This Matchweek

JuventusAC Milan

Juventus v AC Milan result

Full-time · Juventus 1–1 AC Milan

Serie A · · Allianz Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Juventus · AC Milan · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Juventus 1–1 AC Milan — this Serie A match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 2.20 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 557 of 869 times (64.1%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Juventus: 1.73 to 0.09 in expected goals, from 14 shots to 3, ahead on xG from the first minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Juventus and AC Milan drew 1–1 at Allianz Stadium in Serie A on Sunday 6 September.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — AC Milan: Alphadjo Cissè (68’, assisted by Samuel Chukwueze); Juventus: Federico Gatti (90’, assisted by Teun Koopmeiners).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Federico Gatti’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

M. Mariani showed four yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Juventus: Federico Gatti (90+6’); AC Milan: P. Estupiñán (79’), Koni De Winter (90+2’) and Alphadjo Cissè (90+6’).

What it changes

Juventus move down from second to fifth (three league matches played).

AC Milan move down from first to fourth (three league matches played).

Juventus are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. AC Milan are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. AC Milan have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Strahinja Pavlović (AC Milan) 5.2, J. Lucumí (Juventus) 3.7 and Alphadjo Cissè (AC Milan) 3.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Juventus are unbeaten in the last three meetings with AC Milan.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Juventus next travel to Fiorentina on 8 November 2026.

AC Milan next travel to Genoa on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Juventus: Fiorentina v Juventus, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for AC Milan: Genoa v AC Milan, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Juventus 1–1 AC Milan · Serie A
  • Venue: Allianz Stadium · Turin
  • Referee: M. Mariani
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Juventus 1 · draws 4 · AC Milan 1 · 0.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Juventus 3W 1D 1L · AC Milan 3W 0D 2L

Juventus 1–1 AC Milan (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 20 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.25
Goals
against 0.63 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
8 / 2.75
Corners
against 2.13 / 3.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.75 / 4
Shots on target
against 2.63 / 3.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.75 yellows
Referee · M. Mariani
23.75 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 29 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameJuventus for / againstLineAC Milan for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 0.63 against n 8
2.25our book
1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
8 for · 2.13 against n 8
9.5standard
2.75 for · 3.38 against n 8
Shots
19 for · 8.38 against n 8
19.5standard
12.5 for · 12.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5.75 for · 2.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.88 for · 11.5 against n 8
21.5standard
10.75 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: M. Mariani — 3.75 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 23.75 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Juventus

Juventus Goalkeeper

Juventus — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Guglielmo Vicario290179 min52.5 /9000 /9000 /90

Juventus Defensive

Juventus — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Bremer290180 min42 /9031.5 /9010.5 /90115.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
Pierre Kalulu290180 min31.5 /9031.5 /9000 /9073.5 /9000 /9000 /90
Z. Çelik280159 min52.8 /9052.8 /9000 /9063.4 /9021.1 /9010.6 /90
L. Kelly253105 min00 /9000 /9000 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9000 /90
J. Lucumí17575 min00 /9000 /9000 /9022.4 /9011.2 /9011.2 /90
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Juventus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Locatelli n 890
2.48/5
1.65/5
Y. Musah
R. Kolo Muani n 879.9
26/4
1.76/5
—
Bremer n 890
0.95/2
0.32/0
S. Pavlović
Pierre Kalulu n 890
0.54/0
0.93/3
S. Pavlović
Douglas Luiz n 857.4
2.45/3
1.64/3
Y. Musah
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Juventus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Locatelli n 890
2.38/5
Bremer n 890
1.86/6
Pierre Kalulu n 890
1.86/5
R. Kolo Muani n 879.9
0.32/0
Douglas Luiz n 857.4
2.26/4
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Juventus Attacking

Juventus — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Kolo Muani290180 min00 /9000 /9052.5 /9021 /9010.5 /9021 /90
Jonathan David15757 min00 /9000 /9011.6 /9000 /9011.6 /9000 /90
N. González13333 min12.7 /9000 /90410.9 /9025.5 /9012.7 /9012.7 /90
E. Zhegrova12121 min00 /9000 /9014.3 /9000 /9028.6 /9000 /90
M. Locatelli290180 min00 /9010.5 /9000 /9000 /9052.5 /9000 /90
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Juventus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Kolo Muani n 879.9
2.18/5
1.16/1
Bremer n 890
1.67/4
0.54/0
M. Locatelli n 890
0.83/2
0.11/0
Pierre Kalulu n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
Douglas Luiz n 857.4
1.83/3
0.41/1
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Juventus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Kolo Muani n 879.9
0.63/1
0.11/0
Bremer n 890
0.11/0
00/0
M. Locatelli n 890
00/0
0.11/0
Pierre Kalulu n 890
00/0
0.11/0
Douglas Luiz n 857.4
00/0
00/0
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AC Milan

AC Milan Goalkeeper

AC Milan — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Maignan290180 min21 /9000 /9000 /90
AC Milan — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Maignan n 890
2.96/2

AC Milan Defensive

AC Milan — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. De Winter290180 min63 /9031.5 /9010.5 /90126 /9031.5 /9000 /90
S. Pavlović290180 min73.5 /9000 /9010.5 /90168 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
Mario Gila282163 min21.1 /9000 /9010.6 /9063.3 /9010.6 /9000 /90
S. Chukwueze290180 min42 /9000 /9010.5 /9094.5 /9000 /9000 /90
Y. Musah290180 min21 /9010.5 /9000 /9073.5 /9000 /9000 /90
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AC Milan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Y. Musah n 863.6
1.45/2
1.23/3
Douglas Luiz
K. De Winter n 886
1.25/2
0.11/0
—
S. Pavlović n 890
1.15/3
0.94/2
Pierre Kalulu
M. Maignan n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
S. Chukwueze n 845
00/0
1.33/1
—
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AC Milan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Pavlović n 890
2.37/5
K. De Winter n 886
2.18/5
S. Chukwueze n 845
1.84/2
Y. Musah n 863.6
1.26/1
R. Loftus-Cheek n 845.4
0.73/0
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AC Milan Attacking

AC Milan — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Gonçalo Ramos290180 min10.5 /9000 /90105 /9042 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
A. Cissè263125 min10.7 /9000 /9042.9 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9000 /90
R. Loftus-Cheek258115 min00 /9000 /9032.3 /9000 /9064.7 /9010.8 /90
A. Saelemaekers22855 min00 /9011.6 /9011.6 /9000 /9034.9 /9000 /90
S. Chukwueze290180 min00 /9010.5 /9031.5 /9021 /9073.5 /9021 /90
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AC Milan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Chukwueze n 845
1.55/1
14/0
S. Pavlović n 890
0.53/1
0.11/0
Y. Musah n 863.6
0.53/0
00/0
K. De Winter n 886
0.31/1
00/0
M. Maignan n 890
00/0
00/0
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AC Milan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Chukwueze n 845
0.31/0
0.83/0
S. Pavlović n 890
0.11/0
00/0
M. Maignan n 890
00/0
00/0
K. De Winter n 886
00/0
00/0
Y. Musah n 863.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
JuventusAC Milan
49%Possession51%
1.59Expected goals (xG)0.11
14Shots3
5Shots on target1
5Shots off target1
4Blocked shots1
6Shots inside the box1
7Corners1
5Offsides1
10Fouls11
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
0Saves4
452Passes479
84%Pass accuracy86%

Juventus Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Bremer9000001106.6
Pierre Kalulu9000000206.3
R. Kolo Muani9000000105.9
M. Locatelli9000101307
J. Lucumí9000001307
Guglielmo Vicario9000000006.2
Z. Çelik8800001206.3
Francisco Conceição8800320107.2
Douglas Luiz7600002106.9
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović6400200006.6
N. González6400111106.9
T. Koopmeiners sub2601001007
J. Boga sub2600111007.2
N. Woltemade sub1400100006.7
E. Zhegrova sub800000006.7
F. Gatti sub8101100Y7.7

AC Milan Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Gonçalo Ramos9000001306.6
S. Pavlović9000000407.2
Y. Musah9000000006.7
P. Estupiñán90000001Y6.3
K. De Winter90000001Y7.2
M. Maignan9000000007.6
Mario Gila8800000006.9
L. Modrić8200000207.2
A. Saelemaekers6100000106.5
A. Rabiot6100100106.6
Diego Moreira6100000206.2
S. Chukwueze sub2901001006.6
A. Cissè sub29101100Y7.2
R. Loftus-Cheek sub2900000006.3
F. Terracciano sub800000006.3
A. Jashari sub800000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Juventus v AC Milan — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
JuventusWLDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
AC MilanLWLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Juventus 1 · 4 draws · AC Milan 1 · 0.83 goals/game
  • 2026-04-26 AC Milan 0–0 Juventus
  • 2025-10-05 Juventus 0–0 AC Milan
  • 2025-01-18 Juventus 2–0 AC Milan
  • 2025-01-03 Juventus 1–2 AC Milan
  • 2024-11-23 AC Milan 0–0 Juventus
  • 2024-04-27 Juventus 0–0 AC Milan
League standing · 2026/27
Juventus#7 pos17 pts10 pl+3 GD
AC Milan#5 pos21 pts10 pl+9 GD
Goals per game
Juventus scored1.3
AC Milan scored2.1
Juventus conceded1
AC Milan conceded1.2

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Juventus 1.73 xG from 14 shots, AC Milan 0.09 from 3. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Manuel Locatelli 24' · 0.54 xGFrancisco Conceição 37' · 0.29 xGFrancisco Conceição 24' · 0.08 xGNick Woltemade 84' · 0.08 xGRandal Kolo Muani 89' · 0.07 xGFrancisco Conceição 54' · 0.06 xGTeun Koopmeiners 83' · 0.05 xGManuel Locatelli 89' · 0.03 xGAdrien Rabiot 12' · 0.03 xGNicolás González 11' · 0.02 xGKerim-Sam Alajbegovic 1' · 0.02 xGJeremie Boga 90' · 0.02 xGKerim-Sam Alajbegovic 47' · 0.02 xGEstupiñán 3' · 0.02 xGDouglas Luiz 14' · 0.01 xGFederico Gatti 91' · 0.45 xG · goalAlphadjo Cissè 67' · 0.05 xG · goal
Juventus (attacking right)AC Milan (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Juventus1411.73
AC Milan310.09

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Juventus led on xG, 0.97 to 0.04. At full time, Juventus led on xG, 1.73 to 0.09. The widest gap was 1.64 xG to Juventus, in the 91st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.70.900′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - AC Milan 67 minGoal - Juventus 91 min
Juventus 1.73 xGAC Milan 0.09 xGdots = goals · 17 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Juventus v AC Milan?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Juventus v AC Milan was Over 2.5 goals (best price 2.20 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Juventus and AC Milan?
In their last 6 meetings, Juventus won 1, AC Milan won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 0.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Juventus and AC Milan?
Recent form — Juventus 3W 1D 1L; AC Milan 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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