Inter v Monza result
Team pages: Inter · Monza · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Inter 4–1 Monza — Inter won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.
What xG said
xG said little between the sides: Inter 1.54, Monza 1.22 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).
The result
Inter beat Monza 4–1 at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza in Serie A on Saturday 22 August. Inter are unbeaten in their last 13 matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Inter: Hakan Çalhanoğlu (6’, assisted by Andy Diouf), Piotr Zieliński (48’), Francesco Esposito (55’, assisted by Andy Diouf) and Yann Bisseck (63’, assisted by Francesco Esposito); Monza: Gustavo Varela (29’, assisted by M. Mout).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Piotr Zieliński’s goal on 48 minutes.
Discipline
L. Marinelli showed four yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Inter: Lautaro Martínez (34’) and Hakan Çalhanoğlu (45+1’); Monza: Eddy Kouadio (69’) and Lorenzo Lucchesi (84’).
What it changes
Inter are first after this result (one league match played). Inter have scored 26 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Inter have conceded 13 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Monza are 20th after this result (one league match played). Monza have scored 17 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Monza have conceded 24 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs.
With five goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 1, across 10 matches. Inter have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Francesco Esposito (Inter) 8.9, Andy Diouf (Inter) 7.3 and Yann Bisseck (Inter) 6.6 led the match.
Head-to-head
Inter are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Monza.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Inter to win, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 79.1% of the time in the last 90 days (216 of 273).
Next up
Inter next host Como on 8 November 2026.
Monza next host Atalanta on 8 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Inter: Inter v Como, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Monza: Monza v Atalanta, Sunday 8 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Inter 4–1 Monza · Serie A
- Venue: San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza · Milan
- Referee: L. Marinelli
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Inter 3 · draws 2 · Monza 1 · 3.33 goals/game
- Recent form: Inter 3W 2D 0L · Monza 3W 1D 1L
Inter 4–1 Monza (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 5 September 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Inter for / against | Line | Monza for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.38 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.25our book | 1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.5 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.5 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.88 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14.5 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.13 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.63 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.13 for · 9.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.75 for · 16.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.13 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: L. Marinelli.
Monza
Monza Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Thiam | 1 | 9090 min | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Thiam n 8 | 91.1 | 2.7 |
Monza Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Carboni | 1 | 9090 min | 00 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 22 /90 | 00 /90 |
| E. Kouadio | 1 | 9090 min | 55 /90 | 22 /90 | 11 /90 | 55 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| F. Delli Carri | 1 | 9090 min | 44 /90 | 22 /90 | 00 /90 | 99 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| A. Bakoune | 1 | 2020 min | 00 /90 | 14.5 /90 | 14.5 /90 | 29 /90 | 14.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Manga Foe Ondoa | 1 | 9090 min | 33 /90 | 55 /90 | 00 /90 | 55 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Carboni n 8 | 84.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | — |
| P. Cutrone n 8 | 72.3 | 1.2 | 0.9 | — |
| F. Delli Carri n 8 | 69.5 | 1.1 | 1.6 | — |
| D. Thiam n 8 | 91.1 | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| S. Birindelli n 8 | 89.5 | 1.1 | 2 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| F. Delli Carri n 8 | 69.5 | 2.8 |
| A. Carboni n 8 | 84.3 | 1.6 |
| P. Cutrone n 8 | 72.3 | 1.2 |
| S. Birindelli n 8 | 89.5 | 1.1 |
| O. Forson n 6 | 41.5 | 1.1 |
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Monza Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Cutrone | 1 | 9090 min | 00 /90 | 22 /90 | 55 /90 | 11 /90 | 55 /90 | 11 /90 |
| Gustavo Varela | 1 | 8181 min | 22.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 33.3 /90 | 22.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 33.3 /90 |
| O. Forson | 1 | 7070 min | 11.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.3 /90 | 11.3 /90 | 33.9 /90 | 11.3 /90 |
| M. Mout | 1 | 8585 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.1 /90 | 11.1 /90 |
| S. Birindelli | 1 | 8181 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.1 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. Cutrone n 8 | 72.3 | 2.8 | 1.6 |
| A. Carboni n 8 | 84.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| F. Delli Carri n 8 | 69.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| D. Thiam n 8 | 91.1 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Birindelli n 8 | 89.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. Cutrone n 8 | 72.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| F. Delli Carri n 8 | 69.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| A. Carboni n 8 | 84.3 | 0.1 | 0 |
| D. Thiam n 8 | 91.1 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Birindelli n 8 | 89.5 | 0.1 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Inter | Monza | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% | Possession | 30% |
| 1.05 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.23 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 5 | Shots off target | 3 |
| 3 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 10 | Shots inside the box | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 0 | Offsides | 8 |
| 5 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 709 | Passes | 292 |
| 89% | Pass accuracy | 79% |
Inter Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josep Martínez | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Y. Bisseck | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.9 |
| A. Bastoni | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| N. Barella | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| F. Dimarco | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| F. Esposito | 90 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.7 |
| P. Zieliński | 83 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 |
| M. Akanji | 75 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Andy Diouf | 75 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7.7 |
| H. Çalhanoğlu | 54 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Y | 8 |
| Lautaro Martínez | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.2 |
| P. Sučić sub | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 |
| A. Bonny sub | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.6 |
| J. Stones sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Luis Henrique sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| A. Stanković sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
Monza Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Pizzignacco | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.2 |
| E. Kouadio | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 5.5 |
| A. Carboni | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.6 |
| Manga Foe Ondoa | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| S. Birindelli | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Ricardo Mangas | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| L. Lucchesi | 88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 5.9 |
| Gustavo Varela | 83 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Bakoune | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| M. Mout | 70 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.6 |
| A. Colpani | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| N. Galazzi sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| P. Cutrone sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| O. Forson sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Jay Robinson sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| F. Delli Carri sub | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Inter v Monza — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-03-08 Inter 3–2 Monza
- 2024-09-15 Monza 1–1 Inter
- 2024-01-13 Monza 1–5 Inter
- 2023-08-19 Inter 2–0 Monza
- 2023-04-15 Inter 0–1 Monza
- 2023-01-07 Monza 2–2 Inter
Shot Map and Expected Goals
Inter 1.54 xG from 13 shots, Monza 1.22 from 7. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 13 | 4 | 1.54 |
| Monza | 7 | 1 | 1.22 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
Expected Goals Race
At half-time, Monza led on xG, 0.73 to 0.24. At full time, xG was level: Inter 1.54, Monza 1.22. The widest gap was 0.49 xG to Monza, in the 40th minute.
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Inter v Monza?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Inter v Monza was Home win (best price 1.21 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Inter and Monza?
- In their last 6 meetings, Inter won 3, Monza won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Inter and Monza?
- Recent form — Inter 3W 2D 0L; Monza 3W 1D 1L.
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