This Matchweek

LecceAS Roma

Lecce v AS Roma result

Full-time · Lecce 0–4 AS Roma

Serie A · · Via del Mare

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Lecce 0–4 AS Roma — AS Roma won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 2.05 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 555 of 863 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said AS Roma: 4.19 to 1.20 in expected goals, from 15 shots to 7, ahead on xG from the third minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

AS Roma won 4–0 at Via del Mare in Serie A on Monday 31 August. AS Roma are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions.

The goals

AS Roma led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — AS Roma: Donyell Malen (4’; 23’, assisted by Wesley), M. Soulé (25’) and Rodrigo Mora (65’, assisted by Gianluca Mancini).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Donyell Malen’s goal on 4 minutes.

Discipline

Daniele Chiffi, Italy showed two yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Lecce: Ivan Ilić (90’); AS Roma: Donyell Malen (9’).

What it changes

Lecce move down from second to 13th (two league matches played).

AS Roma stay first after this result (two league matches played).

AS Roma’s four-goal margin was the biggest of round 2, across 10 matches. AS Roma have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. AS Roma have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Donyell Malen (AS Roma) 9.2, Hermoso (AS Roma) 7.4 and Wesley (AS Roma) 6.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

AS Roma are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Lecce, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.5% of the time in the last 90 days (346 of 505).

Next up

Lecce next travel to Lazio on 22 November 2026.

AS Roma next travel to Parma on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lecce: Lazio v Lecce, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for AS Roma: Parma v AS Roma, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Lecce 0–4 AS Roma · Serie A
  • Venue: Via del Mare · Lecce
  • Referee: Daniele Chiffi, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lecce 0 · draws 1 · AS Roma 5 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lecce 3W 0D 2L · AS Roma 5W 0D 0L

Lecce 0–4 AS Roma (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 14 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 2.63
Goals
against 0.88 / 0.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 5.13
Corners
against 4 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4 / 6.25
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 2.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.6 yellows
Referee · Daniele Chiffi, Italy
24.8 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLecce for / againstLineAS Roma for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5our book
2.63 for · 0.38 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
5.13 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
11.38 for · 12.13 against n 8
19.5standard
14.38 for · 8.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
6.25 for · 2.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.5 for · 11.75 against n 8
21.5standard
11.38 for · 12.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: Daniele Chiffi, Italy — 3.6 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 24.8 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Lecce

Lecce Goalkeeper

Lecce — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
W. Falcone290180 min94.5 /9021 /9000 /90
Lecce — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
W. Falcone n 890
3.87/6

Lecce Defensive

Lecce — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Danilo Veiga290180 min52.5 /9042 /9000 /90105 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
Kialonda Gaspar290180 min84 /9021 /9010.5 /90136.5 /9021 /9010.5 /90
A. Gallo268135 min00 /9021.3 /9000 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9000 /90
Tiago Gabriel253106 min00 /9032.5 /9000 /9086.8 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Siebert19090 min22 /9044 /9011 /9033 /9000 /9000 /90
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Lecce — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Danilo Veiga n 886.9
0.94/2
1.67/4
Wesley
Kialonda Gaspar n 881.9
0.85/1
1.25/3
G. Mancini
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
L. Coulibaly n 889.8
2.38/6
26/4
Wesley
O. Ngom n 867.3
1.84/4
0.52/1
B. Cristante
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Lecce — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Danilo Veiga n 886.9
2.58/8
Kialonda Gaspar n 881.9
2.26/4
L. Coulibaly n 889.8
1.66/5
K. N’Dri n 844.1
2.35/3
O. Ngom n 867.3
1.75/4
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Lecce Attacking

Lecce — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. N’Dri282164 min00 /9000 /9031.6 /9010.5 /9021.1 /9010.5 /90
S. Pierotti282163 min00 /9000 /9021.1 /9010.6 /9021.1 /9021.1 /90
W. Geubbels279158 min00 /9000 /9063.4 /9021.1 /9031.7 /9000 /90
N. Štulić23161 min00 /9000 /9057.4 /9011.5 /9011.5 /9000 /90
Hjalte Laerke11616 min00 /9000 /9015.6 /9015.6 /9015.6 /9000 /90
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Lecce — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Danilo Veiga n 886.9
0.11/0
00/0
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
00/0
Kialonda Gaspar n 881.9
00/0
00/0
L. Coulibaly n 889.8
0.85/1
0.11/0
K. N’Dri n 844.1
1.34/1
0.52/0
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Lecce — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
00/0
Danilo Veiga n 886.9
00/0
00/0
Kialonda Gaspar n 881.9
00/0
00/0
L. Coulibaly n 889.8
00/0
0.11/0
O. Ngom n 867.3
00/0
00/0
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AS Roma

AS Roma Goalkeeper

AS Roma — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Svilar19090 min44 /9000 /9000 /90
AS Roma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Svilar n 890
2.45/3

AS Roma Defensive

AS Roma — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Ndicka19090 min33 /9011 /9000 /9077 /9033 /9000 /90
G. Mancini19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /9055 /9022 /9000 /90
Hermoso16868 min22.6 /9034 /9000 /9067.9 /9022.6 /9011.3 /90
K. Koulierakis12222 min14.1 /9000 /9000 /9014.1 /9000 /9000 /90
B. Cristante19090 min44 /9022 /9000 /901111 /9000 /9000 /90
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AS Roma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Wesley n 884.3
1.77/4
1.98/5
L. Coulibaly
G. Mancini n 877.5
1.65/5
1.26/1
Kialonda Gaspar
B. Cristante n 886.1
1.26/3
0.32/0
O. Ngom
E. Ndicka n 883.4
1.14/2
0.11/0
—
M. Svilar n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
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AS Roma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Cristante n 886.1
2.57/5
Wesley n 884.3
1.36/3
G. Mancini n 877.5
1.36/2
E. Ndicka n 883.4
1.15/2
M. Koné n 874.5
1.75/3
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AS Roma Attacking

AS Roma — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Dybala17979 min00 /9033.4 /9033.4 /9011.1 /9044.6 /9000 /90
D. Malen16868 min34 /9000 /9045.3 /9034 /9011.3 /9034 /90
Rodrigo Mora15454 min00 /9000 /9023.3 /9023.3 /9011.7 /9000 /90
M. Soulé13636 min00 /9000 /9012.5 /9012.5 /9000 /9012.5 /90
S. Castro12222 min00 /9000 /9014.1 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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AS Roma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Ndicka n 883.4
0.85/1
0.32/0
G. Mancini n 877.5
0.74/1
0.63/1
Wesley n 884.3
0.54/0
0.54/0
B. Cristante n 886.1
0.42/1
00/0
M. Svilar n 890
00/0
00/0
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AS Roma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 24 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Mancini n 877.5
0.63/1
00/0
Wesley n 884.3
0.32/0
00/0
M. Svilar n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Cristante n 886.1
00/0
00/0
E. Ndicka n 883.4
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LecceAS Roma
36%Possession64%
0.80Expected goals (xG)3.27
7Shots15
3Shots on target8
4Shots off target7
3Shots inside the box10
2Corners1
0Offsides9
9Fouls8
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
4Saves2
375Passes677
78%Pass accuracy88%

Lecce Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
W. Falcone9000000006.7
J. Siebert9000000205.9
Kialonda Gaspar9000110506
Danilo Veiga9000000105.6
L. Coulibaly9000001007.2
C. Ndaba9000000106.5
O. Ngom7200000106.3
S. Pierotti7200111306.5
W. Geubbels5400210006.2
Tiago Gabriel4500000206.3
Olaf Gorter4500001006.2
Y. Maleh sub4500100006.3
K. N’Dri sub4500200106.5
N. Štulić sub3600000006.5
I. Ilić sub18000010Y6.6
A. Ahmed Fatah sub1800001006.6

AS Roma Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Svilar9000000107.3
G. Mancini9001001208
D. Ghilardi9000000507.6
Hermoso9000000608.3
E. Lulli9000002207
B. Cristante9000000307
P. Dybala8400314108.3
M. Koné6700003107.2
D. Malen67205311Y7.3
Wesley6001101407.2
M. Soulé6010431006.9
Nahuel Molina sub3000000206.9
Rodrigo Mora sub3010111207.5
N. Pisilli sub2300000106.6
S. Castro sub2300100105.9
M. de Roon sub1200000106.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lecce v AS Roma — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LecceLWWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
AS RomaWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 3 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lecce 0 · 1 draw · AS Roma 5 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-03-22 AS Roma 1–0 Lecce
  • 2026-01-06 Lecce 0–2 AS Roma
  • 2025-03-29 Lecce 0–1 AS Roma
  • 2024-12-07 AS Roma 4–1 Lecce
  • 2024-04-01 Lecce 0–0 AS Roma
  • 2023-11-05 AS Roma 2–1 Lecce
League standing · 2026/27
Lecce#14 pos10 pts11 pl-10 GD
AS Roma#3 pos24 pts10 pl+18 GD
Goals per game
Lecce scored1.09
AS Roma scored2.8
Lecce conceded2
AS Roma conceded1

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Lecce 1.20 xG from 7 shots, AS Roma 4.19 from 15. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Kialonda Gaspar 60' · 0.77 xGDonyell Malen 31' · 0.56 xGDonyell Malen 46' · 0.50 xGPaulo Dybala 61' · 0.40 xGWillem Geubbels 37' · 0.23 xGSantiago Castro 76' · 0.11 xGMatìas Soulè Malvano 11' · 0.11 xGMatìas Soulè Malvano 24' · 0.11 xGMatìas Soulè Malvano 39' · 0.09 xGKonan N’Dri 55' · 0.09 xGDonyell Malen 49' · 0.07 xGKonan N’Dri 87' · 0.06 xGPaulo Dybala 74' · 0.04 xGPaulo Dybala 43' · 0.03 xGWillem Geubbels 6' · 0.03 xGWesley 57' · 0.03 xGYoussef Maleh 76' · 0.02 xGSantiago Pierotti 57' · 0.01 xGRodrigo Mora 64' · 0.65 xG · goalDonyell Malen 22' · 0.65 xG · goalMatìas Soulè Malvano 24' · 0.49 xG · goalDonyell Malen 3' · 0.37 xG · goal
Lecce (attacking right)AS Roma (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Lecce701.20
AS Roma1544.19

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, AS Roma led on xG, 2.40 to 0.26. At full time, AS Roma led on xG, 4.19 to 1.20. The widest gap was 3.05 xG to AS Roma, in the 76th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
4.22.100′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - AS Roma 3 minGoal - AS Roma 22 minGoal - AS Roma 24 minGoal - AS Roma 64 min
Lecce 1.20 xGAS Roma 4.19 xGdots = goals · 22 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Lecce v AS Roma?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lecce v AS Roma was Over 2.5 goals (best price 2.05 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Lecce and AS Roma?
In their last 6 meetings, Lecce won 0, AS Roma won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lecce and AS Roma?
Recent form — Lecce 3W 0D 2L; AS Roma 5W 0D 0L.

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