InterAS Roma

Inter v AS Roma result

Full-time · Inter 5–2 AS Roma

Serie A · · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Inter 5–2 AS Roma — Inter won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,910 of 2,556 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Inter: 2.26 to 0.94 in expected goals, from 17 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the first minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Inter beat AS Roma 5–2 at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Serie A on Sunday 5 April. AS Roma have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Inter led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Inter: Lautaro Martínez (1’, assisted by M. Thuram; 52’, assisted by M. Thuram), Hakan Çalhanoğlu (45’, assisted by Piotr Zieliński), M. Thuram (55’, assisted by Hakan Çalhanoğlu) and Nicolò Barella (63’); AS Roma: Gianluca Mancini (40’, assisted by Devyne Rensch) and Lorenzo Pellegrini (70’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Hakan Çalhanoğlu’s goal on 45 minutes.

Discipline

S. Sozza showed one yellow card — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — AS Roma: Niccolò Pisilli (60’).

What it changes

Inter stay first after this result (31 league matches played). Inter have scored 89 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Inter have conceded 35 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

AS Roma stay sixth after this result (31 league matches played). AS Roma have scored 59 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). AS Roma have conceded 31 goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs.

With seven goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 31, across 10 matches. Inter are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Hakan Çalhanoğlu (Inter) 11.7, M. Thuram (Inter) 11.4 and Lautaro Martínez (Inter) 9.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Inter or AS Roma (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Inter next host Como on 8 November 2026.

AS Roma next host Sassuolo on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Inter: Inter v Como, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for AS Roma: AS Roma v Sassuolo, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Inter 5–2 AS Roma · Serie A
  • Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milan
  • Referee: S. Sozza
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Inter 5 · draws 0 · AS Roma 1 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Inter 1W 3D 1L · AS Roma 1W 1D 3L

Inter 5–2 AS Roma (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.88
Goals
against 1 / 1.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.63 / 4.86
Corners
against 2.63 / 3.29 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.38 / 2.57
Shots on target
against 3.13 / 4.43 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.5 / 2
Cards
against 1.38 / 1.43 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.33 yellows
Referee · S. Sozza
24.11 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameInter for / againstLineAS Roma for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
6.63 for · 2.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4.86 for · 3.29 against n 7
Shots
15.63 for · 7.75 against n 8
19.5standard
10.86 for · 11.43 against n 7
Shots on target
4.38 for · 3.13 against n 8
8.5standard
2.57 for · 4.43 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.63 for · 9.63 against n 8
21.5standard
14.29 for · 13.43 against n 7
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.43 against n 7

Referee: S. Sozza — 3.33 yellow cards a game, 0.22 red cards, 24.11 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Inter

Inter Goalkeeper

Inter — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Y. Sommer42903780 min902.1 /90390.9 /9000 /90
Josep Martínez590450 min81.6 /9030.6 /9000 /90
Inter — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Y. Sommer n 890
2.96/5
Josep Martínez n 890
1.53/3

Inter Defensive

Inter — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Bastoni37833064 min651.9 /90331 /90130.4 /901775.2 /90591.7 /90100.3 /90
M. Akanji36853058 min521.5 /90371.1 /90160.5 /901243.6 /90270.8 /9040.1 /90
Y. Bisseck29802319 min441.7 /90251 /9070.3 /901264.9 /90331.3 /9030.1 /90
Carlos Augusto29691995 min371.7 /90221 /9050.2 /901396.3 /90261.2 /9060.3 /90
F. Acerbi21831752 min170.9 /90402.1 /90160.8 /90904.6 /90211.1 /9040.2 /90
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Inter — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Y. Sommer n 890
00/0
00/0
—
F. Dimarco n 885.8
1.67/5
0.85/1
Z. Çelik
N. Barella n 872.4
1.44/3
0.84/1
B. Cristante
A. Bastoni n 878
1.66/3
0.74/1
E. Ndicka
Lautaro Martínez n 870.8
1.76/3
1.78/2
—
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Inter — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Dimarco n 885.8
1.66/2
N. Barella n 872.4
2.36/5
A. Bastoni n 878
1.24/2
Lautaro Martínez n 870.8
1.46/2
M. Akanji n 881.3
1.14/2
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Inter Attacking

Inter — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Lautaro Martínez37742739 min200.7 /9040.1 /90913 /90471.5 /90441.4 /90260.9 /90
M. Thuram36642291 min100.4 /9050.2 /90682.7 /90301.2 /90371.5 /90261 /90
F. Esposito36541955 min100.5 /9060.3 /90632.9 /90291.3 /90291.3 /9060.3 /90
A. Bonny24441065 min60.5 /9060.5 /90181.5 /90110.9 /90221.9 /90211.8 /90
F. Dimarco41783192 min70.2 /90130.4 /90691.9 /90300.8 /901032.9 /9080.2 /90
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Inter — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Sommer n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Dimarco n 885.8
2.67/6
0.73/2
N. Barella n 872.4
0.64/0
0.21/0
A. Bastoni n 878
0.42/1
0.32/0
Lautaro Martínez n 870.8
2.17/4
14/2
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Inter — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Y. Sommer n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Dimarco n 885.8
0.11/0
0.73/1
N. Barella n 872.4
00/0
0.32/0
A. Bastoni n 878
0.11/0
00/0
Lautaro Martínez n 870.8
0.64/0
00/0
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AS Roma

AS Roma Goalkeeper

AS Roma — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Svilar39903510 min1082.8 /90320.8 /9000 /90
P. Gollini19090 min00 /9011 /9000 /90
AS Roma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Svilar n 890
2.66/4

AS Roma Defensive

AS Roma — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Mancini36843036 min491.5 /90511.5 /90130.4 /901885.6 /90782.3 /90110.3 /90
E. Ndicka34822783 min270.9 /90471.5 /90100.3 /901585.1 /90391.3 /9070.2 /90
Hermoso25741842 min351.7 /90271.3 /9080.4 /901045.1 /90361.8 /9070.3 /90
D. Ghilardi19651236 min413 /90171.2 /9070.5 /90977.1 /90272 /9030.2 /90
J. Ziółkowski1255658 min233.1 /90131.8 /9071 /90608.2 /90131.8 /9020.3 /90
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AS Roma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Svilar n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
B. Cristante n 881.6
2.18/3
0.32/0
N. Barella
G. Mancini n 883.6
1.78/4
0.84/2
—
Z. Çelik n 881.6
1.15/3
0.43/0
F. Dimarco
E. Ndicka n 890
1.15/3
1.88/6
A. Bastoni
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AS Roma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Cristante n 881.6
1.45/2
G. Mancini n 883.6
0.54/0
Z. Çelik n 881.6
1.97/4
E. Ndicka n 890
0.95/1
Wesley n 876.5
1.97/3
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AS Roma Attacking

AS Roma — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Soulé33702296 min70.3 /9060.2 /90502 /90230.9 /90481.9 /90361.4 /90
L. Pellegrini30581753 min50.3 /9030.2 /90281.4 /90160.8 /90462.4 /9070.4 /90
P. Dybala22591294 min30.2 /9030.2 /90271.9 /90171.2 /90533.7 /90161.1 /90
E. Ferguson20531061 min50.4 /9020.2 /90292.5 /90181.5 /90161.4 /90121 /90
S. El Shaarawy1842760 min10.1 /9020.2 /90192.3 /9070.8 /90131.5 /9080.9 /90
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AS Roma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Svilar n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Cristante n 881.6
0.83/2
0.11/0
G. Mancini n 883.6
0.43/0
0.11/0
Z. Çelik n 881.6
0.11/0
00/0
E. Ndicka n 890
1.16/1
0.53/1
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AS Roma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Svilar n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Cristante n 881.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
G. Mancini n 883.6
00/0
0.11/0
Z. Çelik n 881.6
00/0
0.11/0
E. Ndicka n 890
0.43/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
InterAS Roma
56%Possession44%
1.51Expected goals (xG)0.96
17Shots9
9Shots on target3
4Shots off target5
4Blocked shots1
13Shots inside the box6
7Corners4
1Offsides1
11Fouls10
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves4
508Passes405
86%Pass accuracy84%

Inter Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Y. Sommer9000000006.9
M. Akanji9000000307.2
F. Acerbi9000000106.3
D. Dumfries9000200006.2
N. Barella9010111108
F. Dimarco9000006206.9
P. Zieliński7601101407.5
H. Çalhanoğlu6711221308.7
M. Thuram6612213009.3
A. Bastoni5800110506.2
Lautaro Martínez5820330108.7
M. Darmian sub3200000006.3
A. Bonny sub3200002107.7
F. Esposito sub2400110006.2
P. Sučić sub2300000106.3
H. Mkhitaryan sub1400000006.3

AS Roma Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Svilar9000000005.2
E. Ndicka9000000105.2
Z. Çelik9000002106.7
B. Cristante9000002406.9
N. Pisilli90000002Y6.5
L. Pellegrini9010210107.6
D. Malen9000310006.9
Hermoso8100000105.2
M. Soulé6400101006.9
D. Rensch5801001006.6
G. Mancini4510110106.6
D. Ghilardi sub4500000106
K. Tsimikas sub3200100006.5
S. El Shaarawy sub2600000006.6
J. Ziółkowski sub900000106.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Inter v AS Roma — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
InterWDLDD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 0.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
AS RomaLDLLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Inter 5 · 0 draws · AS Roma 1 · 2 goals/game
  • 2025-10-18 AS Roma 0–1 Inter
  • 2025-04-27 Inter 0–1 AS Roma
  • 2024-10-20 AS Roma 0–1 Inter
  • 2024-02-10 AS Roma 2–4 Inter
  • 2023-10-29 Inter 1–0 AS Roma
  • 2023-05-06 AS Roma 0–2 Inter
League standing · 2025/26
Inter#1 pos87 pts38 pl+54 GD
AS Roma#3 pos73 pts38 pl+28 GD
Goals per game
Inter scored2.34
AS Roma scored1.55
Inter conceded0.92
AS Roma conceded0.82

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Inter 2.26 xG from 17 shots, AS Roma 0.94 from 9. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Denzel Dumfries 76' · 0.33 xGFederico Dimarco 36' · 0.11 xGDonyell Malen 23' · 0.10 xGLautaro Martínez 12' · 0.09 xGDonyell Malen 67' · 0.07 xGFrancesco Pio Esposito 79' · 0.06 xGPiotr Zielinski 32' · 0.06 xGMatìas Soulè Malvano 58' · 0.05 xGFederico Dimarco 5' · 0.04 xGLorenzo Pellegrini 86' · 0.04 xGKonstantinos Tsimikas 66' · 0.04 xGAlessandro Bastoni 5' · 0.04 xGNicolò Barella 36' · 0.03 xGHakan Calhanoglu 4' · 0.03 xGDonyell Malen 24' · 0.02 xGDenzel Dumfries 79' · 0.01 xGMarcus Thuram 59' · 0.01 xGPiotr Zielinski 36' · 0.01 xGMatìas Soulè Malvano 29' · 0.01 xGNicolò Barella 62' · 0.52 xG · goalGianluca Mancini 39' · 0.51 xG · goalLautaro Martínez 1' · 0.47 xG · goalLautaro Martínez 51' · 0.36 xG · goalLorenzo Pellegrini 69' · 0.10 xG · goalMarcus Thuram 54' · 0.08 xG · goalHakan Calhanoglu 46' · 0.02 xG · goal
Inter (attacking right)AS Roma (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Inter1752.26
AS Roma920.94

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Inter 0.87, AS Roma 0.64. At full time, Inter led on xG, 2.26 to 0.94. The widest gap was 1.36 xG to Inter, in the 79th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.31.100′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Inter 1 minGoal - AS Roma 39 minGoal - Inter 46 minGoal - Inter 51 minGoal - Inter 54 minGoal - Inter 62 minGoal - AS Roma 69 min
Inter 2.26 xGAS Roma 0.94 xGdots = goals · 26 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Inter v AS Roma?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Inter v AS Roma was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Inter and AS Roma?
In their last 6 meetings, Inter won 5, AS Roma won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Inter and AS Roma?
Recent form — Inter 1W 3D 1L; AS Roma 1W 1D 3L.

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