This Matchweek

InterMonza

Inter v Monza result

Full-time · Inter 4–1 Monza

Serie A · · San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Inter 4–1 Monza — Inter won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.21 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 273 landed (95% range 73.9–83.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 178 of 266 times (66.9%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Inter 1.54, Monza 1.22 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Inter beat Monza 4–1 at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza in Serie A on Saturday 22 August. Inter are unbeaten in their last 13 matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Inter: Hakan Çalhanoğlu (6’, assisted by Andy Diouf), Piotr Zieliński (48’), Francesco Esposito (55’, assisted by Andy Diouf) and Yann Bisseck (63’, assisted by Francesco Esposito); Monza: Gustavo Varela (29’, assisted by M. Mout).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Piotr Zieliński’s goal on 48 minutes.

Discipline

L. Marinelli showed four yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Inter: Lautaro Martínez (34’) and Hakan Çalhanoğlu (45+1’); Monza: Eddy Kouadio (69’) and Lorenzo Lucchesi (84’).

What it changes

Inter are first after this result (one league match played). Inter have scored 26 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Inter have conceded 13 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Monza are 20th after this result (one league match played). Monza have scored 17 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Monza have conceded 24 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs.

With five goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 1, across 10 matches. Inter have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Francesco Esposito (Inter) 8.9, Andy Diouf (Inter) 7.3 and Yann Bisseck (Inter) 6.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

Inter are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Monza.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Inter to win, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 79.1% of the time in the last 90 days (216 of 273).

Next up

Inter next host Como on 8 November 2026.

Monza next host Atalanta on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Inter: Inter v Como, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Monza: Monza v Atalanta, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Inter 4–1 Monza · Serie A
  • Venue: San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza · Milan
  • Referee: L. Marinelli
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Inter 3 · draws 2 · Monza 1 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Inter 3W 2D 0L · Monza 3W 1D 1L

Inter 4–1 Monza (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 5 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.38 / 1.75
Goals
against 1 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
5.5 / 5.5
Corners
against 4.13 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 5.63
Shots on target
against 3.13 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 2.13
Cards
against 1.5 / 2.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 14 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameInter for / againstLineMonza for / against
Goals scored
2.38 for · 1 against n 8
3.25our book
1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
5.5 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 2.5 against n 8
Shots
14.88 for · 10.75 against n 8
19.5standard
14.5 for · 11.75 against n 8
Shots on target
5.13 for · 3.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5.63 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.13 for · 9.38 against n 8
21.5standard
12.75 for · 16.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2.63 against n 8

Referee: L. Marinelli.

Monza

Monza Goalkeeper

Monza — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Thiam19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /90
Monza — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 14 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Thiam n 891.1
2.75/4

Monza Defensive

Monza — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Carboni19090 min00 /9011 /9000 /9000 /9022 /9000 /90
E. Kouadio19090 min55 /9022 /9011 /9055 /9000 /9000 /90
F. Delli Carri19090 min44 /9022 /9000 /9099 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Bakoune12020 min00 /9014.5 /9014.5 /9029 /9014.5 /9000 /90
Manga Foe Ondoa19090 min33 /9055 /9000 /9055 /9000 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Monza — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 14 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Carboni n 884.3
1.26/3
0.32/0
—
P. Cutrone n 872.3
1.25/2
0.93/2
—
F. Delli Carri n 869.5
1.15/2
1.65/3
—
D. Thiam n 891.1
00/0
0.11/0
—
S. Birindelli n 889.5
1.15/3
28/5
—
See more players · Pro
Monza — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 14 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Delli Carri n 869.5
2.87/4
A. Carboni n 884.3
1.66/4
P. Cutrone n 872.3
1.26/2
S. Birindelli n 889.5
1.15/3
O. Forson n 641.5
1.13/0
See more players · Pro

Monza Attacking

Monza — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Cutrone19090 min00 /9022 /9055 /9011 /9055 /9011 /90
Gustavo Varela18181 min22.2 /9000 /9033.3 /9022.2 /9000 /9033.3 /90
O. Forson17070 min11.3 /9000 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9033.9 /9011.3 /90
M. Mout18585 min00 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /9011.1 /9011.1 /90
S. Birindelli18181 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Monza — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 14 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Cutrone n 872.3
2.86/6
1.66/3
A. Carboni n 884.3
0.95/2
0.43/0
F. Delli Carri n 869.5
0.84/1
0.32/0
D. Thiam n 891.1
00/0
00/0
S. Birindelli n 889.5
0.84/2
0.53/1
See more players · Pro
Monza — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 14 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Cutrone n 872.3
0.31/1
0.52/1
F. Delli Carri n 869.5
0.32/0
00/0
A. Carboni n 884.3
0.11/0
00/0
D. Thiam n 891.1
00/0
00/0
S. Birindelli n 889.5
0.11/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
InterMonza
70%Possession30%
1.05Expected goals (xG)1.23
13Shots7
5Shots on target3
5Shots off target3
3Blocked shots1
10Shots inside the box6
3Corners3
0Offsides8
5Fouls14
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves1
709Passes292
89%Pass accuracy79%

Inter Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Josep Martínez9000000006.9
Y. Bisseck9010111107.9
A. Bastoni9000001106.9
N. Barella9000200006.6
F. Dimarco9000112106.9
F. Esposito9011312107.7
P. Zieliński8310110007.9
M. Akanji7500101006.9
Andy Diouf7502003107.7
H. Çalhanoğlu54101111Y8
Lautaro Martínez54000000Y6.2
P. Sučić sub3600000107.5
A. Bonny sub3600000306.6
J. Stones sub1500000006.7
Luis Henrique sub1500000106.6
A. Stanković sub1100000006.6

Monza Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Pizzignacco9000000004.2
E. Kouadio90000002Y5.5
A. Carboni9000001005.6
Manga Foe Ondoa9000001006.5
S. Birindelli9000110106.2
Ricardo Mangas9000110006.3
L. Lucchesi88000002Y5.9
Gustavo Varela8310310007.2
A. Bakoune7000000106.2
M. Mout7001001306.6
A. Colpani7000000006.5
N. Galazzi sub2000100006.3
P. Cutrone sub2000001006.7
O. Forson sub2000001006.7
Jay Robinson sub1100000106.3
F. Delli Carri sub20000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Inter v Monza — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
InterWWWDD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
MonzaDWWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Inter 3 · 2 draws · Monza 1 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2025-03-08 Inter 3–2 Monza
  • 2024-09-15 Monza 1–1 Inter
  • 2024-01-13 Monza 1–5 Inter
  • 2023-08-19 Inter 2–0 Monza
  • 2023-04-15 Inter 0–1 Monza
  • 2023-01-07 Monza 2–2 Inter
League standing · 2026/27
Inter#2 pos25 pts10 pl+13 GD
Monza#18 pos7 pts10 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Inter scored2.6
Monza scored1.7
Inter conceded1.3
Monza conceded2.4

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Inter 1.54 xG from 13 shots, Monza 1.22 from 7. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Francesco Pio Esposito 91' · 0.45 xGRicardo Mangas 49' · 0.42 xGGustavo Varela 39' · 0.30 xGGustavo Varela 30' · 0.29 xGFrancesco Pio Esposito 46' · 0.13 xGFrancesco Pio Esposito 9' · 0.11 xGAnge-Yoan Bonny 65' · 0.10 xGMathis Mout 40' · 0.06 xGManuel Akanji 66' · 0.06 xGSamuele Birindelli 75' · 0.05 xGNicolò Barella 25' · 0.05 xGFederico Dimarco 31' · 0.03 xGFrancesco Pio Esposito 31' · 0.02 xGNicolò Barella 37' · 0.02 xGNicolas Galazzi 77' · 0.02 xGPiotr Zielinski 47' · 0.33 xG · goalFrancesco Pio Esposito 54' · 0.15 xG · goalYann Bisseck 62' · 0.08 xG · goalGustavo Varela 28' · 0.07 xG · goalHakan Calhanoglu 5' · 0.01 xG · goal
Inter (attacking right)Monza (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Inter1341.54
Monza711.22

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Monza led on xG, 0.73 to 0.24. At full time, xG was level: Inter 1.54, Monza 1.22. The widest gap was 0.49 xG to Monza, in the 40th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.50.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Inter 5 minGoal - Monza 28 minGoal - Inter 47 minGoal - Inter 54 minGoal - Inter 62 min
Inter 1.54 xGMonza 1.22 xGdots = goals · 20 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Inter v Monza?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Inter v Monza was Home win (best price 1.21 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Inter and Monza?
In their last 6 meetings, Inter won 3, Monza won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Inter and Monza?
Recent form — Inter 3W 2D 0L; Monza 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 19 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+