Cruzeiro v Atletico Paranaense result

Full-time · Cruzeiro 3–1 Atletico Paranaense

Serie A – Brazil · Sun, 06 Sep 2026 20:00 BST · Governador Magalhães Pinto

Updated 18 Oct 2026, 11:22 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Cruzeiro · Atletico Paranaense · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Cruzeiro 3–1 Atletico Paranaense — Cruzeiro won this Serie A – Brazil match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.29 at William Hill

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Cruzeiro beat Atletico Paranaense 3–1 at Governador Magalhães Pinto in Serie A – Brazil on Sunday 6 September. Cruzeiro have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions. Atletico Paranaense have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Cruzeiro: Matheus Pereira (30’, assisted by Gerson), Lucas Romero (71’, assisted by Matheus Pereira) and Kaio Jorge (82’ pen); Atletico Paranaense: João Cruz (45’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Lucas Romero’s goal on 71 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Cruzeiro 3.07, Atletico Paranaense 1.31, from 19 shots to 17 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Cruzeiro: Gabriel Rojas (33’) and Fabrício Bruno (64’); Atletico Paranaense: F. Aguirre (62’) and Mycael (79’).

What it changes

Cruzeiro move down from fifth to sixth (26 league matches played).

Atletico Paranaense stay third after this result (26 league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Matheus Pereira (Cruzeiro) 10.5, Kaio Jorge (Cruzeiro) 8.2 and Lucas Romero (Cruzeiro) 6.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Cruzeiro or Atletico Paranaense (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).

Next up

Cruzeiro next travel to Gremio on 18 October 2026.

Atletico Paranaense next travel to Vitoria on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cruzeiro: Gremio v Cruzeiro, Sunday 18 October — the preview. Next for Atletico Paranaense: Vitoria v Atletico Paranaense, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Cruzeiro 3–1 Atletico Paranaense · Serie A – Brazil
Venue: Governador Magalhães Pinto · Belo Horizonte
Referee: Daiane Caroline Muniz Dos Santos, Brazil
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Cruzeiro 1 · draws 3 · Atletico Paranaense 2 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: Cruzeiro 1W 1D 3L · Atletico Paranaense 2W 2D 1L

Cruzeiro 3–1 Atletico Paranaense (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.5 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.25

over 8 matches

3.88 / 4.5

Corners

against 4.5 / 6.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.75 / 4.75

Shots on target

against 5.88 / 4.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.75 / 1.75

Cards

against 1.38 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Cruzeiro for / against	Line	Atletico Paranaense for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.25our book	1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.88 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.5 for · 6.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.75 for · 18 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.63 for · 15.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.75 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.75 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.13 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Daiane Caroline Muniz Dos Santos, Brazil.

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Felipe Morais n 5	33	3.3 2/2	1.6 3/0	—
João Gabriel e Costa Cesco n 8	39.4	2.6 7/1	0.6 2/0	—
Lucas Romero n 8	81.4	2.4 8/5	1.4 4/3	—
Wesley Gassova n 8	46.8	2.2 6/2	2.4 6/2	—
Lucas Silva n 8	26.3	2.1 5/0	1.7 4/0	—

Cruzeiro — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Felipe Morais n 5	33	2.7 3/2	0.5 1/0
L. Rodríguez n 8	52.4	2.1 8/1	1.3 5/1
Wanderson n 8	22.4	2 3/1	1.5 3/0
Kaio Jorge n 8	72	1.9 6/3	0.8 3/1
Keny Arroyo n 8	73.6	1.8 7/3	0.9 4/2

Cruzeiro — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Bruno Rodrigues n 8	37.6	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
Keny Arroyo n 8	73.6	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
Kaio Jorge n 8	72	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
Matheus Pereira n 8	69.9	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
Felipe Morais n 5	33	0.5 1/0	0 0/0

Cruzeiro — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Fagner n 8	76.4	3.1 7/6
Lucas Romero n 8	81.4	3 8/6
Wanderson n 8	22.4	2.5 2/2
William Furtado n 8	59.5	2.3 3/3
Zé Lucas n 8	59.4	2.3 4/3

Cruzeiro — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Otávio Costa n 8	90.9	4.3 8/6

Atletico Paranaense

Atletico Paranaense — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Renan Peixoto n 8	18.4	3.1 5/0	2.4 3/1	—
K. Viveros n 8	90.9	2.6 7/6	2.2 8/6	—
Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto n 4	8.8	2.6 1/0	0 0/0	—
Arthur Dias n 8	86.3	2 7/5	0.9 5/1	—
F. Aguirre n 8	80.5	1.8 5/4	0.4 2/1	—

Atletico Paranaense — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto n 4	8.8	5.1 2/0	2.6 1/0
K. Viveros n 8	90.9	3 8/7	1.7 6/4
Leozinho n 8	61.8	2.2 5/4	0.4 2/0
João Cruz n 8	58.6	1.7 5/4	1 4/1
K. A. Calderon Vargas n 8	47.3	1.4 3/2	0.7 2/1

Atletico Paranaense — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
K. Viveros n 8	90.9	0.7 4/2	0.4 3/0
K. A. Calderon Vargas n 8	47.3	0.5 2/0	0.5 2/0
Leozinho n 8	61.8	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0
João Cruz n 8	58.6	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0
Dudu Kogitzki n 8	25.3	0.4 1/0	0 0/0

Atletico Paranaense — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Esquivel n 8	79.4	2.7 8/6
Leonardo Derik n 8	50.4	2.7 5/3
Jadson n 8	84.1	2.5 8/6
Felipinho n 8	62.3	2.3 5/2
Dudu Kogitzki n 8	25.3	2.2 4/1

Atletico Paranaense — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Mycael n 8	91.9	3.7 8/5
Santos n 8	91.8	3.3 7/6

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Cruzeiro		Atletico Paranaense
61%	Possession	39%
3.07	Expected goals (xG)	1.31
19	Shots	17
6	Shots on target	7
11	Shots off target	6
2	Blocked shots	4
13	Shots inside the box	8
7	Corners	2
1	Offsides	2
9	Fouls	14
2	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
6	Saves	3
590	Passes	382
87%	Pass accuracy	82%

Cruzeiro player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Otávio Costa	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
Lucas Romero	90	1	0	2	1	1	2	0	8.6
Matheus Pereira	90	1	1	4	2	5	2	0	7.9
João Marcelo	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.9
Fagner	90	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	6.9
Fabrício Bruno	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.6
Matheus Henrique	89	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	6.9
Kaio Jorge	89	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	8
Gerson	87	0	1	1	0	2	1	0	7
Keny Arroyo	70	0	0	4	1	1	0	0	6.7
Gabriel Rojas	45	0	0	1	0	3	0	Y	6.3
Lucas Villalba sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Wesley Gassova sub	20	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
João Gabriel e Costa Cesco sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
Zé Lucas sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
L. Rodríguez sub	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	–

Atletico Paranaense player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Mycael	90	0	0	0	0	0	Y	5.9
Stiven Mendoza	90	0	1	0	2	1	0	6.5
Luiz Gustavo	90	0	2	2	1	3	0	6.5
Gilberto	90	0	2	1	3	1	0	6.6
Dantas	90	0	0	0	1	3	0	6.9
F. Aguirre	90	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2
K. Viveros	81	0	2	2	0	0	0	6.9
Leozinho	65	0	1	0	2	1	0	6.9
João Cruz	65	1	2	1	1	1	0	7.7
Jadson	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Arthur Dias	45	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
J. Portilla sub	45	0	2	0	1	1	0	6.7
L. Esquivel sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
B. Zapelli sub	25	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.3
K. A. Calderon Vargas sub	25	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
Renan Peixoto sub	9	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Cruzeiro v Atletico Paranaense — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

CruzeiroLWDLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Atletico ParanaenseLWDWD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Cruzeiro 1 · 3 draws · Atletico Paranaense 2 · 2.67 goals/game

2026-03-18 Atletico Paranaense 2–1 Cruzeiro
2024-10-26 Atletico Paranaense 3–0 Cruzeiro
2024-06-26 Cruzeiro 2–0 Atletico Paranaense
2023-11-30 Cruzeiro 1–1 Atletico Paranaense
2023-07-29 Atletico Paranaense 3–3 Cruzeiro
2019-11-07 Atletico Paranaense 0–0 Cruzeiro

League standing · 2026

Cruzeiro#7 pos48 pts30 pl+2 GD

Atletico Paranaense#3 pos53 pts31 pl+12 GD

Goals per game

Cruzeiro scored1.53

Atletico Paranaense scored1.58

Cruzeiro conceded1.47

Atletico Paranaense conceded1.19

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Cruzeiro v Atletico Paranaense?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Cruzeiro v Atletico Paranaense was Home or Away (best price 1.29 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Cruzeiro and Atletico Paranaense?: In their last 6 meetings, Cruzeiro won 1, Atletico Paranaense won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cruzeiro and Atletico Paranaense?: Recent form — Cruzeiro 1W 1D 3L; Atletico Paranaense 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 18 Oct 2026, 11:22 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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