Inter v AS Roma result
Team pages: Inter · AS Roma · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Inter 5–2 AS Roma — Inter won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
What xG said
xG said Inter: 2.26 to 0.94 in expected goals, from 17 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the first minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).
The result
Inter beat AS Roma 5–2 at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Serie A on Sunday 5 April. AS Roma have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
Inter led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Inter: Lautaro Martínez (1’, assisted by M. Thuram; 52’, assisted by M. Thuram), Hakan Çalhanoğlu (45’, assisted by Piotr Zieliński), M. Thuram (55’, assisted by Hakan Çalhanoğlu) and Nicolò Barella (63’); AS Roma: Gianluca Mancini (40’, assisted by Devyne Rensch) and Lorenzo Pellegrini (70’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Hakan Çalhanoğlu’s goal on 45 minutes.
Discipline
S. Sozza showed one yellow card — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — AS Roma: Niccolò Pisilli (60’).
What it changes
Inter stay first after this result (31 league matches played). Inter have scored 89 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Inter have conceded 35 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
AS Roma stay sixth after this result (31 league matches played). AS Roma have scored 59 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). AS Roma have conceded 31 goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs.
With seven goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 31, across 10 matches. Inter are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Hakan Çalhanoğlu (Inter) 11.7, M. Thuram (Inter) 11.4 and Lautaro Martínez (Inter) 9.7 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Inter or AS Roma (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).
Next up
Inter next host Como on 8 November 2026.
AS Roma next host Sassuolo on 7 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Inter: Inter v Como, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for AS Roma: AS Roma v Sassuolo, Saturday 7 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Inter 5–2 AS Roma · Serie A
- Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milan
- Referee: S. Sozza
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Inter 5 · draws 0 · AS Roma 1 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: Inter 1W 3D 1L · AS Roma 1W 1D 3L
Inter 5–2 AS Roma (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Inter for / against | Line | AS Roma for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.63 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.86 for · 3.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 15.63 for · 7.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 10.86 for · 11.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.38 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 2.57 for · 4.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.63 for · 9.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 14.29 for · 13.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2 for · 1.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
Referee: S. Sozza — 3.33 yellow cards a game, 0.22 red cards, 24.11 fouls over 9 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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Inter
Inter Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Sommer | 42 | 903780 min | 902.1 /90 | 390.9 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Josep Martínez | 5 | 90450 min | 81.6 /90 | 30.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Y. Sommer n 8 | 90 | 2.9 |
| Josep Martínez n 8 | 90 | 1.5 |
Inter Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bastoni | 37 | 833064 min | 651.9 /90 | 331 /90 | 130.4 /90 | 1775.2 /90 | 591.7 /90 | 100.3 /90 |
| M. Akanji | 36 | 853058 min | 521.5 /90 | 371.1 /90 | 160.5 /90 | 1243.6 /90 | 270.8 /90 | 40.1 /90 |
| Y. Bisseck | 29 | 802319 min | 441.7 /90 | 251 /90 | 70.3 /90 | 1264.9 /90 | 331.3 /90 | 30.1 /90 |
| Carlos Augusto | 29 | 691995 min | 371.7 /90 | 221 /90 | 50.2 /90 | 1396.3 /90 | 261.2 /90 | 60.3 /90 |
| F. Acerbi | 21 | 831752 min | 170.9 /90 | 402.1 /90 | 160.8 /90 | 904.6 /90 | 211.1 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Sommer n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| F. Dimarco n 8 | 85.8 | 1.6 | 0.8 | Z. Çelik |
| N. Barella n 8 | 72.4 | 1.4 | 0.8 | B. Cristante |
| A. Bastoni n 8 | 78 | 1.6 | 0.7 | E. Ndicka |
| Lautaro Martínez n 8 | 70.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| F. Dimarco n 8 | 85.8 | 1.6 |
| N. Barella n 8 | 72.4 | 2.3 |
| A. Bastoni n 8 | 78 | 1.2 |
| Lautaro Martínez n 8 | 70.8 | 1.4 |
| M. Akanji n 8 | 81.3 | 1.1 |
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Inter Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lautaro Martínez | 37 | 742739 min | 200.7 /90 | 40.1 /90 | 913 /90 | 471.5 /90 | 441.4 /90 | 260.9 /90 |
| M. Thuram | 36 | 642291 min | 100.4 /90 | 50.2 /90 | 682.7 /90 | 301.2 /90 | 371.5 /90 | 261 /90 |
| F. Esposito | 36 | 541955 min | 100.5 /90 | 60.3 /90 | 632.9 /90 | 291.3 /90 | 291.3 /90 | 60.3 /90 |
| A. Bonny | 24 | 441065 min | 60.5 /90 | 60.5 /90 | 181.5 /90 | 110.9 /90 | 221.9 /90 | 211.8 /90 |
| F. Dimarco | 41 | 783192 min | 70.2 /90 | 130.4 /90 | 691.9 /90 | 300.8 /90 | 1032.9 /90 | 80.2 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Sommer n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| F. Dimarco n 8 | 85.8 | 2.6 | 0.7 |
| N. Barella n 8 | 72.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| A. Bastoni n 8 | 78 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Lautaro Martínez n 8 | 70.8 | 2.1 | 1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Sommer n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| F. Dimarco n 8 | 85.8 | 0.1 | 0.7 |
| N. Barella n 8 | 72.4 | 0 | 0.3 |
| A. Bastoni n 8 | 78 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Lautaro Martínez n 8 | 70.8 | 0.6 | 0 |
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AS Roma
AS Roma Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Svilar | 39 | 903510 min | 1082.8 /90 | 320.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
| P. Gollini | 1 | 9090 min | 00 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Svilar n 8 | 90 | 2.6 |
AS Roma Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Mancini | 36 | 843036 min | 491.5 /90 | 511.5 /90 | 130.4 /90 | 1885.6 /90 | 782.3 /90 | 110.3 /90 |
| E. Ndicka | 34 | 822783 min | 270.9 /90 | 471.5 /90 | 100.3 /90 | 1585.1 /90 | 391.3 /90 | 70.2 /90 |
| Hermoso | 25 | 741842 min | 351.7 /90 | 271.3 /90 | 80.4 /90 | 1045.1 /90 | 361.8 /90 | 70.3 /90 |
| D. Ghilardi | 19 | 651236 min | 413 /90 | 171.2 /90 | 70.5 /90 | 977.1 /90 | 272 /90 | 30.2 /90 |
| J. Ziółkowski | 12 | 55658 min | 233.1 /90 | 131.8 /90 | 71 /90 | 608.2 /90 | 131.8 /90 | 20.3 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Svilar n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| B. Cristante n 8 | 81.6 | 2.1 | 0.3 | N. Barella |
| G. Mancini n 8 | 83.6 | 1.7 | 0.8 | — |
| Z. Çelik n 8 | 81.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | F. Dimarco |
| E. Ndicka n 8 | 90 | 1.1 | 1.8 | A. Bastoni |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| B. Cristante n 8 | 81.6 | 1.4 |
| G. Mancini n 8 | 83.6 | 0.5 |
| Z. Çelik n 8 | 81.6 | 1.9 |
| E. Ndicka n 8 | 90 | 0.9 |
| Wesley n 8 | 76.5 | 1.9 |
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AS Roma Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Soulé | 33 | 702296 min | 70.3 /90 | 60.2 /90 | 502 /90 | 230.9 /90 | 481.9 /90 | 361.4 /90 |
| L. Pellegrini | 30 | 581753 min | 50.3 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 281.4 /90 | 160.8 /90 | 462.4 /90 | 70.4 /90 |
| P. Dybala | 22 | 591294 min | 30.2 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 271.9 /90 | 171.2 /90 | 533.7 /90 | 161.1 /90 |
| E. Ferguson | 20 | 531061 min | 50.4 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 292.5 /90 | 181.5 /90 | 161.4 /90 | 121 /90 |
| S. El Shaarawy | 18 | 42760 min | 10.1 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 192.3 /90 | 70.8 /90 | 131.5 /90 | 80.9 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Svilar n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| B. Cristante n 8 | 81.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| G. Mancini n 8 | 83.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Z. Çelik n 8 | 81.6 | 0.1 | 0 |
| E. Ndicka n 8 | 90 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Svilar n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| B. Cristante n 8 | 81.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| G. Mancini n 8 | 83.6 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Z. Çelik n 8 | 81.6 | 0 | 0.1 |
| E. Ndicka n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Inter | AS Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| 56% | Possession | 44% |
| 1.51 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.96 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 9 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 4 | Shots off target | 5 |
| 4 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 13 | Shots inside the box | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 508 | Passes | 405 |
| 86% | Pass accuracy | 84% |
Inter Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Sommer | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Akanji | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| F. Acerbi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| D. Dumfries | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| N. Barella | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| F. Dimarco | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| P. Zieliński | 76 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7.5 |
| H. Çalhanoğlu | 67 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8.7 |
| M. Thuram | 66 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9.3 |
| A. Bastoni | 58 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Lautaro Martínez | 58 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8.7 |
| M. Darmian sub | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. Bonny sub | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.7 |
| F. Esposito sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| P. Sučić sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| H. Mkhitaryan sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
AS Roma Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Svilar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.2 |
| E. Ndicka | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.2 |
| Z. Çelik | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| B. Cristante | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6.9 |
| N. Pisilli | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.5 |
| L. Pellegrini | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.6 |
| D. Malen | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Hermoso | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.2 |
| M. Soulé | 64 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| D. Rensch | 58 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| G. Mancini | 45 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| D. Ghilardi sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| K. Tsimikas sub | 32 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| S. El Shaarawy sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| J. Ziółkowski sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Inter v AS Roma — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-10-18 AS Roma 0–1 Inter
- 2025-04-27 Inter 0–1 AS Roma
- 2024-10-20 AS Roma 0–1 Inter
- 2024-02-10 AS Roma 2–4 Inter
- 2023-10-29 Inter 1–0 AS Roma
- 2023-05-06 AS Roma 0–2 Inter
Shot Map and Expected Goals
Inter 2.26 xG from 17 shots, AS Roma 0.94 from 9. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 17 | 5 | 2.26 |
| AS Roma | 9 | 2 | 0.94 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
Expected Goals Race
At half-time, xG was level: Inter 0.87, AS Roma 0.64. At full time, Inter led on xG, 2.26 to 0.94. The widest gap was 1.36 xG to Inter, in the 79th minute.
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Inter v AS Roma?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Inter v AS Roma was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Inter and AS Roma?
- In their last 6 meetings, Inter won 5, AS Roma won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Inter and AS Roma?
- Recent form — Inter 1W 3D 1L; AS Roma 1W 1D 3L.
Today’s Boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.