This Matchweek

FiorentinaTorino

Fiorentina v Torino result

Full-time · Fiorentina 1–2 Torino

Serie A · · Stadio Artemio Franchi

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Fiorentina · Torino · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Fiorentina 1–2 Torino — Torino won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.91 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55.2% of 145 landed (95% range 47–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Fiorentina: 1.46 to 0.77 in expected goals, from 14 shots to 7, ahead on xG from the first minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Torino won 2–1 at Stadio Artemio Franchi in Serie A on Saturday 5 September.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Fiorentina: Mateo Pellegrino (47’, assisted by Radu Drăgușin); Torino: Rolando Mandragora (73’, assisted by Eray Cömert) and Ché Adams (82’, assisted by Rafik Belghali).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ché Adams’s goal on 82 minutes.

Discipline

D. Massa showed no yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition).

What it changes

Fiorentina stay 20th after this result (three league matches played). Fiorentina have scored 15 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Fiorentina have conceded 23 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Torino move up from 16th to 13th (three league matches played). Torino have scored 14 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Torino have conceded 16 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs.

Fiorentina have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Rolando Mandragora (Torino) 8.3, Mateo Pellegrino (Fiorentina) 5.6 and Radu Drăgușin (Fiorentina) 5.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

Fiorentina are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Torino, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 55.2% of the time in the last 90 days (80 of 145).

Next up

Fiorentina next host Juventus on 8 November 2026.

Torino next host Lecce on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Fiorentina: Fiorentina v Juventus, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Torino: Torino v Lecce, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Fiorentina 1–2 Torino · Serie A
  • Venue: Stadio Artemio Franchi · Florence
  • Referee: D. Massa
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Fiorentina 2 · draws 4 · Torino 0 · 1.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Fiorentina 2W 1D 2L · Torino 1W 1D 3L

Fiorentina 1–2 Torino (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 19 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
4.5 / 4.13
Corners
against 4 / 5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 2.63
Shots on target
against 5.5 / 5.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.13
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.3 yellows
Referee · D. Massa
27.7 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFiorentina for / againstLineTorino for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.25our book
1 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
13.5 for · 15.63 against n 8
19.5standard
11.75 for · 15.88 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 5.5 against n 8
8.5standard
2.63 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.38 for · 14.25 against n 8
21.5standard
13.13 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: D. Massa — 4.3 yellow cards a game, 0.3 red cards, 27.7 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Fiorentina

Fiorentina Goalkeeper

Fiorentina — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
David de Gea390270 min103.3 /9082.7 /9000 /90
Fiorentina — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
David de Gea n 890
3.68/6

Fiorentina Defensive

Fiorentina — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Drăgușin389267 min31 /9062 /9041.3 /90113.7 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90
L. Ranieri290180 min10.5 /9010.5 /9021 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Valde290180 min31.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90115.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Dodô268135 min10.7 /9000 /9000 /9032 /9010.7 /9000 /90
João Mário263125 min21.4 /9010.7 /9000 /9064.3 /9010.7 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Fiorentina — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
David de Gea n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
R. Drăgușin n 389
1.33/1
0.72/0
—
C. Ndour n 876
1.55/3
0.94/1
—
A. Atta n 376.3
0.41/0
0.82/0
—
Franco Mastantuono n 361.7
0.51/0
3.93/3
—
See more players · Pro
Fiorentina — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Drăgușin n 389
12/1
C. Ndour n 876
2.57/4
A. Atta n 376.3
00/0
Franco Mastantuono n 361.7
0.51/0
M. Brescianini n 860.6
0.62/1
See more players · Pro

Fiorentina Attacking

Fiorentina — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Franco Mastantuono362185 min00 /9000 /9083.9 /9010.5 /9031.5 /9021 /90
Mateo Pellegrino290180 min00 /9000 /9031.5 /9000 /9042 /9021 /90
A. Guðmundsson265129 min10.7 /9000 /9042.8 /9021.4 /9074.9 /9010.7 /90
M. Kean259117 min10.8 /9000 /9043.1 /9043.1 /9010.8 /9010.8 /90
C. Ndour381242 min10.4 /9000 /9062.2 /9031.1 /9031.1 /9010.4 /90
See more players · Pro
Fiorentina — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
David de Gea n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Drăgușin n 389
0.72/0
00/0
C. Ndour n 876
1.35/3
0.74/1
A. Atta n 376.3
1.21/1
0.41/0
Franco Mastantuono n 361.7
3.93/1
0.51/0
See more players · Pro
Fiorentina — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
David de Gea n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Drăgușin n 389
00/0
0.31/0
C. Ndour n 876
0.32/0
00/0
A. Atta n 376.3
00/0
00/0
Franco Mastantuono n 361.7
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Torino

Torino Goalkeeper

Torino — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Mascardi390270 min103.3 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Lucas Perri19090 min77 /9000 /9000 /90
Torino — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Torino before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Mascardi n 390
3.33/2

Torino Defensive

Torino — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Saúl Coco490360 min41 /9030.8 /9030.8 /90143.5 /9051.3 /9000 /90
P. Comuzzo483333 min102.7 /9051.4 /9030.8 /90174.6 /9051.4 /9000 /90
A. Cacciamani481325 min51.4 /9020.6 /9020.6 /90205.5 /9041.1 /9000 /90
A. Ismajli454214 min20.8 /9072.9 /9020.8 /9093.8 /9000 /9000 /90
N. Fortini361183 min52.5 /9000 /9000 /90125.9 /9000 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Torino — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Torino before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Saúl Coco n 890
1.56/3
0.53/1
—
G. Gineitis n 878.6
2.16/4
1.15/2
—
P. Comuzzo n 483.3
1.44/1
00/0
—
A. Cacciamani n 568.8
13/1
1.83/3
—
G. Simeone n 881
1.34/3
2.18/4
—
See more players · Pro
Torino — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Torino before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Saúl Coco n 890
1.36/3
G. Gineitis n 878.6
2.38/4
P. Comuzzo n 483.3
2.73/2
A. Cacciamani n 568.8
1.33/2
G. Simeone n 881
15/2
See more players · Pro

Torino Attacking

Torino — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
G. Simeone478311 min10.3 /9000 /9082.3 /9020.6 /9010.3 /9000 /90
Z. Aboukhlal32265 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9045.5 /90
C. Casadei280160 min00 /9000 /9021.1 /9010.6 /9000 /9010.6 /90
C. Adams252103 min10.9 /9000 /9021.7 /9021.7 /9010.9 /9010.9 /90
S. Kulenović23773 min00 /9000 /9011.2 /9000 /9011.2 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Torino — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Torino before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Saúl Coco n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
G. Gineitis n 878.6
15/2
0.11/0
P. Comuzzo n 483.3
0.83/0
0.31/0
A. Cacciamani n 568.8
0.82/1
00/0
G. Simeone n 881
2.27/5
0.63/1
See more players · Pro
Torino — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Torino before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Saúl Coco n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Gineitis n 878.6
00/0
0.11/0
P. Comuzzo n 483.3
0.31/0
00/0
A. Cacciamani n 568.8
00/0
0.31/0
G. Simeone n 881
0.32/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FiorentinaTorino
39%Possession61%
1.67Expected goals (xG)0.58
14Shots7
6Shots on target4
6Shots off target1
2Blocked shots2
10Shots inside the box3
3Corners5
1Offsides0
13Fouls9
2Saves4
348Passes551
83%Pass accuracy89%

Fiorentina Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
David de Gea9000000006.6
Viery9000000206.7
Valde9000000406.3
João Mário9000001206.9
N. Fagioli9000101307.5
R. Drăgușin9001101106.7
A. Njie7900114107.2
Mateo Pellegrino7610110107.7
M. Brescianini4500000106.6
Franco Mastantuono4500110006.7
C. Inao Oulaï2400000106.7
C. Ndour sub6600001106.6
A. Atta sub4500421106.6
W. Gnonto sub4500210006.2
Beto sub1400100106.3
Pote sub1100000006.7

Torino Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Vlašić9000110006.7
Rolando Mandragora9010221208.3
K. Fitz-Jim9000001106.5
E. Cömert9001001107.3
C. Adams9010111007.2
Lucas Perri9000000007.5
G. Gineitis7000000206.2
P. Comuzzo7000000206.6
N. Fortini5600100006.9
A. Cacciamani5600001106.7
Saúl Coco4000000107.2
A. Ismajli sub5000000006.7
R. Belghali sub3401001006.6
N. Patterson sub3400000107
Daniel Bragança sub2000000206.6
G. Simeone sub2000001006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Fiorentina v Torino — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FiorentinaWDWLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
TorinoDWLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Fiorentina 2 · 4 draws · Torino 0 · 1.33 goals/game
  • 2026-02-07 Fiorentina 2–2 Torino
  • 2025-08-31 Torino 0–0 Fiorentina
  • 2025-01-19 Fiorentina 1–1 Torino
  • 2024-11-03 Torino 0–1 Fiorentina
  • 2024-03-02 Torino 0–0 Fiorentina
  • 2023-12-29 Fiorentina 1–0 Torino
League standing · 2026/27
Fiorentina#16 pos8 pts10 pl-8 GD
Torino#10 pos13 pts10 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Fiorentina scored1.5
Torino scored1.4
Fiorentina conceded2.3
Torino conceded1.6

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Fiorentina 1.46 xG from 14 shots, Torino 0.77 from 7. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Franco Mastantuono 1' · 0.32 xGAlieu Njie 1' · 0.29 xGArthur Atta 58' · 0.12 xGRadu Dragusin 75' · 0.11 xGArthur Atta 65' · 0.10 xGArthur Atta 51' · 0.10 xGNikola Vlasic 71' · 0.08 xGWilfried Gnonto 51' · 0.07 xGFranco Mastantuono 3' · 0.07 xGWilfried Gnonto 65' · 0.07 xGBeto 77' · 0.06 xGNiccolò Fortini 21' · 0.05 xGRolando Mandragora 26' · 0.04 xGWilfried Gnonto 50' · 0.04 xGArthur Atta 60' · 0.02 xGNikola Vlasic 14' · 0.02 xGNicolo Fagioli 45' · 0.02 xGRolando Mandragora 11' · 0.02 xGChe Adams 81' · 0.54 xG · goalMateo Pellegrino 46' · 0.05 xG · goalRolando Mandragora 73' · 0.02 xG · goal
Fiorentina (attacking right)Torino (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Fiorentina1411.46
Torino720.77

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Fiorentina led on xG, 0.70 to 0.13. At full time, Fiorentina led on xG, 1.46 to 0.77. The widest gap was 1.23 xG to Fiorentina, in the 77th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.50.700′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Fiorentina 46 minGoal - Torino 73 minGoal - Torino 81 min
Fiorentina 1.46 xGTorino 0.77 xGdots = goals · 21 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Fiorentina v Torino?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Fiorentina v Torino was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.91 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Fiorentina and Torino?
In their last 6 meetings, Fiorentina won 2, Torino won 0 and there were 4 draws, averaging 1.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Fiorentina and Torino?
Recent form — Fiorentina 2W 1D 2L; Torino 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+