This Matchweek

Frosinone v Lecce result

Full-time · Frosinone 5–1 Lecce

Serie A · · Stadio Benito Stirpe

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Frosinone · Lecce · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Frosinone 5–1 Lecce — Frosinone won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.44 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 578 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 528 of 821 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Frosinone: 4.21 to 1.82 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty, from 26 shots to 15, ahead on xG from the 52nd minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Frosinone beat Lecce 5–1 at Stadio Benito Stirpe in Serie A on Thursday 29 October. Lecce are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Frosinone, every meeting checked.

The goals

Frosinone led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Frosinone: Matteo Cichella (25’, assisted by Farès Ghedjemis), Giacomo Calò (45+1’ pen), Antonio Raimondo (59’, assisted by Giorgi Kvernadze) and D. Bîrligea (72’, assisted by Romano Schmid; 90+4’, assisted by Giorgi Kvernadze); Lecce: Joël Monteiro (82’, assisted by Olaf Gorter).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Matteo Cichella’s goal on 25 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Lecce: Tiago Gabriel (38’), Oumar Ngom (51’) and Jamil Siebert (79’).

What it changes

Frosinone stay sixth after this result (nine league matches played). Frosinone have scored 24 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Frosinone have conceded 14 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Lecce move down from 12th to 14th (nine league matches played). Lecce have scored 11 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Lecce have conceded 21 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs.

Frosinone are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Giorgi Kvernadze (Frosinone) 12.8, Aleksa Terzić (Frosinone) 9.2 and D. Bîrligea (Frosinone) 9.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Frosinone next travel to Cagliari on 7 November 2026.

Lecce next travel to Torino on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Frosinone: Cagliari v Frosinone, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Lecce: Torino v Lecce, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Frosinone 5–1 Lecce · Serie A
  • Venue: Stadio Benito Stirpe · Frosinone
  • Referee: Rosario Abisso
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Frosinone 0 · draws 3 · Lecce 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Frosinone 2W 2D 1L · Lecce 2W 0D 3L

Frosinone 5–1 Lecce (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.25 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
6.29 / 4.5
Corners
against 6.29 / 3.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
6.71 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 6.29 / 6 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2 / 1.88
Cards
against 2.43 / 0.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFrosinone for / againstLineLecce for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5our book
1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
6.29 for · 6.29 against n 7
9.5standard
4.5 for · 3.5 against n 8
Shots
19.29 for · 19.86 against n 7
19.5standard
11.75 for · 14.25 against n 8
Shots on target
6.71 for · 6.29 against n 7
8.5standard
4.63 for · 6 against n 8
Fouls committed
15.71 for · 10.57 against n 7
21.5standard
12.63 for · 9.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2.43 against n 7
3.5standard
1.88 for · 0.75 against n 8

Referee: Rosario Abisso.

Frosinone

Frosinone Goalkeeper

Frosinone — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Palmisani990810 min394.3 /90111.2 /9000 /90
Frosinone — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Frosinone before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Palmisani n 890
4.18/7

Frosinone Defensive

Frosinone — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Oyono981732 min232.8 /90101.2 /9020.2 /90485.9 /9081 /9010.1 /90
G. Bracaglia973654 min162.2 /9091.2 /9091.2 /90354.8 /90101.4 /9040.6 /90
G. Calvani888704 min162 /90121.5 /9070.9 /90516.5 /9070.9 /9020.3 /90
G. Cittadini865521 min223.8 /90284.8 /9020.3 /90539.2 /90142.4 /9010.2 /90
I. Monterisi762435 min91.9 /9081.7 /9030.6 /90204.1 /90132.7 /9000 /90
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Frosinone — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Frosinone before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Palmisani n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
G. Calò n 886.1
1.26/2
1.87/4
A. Gallo
G. Kvernadze n 883.3
1.25/2
1.47/2
—
A. Raimondo n 882.6
28/5
1.15/2
—
A. Oyono n 880.3
14/1
1.57/2
—
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Frosinone — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Frosinone before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Calò n 886.1
0.86/0
G. Kvernadze n 883.3
1.67/5
A. Raimondo n 882.6
0.53/1
A. Oyono n 880.3
2.97/5
R. Schmid n 878.5
15/2
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Frosinone Attacking

Frosinone — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Raimondo983751 min81 /9010.1 /90242.9 /90111.3 /9050.6 /9000 /90
A. Zerbin532162 min00 /9000 /9021.1 /9010.6 /9021.1 /9031.7 /90
T. Bobcek22346 min00 /9000 /9047.8 /9012 /9012 /9000 /90
G. Calò985766 min30.4 /9010.1 /90151.8 /9070.8 /90323.8 /9030.4 /90
G. Kvernadze984756 min50.6 /9020.2 /90182.1 /9081 /90192.3 /90212.5 /90
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Frosinone — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Frosinone before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Palmisani n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Calò n 886.1
1.86/4
0.85/1
G. Kvernadze n 883.3
2.28/6
0.84/2
A. Raimondo n 882.6
2.96/5
1.44/4
A. Oyono n 880.3
0.75/0
0.11/0
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Frosinone — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Frosinone before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Palmisani n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Calò n 886.1
0.43/0
0.11/0
G. Kvernadze n 883.3
0.43/0
0.11/0
A. Raimondo n 882.6
13/3
00/0
A. Oyono n 880.3
00/0
0.11/0
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Lecce

Lecce Goalkeeper

Lecce — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
W. Falcone990810 min353.9 /90161.8 /9000 /90
Lecce — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
W. Falcone n 890
46/5

Lecce Defensive

Lecce — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Danilo Veiga990810 min242.7 /90111.2 /9030.3 /90485.3 /90121.3 /9030.3 /90
A. Gallo884675 min111.5 /9081.1 /9040.5 /90212.8 /9010.1 /9000 /90
Tiago Gabriel871571 min142.2 /90132 /9020.3 /90436.8 /9071.1 /9000 /90
Kialonda Gaspar787606 min213.1 /9060.9 /9040.6 /90405.9 /9081.2 /9030.4 /90
J. Siebert774519 min152.6 /9091.6 /9030.5 /90325.5 /9071.2 /9010.2 /90
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Lecce — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Danilo Veiga n 890
1.57/2
1.46/3
—
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
O. Ngom n 860.6
1.75/3
0.42/0
—
Y. Maleh n 863
1.14/2
0.95/0
—
A. Gallo n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
G. Calò
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Lecce — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Danilo Veiga n 890
2.87/5
O. Ngom n 860.6
2.87/4
Y. Maleh n 863
1.86/3
A. Gallo n 884.4
1.55/4
L. Coulibaly n 883.6
1.56/3
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Lecce Attacking

Lecce — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Pierotti866527 min00 /9000 /9030.5 /9020.3 /9040.7 /9061 /90
K. N’Dri859474 min10.2 /9000 /90112.1 /9061.1 /9061.1 /90101.9 /90
A. Ahmed Fatah742292 min10.3 /9000 /9051.5 /9020.6 /9030.9 /90134 /90
W. Geubbels664381 min00 /9000 /90163.8 /9061.4 /9061.4 /9000 /90
N. Štulić651306 min00 /9000 /9061.8 /9020.6 /9020.6 /9000 /90
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Lecce — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
00/0
Danilo Veiga n 890
00/0
00/0
O. Ngom n 860.6
0.94/1
0.63/0
Y. Maleh n 863
0.95/0
0.21/0
A. Gallo n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
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Lecce — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Danilo Veiga n 890
00/0
0.32/0
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
00/0
O. Ngom n 860.6
00/0
00/0
Y. Maleh n 863
00/0
00/0
A. Gallo n 884.4
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FrosinoneLecce
60%Possession40%
3.40Expected goals (xG)1.42
26Shots15
9Shots on target6
9Shots off target6
8Blocked shots3
17Shots inside the box9
10Corners3
4Offsides0
10Fouls17
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
5Saves4
364Passes248

Frosinone Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Matteo Cichella9010110007.6
G. Kvernadze9002618208.6
I. Monterisi9000000206.2
A. Oyono9000111306.3
A. Terzić9000002806.4
L. Palmisani9000000006.8
G. Calvani8000100006.5
G. Calò7710324007.8
R. Schmid7701202307.6
F. Ghedjemis7001511006.9
A. Raimondo7010212008.2
D. Bîrligea2020321008.4
S. Fini2000000006.6
A. El Azzouzi1300000306.4
L. Hasa1300201006.6
Omar Fayed1000000006.3

Lecce Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
W. Falcone9000000006.3
A. Gallo9000001406.2
O. Ngom90000022Y5.8
J. Siebert90001012Y4.6
Tiago Gabriel90001010Y5.4
Danilo Veiga9000001106
Joël Monteiro8310321007.2
O. Gandelman5800201005.2
Y. Maleh5700101306.3
Paco Esteban5700210006.6
C. Ndaba4500000005.7
A. Ahmed Fatah4500220006.7
N. Štulić3300100006.4
Olaf Gorter3301001105.8
K. N’Dri3200211006.5
M. Kaba700001005.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Frosinone v Lecce — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FrosinoneDWLWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
LecceWLLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Frosinone 0 · 3 draws · Lecce 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2024-03-03 Frosinone 1–1 Lecce
  • 2023-12-16 Lecce 2–1 Frosinone
  • 2022-04-02 Lecce 1–0 Frosinone
  • 2021-11-20 Frosinone 0–0 Lecce
  • 2021-03-20 Frosinone 0–3 Lecce
  • 2020-12-12 Lecce 2–2 Frosinone
League standing · 2026/27
Frosinone#6 pos20 pts10 pl+10 GD
Lecce#14 pos9 pts9 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Frosinone scored2.4
Lecce scored1.11
Frosinone conceded1.4
Lecce conceded2.11

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Frosinone 4.21 xG from 26 shots, Lecce 1.82 from 15. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Omri Gandelman 20' · 0.58 xGFarès Ghedjemis 0' · 0.48 xGGiorgi Kvernadze 31' · 0.45 xGTiago Gabriel 20' · 0.44 xGAnthony Oyono 52' · 0.39 xGAmar Ahmed Fatah 67' · 0.26 xGGiorgi Kvernadze 64' · 0.13 xGKonan N’Dri 92' · 0.12 xGFarès Ghedjemis 52' · 0.12 xGFarès Ghedjemis 53' · 0.11 xGGiorgi Kvernadze 59' · 0.10 xGLuis Hasa 80' · 0.09 xGFarès Ghedjemis 62' · 0.08 xGRomano Schmid 24' · 0.07 xGDaniel Bîrligea 93' · 0.07 xGAmar Ahmed Fatah 49' · 0.06 xGJoël Monteiro 47' · 0.06 xGRomano Schmid 75' · 0.04 xGFarès Ghedjemis 20' · 0.04 xGGabriele Calvani 32' · 0.04 xGPaco Esteban 23' · 0.04 xGYoussef Maleh 47' · 0.03 xGPaco Esteban 16' · 0.03 xGGiorgi Kvernadze 78' · 0.03 xGJoël Monteiro 19' · 0.03 xGJamil Siebert 11' · 0.02 xGNikola Stulic 65' · 0.02 xGAntonio Raimondo 22' · 0.02 xGGiorgi Kvernadze 51' · 0.02 xGLuis Hasa 93' · 0.02 xGGiacomo Calo 15' · 0.02 xGOmri Gandelman 17' · 0.02 xGKonan N’Dri 84' · 0.01 xGGiacomo Calo 5' · 0.01 xGGiorgi Kvernadze 56' · 0.01 xGGiacomo Calo 45' · 0.76 xG · goalAntonio Raimondo 58' · 0.56 xG · goalDaniel Bîrligea 71' · 0.37 xG · goalMatteo Cichella 24' · 0.09 xG · goalJoël Monteiro 81' · 0.09 xG · goalDaniel Bîrligea 93' · 0.08 xG · goal
Frosinone (attacking right)Lecce (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Frosinone2654.21
Lecce1511.82

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Frosinone led on xG, 1.99 to 1.16, 0.76 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG. At full time, Frosinone led on xG, 4.21 to 1.82, 0.76 of it from a penalty. The widest gap was 2.46 xG to Frosinone, in the 80th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
4.22.100′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′Match minuteCumulative xGGoal - Frosinone 24 minGoal - Frosinone 45 minGoal - Frosinone 58 minGoal - Frosinone 71 minGoal - Lecce 81 minGoal - Frosinone 93 min
Frosinone 4.21 xGLecce 1.82 xGdots = goals · 41 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Frosinone v Lecce?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Frosinone v Lecce was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.44 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Frosinone and Lecce?
In their last 6 meetings, Frosinone won 0, Lecce won 3 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Frosinone and Lecce?
Recent form — Frosinone 2W 2D 1L; Lecce 2W 0D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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