This Matchweek

InterUdinese

Inter v Udinese result

Full-time · Inter 5–3 Udinese

Serie A · · San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Inter · Udinese · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Inter 5–3 Udinese — Inter won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.52 at Unibet
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 547 of 851 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Inter: 4.12 to 1.29 in expected goals, from 27 shots to 6, ahead on xG from the 13th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Inter beat Udinese 5–3 at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza in Serie A on Monday 14 September. Inter have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Udinese have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 2–2 at half-time. The goals — Udinese: James Abankwah (9’, assisted by Unai Gómez), Jurgen Ekkelenkamp (16’, assisted by Keinan Davis) and Idrissa Gueye (90’, assisted by Vakoun Bayo); Inter: Carlos Augusto (26’), Nicolò Barella (35’, assisted by M. Thuram), M. Thuram (57’, assisted by Andy Diouf), Francesco Esposito (67’, assisted by Piotr Zieliński) and Ange-Yoan Bonny (79’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s eight key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with M. Thuram’s goal on 57 minutes.

Discipline

Luca Pairetto, Italy showed two yellow cards — against 4.4 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Inter: Henrikh Mkhitaryan (60’); Udinese: Keinan Davis (45’).

What it changes

Inter move down from first to second (four league matches played).

Udinese move down from 10th to 13th (four league matches played).

With eight goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 4, across 10 matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Thuram (Inter) 10.6, Nicolò Barella (Inter) 7.5 and Carlos Augusto (Inter) 7.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.3% of the time in the last 90 days (352 of 515).

Next up

Inter next host Como on 8 November 2026.

Udinese next travel to Bologna on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Inter: Inter v Como, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Udinese: Bologna v Udinese, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Inter 5–3 Udinese · Serie A
  • Venue: San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza · Milano
  • Referee: Luca Pairetto, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Inter 5 · draws 0 · Udinese 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Inter 3W 1D 1L · Udinese 3W 1D 1L

Inter 5–3 Udinese (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 28 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.25 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.13 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
6 / 3.25
Corners
against 3.63 / 5.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.88 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.43 yellows
Referee · Luca Pairetto, Italy
24.71 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameInter for / againstLineUdinese for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.25our book
1.25 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 3.63 against n 8
9.5standard
3.25 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
18.38 for · 11.38 against n 8
19.5standard
11.75 for · 14.5 against n 8
Shots on target
5.63 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.63 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
13.13 for · 9.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 0.75 against n 8

Referee: Luca Pairetto, Italy — 4.43 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 24.71 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Inter

Inter Goalkeeper

Inter — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Josep Martínez490360 min143.5 /9051.3 /9000 /90
Inter — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Josep Martínez n 890
3.46/4

Inter Defensive

Inter — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Bastoni487349 min102.6 /9000 /9010.3 /90164.1 /9030.8 /9000 /90
Y. Bisseck390270 min72.3 /9041.3 /9020.7 /90134.3 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
M. Akanji378233 min51.9 /9041.5 /9020.8 /90176.6 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90
J. Stones32782 min22.2 /9000 /9000 /901112.1 /9022.2 /9000 /90
B. Pavard268135 min32 /9010.7 /9000 /9042.7 /9010.7 /9000 /90
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Inter — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Josep Martínez n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
A. Bastoni n 875.1
16/1
0.43/0
J. Abankwah
N. Barella n 876
0.95/1
0.73/2
H. Kamara
Lautaro Martínez n 874.1
1.88/4
1.46/3
—
P. Zieliński n 860.5
0.42/0
0.74/0
J. Karlström
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Inter — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Bastoni n 875.1
1.86/3
N. Barella n 876
1.56/4
Lautaro Martínez n 874.1
1.46/3
P. Zieliński n 860.5
0.94/1
H. Çalhanoğlu n 866.1
2.68/4
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Inter Attacking

Inter — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Lautaro Martínez481324 min20.6 /9010.3 /90143.9 /9051.4 /9061.7 /9041.1 /90
F. Esposito367200 min10.5 /9010.5 /9083.6 /9041.8 /9041.8 /9000 /90
M. Thuram343130 min10.7 /9000 /9096.2 /9021.4 /9010.7 /9000 /90
N. Barella483330 min00 /9010.3 /9061.6 /9030.8 /9082.2 /9071.9 /90
P. Zieliński453210 min10.4 /9000 /9031.3 /9020.9 /9031.3 /9000 /90
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Inter — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Josep Martínez n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Bastoni n 875.1
0.62/2
0.11/0
N. Barella n 876
1.67/4
0.42/1
Lautaro Martínez n 874.1
36/5
1.46/2
P. Zieliński n 860.5
0.94/1
0.63/0
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Inter — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Josep Martínez n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Bastoni n 875.1
00/0
00/0
N. Barella n 876
00/0
0.11/0
Lautaro Martínez n 874.1
0.63/1
0.32/0
P. Zieliński n 860.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Udinese

Udinese Goalkeeper

Udinese — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Okoye490360 min123 /9051.3 /9000 /90
B. Mrozek19090 min33 /9011 /9000 /90
Udinese — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Udinese before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Okoye n 890
36/6

Udinese Defensive

Udinese — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
O. Solet580398 min112.5 /9071.6 /9040.9 /90214.7 /9040.9 /9000 /90
J. Abankwah578391 min61.4 /9051.2 /9040.9 /90122.8 /9061.4 /9010.2 /90
E. Ebosse368203 min20.9 /9031.3 /9000 /9073.1 /9020.9 /9000 /90
C. Kabasele269137 min32 /9032 /9021.3 /9063.9 /9032 /9000 /90
M. Palma268135 min32 /9021.3 /9021.3 /9096 /9021.3 /9000 /90
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Udinese — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Udinese before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Karlström n 884
1.26/2
0.94/3
P. Zieliński
M. Vojvoda n 585.4
00/0
0.83/1
—
O. Solet n 883.5
0.95/2
0.96/1
—
J. Abankwah n 864.1
1.87/2
0.74/0
A. Bastoni
H. Kamara n 878.8
0.64/0
0.42/1
N. Barella
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Udinese — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Udinese before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Karlström n 884
1.14/3
M. Vojvoda n 585.4
3.25/4
O. Solet n 883.5
2.67/6
J. Abankwah n 864.1
1.85/3
H. Kamara n 878.8
1.64/4
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Udinese Attacking

Udinese — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Ekkelenkamp487348 min10.3 /9010.3 /9061.6 /9030.8 /9030.8 /9030.8 /90
K. Davis467267 min10.3 /9020.7 /9072.4 /9041.3 /9062 /9020.7 /90
I. Gueye438151 min00 /9000 /9053 /9000 /9031.8 /9000 /90
Unai Gómez359177 min00 /9000 /9031.5 /9031.5 /9021 /9010.5 /90
V. Bayo351153 min21.2 /9000 /9052.9 /9021.2 /9010.6 /9000 /90
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Udinese — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Udinese before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Karlström n 884
0.74/1
0.43/0
M. Vojvoda n 585.4
0.62/1
00/0
O. Solet n 883.5
0.52/1
0.11/0
J. Abankwah n 864.1
00/0
00/0
H. Kamara n 878.8
13/2
0.73/2
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Udinese — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Udinese before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Karlström n 884
0.11/0
00/0
M. Vojvoda n 585.4
00/0
0.21/0
O. Solet n 883.5
00/0
0.11/0
J. Abankwah n 864.1
00/0
00/0
H. Kamara n 878.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
InterUdinese
66%Possession34%
3.05Expected goals (xG)0.92
27Shots6
12Shots on target5
5Shots off target0
10Blocked shots1
17Shots inside the box5
10Corners1
3Offsides1
9Fouls9
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves7
638Passes331
93%Pass accuracy82%

Inter Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Josep Martínez9000000006
M. Akanji9000210106.5
Andy Diouf9001003006.3
N. Barella9010226008.7
Carlos Augusto9010222008.2
F. Esposito9010110007.5
P. Zieliński8201101107.3
A. Bastoni7000000106.9
M. Thuram7011333108.7
J. Stones6200000106.5
H. Mkhitaryan62003122Y6.9
B. Pavard sub2800000006.3
C. Jones sub2800000007.2
F. Dimarco sub2000002006.7
A. Bonny sub2010220006.9
A. Stanković sub800100006.3

Udinese Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Okoye9000000008.7
J. Abankwah9010110006.3
C. Kabasele9000000005.7
E. Ebosse9000000205.9
J. Karlström9000110206.6
H. Kamara9000001306.9
J. Ekkelenkamp8010110107.6
K. Davis80010010Y6.5
M. Vojvoda7400000106.3
Lennon Miller7300000105.6
Unai Gómez6101001006.3
I. Gueye sub2910110007.3
G. Chakvetadze sub1700000106.3
N. Bertola sub1600000006.3
S. Lovrić sub1000002106.9
V. Bayo sub1001111006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Inter v Udinese — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
InterDWWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
UdineseWDWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Inter 5 · 0 draws · Udinese 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-01-17 Udinese 0–1 Inter
  • 2025-08-31 Inter 1–2 Udinese
  • 2025-03-30 Inter 2–1 Udinese
  • 2024-12-19 Inter 2–0 Udinese
  • 2024-09-28 Udinese 2–3 Inter
  • 2024-04-08 Udinese 1–2 Inter
League standing · 2026/27
Inter#2 pos25 pts10 pl+13 GD
Udinese#20 pos5 pts11 pl-13 GD
Goals per game
Inter scored2.6
Udinese scored1.09
Inter conceded1.3
Udinese conceded2.27

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Inter 4.12 xG from 27 shots, Udinese 1.29 from 6. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Marcus Thuram 13' · 0.63 xGHenrikh Mkhitaryan 48' · 0.38 xGAnge-Yoan Bonny 78' · 0.38 xGMarcus Thuram 13' · 0.35 xGCarlos Augusto 52' · 0.12 xGManuel Akanji 75' · 0.10 xGAleksandar Stankovic 88' · 0.08 xGNicolò Barella 40' · 0.07 xGHenrikh Mkhitaryan 40' · 0.07 xGFrancesco Pio Esposito 44' · 0.07 xGNicolò Barella 45' · 0.05 xGHenrikh Mkhitaryan 23' · 0.05 xGJohn Stones 49' · 0.05 xGMarcus Thuram 54' · 0.05 xGJurgen Ekkelenkamp 0' · 0.05 xGManuel Akanji 43' · 0.04 xGPiotr Zielinski 75' · 0.04 xGHenrikh Mkhitaryan 55' · 0.03 xGHenrikh Mkhitaryan 40' · 0.03 xGHenrikh Mkhitaryan 23' · 0.03 xGPiotr Zielinski 49' · 0.03 xGVakoun Bayo 86' · 0.03 xGPiotr Zielinski 31' · 0.02 xGAndy Diouf 76' · 0.02 xGJesper Karlström 80' · 0.01 xGAnge-Yoan Bonny 78' · 0.58 xG · goalJurgen Ekkelenkamp 15' · 0.50 xG · goalFrancesco Pio Esposito 66' · 0.47 xG · goalJames Abankwah 8' · 0.38 xG · goalMarcus Thuram 56' · 0.34 xG · goalIdrissa Gueye 90' · 0.34 xG · goalNicolò Barella 34' · 0.05 xG · goalCarlos Augusto 25' · 0.01 xG · goal
Inter (attacking right)Udinese (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Inter2754.12
Udinese631.29

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Inter led on xG, 1.47 to 0.92. At full time, Inter led on xG, 4.12 to 1.29. The widest gap was 3.16 xG to Inter, in the 88th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
4.12.100′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Udinese 8 minGoal - Udinese 15 minGoal - Inter 25 minGoal - Inter 34 minGoal - Inter 56 minGoal - Inter 66 minGoal - Inter 78 minGoal - Udinese 90 min
Inter 4.12 xGUdinese 1.29 xGdots = goals · 33 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Inter v Udinese?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Inter v Udinese was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.52 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between Inter and Udinese?
In their last 6 meetings, Inter won 5, Udinese won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Inter and Udinese?
Recent form — Inter 3W 1D 1L; Udinese 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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