CremoneseBologna

Cremonese v Bologna result

Full-time · Cremonese 1–2 Bologna

Serie A · · Stadio Giovanni Zini

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Cremonese · Bologna

The model’s pre-match pick

Cremonese 1–2 Bologna — Bologna won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,935 of 2,588 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Bologna: 1.59 to 1.40 in expected goals, 0.76 of Cremonese’s from a penalty, from 14 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the second minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Bologna won 2–1 at Stadio Giovanni Zini in Serie A on Sunday 5 April.

The goals

Bologna led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Bologna: João Mário (3’, assisted by Juan Miranda) and Jonathan Rowe (16’, assisted by Juan Miranda); Cremonese: F. Bonazzoli (90’ pen). Youssef Maleh (90+4’) and Lewis Ferguson (90+6’) were sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with João Mário’s goal on 3 minutes.

Discipline

R. Abisso showed five yellow cards and two reds — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (all competitions).

What it changes

Cremonese stay 18th after this result (31 league matches played). Cremonese have scored 32 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Cremonese have conceded 57 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs.

Bologna move up from ninth to eighth (31 league matches played). Bologna have scored 49 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Bologna have conceded 46 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Juan Miranda (Bologna) 8.8, F. Bonazzoli (Cremonese) 7.9 and João Mário (Bologna) 6.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Cremonese or Bologna (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Cremonese next travel to Vicenza Virtus on 8 November 2026.

Bologna next travel to Parma on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cremonese: Vicenza Virtus v Cremonese, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Bologna: Parma v Bologna, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Cremonese 1–2 Bologna · Serie A
  • Venue: Stadio Giovanni Zini · Cremona
  • Referee: R. Abisso
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Cremonese 1 · draws 1 · Bologna 1 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cremonese 1W 0D 4L · Bologna 2W 1D 2L

Cremonese 1–2 Bologna (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.88 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 5.57
Corners
against 7.38 / 4.14 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.5 / 3.57
Shots on target
against 5 / 3.43 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.13 / 1.86
Cards
against 0.88 / 1.29 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCremonese for / againstLineBologna for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
3.13 for · 7.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5.57 for · 4.14 against n 7
Shots
10.88 for · 17 against n 8
19.5standard
14 for · 9.14 against n 7
Shots on target
3.5 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.57 for · 3.43 against n 7
Fouls committed
15.5 for · 14.25 against n 8
21.5standard
11.14 for · 14.14 against n 7
Cards shown
2.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.86 for · 1.29 against n 7

Referee: R. Abisso.

Cremonese

Cremonese Goalkeeper

Cremonese — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Audero26902340 min1044 /90371.4 /9010 /90
M. Silvestri490360 min153.8 /9071.8 /9000 /90
Cremonese — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cremonese before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Audero n 890
3.16/3

Cremonese Defensive

Cremonese — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Terracciano27852306 min220.9 /90431.7 /90200.8 /90823.2 /90120.5 /9050.2 /90
F. Baschirotto25902250 min261 /90220.9 /90301.2 /90873.5 /90401.6 /9020.1 /90
M. Bianchetti22801768 min412.1 /90120.6 /90170.9 /90924.7 /90221.1 /9030.2 /90
R. Floriani Mussolini1458805 min192.1 /9040.4 /9050.6 /90414.6 /90141.6 /9020.2 /90
F. Folino971643 min81.1 /9010.1 /9081.1 /90253.5 /90101.4 /9010.1 /90
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Cremonese — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cremonese before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Terracciano n 875.8
0.74/1
0.73/1
Juan Miranda
E. Audero n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
F. Baschirotto n 890
2.37/6
0.94/2
—
J. Vardy n 857.8
1.23/2
14/1
—
F. Bonazzoli n 871.4
1.16/1
3.58/5
S. Castro
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Cremonese — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cremonese before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Terracciano n 875.8
1.25/2
F. Baschirotto n 890
1.15/4
J. Vardy n 857.8
0.63/0
F. Bonazzoli n 871.4
1.36/2
J. Vandeputte n 857.1
2.25/4
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Cremonese Attacking

Cremonese — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Vardy25731828 min50.2 /9020.1 /90190.9 /90120.6 /90150.7 /9050.2 /90
F. Bonazzoli25731813 min60.3 /9010 /90371.8 /90190.9 /90110.5 /9090.4 /90
A. Sanabria1644702 min10.1 /9010.1 /9060.8 /9020.3 /9030.4 /9050.6 /90
Franco Vázquez1241496 min10.2 /9020.4 /9091.6 /9040.7 /90101.8 /9030.5 /90
D. Johnsen752365 min10.2 /9000 /9020.5 /9020.5 /9020.5 /9051.2 /90
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Cremonese — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cremonese before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Terracciano n 875.8
00/0
00/0
E. Audero n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Baschirotto n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
J. Vardy n 857.8
1.64/3
0.84/0
F. Bonazzoli n 871.4
1.77/3
0.95/1
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Cremonese — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cremonese before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Terracciano n 875.8
00/0
00/0
E. Audero n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Baschirotto n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Vardy n 857.8
00/0
0.21/0
F. Bonazzoli n 871.4
0.21/0
00/0
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Bologna

Bologna Goalkeeper

Bologna — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Ł. Skorupski25892216 min502 /90180.7 /9010 /90
F. Ravaglia18871559 min593.4 /90291.7 /9000 /90
M. Pessina18282 min11.1 /9000 /9000 /90
Bologna — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Ł. Skorupski n 890
1.96/2
F. Ravaglia n 882.4
3.68/5

Bologna Defensive

Bologna — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Juan Miranda32812594 min361.2 /90331.1 /9050.2 /901113.9 /90301 /9090.3 /90
J. Lucumí32802570 min551.9 /90441.5 /90130.5 /901334.7 /90170.6 /9050.2 /90
N. Zortea30722158 min301.3 /90210.9 /9060.3 /90994.1 /90311.3 /9020.1 /90
T. Heggem29852458 min391.4 /90240.9 /9090.3 /901043.8 /90371.4 /9020.1 /90
M. Vitík24711709 min392.1 /90191 /9080.4 /901055.5 /90351.8 /9050.3 /90
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Bologna — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Castro n 873
1.44/3
1.78/3
F. Bonazzoli
R. Orsolini n 853.5
0.42/0
1.34/2
—
Juan Miranda n 877.6
1.48/2
1.25/2
F. Terracciano
J. Lucumí n 880.6
0.43/0
0.62/2
—
N. Moro n 876.5
0.63/1
0.11/0
—
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Bologna — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Castro n 873
0.53/0
R. Orsolini n 853.5
1.12/1
Juan Miranda n 877.6
0.95/1
J. Lucumí n 880.6
26/4
N. Moro n 876.5
16/1
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Bologna Attacking

Bologna — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Castro37672476 min90.3 /9020.1 /90542 /90230.8 /90321.2 /90160.6 /90
J. Rowe29581682 min40.2 /9020.1 /90341.8 /90140.7 /90251.3 /90512.7 /90
F. Bernardeschi26541404 min50.3 /9010.1 /90312 /90140.9 /90412.6 /90281.8 /90
T. Dallinga25481197 min50.4 /9030.2 /90292.2 /90120.9 /90211.6 /9040.3 /90
B. Domínguez1343555 min00 /9020.3 /9071.1 /9010.2 /9081.3 /90121.9 /90
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Bologna — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Castro n 873
1.75/4
0.32/0
R. Orsolini n 853.5
3.87/4
1.95/3
Juan Miranda n 877.6
0.42/1
0.11/0
J. Lucumí n 880.6
0.31/1
0.31/1
N. Moro n 876.5
14/2
00/0
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Bologna — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Castro n 873
0.21/0
00/0
R. Orsolini n 853.5
00/0
00/0
Juan Miranda n 877.6
00/0
00/0
J. Lucumí n 880.6
00/0
00/0
N. Moro n 876.5
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CremoneseBologna
37%Possession63%
1.42Expected goals (xG)1.14
9Shots14
3Shots on target7
4Shots off target5
2Blocked shots2
6Shots inside the box10
2Corners4
0Offsides3
15Fouls15
2Yellow cards3
1Red cards1
5Saves2
339Passes588
78%Pass accuracy90%

Cremonese Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Audero9000000006.2
F. Terracciano9000001306.7
M. Bianchetti9000000006.6
S. Luperto9000100206.3
G. Pezzella9000001306.6
Y. Maleh90001011RY5.7
F. Bonazzoli9010220208
A. Zerbin8500100106.3
A. Grassi4500000006.2
J. Vandeputte4500100006.2
M. Đurić4500000006.6
D. Okereke sub4500000006.2
W. Bondo sub4500000106.6
M. Payero sub37001100Y6.3
R. Floriani Mussolini sub1400000007.2
M. Thorsby sub800000006.7

Bologna Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Ravaglia90000000Y7
M. Vitík9000110407.2
J. Lucumí9000000007
Juan Miranda9002004107.2
R. Freuler9000000107.3
S. Castro9000321005.9
João Mário8210222008.5
N. Moro8200102107.7
S. Sohm7800000006.2
J. Rowe7810320007
F. Bernardeschi6100200106.9
R. Orsolini sub2900001006.3
L. Ferguson sub18000010RY6.3
Nicolo Cambiaghi sub1200000106.7
N. Zortea sub800000006.2
T. Pobega sub800000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cremonese v Bologna — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CremoneseLLLLW
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
BolognaLDWWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Cremonese 1 · 1 draw · Bologna 1 · 4 goals/game
  • 2025-12-01 Bologna 1–3 Cremonese
  • 2023-05-20 Cremonese 1–5 Bologna
  • 2023-01-23 Bologna 1–1 Cremonese
League standing · 2025/26
Cremonese#18 pos34 pts38 pl-25 GD
Bologna#8 pos56 pts38 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Cremonese scored0.84
Bologna scored1.29
Cremonese conceded1.5
Bologna conceded1.21

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Cremonese 1.40 xG from 9 shots, Bologna 1.59 from 14. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Santiago Castro 32' · 0.58 xGFederico Bonazzoli 58' · 0.35 xGMartín Payero 70' · 0.11 xGNikola Moro 41' · 0.09 xGJonathan Rowe 27' · 0.09 xGFederico Bernardeschi 48' · 0.08 xGYoussef Maleh 61' · 0.07 xGSantiago Castro 80' · 0.06 xGSantiago Castro 64' · 0.06 xGSantiago Castro 47' · 0.06 xGJari Vandeputte 25' · 0.05 xGFederico Bernardeschi 13' · 0.05 xGJoão Mário 42' · 0.04 xGFederico Bernardeschi 9' · 0.04 xGMartin Vitík 39' · 0.03 xGSebastiano Luperto 55' · 0.02 xGJonathan Rowe 75' · 0.01 xGJari Vandeputte 25' · 0.01 xGAlessio Zerbin 73' · 0.01 xGFederico Bonazzoli 70' · 0.01 xGFederico Bonazzoli 90' · 0.76 xG · goalJonathan Rowe 15' · 0.38 xG · goalJoão Mário 2' · 0.03 xG · goal
Cremonese (attacking right)Bologna (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Cremonese911.40
Bologna1421.59

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Bologna led on xG, 1.33 to 0.07. At full time, xG was level: Cremonese 1.40, Bologna 1.59, including 0.76 from a penalty. The widest gap was 1.39 xG to Bologna, in the 48th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.60.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Bologna 2 minGoal - Bologna 15 minGoal - Cremonese 90 min
Cremonese 1.40 xGBologna 1.59 xGdots = goals · 23 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Cremonese v Bologna?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cremonese v Bologna was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Cremonese and Bologna?
In their last 3 meetings, Cremonese won 1, Bologna won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cremonese and Bologna?
Recent form — Cremonese 1W 0D 4L; Bologna 2W 1D 2L.

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