Bahia v Chapecoense-sc result

Full-time · Bahia 2–0 Chapecoense-sc

Serie A – Brazil · Fri, 17 Jul 2026 23:30 BST · Arena Fonte Nova

Updated 18 Oct 2026, 17:22 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bahia · Chapecoense-sc · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Bahia 2–0 Chapecoense-sc — Bahia won this Serie A – Brazil match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Bahia beat Chapecoense-sc 2–0 at Arena Fonte Nova in Serie A – Brazil on Friday 17 July. Bahia have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Bahia led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Bahia: Rodrigo Nestor (12’ pen) and Román Gómez (34’, assisted by David Duarte).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Rodrigo Nestor’s goal on 12 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Bahia 1.83, Chapecoense-sc 0.41, from 17 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva, Brazil showed two yellow cards — against 5.3 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Bahia: Luciano Juba (-5’) and Zé Guilherme (64’).

What it changes

Bahia stay sixth after this result (18 league matches played).

Chapecoense-sc stay 20th after this result (18 league matches played).

Chapecoense-sc have lost their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia) 8.9, Román Gómez (Bahia) 8.2 and Ronaldo (Bahia) 4.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Bahia or Chapecoense-sc (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).

Next up

Bahia next host Flamengo on 18 October 2026.

Chapecoense-sc next host Fluminense on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bahia: Bahia v Flamengo, Sunday 18 October — the preview. Next for Chapecoense-sc: Chapecoense-sc v Fluminense, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Bahia 2–0 Chapecoense-sc · Serie A – Brazil
Venue: Arena Fonte Nova · Salvador
Referee: Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva, Brazil
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Bahia 3 · draws 3 · Chapecoense-sc 0 · 1.67 goals/game
Recent form: Bahia 1W 1D 3L · Chapecoense-sc 1W 1D 3L

Bahia 2–0 Chapecoense-sc (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1

Goals

against 2 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

7.75 / 3.13

Corners

against 5.38 / 6.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.5 / 3.5

Shots on target

against 5.5 / 5.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

3.25 / 3.38

Cards

against 3.13 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

5.27 yellows

Referee · Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva, Brazil

2.6 home / 2.67 away

over 15 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 May 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Bahia for / against	Line	Chapecoense-sc for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	7.75 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.13 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.5 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12 for · 17.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.5 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.5 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.25 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.38 for · 9 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	3.25 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	3.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva, Brazil — 5.27 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 29.47 fouls over 15 matches (2.6 to the home side, 2.67 to the away side).

Home 2.6Away 2.67

Bahia

Bahia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Ademir n 8	30.8	4 5/3	1.8 3/1	—
Jean Lucas n 8	78.8	2.7 8/7	1.4 6/3	—
Michel Araújo n 8	23.1	2.4 4/1	1.5 2/1	—
Caio Alexandre n 8	58	2.1 7/3	1.7 5/3	—
Iago Borduchi n 8	42.1	2.1 5/2	1.1 4/0	—

Bahia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Rodrigo Nestor n 8	32.8	3.4 5/3	0.3 1/0
Mateo Sanabria n 8	31.4	2.2 5/1	0.7 2/0
Everaldo n 8	40.6	1.9 7/0	0.6 2/0
Michel Araújo n 8	23.1	1.9 4/0	0.5 1/0
Willian Jose n 8	69.5	1.5 6/3	0.6 4/0

Bahia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Everton Ribeiro n 8	68	0 0/0	0.7 4/0
Mateo Sanabria n 8	31.4	0.7 2/0	0 0/0
Luciano Juba n 8	87.5	0.5 4/0	0 0/0
Ademir n 8	30.8	0 0/0	0.4 1/0
Willian Jose n 8	69.5	0.3 2/0	0 0/0

Bahia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Michel Araújo n 8	23.1	4.9 6/1
Zé Guilherme n 8	38	3.3 4/3
Nicolás Acevedo n 8	91.3	2.3 7/7
Ademir n 8	30.8	2.2 3/1
Everton Ribeiro n 8	68	1.8 5/4

Bahia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Leo Vieira n 8	85.5	3.6 7/5
Ronaldo n 8	86.5	2.3 6/3

Chapecoense-sc

Chapecoense-sc — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
João Paulo n 6	96.2	2.5 6/4	0.3 2/0	—
Rafael Carvalheira n 8	66	2.2 8/4	0.3 2/0	—
Higor Meritão n 8	65.4	1.9 6/5	0.7 3/1	—
Neto Pessoa n 8	30.3	1.9 3/1	1.1 3/0	—
João Vitor n 8	45.3	1.5 4/2	1.2 3/2	—

Chapecoense-sc — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Neto Pessoa n 8	30.3	3.3 5/2	1.5 3/1
Yannick Bolasie n 8	80.3	1.8 5/4	1.1 4/3
Ênio n 8	66.8	1.7 6/2	0.5 2/1
João Vitor n 8	45.3	1.7 4/3	0.5 2/0
Italo n 8	43.5	1.3 3/1	0.3 1/0

Chapecoense-sc — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Neto Pessoa n 8	30.3	0.7 2/0	0.4 1/0
Bruno Pacheco n 8	92.4	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
Yannick Bolasie n 8	80.3	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Ênio n 8	66.8	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Marcinho n 8	66.3	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0

Chapecoense-sc — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Higor Meritão n 8	65.4	3.3 8/5
Rafael Carvalheira n 8	66	1.9 6/4
Bruno Pacheco n 8	92.4	1.7 7/4
Camilo n 8	98	1.5 7/4
Marcinho n 8	66.3	1.4 5/2

Chapecoense-sc — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Anderson n 8	98	3.9 7/6

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Bahia		Chapecoense-sc
65%	Possession	35%
1.83	Expected goals (xG)	0.41
17	Shots	10
6	Shots on target	2
6	Shots off target	5
5	Blocked shots	3
7	Shots inside the box	6
10	Corners	6
0	Offsides	2
17	Fouls	17
2	Yellow cards	0
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	4
504	Passes	267
91%	Pass accuracy	83%

Bahia player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Ronaldo	96	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.7
Santiago Ramos Mingo	96	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.3
Zé Guilherme	96	0	0	1	1	0	0	Y	7.3
Nicolás Acevedo	96	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	7.6
Erick	96	0	0	1	0	3	1	0	6.7
Román Gómez	96	1	0	3	1	0	3	0	7.9
David Duarte	87	0	1	2	0	1	0	0	7.6
Erick Pulga	80	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7
Rodrigo Nestor	79	1	0	1	1	2	2	0	7.7
Ademir	67	0	0	1	1	0	3	0	6.7
Willian Jose	67	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.5
Çağatay Yılmaz sub	29	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	7.2
Everton Ribeiro sub	29	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.9
Jean Lucas sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Everaldo sub	16	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Marcos Victor sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Chapecoense-sc player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
Eduardo Doma	96	0	0	1	0	6.7
Rafael Thyere	96	1	0	0	0	6.9
Bruno Pacheco	96	0	0	1	2	6.2
Giovanni Augusto	96	0	0	2	1	6.7
Yannick Bolasie	96	3	1	0	0	6
Matheus Aurélio	96	0	0	0	0	7.2
Camilo	81	0	0	0	5	6.9
Marcos Vinícius	63	0	0	1	2	6.7
Marcinho	63	0	0	0	2	6.2
Bruno Matias	45	0	0	0	1	6
Ênio	45	0	0	0	0	6.2
Vinicius Balieiro sub	51	0	0	0	1	6.6
Neto Pessoa sub	51	2	1	0	1	6.6
Rubens Tadeu sub	33	0	0	2	1	6.7
Everton sub	33	1	0	0	0	6.9
David Antunes sub	15	0	0	0	1	6.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Bahia v Chapecoense-sc — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

BahiaLLDLW

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Chapecoense-scDWLLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Bahia 3 · 3 draws · Chapecoense-sc 0 · 1.67 goals/game

2021-10-24 Bahia 3–0 Chapecoense-sc
2021-07-04 Chapecoense-sc 0–2 Bahia
2019-11-07 Bahia 1–1 Chapecoense-SC
2019-07-28 Chapecoense-SC 0–0 Bahia
2018-11-04 Bahia 1–0 Chapecoense-sc
2018-07-19 Chapecoense-sc 1–1 Bahia

League standing · 2026

Bahia#6 pos49 pts30 pl+8 GD

Chapecoense-sc#20 pos18 pts30 pl-32 GD

Goals per game

Bahia scored1.47

Chapecoense-sc scored1

Bahia conceded1.2

Chapecoense-sc conceded2.07

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Bahia v Chapecoense-sc?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Bahia v Chapecoense-sc was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Bahia and Chapecoense-sc?: In their last 6 meetings, Bahia won 3, Chapecoense-sc won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bahia and Chapecoense-sc?: Recent form — Bahia 1W 1D 3L; Chapecoense-sc 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 18 Oct 2026, 17:22 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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