This Matchweek

AS RomaInter

AS Roma v Inter result

Full-time · AS Roma 2–2 Inter

Serie A · · Stadio Olimpico

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: AS Roma · Inter · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

AS Roma 2–2 Inter — this Serie A match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.65 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Inter: 3.17 to 2.31 in expected goals, from 16 shots to 18, ahead on xG from the 78th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

AS Roma and Inter drew 2–2 at Stadio Olimpico in Serie A on Saturday 19 September. AS Roma are unbeaten in their last 13 matches in all competitions.

The goals

AS Roma led 2–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — AS Roma: M. Koné (6’, assisted by Nahuel Molina; 37’, assisted by Gianluca Mancini); Inter: Lautaro Martínez (46’, assisted by M. Thuram; 79’).

Discipline

Davide Massa, Italy showed six yellow cards — against 5.6 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — AS Roma: E. Ndicka (73’), Konstantinos Koulierakis (82’) and Daniele Ghilardi (89’); Inter: Nicolò Barella (11’), Manuel Akanji (45+4’) and Alessandro Bastoni (57’).

What it changes

AS Roma stay first after this result (five league matches played). AS Roma have scored 28 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). AS Roma have conceded 10 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Inter stay second after this result (five league matches played). Inter have scored 26 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Inter have conceded 13 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

With four goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 5, across 10 matches. AS Roma have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Inter have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lautaro Martínez (Inter) 10.7, M. Koné (AS Roma) 8.5 and Yann Bisseck (Inter) 7.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.4% of the time in the last 90 days (366 of 543).

Next up

AS Roma next host Sassuolo on 7 November 2026.

Inter next host Como on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for AS Roma: AS Roma v Sassuolo, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Inter: Inter v Como, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: AS Roma 2–2 Inter · Serie A
  • Venue: Stadio Olimpico · Rome
  • Referee: Davide Massa, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): AS Roma 1 · draws 0 · Inter 5 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: AS Roma 4W 1D 0L · Inter 4W 0D 1L

AS Roma 2–2 Inter (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 3 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.5 / 2.5
Goals
against 0.5 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
6 / 7.13
Corners
against 2.5 / 3.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.88 / 6.5
Shots on target
against 3.13 / 4.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.75 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.6 yellows
Referee · Davide Massa, Italy
23 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 14 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAS Roma for / againstLineInter for / against
Goals scored
2.5 for · 0.5 against n 8
3our book
2.5 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 2.5 against n 8
9.5standard
7.13 for · 3.13 against n 8
Shots
17.88 for · 8.25 against n 8
19.5standard
20 for · 11 against n 8
Shots on target
6.88 for · 3.13 against n 8
8.5standard
6.5 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
13 for · 11.5 against n 8
21.5standard
8.75 for · 10.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Davide Massa, Italy — 5.6 yellow cards a game, 0.8 red cards, 23 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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AS Roma

AS Roma Goalkeeper

AS Roma — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Svilar590450 min142.8 /9010.2 /9000 /90
AS Roma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 14 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Svilar n 890
2.56/4

AS Roma Defensive

AS Roma — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Hermoso586428 min102.1 /90194 /9010.2 /90204.2 /9061.3 /9020.4 /90
G. Mancini581406 min102.2 /9071.6 /9000 /90214.7 /9092 /9000 /90
Nahuel Molina443172 min84.2 /9000 /9000 /90115.8 /9031.6 /9000 /90
E. Ndicka382247 min51.8 /9051.8 /9000 /90186.6 /90124.4 /9000 /90
L. Balerdi343129 min32.1 /9053.5 /9010.7 /90107 /9032.1 /9000 /90
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AS Roma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 14 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Svilar n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Hermoso n 882.6
1.46/3
0.86/0
A. Bastoni
B. Cristante n 882.9
1.46/3
0.43/0
P. Zieliński
P. Dybala n 884.4
0.43/0
3.17/6
N. Barella
G. Mancini n 883.6
1.77/5
0.85/1
A. Bastoni
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AS Roma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 14 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Hermoso n 882.6
1.55/2
B. Cristante n 882.9
2.37/5
P. Dybala n 884.4
1.26/3
G. Mancini n 883.6
1.66/4
D. Malen n 874.9
0.84/1
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AS Roma Attacking

AS Roma — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Dybala581407 min00 /9040.9 /90153.3 /9061.3 /90184 /9040.9 /90
D. Malen568342 min61.6 /9010.3 /90184.7 /9092.4 /9051.3 /90123.2 /90
M. Soulé553263 min20.7 /9010.3 /90124.1 /9072.4 /9051.7 /9051.7 /90
S. Castro426105 min00 /9000 /9076 /9000 /9021.7 /9010.9 /90
B. Cristante585424 min10.2 /9000 /9051.1 /9020.4 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90
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AS Roma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 14 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Svilar n 890
00/0
00/0
Hermoso n 882.6
0.42/1
0.11/0
B. Cristante n 882.9
1.15/3
0.32/0
P. Dybala n 884.4
2.57/5
1.26/3
G. Mancini n 883.6
0.84/2
0.53/1
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AS Roma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 14 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Svilar n 890
00/0
00/0
Hermoso n 882.6
0.11/0
00/0
B. Cristante n 882.9
0.11/0
00/0
P. Dybala n 884.4
00/0
1.15/2
G. Mancini n 883.6
0.31/1
0.11/0
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Inter

Inter Goalkeeper

Inter — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Josep Martínez590450 min163.2 /9081.6 /9000 /90
Inter — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 14 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Josep Martínez n 890
2.96/3

Inter Defensive

Inter — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Bastoni584419 min112.4 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90194.1 /9040.9 /9000 /90
M. Akanji481323 min61.7 /9061.7 /9020.6 /90215.9 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90
J. Stones436144 min31.9 /9000 /9000 /90138.1 /9021.3 /9000 /90
Y. Bisseck390270 min72.3 /9041.3 /9020.7 /90134.3 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
B. Pavard354163 min31.7 /9010.6 /9000 /9042.2 /9010.6 /9000 /90
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Inter — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 14 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Josep Martínez n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
N. Barella n 876.1
0.74/1
0.94/2
P. Dybala
A. Bastoni n 878.3
16/1
0.64/0
G. Mancini
P. Zieliński n 862.4
0.42/0
0.95/0
B. Cristante
Andy Diouf n 877.3
0.63/1
0.11/0
—
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Inter — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 14 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Barella n 876.1
1.25/3
A. Bastoni n 878.3
1.76/3
P. Zieliński n 862.4
0.94/1
Andy Diouf n 877.3
1.76/3
Lautaro Martínez n 874.1
1.46/3
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Inter Attacking

Inter — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Lautaro Martínez481324 min20.6 /9010.3 /90143.9 /9051.4 /9061.7 /9041.1 /90
F. Esposito473290 min20.6 /9010.3 /9092.8 /9051.6 /9041.2 /9000 /90
M. Thuram450200 min20.9 /9010.5 /90125.4 /9052.3 /9041.8 /9020.9 /90
A. Bonny32986 min11 /9000 /9022.1 /9022.1 /9000 /9000 /90
N. Barella584420 min10.2 /9010.2 /9081.7 /9051.1 /90143 /9081.7 /90
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Inter — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 14 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Josep Martínez n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Barella n 876.1
1.87/5
0.73/2
A. Bastoni n 878.3
0.62/2
0.11/0
P. Zieliński n 862.4
1.15/1
0.53/0
Andy Diouf n 877.3
0.93/2
0.32/0
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Inter — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 14 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Josep Martínez n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Barella n 876.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
A. Bastoni n 878.3
00/0
00/0
P. Zieliński n 862.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
Andy Diouf n 877.3
0.11/0
0.42/1
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AS RomaInter
49%Possession51%
1.66Expected goals (xG)2.86
18Shots16
4Shots on target5
7Shots off target8
7Blocked shots3
12Shots inside the box11
4Corners2
3Offsides3
13Fouls7
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves2
466Passes474
84%Pass accuracy86%

AS Roma Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Svilar9000000007.9
Wesley9000000106.9
B. Cristante9000101206.9
P. Dybala9000307008.2
M. Soulé9000111007.5
D. Malen9000213007
Hermoso8100001306.9
L. Balerdi6600000306.6
G. Mancini6001101106.3
M. Koné6020220009.2
Nahuel Molina6001102006.9
E. Ndicka sub30000000Y6.7
N. Pisilli sub3000000006.3
D. Rensch sub3000000106.5
D. Ghilardi sub24000001Y6
K. Koulierakis sub9000000Y6.5

Inter Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Josep Martínez9000000006.3
Y. Bisseck9000111407.6
M. Akanji90001003Y6.9
Andy Diouf9000110207.2
N. Barella90000030Y6.9
P. Zieliński9000100006.7
M. Thuram8901311207.3
Lautaro Martínez8920522208.6
A. Bastoni63001002Y6.5
C. Jones5400002006.5
F. Dimarco5400000006.6
Carlos Augusto sub3600001006.9
P. Sučić sub3600002207.2
Luis Henrique sub2700000006.6
A. Bonny sub10000010–
F. Esposito sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind AS Roma v Inter — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AS RomaWWWDW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.6 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
InterWWWLW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
AS Roma 1 · 0 draws · Inter 5 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-04-05 Inter 5–2 AS Roma
  • 2025-10-18 AS Roma 0–1 Inter
  • 2025-04-27 Inter 0–1 AS Roma
  • 2024-10-20 AS Roma 0–1 Inter
  • 2024-02-10 AS Roma 2–4 Inter
  • 2023-10-29 Inter 1–0 AS Roma
League standing · 2026/27
AS Roma#3 pos24 pts10 pl+18 GD
Inter#2 pos25 pts10 pl+13 GD
Goals per game
AS Roma scored2.8
Inter scored2.6
AS Roma conceded1
Inter conceded1.3

Shot Map and Expected Goals

AS Roma 2.31 xG from 18 shots, Inter 3.17 from 16. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Lautaro Martínez 78' · 0.67 xGManuel Akanji 78' · 0.65 xGLautaro Martínez 28' · 0.47 xGGianluca Mancini 36' · 0.45 xGYann Bisseck 25' · 0.31 xGMarcus Thuram 78' · 0.13 xGDonyell Malen 24' · 0.11 xGDonyell Malen 67' · 0.11 xGDonyell Malen 52' · 0.11 xGPaulo Dybala 17' · 0.10 xGNiccolò Pisilli 60' · 0.08 xGMatìas Soulè Malvano 36' · 0.08 xGPaulo Dybala 12' · 0.08 xGYann Bisseck 78' · 0.08 xGMarcus Thuram 58' · 0.07 xGWesley 33' · 0.06 xGAlessandro Bastoni 32' · 0.06 xGWesley 66' · 0.06 xGLautaro Martínez 77' · 0.05 xGBryan Cristante 67' · 0.05 xGLautaro Martínez 51' · 0.05 xGPaulo Dybala 61' · 0.04 xGLuis Henrique 69' · 0.03 xGMarcus Thuram 87' · 0.03 xGBryan Cristante 11' · 0.02 xGPiotr Zielinski 61' · 0.02 xGNahuel Molina 53' · 0.02 xGMatìas Soulè Malvano 40' · 0.01 xGPaulo Dybala 19' · 0.01 xGAndy Diouf 69' · 0.01 xGKouadio Kone 36' · 0.54 xG · goalLautaro Martínez 78' · 0.40 xG · goalKouadio Kone 5' · 0.39 xG · goalLautaro Martínez 45' · 0.14 xG · goal
AS Roma (attacking right)Inter (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
AS Roma1822.31
Inter1623.17

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, AS Roma led on xG, 1.85 to 0.99. At full time, Inter led on xG, 3.17 to 2.31. The widest gap was 1.19 xG to AS Roma, in the 67th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.21.600′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - AS Roma 5 minGoal - AS Roma 36 minGoal - Inter 45 minGoal - Inter 78 min
AS Roma 2.31 xGInter 3.17 xGdots = goals · 34 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for AS Roma v Inter?
TACTIX’s free model pick for AS Roma v Inter was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.65 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between AS Roma and Inter?
In their last 6 meetings, AS Roma won 1, Inter won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of AS Roma and Inter?
Recent form — AS Roma 4W 1D 0L; Inter 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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