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
B. Cristante n 884.4
2.18/4
0.32/0
—
G. Mancini n 874.3
27/4
1.56/3
L. Ranieri
Z. Çelik n 876.5
1.35/3
0.43/0
—
E. Ndicka n 890
0.83/2
1.15/4
M. Pongračić
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AS Roma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Cristante n 884.4
1.65/2
G. Mancini n 874.3
1.26/1
Z. Çelik n 876.5
1.87/3
E. Ndicka n 890
0.86/0
M. Soulé n 864.3
0.94/1
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AS Roma Attacking

AS Roma — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Soulé37692557 min70.2 /9070.2 /90521.8 /90240.8 /90541.9 /90401.4 /90
L. Pellegrini32591888 min60.3 /9030.1 /90311.5 /90170.8 /90472.2 /9070.3 /90
P. Dybala22591294 min30.2 /9030.2 /90271.9 /90171.2 /90533.7 /90161.1 /90
S. El Shaarawy2142891 min10.1 /9020.2 /90202 /9080.8 /90151.5 /90151.5 /90
E. Ferguson20531061 min50.4 /9020.2 /90292.5 /90181.5 /90161.4 /90121 /90
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AS Roma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Svilar n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Cristante n 884.4
0.31/1
00/0
G. Mancini n 874.3
0.32/0
0.21/0
Z. Çelik n 876.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
E. Ndicka n 890
0.96/1
0.43/0
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AS Roma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Svilar n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Cristante n 884.4
00/0
00/0
G. Mancini n 874.3
0.21/0
00/0
Z. Çelik n 876.5
00/0
00/0
E. Ndicka n 890
0.32/0
00/0
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Fiorentina

Fiorentina Goalkeeper

Fiorentina — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
David de Gea42903781 min1283 /90531.3 /9010 /90
O. Christensen390270 min82.7 /9051.7 /9000 /90
T. Martinelli290180 min63 /9031.5 /9000 /90
Fiorentina — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
David de Gea n 890
3.48/3

Fiorentina Defensive

Fiorentina — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Pongračić41843425 min421.1 /90441.2 /90290.8 /901514 /90772 /90130.3 /90
Dodô40853408 min310.8 /90300.8 /9040.1 /901614.3 /90260.7 /9090.2 /90
L. Ranieri39793085 min431.3 /90270.8 /90130.4 /901404.1 /90280.8 /90100.3 /90
P. Comuzzo32752387 min471.8 /90341.3 /90190.7 /901043.9 /90321.2 /9050.2 /90
R. Gosens29712069 min331.4 /90180.8 /9060.3 /90984.3 /90221 /9030.1 /90
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Fiorentina — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
David de Gea n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
M. Pongračić n 879.6
26/4
0.43/0
E. Ndicka
Dodô n 881.3
1.47/2
0.64/0
—
Rolando Mandragora n 878.6
1.66/3
2.47/5
—
L. Ranieri n 890
0.43/0
15/3
G. Mancini
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Fiorentina — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Pongračić n 879.6
15/2
Dodô n 881.3
14/3
Rolando Mandragora n 878.6
1.45/4
L. Ranieri n 890
1.47/2
A. Guðmundsson n 874.3
0.63/1
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Fiorentina Attacking

Fiorentina — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Guðmundsson39662593 min90.3 /9060.2 /90371.3 /90210.7 /90381.3 /90270.9 /90
R. Piccoli33662175 min70.3 /9020.1 /90532.2 /90210.9 /90210.9 /9080.3 /90
M. Kean31742308 min80.3 /9010 /90863.4 /90351.4 /9060.2 /90281.1 /90
J. Harrison18681232 min10.1 /9030.2 /9080.6 /9030.2 /90171.2 /90181.3 /90
M. Solomon1354697 min20.3 /9010.1 /9070.9 /9040.5 /90192.5 /90222.8 /90
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Fiorentina — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
David de Gea n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Pongračić n 879.6
00/0
00/0
Dodô n 881.3
1.15/2
0.64/0
Rolando Mandragora n 878.6
1.66/4
0.74/1
L. Ranieri n 890
00/0
00/0
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Fiorentina — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
David de Gea n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Pongračić n 879.6
00/0
00/0
Dodô n 881.3
0.11/0
00/0
Rolando Mandragora n 878.6
00/0
0.43/0
L. Ranieri n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AS RomaFiorentina
61%Possession39%
2.24Expected goals (xG)0.14
14Shots4
7Shots on target1
3Shots off target3
4Blocked shots0
11Shots inside the box3
4Corners5
1Offsides0
12Fouls10
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves3
595Passes373
91%Pass accuracy83%

AS Roma Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Svilar9000000007.2
E. Ndicka9000100207.3
Z. Çelik9000100507
N. Pisilli9011112308.9
Wesley9010113208.5
B. Cristante9000000306.6
Hermoso83112113Y7.9
D. Malen8301221007.6
G. Mancini7210110007.6
M. Soulé7200003007.5
M. Koné6401001108.2
S. El Shaarawy sub26000021Y6.9
D. Ghilardi sub1800000106.7
P. Dybala sub1800110006.5
J. Ziółkowski sub1000000006.9
R. Vaz sub1000000006.5

Fiorentina Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
David de Gea9000000005.9
Dodô9000000005.7
L. Ranieri9000000005.9
R. Gosens9000000506.5
C. Ndour9000000306.6
M. Solomon9000111006.5
M. Brescianini7500000006.2
N. Fagioli7500101006.3
M. Pongračić45000000Y5.6
J. Harrison4500000106.5
A. Guðmundsson4500000106.7
F. Parisi sub45001000Y6.3
P. Comuzzo sub4500000106.5
R. Braschi sub4500100206.5
G. Fabbian sub1500001006.3
J. Fazzini sub1500000106.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind AS Roma v Fiorentina — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AS RomaWLWDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
FiorentinaLWWDD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 0.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
AS Roma 2 · 2 draws · Fiorentina 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2025-10-05 Fiorentina 1–2 AS Roma
  • 2025-05-04 AS Roma 1–0 Fiorentina
  • 2024-10-27 Fiorentina 5–1 AS Roma
  • 2024-03-10 Fiorentina 2–2 AS Roma
  • 2023-12-10 AS Roma 1–1 Fiorentina
  • 2023-05-27 Fiorentina 2–1 AS Roma
League standing · 2025/26
AS Roma#3 pos73 pts38 pl+28 GD
Fiorentina#15 pos42 pts38 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
AS Roma scored1.55
Fiorentina scored1.08
AS Roma conceded0.82
Fiorentina conceded1.32

Shot Map and Expected Goals

AS Roma 2.84 xG from 14 shots, Fiorentina 0.13 from 4. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Stephan El Shaarawy 67' · 0.13 xGDonyell Malen 51' · 0.13 xGDonyell Malen 11' · 0.12 xGDonyell Malen 26' · 0.12 xGDonyell Malen 35' · 0.11 xGEvan Ndicka 51' · 0.07 xGMehmet Zeki Çelik 84' · 0.06 xGRiccardo Braschi 46' · 0.04 xGManor Solomon 46' · 0.03 xGFabiano Parisi 91' · 0.03 xGNicolo Fagioli 43' · 0.03 xGPaulo Dybala 89' · 0.02 xGNiccolò Pisilli 52' · 0.02 xGMario Hermoso 45' · 0.01 xGMario Hermoso 33' · 0.93 xG · goalNiccolò Pisilli 57' · 0.54 xG · goalGianluca Mancini 12' · 0.48 xG · goalWesley 16' · 0.11 xG · goal
AS Roma (attacking right)Fiorentina (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
AS Roma1442.84
Fiorentina400.13

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, AS Roma led on xG, 1.87 to 0.03. At full time, AS Roma led on xG, 2.84 to 0.13. The widest gap was 2.74 xG to AS Roma, in the 89th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.81.400′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - AS Roma 12 minGoal - AS Roma 16 minGoal - AS Roma 33 minGoal - AS Roma 57 min
AS Roma 2.84 xGFiorentina 0.13 xGdots = goals · 18 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for AS Roma v Fiorentina?
TACTIX’s free model pick for AS Roma v Fiorentina was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between AS Roma and Fiorentina?
In their last 6 meetings, AS Roma won 2, Fiorentina won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of AS Roma and Fiorentina?
Recent form — AS Roma 3W 1D 1L; Fiorentina 2W 2D 1L.

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