This Matchweek

AtalantaSassuolo

Atalanta v Sassuolo result

Full-time · Atalanta 2–1 Sassuolo

Serie A · · New Balance Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Atalanta 2–1 Sassuolo — Atalanta won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,959 of 2,624 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Sassuolo: 2.70 to 0.92 in expected goals, from 22 shots to 14, ahead on xG from the 30th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Atalanta beat Sassuolo 2–1 at New Balance Arena in Serie A on Sunday 23 August.

The goals

Atalanta led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Atalanta: Giacomo Raspadori (6’, assisted by Gianluca Gaetano) and Nikola Krstović (65’); Sassuolo: Cas Odenthal (55’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Nikola Krstović’s goal on 65 minutes.

Discipline

V. Crezzini showed no yellow cards — against 3.1 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (all competitions).

What it changes

Atalanta are fourth after this result (one league match played).

Sassuolo are 15th after this result (one league match played).

Atalanta are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Giacomo Raspadori (Atalanta) 7.5, Gianluca Gaetano (Atalanta) 7.0 and Darryl Bakola (Sassuolo) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Atalanta or Sassuolo (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Atalanta next travel to Monza on 8 November 2026.

Sassuolo next host Genoa on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Atalanta: Monza v Atalanta, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Sassuolo: Sassuolo v Genoa, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Atalanta 2–1 Sassuolo · Serie A
  • Venue: New Balance Arena · Bergamo
  • Referee: V. Crezzini
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Atalanta 3 · draws 0 · Sassuolo 3 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Atalanta 1W 3D 1L · Sassuolo 2W 0D 3L

Atalanta 2–1 Sassuolo (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 5 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4 / 3.25
Corners
against 3.43 / 5.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.57 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 5.29 / 4.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.57 / 2.13
Cards
against 1.14 / 3.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 20 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAtalanta for / againstLineSassuolo for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.75our book
1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 3.43 against n 7
9.5standard
3.25 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
12.86 for · 11.86 against n 7
19.5standard
12.75 for · 13.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.57 for · 5.29 against n 7
8.5standard
4.63 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.86 for · 8.86 against n 7
21.5standard
11.5 for · 12 against n 8
Cards shown
1.57 for · 1.14 against n 7
3.5standard
2.13 for · 3.13 against n 8

Referee: V. Crezzini.

Atalanta

Atalanta Goalkeeper

Atalanta — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Carnesecchi19090 min44 /9000 /9000 /90
Atalanta — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Carnesecchi n 890
3.55/4

Atalanta Defensive

Atalanta — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Bernasconi19090 min33 /9011 /9000 /9033 /9011 /9000 /90
O. Kossounou19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /9022 /9000 /9000 /90
R. Bellanova19090 min00 /9022 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9000 /90
T. Kristensen16464 min00 /9000 /9000 /9022.8 /9000 /9000 /90
G. Scalvini12626 min26.9 /9000 /9000 /9026.9 /9000 /9000 /90
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Atalanta — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Éderson n 879.6
1.65/4
1.76/4
D. Bakola
G. Raspadori n 872.8
1.14/3
0.94/2
A. Laurienté
R. Bellanova n 851.6
1.15/0
1.14/1
—
O. Kossounou n 845
0.52/0
0.31/0
Josh Doig
L. Bernasconi n 883.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
C. Odenthal
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Atalanta — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Éderson n 879.6
26/5
O. Kossounou n 845
1.86/1
G. Raspadori n 872.8
1.13/3
L. Bernasconi n 883.3
0.94/2
R. Bellanova n 851.6
0.72/1
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Atalanta Attacking

Atalanta — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
G. Raspadori19090 min00 /9000 /9022 /9022 /9011 /9011 /90
N. Zalewski17878 min00 /9000 /9011.2 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
Gianluca Scamacca16363 min00 /9000 /9011.4 /9011.4 /9011.4 /9000 /90
N. Krstović12727 min00 /9000 /90310 /9013.3 /9000 /9000 /90
Éderson19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011 /9000 /90
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Atalanta — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Raspadori n 872.8
1.76/5
1.15/2
Éderson n 879.6
0.84/2
0.64/0
R. Bellanova n 851.6
0.41/1
0.41/1
L. Bernasconi n 883.3
0.32/0
00/0
O. Kossounou n 845
0.31/0
00/0
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Atalanta — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Éderson n 879.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
G. Raspadori n 872.8
0.21/0
00/0
M. Carnesecchi n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Bernasconi n 883.3
00/0
00/0
R. Bellanova n 851.6
00/0
00/0
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Sassuolo

Sassuolo Goalkeeper

Sassuolo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Murić19090 min55 /9000 /9000 /90
Sassuolo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Murić n 890
48/5

Sassuolo Defensive

Sassuolo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Odenthal19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /9022 /9000 /9000 /90
Josh Doig19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /9044 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Cinquegrano18282 min11.1 /9000 /9000 /9044.4 /9011.1 /9000 /90
T. Macchioni18282 min22.2 /9000 /9000 /9033.3 /9000 /9000 /90
D. Bakola19090 min55 /9011 /9000 /901212 /9000 /9000 /90
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Sassuolo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Laurienté n 885.8
1.87/4
2.26/4
G. Raspadori
C. Volpato n 851.5
1.76/1
1.75/3
—
D. Bakola n 449.5
0.92/0
1.82/2
Éderson
C. Odenthal n 490
0.82/1
13/1
L. Bernasconi
Josh Doig n 861
0.62/1
0.94/1
O. Kossounou
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Sassuolo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Bakola n 449.5
5.54/4
C. Volpato n 851.5
2.26/3
C. Odenthal n 490
1.83/2
Josh Doig n 861
1.86/3
A. Laurienté n 885.8
1.27/1
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Sassuolo Attacking

Sassuolo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Laurienté19090 min00 /9000 /9033 /9011 /9055 /9033 /90
C. Volpato19090 min11 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9055 /9000 /90
Kieron Bowie16666 min00 /9000 /9034.1 /9022.7 /9011.4 /9000 /90
B. Domínguez12424 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9027.5 /90
D. Bakola19090 min00 /9011 /9022 /9022 /9044 /9022 /90
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Sassuolo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Laurienté n 885.8
2.47/5
0.95/2
D. Bakola n 449.5
1.42/1
0.91/1
C. Volpato n 851.5
1.34/2
0.93/1
C. Odenthal n 490
0.51/1
00/0
Josh Doig n 861
0.42/0
0.21/0
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Sassuolo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 20 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Bakola n 449.5
00/0
0.92/0
A. Laurienté n 885.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
C. Volpato n 851.5
0.42/0
00/0
Josh Doig n 861
00/0
0.21/0
A. Murić n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AtalantaSassuolo
56%Possession44%
0.88Expected goals (xG)2.70
14Shots22
7Shots on target8
4Shots off target9
3Blocked shots5
8Shots inside the box12
4Corners4
0Offsides1
9Fouls10
7Saves5
596Passes466
91%Pass accuracy91%

Atalanta Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Carnesecchi9000000007.6
D. Zappacosta9000100207
O. Kossounou9000000006.5
G. Scalvini9000100006.9
G. Gaetano9001111407.2
Éderson9000221106.3
G. Raspadori8210110308.3
L. Bernasconi7100000006.3
M. Pašalić6000000006.3
N. Zalewski6000112107.9
Gianluca Scamacca6000001207.2
L. Samardžić sub3000102306.9
C. De Ketelaere sub3000001006.9
N. Krstović sub3010321007.3
S. Kolašinac sub1900000006.9
E. Elmas sub800000006.3

Sassuolo Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Murić9000000006.9
S. Cinquegrano9000101106.7
C. Odenthal9010111007.2
Josh Doig9000003407.3
D. Bakola9000100507.2
A. Laurienté9000522106.6
S. Cinquegrano9000101106.7
C. Volpato8800225107.2
Kieron Bowie8800203006.5
T. Macchioni7400000005.9
N. Matić7400101007.2
Vasilije Adžić6400222106.3
K. Thorstvedt sub2600110106.9
F. Leysen sub1600000007
B. Domínguez sub1600100006.5
R. Ciervo sub20000000–
G. Kulla sub20000000–
G. Kulla sub20000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Atalanta v Sassuolo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AtalantaDWLDD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
SassuoloWLLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Atalanta 3 · 0 draws · Sassuolo 3 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-03-01 Sassuolo 2–1 Atalanta
  • 2025-11-09 Atalanta 0–3 Sassuolo
  • 2024-02-17 Atalanta 3–0 Sassuolo
  • 2024-01-03 Atalanta 3–1 Sassuolo
  • 2023-08-20 Sassuolo 0–2 Atalanta
  • 2023-02-04 Sassuolo 1–0 Atalanta
League standing · 2026/27
Atalanta#13 pos11 pts10 pl-4 GD
Sassuolo#17 pos8 pts10 pl-10 GD
Goals per game
Atalanta scored1.6
Sassuolo scored1.6
Atalanta conceded2
Sassuolo conceded2.6

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Atalanta 0.92 xG from 14 shots, Sassuolo 2.70 from 22. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Kieron Bowie 31' · 0.51 xGVasilije Adzic 30' · 0.44 xGArmand Lauriente 59' · 0.43 xGVasilije Adzic 35' · 0.12 xGGiacomo Raspadori 17' · 0.10 xGKieron Bowie 9' · 0.09 xGNicola Zalewski 9' · 0.09 xGVasilije Adzic 39' · 0.08 xGGiacomo Raspadori 51' · 0.08 xGCristian Volpato 42' · 0.06 xGDavide Zappacosta 24' · 0.06 xGCristian Volpato 64' · 0.06 xGDarryl Bakola 24' · 0.05 xGNikola Krstovic 81' · 0.05 xGArmand Lauriente 49' · 0.05 xGKristian Thorstvedt 70' · 0.05 xGNemanja Matic 63' · 0.05 xGLazar Samardzic 69' · 0.03 xGArmand Lauriente 41' · 0.03 xGArmand Lauriente 28' · 0.03 xGKristian Thorstvedt 68' · 0.03 xGGiorgio Scalvini 91' · 0.03 xGNikola Krstovic 77' · 0.03 xGÉderson 49' · 0.02 xGVasilije Adzic 26' · 0.02 xGSimone Cinquegrano 93' · 0.02 xGJosh Doig 26' · 0.02 xGDavide Zappacosta 91' · 0.02 xGArmand Lauriente 72' · 0.02 xGÉderson 18' · 0.01 xGBenjamín Domínguez 89' · 0.01 xGArmand Lauriente 29' · 0.01 xGGianluca Gaetano 44' · 0.01 xGCas Odenthal 54' · 0.52 xG · goalNikola Krstovic 64' · 0.32 xG · goalGiacomo Raspadori 5' · 0.07 xG · goal
Atalanta (attacking right)Sassuolo (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Atalanta1420.92
Sassuolo2212.70

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Sassuolo led on xG, 1.47 to 0.34. At full time, Sassuolo led on xG, 2.70 to 0.92. The widest gap was 2.07 xG to Sassuolo, in the 63rd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.71.400′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Atalanta 5 minGoal - Sassuolo 54 minGoal - Atalanta 64 min
Atalanta 0.92 xGSassuolo 2.70 xGdots = goals · 36 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Atalanta v Sassuolo?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Atalanta v Sassuolo was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Atalanta and Sassuolo?
In their last 6 meetings, Atalanta won 3, Sassuolo won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Atalanta and Sassuolo?
Recent form — Atalanta 1W 3D 1L; Sassuolo 2W 0D 3L.

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