BolognaLecce

Bologna v Lecce result

Full-time · Bologna 2–0 Lecce

Serie A · · Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bologna · Lecce · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Bologna 2–0 Lecce — Bologna won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,959 of 2,624 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Bologna: 3.13 to 0.54 in expected goals, from 12 shots to 6, ahead on xG from the 25th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Bologna beat Lecce 2–0 at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara in Serie A on Sunday 12 April. Bologna are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Lecce, every meeting checked.

The goals

Bologna led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Bologna: Remo Freuler (26’) and Riccardo Orsolini (90’, assisted by Federico Bernardeschi).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Remo Freuler’s goal on 26 minutes.

Discipline

A. Colombo showed two yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Lecce: Oumar Ngom (36’) and Jamil Siebert (38’).

What it changes

Bologna stay eighth after this result (32 league matches played). Bologna have scored 49 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Bologna have conceded 46 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Lecce stay 18th after this result (32 league matches played). Lecce have scored 28 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Lecce have conceded 50 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Lecce have lost their last four matches in all competitions. Lecce have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Juan Miranda (Bologna) 6.4, Riccardo Orsolini (Bologna) 5.8 and Remo Freuler (Bologna) 5.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Bologna or Lecce (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Bologna next host Udinese on 22 November 2026.

Lecce next travel to Lazio on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bologna: Bologna v Udinese, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Lecce: Lazio v Lecce, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Bologna 2–0 Lecce · Serie A
  • Venue: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara · Bologna
  • Referee: A. Colombo
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Bologna 3 · draws 3 · Lecce 0 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bologna 3W 0D 2L · Lecce 1W 0D 4L

Bologna 2–0 Lecce (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.29 / 3.38
Corners
against 3.71 / 6.13 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.57 / 2.38
Shots on target
against 3.57 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.14 / 0.88
Cards
against 1.43 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.89 yellows
Referee · A. Colombo
26.56 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBologna for / againstLineLecce for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.29 for · 3.71 against n 7
9.5standard
3.38 for · 6.13 against n 8
Shots
14.86 for · 9.14 against n 7
19.5standard
9.63 for · 13.13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.57 for · 3.57 against n 7
8.5standard
2.38 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.43 for · 15.29 against n 7
21.5standard
12.25 for · 16.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.14 for · 1.43 against n 7
3.5standard
0.88 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: A. Colombo — 3.89 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 26.56 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Bologna

Bologna Goalkeeper

Bologna — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Ł. Skorupski25892216 min502 /90180.7 /9010 /90
F. Ravaglia20871739 min623.2 /90331.7 /9000 /90
M. Pessina18282 min11.1 /9000 /9000 /90
Bologna — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Ł. Skorupski n 890
1.96/2
F. Ravaglia n 882.4
2.67/3

Bologna Defensive

Bologna — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Juan Miranda34822774 min381.2 /90351.1 /9050.2 /901163.8 /90321 /9090.3 /90
J. Lucumí34812750 min561.8 /90471.5 /90130.4 /901414.6 /90210.7 /9060.2 /90
T. Heggem30852548 min421.5 /90260.9 /9090.3 /901103.9 /90391.4 /9020.1 /90
N. Zortea30722158 min301.3 /90210.9 /9060.3 /90994.1 /90311.3 /9020.1 /90
M. Vitík25721799 min432.2 /90191 /9080.4 /901135.7 /90381.9 /9050.3 /90
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Bologna — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Castro n 878.3
1.95/5
1.78/4
—
R. Orsolini n 847.8
0.52/0
1.95/3
S. Pierotti
Juan Miranda n 887.6
1.27/2
1.36/3
Tiago Gabriel
J. Lucumí n 880.6
15/2
0.83/3
Tiago Gabriel
N. Moro n 869
0.73/1
0.21/0
Y. Ramadani
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Bologna — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Castro n 878.3
0.32/0
R. Orsolini n 847.8
1.22/1
Juan Miranda n 887.6
0.96/1
J. Lucumí n 880.6
1.56/3
N. Moro n 869
15/1
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Bologna Attacking

Bologna — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Castro39682648 min90.3 /9020.1 /90571.9 /90250.8 /90341.2 /90170.6 /90
J. Rowe31601850 min60.3 /9020.1 /90412 /90180.9 /90271.3 /90552.7 /90
F. Bernardeschi28561555 min50.3 /9010.1 /90342 /90140.8 /90432.5 /90301.7 /90
T. Dallinga25481197 min50.4 /9030.2 /90292.2 /90120.9 /90211.6 /9040.3 /90
B. Domínguez1343555 min00 /9020.3 /9071.1 /9010.2 /9081.3 /90121.9 /90
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Bologna — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Castro n 878.3
1.64/4
0.31/1
R. Orsolini n 847.8
3.56/3
1.64/2
Juan Miranda n 887.6
0.63/2
0.42/1
J. Lucumí n 880.6
0.31/1
0.31/1
N. Moro n 869
1.14/2
00/0
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Bologna — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Castro n 878.3
00/0
00/0
R. Orsolini n 847.8
00/0
00/0
Juan Miranda n 887.6
00/0
0.31/1
J. Lucumí n 880.6
00/0
0.11/0
N. Moro n 869
00/0
00/0
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Lecce

Lecce Goalkeeper

Lecce — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
W. Falcone32902880 min912.8 /90431.3 /9020.1 /90
Lecce — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
W. Falcone n 890
2.45/4

Lecce Defensive

Lecce — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Tiago Gabriel32892849 min611.9 /90411.3 /90170.5 /902146.8 /90240.8 /9040.1 /90
A. Gallo32812601 min541.9 /90140.5 /9060.2 /90973.4 /9070.2 /9020.1 /90
Danilo Veiga31822541 min843 /90240.9 /90140.5 /901776.3 /90341.2 /9060.2 /90
Kialonda Gaspar23861983 min251.1 /90211 /90221 /901014.6 /90130.6 /9060.3 /90
J. Siebert13831083 min161.3 /90100.8 /90191.6 /90413.4 /90181.5 /9020.2 /90
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Lecce — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Tiago Gabriel n 889.3
0.43/0
1.56/3
J. Lucumí
A. Gallo n 888.6
0.11/0
0.53/1
—
S. Pierotti n 876.9
1.96/4
1.23/3
R. Orsolini
Y. Ramadani n 886.8
0.85/1
1.78/3
N. Moro
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Lecce — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Tiago Gabriel n 889.3
2.47/5
A. Gallo n 888.6
0.96/1
S. Pierotti n 876.9
2.97/7
Y. Ramadani n 886.8
2.78/7
Danilo Veiga n 887.1
2.88/6
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Lecce Attacking

Lecce — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Pierotti32672141 min10 /9000 /90160.7 /9060.3 /90170.7 /90271.1 /90
N. Štulić25601500 min30.2 /9000 /90171 /9070.4 /90171 /9040.2 /90
R. Sottil19551047 min10.1 /9020.2 /9090.8 /9020.2 /90242.1 /90121 /90
Tete Morente1756950 min00 /9000 /9060.6 /9020.2 /90100.9 /90111 /90
F. Camarda1743728 min10.1 /9010.1 /9081 /9040.5 /9040.5 /9030.4 /90
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Lecce — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
00/0
Tiago Gabriel n 889.3
0.53/1
00/0
A. Gallo n 888.6
0.11/0
00/0
S. Pierotti n 876.9
0.43/0
0.32/0
Y. Ramadani n 886.8
18/0
0.43/0
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Lecce — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
00/0
Tiago Gabriel n 889.3
00/0
00/0
A. Gallo n 888.6
00/0
0.32/0
S. Pierotti n 876.9
0.11/0
00/0
Y. Ramadani n 886.8
0.11/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BolognaLecce
64%Possession36%
2.16Expected goals (xG)0.32
12Shots6
4Shots on target1
5Shots off target3
3Blocked shots2
9Shots inside the box2
8Corners6
4Offsides0
15Fouls19
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves2
493Passes267
85%Pass accuracy72%

Bologna Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Pessina9000000007.5
N. Casale9000101107.3
J. Lucumí9000001107.7
Juan Miranda9000001407.7
R. Freuler9010110007.2
R. Orsolini9010321008.3
N. Moro8500102107.9
S. Castro8500100006.5
S. Sohm7400101107
Nicolo Cambiaghi7400001207.2
João Mário6600000107.3
N. Zortea sub2400000006.9
T. Pobega sub1600000106.3
J. Rowe sub1600001006.9
F. Bernardeschi sub1001001006.9
J. Odgaard sub1000110006.3

Lecce Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
W. Falcone9000000006.3
Danilo Veiga9000001105.6
Tiago Gabriel9000000106.5
J. Siebert90000001Y7
Y. Ramadani9000101006.6
L. Coulibaly9000100106.5
S. Pierotti8300000406.2
L. Banda6400101006.3
N. Štulić6400110006.3
C. Ndaba4500000005.6
O. Ngom45000001Y6.7
A. Gallo sub4500001106.6
O. Gandelman sub4500000006.3
K. N’Dri sub2600000106.3
W. Cheddira sub2600000006.7
Álex Sala sub1200000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bologna v Lecce — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BolognaWWLWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
LecceLWLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Bologna 3 · 3 draws · Lecce 0 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-09-28 Lecce 2–2 Bologna
  • 2025-02-09 Lecce 0–0 Bologna
  • 2024-11-02 Bologna 1–0 Lecce
  • 2024-02-11 Bologna 4–0 Lecce
  • 2023-12-03 Lecce 1–1 Bologna
  • 2023-06-04 Lecce 2–3 Bologna
League standing · 2025/26
Bologna#8 pos56 pts38 pl+3 GD
Lecce#17 pos38 pts38 pl-22 GD
Goals per game
Bologna scored1.29
Lecce scored0.74
Bologna conceded1.21
Lecce conceded1.32

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Bologna 3.13 xG from 12 shots, Lecce 0.54 from 6. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Nicolò Casale 38' · 0.59 xGRiccardo Orsolini 25' · 0.57 xGNikola Stulic 7' · 0.35 xGJens Odgaard 93' · 0.15 xGRiccardo Orsolini 62' · 0.14 xGSantiago Castro 40' · 0.11 xGRiccardo Orsolini 40' · 0.09 xGSantiago Castro 53' · 0.08 xGSimon Sohm 50' · 0.06 xGNikola Stulic 16' · 0.06 xGWalid Cheddira 72' · 0.04 xGSimon Sohm 41' · 0.04 xGYlber Ramadani 10' · 0.04 xGLassana Coulibaly 76' · 0.03 xGNikola Moro 37' · 0.02 xGLameck Banda 52' · 0.02 xGRemo Freuler 25' · 0.96 xG · goalRiccardo Orsolini 91' · 0.32 xG · goal
Bologna (attacking right)Lecce (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Bologna1223.13
Lecce600.54

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Bologna led on xG, 2.37 to 0.44. At full time, Bologna led on xG, 3.13 to 0.54. The widest gap was 2.59 xG to Bologna, in the 93rd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.11.600′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Bologna 25 minGoal - Bologna 91 min
Bologna 3.13 xGLecce 0.54 xGdots = goals · 18 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Bologna v Lecce?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bologna v Lecce was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Bologna and Lecce?
In their last 6 meetings, Bologna won 3, Lecce won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bologna and Lecce?
Recent form — Bologna 3W 0D 2L; Lecce 1W 0D 4L.

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