LazioParma

Lazio v Parma result

Full-time · Lazio 1–1 Parma

Serie A ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lazio · Parma · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Lazio 1–1 Parma — this Serie A match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Lazio 0.27, Parma 0.36 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Lazio and Parma drew 1–1 in Serie A on Saturday 4 April. Lazio are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Parma are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

Parma led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Parma: Enrico Del Prato (15’); Lazio: Tijjani Noslin (77’, assisted by Kenneth Taylor).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Tijjani Noslin’s goal on 77 minutes.

Discipline

M. Marcenaro showed three yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Lazio: Tijjani Noslin (87’); Parma: Gabriel Strefezza (27’) and Mateo Pellegrino (32’).

What it changes

Lazio have scored 39 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 36 games, ranked per game). Lazio have conceded 39 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Parma have scored 26 goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 36 games, ranked per game). Parma have conceded 45 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Lazio have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kenneth Taylor (Lazio) 5.3, Nuno Tavares (Lazio) 4.9 and Enrico Del Prato (Parma) 4.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Lazio next travel to Napoli on 8 November 2026.

Parma next host AS Roma on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lazio: Napoli v Lazio, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Parma: Parma v AS Roma, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Lazio 1–1 Parma · Serie A
  • Referee: M. Marcenaro
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lazio 4 · draws 1 · Parma 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lazio 3W 1D 1L · Parma 1W 2D 2L

Lazio 1–1 Parma (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 0.88
Goals
against 1 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.43 / 5.13
Corners
against 4.71 / 3.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.71 / 3
Shots on target
against 3.71 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.29 / 2
Cards
against 3 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.83 yellows
Referee · M. Marcenaro
23 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLazio for / againstLineParma for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
3.43 for · 4.71 against n 7
9.5standard
5.13 for · 3.25 against n 8
Shots
10.71 for · 12.14 against n 7
19.5standard
11.38 for · 13.13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.71 for · 3.71 against n 7
8.5standard
3 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.14 for · 13.43 against n 7
21.5standard
12.75 for · 12.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.29 for · 3 against n 7
3.5standard
2 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: M. Marcenaro — 3.83 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 23 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Lazio

Lazio Goalkeeper

Lazio — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
I. Provedel28902520 min913.3 /90291 /9010 /90
E. Motta390270 min93 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
Lazio — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. Provedel n 890
2.67/3

Lazio Defensive

Lazio — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Marušić30862570 min371.3 /90270.9 /90120.4 /90913.2 /90190.7 /9010 /90
Mario Gila29832410 min461.7 /90240.9 /90150.6 /901324.9 /90170.6 /9030.1 /90
A. Romagnoli26862235 min261 /90271.1 /90150.6 /90843.4 /90130.5 /9050.2 /90
L. Pellegrini22591291 min282 /90151 /9080.6 /90523.6 /90221.5 /9060.4 /90
Nuno Tavares18631129 min201.6 /90141.1 /9020.2 /90675.3 /90131 /9030.2 /90
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Lazio — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Marušić n 890
0.43/0
0.84/2
E. Del Prato
Mario Gila n 871.5
0.53/0
0.95/1
—
I. Provedel n 890
00/0
00/0
—
A. Romagnoli n 884.4
0.53/1
0.43/0
E. Del Prato
D. Cataldi n 868.5
0.52/1
14/2
E. Valeri
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Lazio — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Marušić n 890
0.95/2
Mario Gila n 871.5
1.97/3
A. Romagnoli n 884.4
0.84/1
D. Cataldi n 868.5
25/3
M. Zaccagni n 884.1
27/5
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Lazio Attacking

Lazio — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Zaccagni25842107 min40.2 /9000 /90241 /90120.5 /90301.3 /90231 /90
G. Isaksen23641477 min40.2 /9010.1 /90281.7 /90150.9 /90161 /90251.5 /90
M. Cancellieri22591291 min30.2 /9000 /90261.8 /9090.6 /90120.8 /90120.8 /90
B. Dia1658933 min00 /9010.1 /9060.6 /9050.5 /9070.7 /9040.4 /90
Pedro1542627 min30.4 /9010.1 /90101.4 /9060.9 /90101.4 /9081.1 /90
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Lazio — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Marušić n 890
0.54/0
0.32/0
Mario Gila n 871.5
00/0
00/0
I. Provedel n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Romagnoli n 884.4
0.43/0
0.11/0
D. Cataldi n 868.5
1.36/2
0.74/0
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Lazio — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Marušić n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
Mario Gila n 871.5
00/0
00/0
I. Provedel n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Romagnoli n 884.4
00/0
00/0
D. Cataldi n 868.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Parma

Parma Goalkeeper

Parma — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Corvi16901440 min442.8 /90181.1 /9000 /90
Z. Suzuki14901260 min412.9 /90181.3 /9010.1 /90
F. Rinaldi19090 min44 /9000 /9000 /90
Parma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Corvi n 890
2.96/6
Z. Suzuki n 890
3.28/5

Parma Defensive

Parma — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Del Prato30842528 min301.1 /90240.9 /90220.8 /90732.6 /90180.6 /9050.2 /90
A. Circati24852036 min301.3 /90180.8 /90231 /901145 /90291.3 /9050.2 /90
L. Valenti23831920 min411.9 /90261.2 /90221 /901004.7 /90200.9 /9060.3 /90
M. Troilo14781085 min181.5 /90110.9 /90100.8 /90736.1 /90191.6 /9050.4 /90
A. N'Diaye771496 min132.4 /90101.8 /9010.2 /90407.3 /90101.8 /9040.7 /90
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Parma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Mateo Pellegrino n 887.6
2.67/7
1.76/3
—
E. Del Prato n 884.4
0.43/0
00/0
A. Romagnoli
Mandela Keita n 878.8
0.94/1
26/3
—
Adrián Bernabé n 874.5
0.84/1
1.56/3
—
E. Valeri n 889.9
0.94/2
0.83/2
D. Cataldi
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Parma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Mateo Pellegrino n 887.6
0.54/0
E. Del Prato n 884.4
0.43/0
Mandela Keita n 878.8
1.97/5
Adrián Bernabé n 874.5
1.45/2
E. Valeri n 889.9
0.84/2
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Parma Attacking

Parma — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Mateo Pellegrino31832572 min100.3 /9010 /90541.9 /90260.9 /90180.6 /90240.8 /90
J. Ondrejka1455771 min00 /9000 /90141.6 /9070.8 /9060.7 /90111.3 /90
P. Cutrone1368881 min00 /9000 /90161.6 /9060.6 /9040.4 /9050.5 /90
A. Benedyczak955492 min20.4 /9010.2 /9091.6 /9061.1 /9040.7 /9000 /90
P. Almqvist952465 min00 /9000 /9020.4 /9020.4 /9081.5 /9040.8 /90
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Parma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Mateo Pellegrino n 887.6
1.86/4
0.64/1
E. Del Prato n 884.4
00/0
00/0
Mandela Keita n 878.8
0.11/0
00/0
Adrián Bernabé n 874.5
1.25/3
0.63/1
E. Valeri n 889.9
0.43/0
0.11/0
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Parma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Mateo Pellegrino n 887.6
0.32/0
00/0
E. Del Prato n 884.4
00/0
00/0
Mandela Keita n 878.8
00/0
0.11/0
Adrián Bernabé n 874.5
0.21/0
00/0
E. Valeri n 889.9
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LazioParma
61%Possession39%
0.40Expected goals (xG)0.32
7Shots7
3Shots on target4
3Shots off target1
1Blocked shots2
5Shots inside the box4
7Corners2
0Offsides1
12Fouls8
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves2
576Passes381
93%Pass accuracy85%

Lazio Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Motta9000000007
A. Romagnoli9000100007.2
O. Provstgaard9000000107.2
Nuno Tavares9000001306.9
F. Dele-Bashiru9000212106.5
D. Cataldi9000002006.7
Kenneth Taylor9001101207.2
D. Maldini6500000006.3
G. Isaksen5800000006.3
Pedro5800000106.9
A. Marušić5700000106.5
M. Lazzari sub3300110006.9
M. Cancellieri sub3200001006.9
T. Noslin sub32101100Y7.3
B. Dia sub2500000006.2

Parma Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Z. Suzuki9000000006.9
E. Del Prato9010110007.2
A. Circati9000000007.3
L. Valenti9000000106.9
E. Valeri9000111207
Mateo Pellegrino90000001Y6.9
Sascha Britschgi8900001006.5
Mandela Keita8900000006.6
Gabriel Strefezza81001013Y7.2
Adrián Bernabé8000112006.6
H. Nicolussi7100110306.9
N. Estévez sub1900000006.3
C. Ordoñez sub1000000106.6
G. Oristanio sub900000006.3
F. Carboni sub10000000–
O. Sørensen sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lazio v Parma — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LazioLDWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
ParmaWDDLL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lazio 4 · 1 draw · Parma 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2025-12-13 Parma 0–1 Lazio
  • 2025-04-28 Lazio 2–2 Parma
  • 2024-12-01 Parma 3–1 Lazio
  • 2021-05-12 Lazio 1–0 Parma
  • 2021-01-21 Lazio 2–1 Parma
  • 2021-01-10 Parma 0–2 Lazio
League standing · 2025/26
Lazio#9 pos54 pts38 pl+1 GD
Parma#13 pos45 pts38 pl-18 GD
Goals per game
Lazio scored1.08
Parma scored0.74
Lazio conceded1.05
Parma conceded1.21

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Lazio 0.27 xG from 7 shots, Parma 0.36 from 7. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Emanuele Valeri 43' · 0.09 xGDaniel Maldini 34' · 0.06 xGManuel Lazzari 66' · 0.06 xGHans Nicolussi Caviglia 59' · 0.05 xGGabriel Strefezza 67' · 0.04 xGKenneth Taylor 69' · 0.03 xGAdrián Bernabé 10' · 0.03 xGFisayo Dele-Bashiru 96' · 0.02 xGAlessandro Circati 14' · 0.02 xGAdrián Bernabé 71' · 0.02 xGFisayo Dele-Bashiru 55' · 0.02 xGAlessio Romagnoli 41' · 0.01 xGEnrico Del Prato 14' · 0.11 xG · goalTijjani Noslin 76' · 0.07 xG · goal
Lazio (attacking right)Parma (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Lazio710.27
Parma710.36

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Lazio 0.07, Parma 0.25. At full time, xG was level: Lazio 0.27, Parma 0.36.

xG timeline (cumulative)
0.50.300′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Parma 14 minGoal - Lazio 76 min
Lazio 0.27 xGParma 0.36 xGdots = goals · 14 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Lazio v Parma?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lazio v Parma was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Lazio and Parma?
In their last 6 meetings, Lazio won 4, Parma won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lazio and Parma?
Recent form — Lazio 3W 1D 1L; Parma 1W 2D 2L.

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