CagliariLecce

Cagliari v Lecce result

Full-time · Cagliari 1–0 Lecce

Serie A · · Unipol Domus

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Cagliari · Lecce · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Cagliari 1–0 Lecce — Cagliari won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.70 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Cagliari: 1.92 to 0.45 in expected goals, from 20 shots to 10, ahead on xG from the 28th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Cagliari beat Lecce 1–0 at Unipol Domus in Serie A on Monday 7 September.

The goals

Cagliari led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Cagliari: Daniel Maldini (29’, assisted by Jacopo Fazzini).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Daniel Maldini’s goal on 29 minutes.

Discipline

Juan Luca Sacchi, Italy showed four yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Cagliari: Alessandro Deiola (90+5’); Lecce: Kialonda Gaspar (37’), Jamil Siebert (90+5’) and Wladimiro Falcone (90+7’).

What it changes

Cagliari move up from 13th to ninth (three league matches played).

Lecce move down from 13th to 14th (three league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jacopo Fazzini (Cagliari) 7.7, Daniel Maldini (Cagliari) 5.9 and Elia Caprile (Cagliari) 4.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Cagliari next travel to Como on 22 November 2026.

Lecce next travel to Lazio on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cagliari: Como v Cagliari, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Lecce: Lazio v Lecce, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Cagliari 1–0 Lecce · Serie A
  • Venue: Unipol Domus · Cagliari
  • Referee: Juan Luca Sacchi, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Cagliari 2 · draws 2 · Lecce 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cagliari 3W 0D 2L · Lecce 3W 0D 2L

Cagliari 1–0 Lecce (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 21 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
4.88 / 3.5
Corners
against 4 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 5.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 2.38
Cards
against 1.38 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.29 yellows
Referee · Juan Luca Sacchi, Italy
25.86 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCagliari for / againstLineLecce for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.25our book
1 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
3.5 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
15.13 for · 14.75 against n 8
19.5standard
10.5 for · 13.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.13 for · 10.5 against n 8
21.5standard
11.63 for · 11.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: Juan Luca Sacchi, Italy — 3.29 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 25.86 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Cagliari

Cagliari Goalkeeper

Cagliari — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Caprile393280 min103.2 /9010.3 /9000 /90
B. Radunović19090 min33 /9000 /9000 /90
Cagliari — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Caprile n 891.3
3.38/5
B. Radunović n 890
2.45/4

Cagliari Defensive

Cagliari — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Rodríguez493370 min51.2 /9051.2 /9041 /90204.9 /9020.5 /9000 /90
A. Obert481322 min82.2 /9041.1 /9020.6 /90143.9 /9020.6 /9000 /90
Zé Pedro385256 min31.1 /9000 /9000 /9031.1 /9020.7 /9010.4 /90
A. Deiola376227 min20.8 /9052 /9031.2 /9062.4 /9020.8 /9010.4 /90
R. Kofler356169 min21.1 /9010.5 /9031.6 /9063.2 /9000 /9000 /90
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Cagliari — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Rodríguez n 885.6
0.42/1
1.15/2
Kialonda Gaspar
A. Romano n 481.3
1.43/2
0.83/0
O. Ngom
A. Obert n 885
0.53/1
0.43/0
Danilo Veiga
H. Winks n 478
1.43/1
0.62/0
O. Ngom
M. Adopo n 880.8
1.16/2
0.11/0
O. Ngom
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Cagliari — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Rodríguez n 885.6
1.78/3
A. Romano n 481.3
2.54/3
A. Obert n 885
2.57/7
H. Winks n 478
0.31/0
M. Adopo n 880.8
0.74/1
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Cagliari Attacking

Cagliari — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Mendy465258 min10.3 /9000 /9051.7 /9020.7 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
D. Maldini460238 min00 /9000 /9020.8 /9000 /9031.1 /9041.5 /90
M. Felici340120 min00 /9000 /9021.5 /9010.8 /9010.8 /9043 /90
G. Borrelli24079 min00 /9000 /9033.4 /9011.1 /9000 /9033.4 /90
A. Romano481325 min10.3 /9000 /9051.4 /9030.8 /9041.1 /9051.4 /90
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Cagliari — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Rodríguez n 885.6
0.84/1
0.32/0
A. Romano n 481.3
1.44/1
0.82/1
A. Obert n 885
0.11/0
00/0
H. Winks n 478
0.61/1
0.31/0
M. Adopo n 880.8
0.32/0
00/0
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Cagliari — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Rodríguez n 885.6
0.11/0
00/0
A. Romano n 481.3
0.31/0
00/0
A. Obert n 885
00/0
00/0
H. Winks n 478
00/0
00/0
M. Adopo n 880.8
00/0
0.11/0
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Lecce

Lecce Goalkeeper

Lecce — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
W. Falcone390270 min134.3 /9062 /9000 /90
Lecce — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
W. Falcone n 890
47/7

Lecce Defensive

Lecce — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Danilo Veiga390270 min62 /9062 /9000 /90113.7 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
Kialonda Gaspar390270 min134.3 /9031 /9010.3 /90227.3 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
Tiago Gabriel350151 min21.2 /9053 /9000 /90116.6 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Siebert290180 min42 /9052.5 /9010.5 /9073.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
A. Gallo268135 min00 /9021.3 /9000 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9000 /90
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Lecce — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Danilo Veiga n 886.9
15/2
1.26/3
A. Obert
Kialonda Gaspar n 881.9
0.74/1
1.66/4
J. Rodríguez
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
L. Coulibaly n 889.8
1.87/5
2.16/5
—
O. Ngom n 869.1
1.84/4
0.52/1
M. Adopo
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Lecce — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Danilo Veiga n 886.9
2.38/7
Kialonda Gaspar n 881.9
2.36/4
L. Coulibaly n 889.8
1.45/4
O. Ngom n 869.1
1.35/3
S. Pierotti n 882.8
1.97/4
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Lecce Attacking

Lecce — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Pierotti378235 min00 /9000 /9031.1 /9020.8 /9031.1 /9031.1 /90
W. Geubbels371212 min00 /9000 /9083.4 /9031.3 /9031.3 /9000 /90
K. N’Dri370209 min00 /9000 /9052.2 /9010.4 /9020.9 /9031.3 /90
N. Štulić33297 min00 /9000 /9054.6 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9000 /90
A. Ahmed Fatah11818 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9015 /90525 /90
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Lecce — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Danilo Veiga n 886.9
0.11/0
00/0
Kialonda Gaspar n 881.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Coulibaly n 889.8
0.64/1
0.11/0
O. Ngom n 869.1
00/0
00/0
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Lecce — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
00/0
Danilo Veiga n 886.9
00/0
00/0
Kialonda Gaspar n 881.9
00/0
00/0
L. Coulibaly n 889.8
00/0
0.11/0
O. Ngom n 869.1
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CagliariLecce
42%Possession58%
1.61Expected goals (xG)0.50
20Shots10
9Shots on target3
7Shots off target4
4Blocked shots3
12Shots inside the box4
7Corners5
5Offsides1
9Fouls13
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves8
368Passes514
82%Pass accuracy82%

Cagliari Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Adopo9000221006.6
E. Caprile9000000007.9
A. Deiola90000003Y7.2
A. Obert9000111006.6
Zé Pedro9000001206.9
A. Romano9000211206.9
H. Winks9000000107.2
P. Mendy7400211006
D. Maldini6610411007.9
J. Rodríguez6600000107.3
J. Fazzini6101103307.3
A. Fadera sub2400211106.7
R. Kofler sub2400001007.2
R. Gagliardini sub1600001006.9
A. Sugamele sub1600110006.6
M. Felici sub1300111006.9

Lecce Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Štulić9000110006
Tiago Gabriel9000000207.3
Danilo Veiga9000001106.7
A. Gallo9000001106.3
L. Coulibaly9000112106.9
W. Falcone90000000Y8.2
S. Pierotti8200000206.3
Joël Monteiro6600101306.5
I. Ilić6600100106.9
Kialonda Gaspar66000002Y6.2
O. Ngom4500101507.3
A. Ahmed Fatah sub4500000206.9
Y. Maleh sub2400001106.7
K. N’Dri sub2400000006.6
J. Siebert sub24001000Y6.7
M. Berisha sub800110006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cagliari v Lecce — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CagliariWWWLL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
LecceWWLWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Cagliari 2 · 2 draws · Lecce 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-02-16 Cagliari 0–2 Lecce
  • 2025-09-19 Lecce 1–2 Cagliari
  • 2025-01-19 Cagliari 4–1 Lecce
  • 2024-08-31 Lecce 1–0 Cagliari
  • 2024-05-05 Cagliari 1–1 Lecce
  • 2024-01-06 Lecce 1–1 Cagliari
League standing · 2026/27
Cagliari#9 pos16 pts11 pl-5 GD
Lecce#14 pos10 pts11 pl-10 GD
Goals per game
Cagliari scored0.91
Lecce scored1.09
Cagliari conceded1.36
Lecce conceded2

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Cagliari 1.92 xG from 20 shots, Lecce 0.45 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Paul Mendy 45' · 0.37 xGAlessandro Sugamele 81' · 0.26 xGLassana Coulibaly 22' · 0.11 xGDaniel Maldini 34' · 0.10 xGJamil Siebert 96' · 0.09 xGAlieu Fadera 74' · 0.09 xGDaniel Maldini 13' · 0.08 xGAlieu Fadera 79' · 0.07 xGDaniel Maldini 58' · 0.07 xGDaniel Maldini 62' · 0.07 xGNikola Stulic 41' · 0.06 xGMattia Felici 63' · 0.06 xGNdary Adopo 83' · 0.06 xGJacopo Fazzini 54' · 0.05 xGIvan Ilic 57' · 0.05 xGRaphael Kofler 82' · 0.05 xGNikola Stulic 46' · 0.04 xGMedon Berisha 85' · 0.03 xGHarry Winks 82' · 0.03 xGAlessandro Romano 46' · 0.03 xGJacopo Fazzini 28' · 0.02 xGPaul Mendy 69' · 0.02 xGOumar Ngom 22' · 0.02 xGAmar Ahmed Fatah 83' · 0.02 xGJoël Monteiro 17' · 0.01 xGAdam Obert 38' · 0.01 xGOumar Ngom 42' · 0.01 xGNdary Adopo 45' · 0.01 xGAlessandro Romano 0' · 0.01 xGDaniel Maldini 28' · 0.48 xG · goal
Cagliari (attacking right)Lecce (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Cagliari2011.92
Lecce1000.45

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Cagliari led on xG, 1.08 to 0.22. At full time, Cagliari led on xG, 1.92 to 0.45. The widest gap was 1.62 xG to Cagliari, in the 83rd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.91.000′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Cagliari 28 min
Cagliari 1.92 xGLecce 0.45 xGdots = goals · 30 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Cagliari v Lecce?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cagliari v Lecce was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.70 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Cagliari and Lecce?
In their last 6 meetings, Cagliari won 2, Lecce won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cagliari and Lecce?
Recent form — Cagliari 3W 0D 2L; Lecce 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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