InterParma

Inter v Parma result

Full-time · Inter 2–0 Parma

Serie A · · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Inter · Parma · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Inter 2–0 Parma — Inter won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,982 of 2,648 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Inter: 2.02 to 0.45 in expected goals, from 12 shots to 4, ahead on xG from the sixth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Inter beat Parma 2–0 at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Serie A on Sunday 3 May. Inter are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions.

The goals

Inter led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Inter: M. Thuram (45’, assisted by Piotr Zieliński) and Henrikh Mkhitaryan (80’, assisted by Lautaro Martínez).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with M. Thuram’s goal on 45 minutes.

Discipline

K. Bonacina showed one yellow card — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Inter: Piotr Zieliński (64’).

What it changes

Inter have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Thuram (Inter) 4.6, Henrikh Mkhitaryan (Inter) 4.6 and Lautaro Martínez (Inter) 3.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

Inter are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Parma, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Inter or Parma (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Inter next host Como on 8 November 2026.

Parma next host AS Roma on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Inter: Inter v Como, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Parma: Parma v AS Roma, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Inter 2–0 Parma · Serie A
  • Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milan
  • Referee: K. Bonacina
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Inter 4 · draws 2 · Parma 0 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Inter 4W 1D 0L · Parma 2W 2D 1L

Inter 2–0 Parma (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.38 / 0.75
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
4.88 / 4.25
Corners
against 4.13 / 5.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 2.5
Shots on target
against 4 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.88 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.83 yellows
Referee · K. Bonacina
26 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameInter for / againstLineParma for / against
Goals scored
2.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.25our book
0.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.25 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
14.63 for · 13.25 against n 8
19.5standard
9.38 for · 12.5 against n 8
Shots on target
5.13 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
2.5 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.63 for · 9.13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.38 for · 12.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: K. Bonacina — 2.83 yellow cards a game, 0.17 red cards, 26 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Inter

Inter Goalkeeper

Inter — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Y. Sommer45904050 min962.1 /90461 /9000 /90
Josep Martínez790630 min152.1 /9050.7 /9000 /90
Inter — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Y. Sommer n 890
2.55/4
Josep Martínez n 890
2.34/4

Inter Defensive

Inter — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Akanji41863508 min591.5 /90441.1 /90190.5 /901383.5 /90290.7 /9050.1 /90
A. Bastoni39813167 min712 /90330.9 /90140.4 /901855.3 /90631.8 /90100.3 /90
Carlos Augusto33702310 min401.6 /90291.1 /9080.3 /901495.8 /90301.2 /9070.3 /90
Y. Bisseck31782422 min451.7 /90250.9 /9070.3 /901304.8 /90361.3 /9030.1 /90
F. Acerbi24842006 min190.9 /90431.9 /90210.9 /901014.5 /90241.1 /9050.2 /90
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Inter — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Dimarco n 875.9
1.65/4
0.94/2
E. Del Prato
Y. Sommer n 890
00/0
00/0
—
N. Barella n 883
0.52/1
0.43/0
E. Valeri
M. Akanji n 888.8
0.53/1
0.63/1
—
M. Thuram n 875.3
1.35/2
2.27/6
Mateo Pellegrino
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Inter — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Dimarco n 875.9
14/2
N. Barella n 883
1.87/3
M. Akanji n 888.8
1.36/3
M. Thuram n 875.3
16/1
F. Esposito n 857.5
0.42/0
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Inter Attacking

Inter — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Thuram41662703 min150.5 /9070.2 /90772.6 /90371.2 /90411.4 /90301 /90
F. Esposito41532170 min100.4 /9060.2 /90662.7 /90311.3 /90321.3 /9060.2 /90
Lautaro Martínez38742797 min220.7 /9040.1 /90943 /90501.6 /90441.4 /90260.8 /90
A. Bonny28451266 min60.4 /9060.4 /90221.6 /90120.9 /90251.8 /90231.6 /90
F. Dimarco46773554 min70.2 /90160.4 /90731.8 /90330.8 /901213.1 /9080.2 /90
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Inter — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Dimarco n 875.9
1.55/3
0.43/0
Y. Sommer n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Barella n 883
0.85/1
0.32/0
M. Akanji n 888.8
0.85/1
0.32/0
M. Thuram n 875.3
2.17/4
1.26/2
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Inter — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Dimarco n 875.9
00/0
0.42/1
Y. Sommer n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Barella n 883
0.32/0
0.43/0
M. Akanji n 888.8
00/0
00/0
M. Thuram n 875.3
0.74/1
0.31/1
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Parma

Parma Goalkeeper

Parma — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Z. Suzuki18901620 min532.9 /90201.1 /9010.1 /90
E. Corvi16901440 min442.8 /90181.1 /9000 /90
F. Rinaldi19090 min44 /9000 /9000 /90
Parma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Z. Suzuki n 890
2.98/6
E. Corvi n 890
2.96/6

Parma Defensive

Parma — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Del Prato34852879 min331 /90250.8 /90230.7 /90802.5 /90180.6 /9050.2 /90
A. Circati28862396 min371.4 /90210.8 /90261 /901304.9 /90301.1 /9060.2 /90
L. Valenti25842100 min441.9 /90261.1 /90251.1 /901054.5 /90210.9 /9060.3 /90
M. Troilo17801355 min211.4 /90120.8 /90151 /90845.6 /90231.5 /9050.3 /90
A. N'Diaye973661 min152 /90121.6 /9020.3 /90516.9 /90111.5 /9050.7 /90
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Parma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Del Prato n 883.3
0.11/0
00/0
F. Dimarco
Mandela Keita n 879.4
0.93/2
1.46/4
—
Mateo Pellegrino n 882
2.77/6
2.57/5
M. Thuram
Adrián Bernabé n 877
0.63/1
2.37/5
—
E. Valeri n 889.9
1.17/1
0.83/2
N. Barella
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Parma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Del Prato n 883.3
0.74/1
Mandela Keita n 879.4
1.16/2
Mateo Pellegrino n 882
0.43/0
Adrián Bernabé n 877
1.65/3
E. Valeri n 889.9
1.34/4
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Parma Attacking

Parma — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Mateo Pellegrino34822797 min100.3 /9010 /90561.8 /90270.9 /90200.6 /90260.8 /90
J. Ondrejka1553795 min00 /9000 /90141.6 /9070.8 /9060.7 /90111.2 /90
P. Cutrone1368881 min00 /9000 /90161.6 /9060.6 /9040.4 /9050.5 /90
Gabriel Strefezza1175828 min10.1 /9020.2 /90131.4 /9050.5 /90141.5 /90141.5 /90
A. Benedyczak955492 min20.4 /9010.2 /9091.6 /9061.1 /9040.7 /9000 /90
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Parma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Del Prato n 883.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
Mandela Keita n 879.4
0.43/0
0.32/0
Mateo Pellegrino n 882
1.16/2
0.43/0
Adrián Bernabé n 877
15/2
0.63/1
E. Valeri n 889.9
0.64/1
0.32/0
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Parma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Del Prato n 883.3
0.11/0
00/0
Mandela Keita n 879.4
00/0
00/0
Mateo Pellegrino n 882
0.11/0
00/0
Adrián Bernabé n 877
0.11/0
00/0
E. Valeri n 889.9
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
InterParma
59%Possession41%
2.09Expected goals (xG)0.27
12Shots4
5Shots on target0
5Shots off target3
2Blocked shots1
11Shots inside the box3
8Corners3
0Offsides3
9Fouls7
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
0Saves3
581Passes420
92%Pass accuracy89%

Inter Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Y. Sommer9000000006.6
Y. Bisseck9000000007.7
M. Akanji9000000107.5
D. Dumfries9000300106.3
P. Sučić9000000207.2
F. Dimarco9000002007.3
N. Barella8900104207.9
A. Bastoni6700002107.6
P. Zieliński67010021Y7.5
M. Thuram6710320006.9
F. Esposito4500001006.3
A. Bonny sub4500000006.7
Carlos Augusto sub2300000007
H. Mkhitaryan sub2310110107.5
Lautaro Martínez sub2301111007.3
D. Frattesi sub10011000–

Parma Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Z. Suzuki9000000006.9
A. Circati9000000406.6
M. Troilo9000000006.2
A. N'Diaye9000100106.2
E. Del Prato9000002006.7
H. Nicolussi9000001206.6
E. Valeri8500000206.7
Adrián Bernabé7500000207.3
Gabriel Strefezza7500000106.9
Mandela Keita6700000006.6
Mateo Pellegrino6700100006
C. Ordoñez sub2300000106.7
N. Elphege sub2300100006.2
O. Sørensen sub1500000006.5
P. Almqvist sub1500000006.5
F. Carboni sub800000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Inter v Parma — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
InterWWWWD
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 3.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
ParmaLDDWW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Inter 4 · 2 draws · Parma 0 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-01-07 Parma 0–2 Inter
  • 2025-04-05 Parma 2–2 Inter
  • 2024-12-06 Inter 3–1 Parma
  • 2023-01-10 Inter 2–1 Parma
  • 2021-03-04 Parma 1–2 Inter
  • 2020-10-31 Inter 2–2 Parma
League standing · 2025/26
Inter#1 pos87 pts38 pl+54 GD
Parma#13 pos45 pts38 pl-18 GD
Goals per game
Inter scored2.34
Parma scored0.74
Inter conceded0.92
Parma conceded1.21

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Inter 2.02 xG from 12 shots, Parma 0.45 from 4. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Nesta Elphege 69' · 0.35 xGDenzel Dumfries 71' · 0.34 xGDavide Frattesi 89' · 0.13 xGMarcus Thuram 31' · 0.13 xGNicolò Barella 24' · 0.09 xGMateo Pellegrino 19' · 0.07 xGPetar Sucic 57' · 0.07 xGLautaro Martínez 76' · 0.06 xGDenzel Dumfries 29' · 0.06 xGDenzel Dumfries 9' · 0.05 xGDenzel Dumfries 39' · 0.04 xGMarcus Thuram 6' · 0.03 xGNiakhate Ndiaye 88' · 0.02 xGHans Nicolussi Caviglia 34' · 0.01 xGHenrikh Mkhitaryan 79' · 0.64 xG · goalMarcus Thuram 45' · 0.36 xG · goal
Inter (attacking right)Parma (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Inter1222.02
Parma400.45

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Inter led on xG, 0.77 to 0.08. At full time, Inter led on xG, 2.02 to 0.45. The widest gap was 1.57 xG to Inter, in the 89th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.01.000′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Inter 45 minGoal - Inter 79 min
Inter 2.02 xGParma 0.45 xGdots = goals · 16 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Inter v Parma?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Inter v Parma was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Inter and Parma?
In their last 6 meetings, Inter won 4, Parma won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Inter and Parma?
Recent form — Inter 4W 1D 0L; Parma 2W 2D 1L.

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