LecceGenoa

Lecce v Genoa result

Full-time · Lecce 1–0 Genoa

Serie A ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lecce · Genoa · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Lecce 1–0 Genoa — Lecce won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55.2% of 145 landed (95% range 47–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Lecce: 2.21 to 0.78 in expected goals, from 9 shots to 8, ahead on xG from the fifth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Lecce beat Genoa 1–0 in Serie A on Sunday 24 May. It is Lecce’s first win over Genoa since 22 September 2023, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Lecce led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Lecce: L. Banda (6’, assisted by Santiago Pierotti).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with L. Banda’s goal on 6 minutes.

Discipline

D. Doveri showed two yellow cards — against 2.6 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Lecce: Y. Ramadani (45’) and Tiago Gabriel (76’).

What it changes

Lecce stay 17th after this result (38 league matches played). Lecce have scored 28 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Lecce have conceded 50 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Genoa move down from 14th to 15th (38 league matches played). Genoa have scored 41 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Genoa have conceded 51 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs.

Genoa are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, L. Banda (Lecce) 6.2, Patrizio Masini (Genoa) 5.3 and Santiago Pierotti (Lecce) 5.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

Genoa are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Lecce.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 55.2% of the time in the last 90 days (80 of 145).

Next up

Lecce next travel to Torino on 7 November 2026.

Genoa next host AC Milan on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lecce: Torino v Lecce, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Genoa: Genoa v AC Milan, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Lecce 1–0 Genoa · Serie A
  • Referee: D. Doveri
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lecce 1 · draws 2 · Genoa 3 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lecce 2W 2D 1L · Genoa 1W 2D 2L

Lecce 1–0 Genoa (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 0.63
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2
over 8 matches
3.63 / 4.13
Corners
against 5.25 / 3.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 3.13
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 1.25
Cards
against 2 / 3 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.56 yellows
Referee · D. Doveri
22.56 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLecce for / againstLineGenoa for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
2our book
0.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.63 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
9.63 for · 12.5 against n 8
19.5standard
11.63 for · 12.38 against n 8
Shots on target
2.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3.13 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.25 for · 14.38 against n 8
21.5standard
10.25 for · 14.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 3 against n 8

Referee: D. Doveri — 2.56 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.56 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Lecce

Lecce Goalkeeper

Lecce — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
W. Falcone38903420 min1133 /90501.3 /9020.1 /90
Lecce — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
W. Falcone n 890
3.27/5

Lecce Defensive

Lecce — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Gallo38813091 min591.7 /90150.4 /9070.2 /901123.3 /9080.2 /9030.1 /90
Tiago Gabriel37893299 min651.8 /90441.2 /90210.6 /902306.3 /90270.7 /9060.2 /90
Danilo Veiga37833056 min972.9 /90320.9 /90150.4 /902206.5 /90451.3 /9080.2 /90
Kialonda Gaspar23861983 min251.1 /90211 /90221 /901014.6 /90130.6 /9060.3 /90
J. Siebert19851623 min231.3 /90150.8 /90221.2 /90663.7 /90221.2 /9030.2 /90
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Lecce — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
A. Gallo n 882.4
0.11/0
0.42/1
—
S. Pierotti n 886.9
2.57/7
1.25/3
M. Ellertsson
Tiago Gabriel n 890
0.53/1
0.53/1
—
Y. Ramadani n 886.1
0.84/2
27/5
M. Frendrup
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Lecce — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Gallo n 882.4
0.85/1
S. Pierotti n 886.9
2.78/5
Tiago Gabriel n 890
1.96/3
Y. Ramadani n 886.1
3.17/7
Danilo Veiga n 884
2.38/6
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Lecce Attacking

Lecce — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
N. Štulić28591657 min30.2 /9000 /90201.1 /9080.4 /90181 /9040.2 /90
R. Sottil19551047 min10.1 /9020.2 /9090.8 /9020.2 /90242.1 /90121 /90
F. Camarda1940762 min10.1 /9010.1 /9091.1 /9040.5 /9050.6 /9030.4 /90
Tete Morente1756950 min00 /9000 /9060.6 /9020.2 /90100.9 /90111 /90
W. Cheddira1658923 min30.3 /9010.1 /90161.6 /9090.9 /9080.8 /9050.5 /90
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Lecce — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Gallo n 882.4
00/0
00/0
S. Pierotti n 886.9
0.96/1
0.43/0
Tiago Gabriel n 890
0.64/1
0.11/0
Y. Ramadani n 886.1
0.97/0
00/0
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Lecce — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Gallo n 882.4
00/0
0.32/0
S. Pierotti n 886.9
00/0
0.11/0
Tiago Gabriel n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Y. Ramadani n 886.1
00/0
00/0
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Genoa

Genoa Goalkeeper

Genoa — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Leali22881939 min592.7 /90271.3 /9000 /90
J. Bijlow16871395 min452.9 /90201.3 /9000 /90
D. Sommariva288175 min84.1 /9042.1 /9000 /90
Genoa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Genoa before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Leali n 884.4
3.76/5
J. Bijlow n 884.4
3.26/5

Genoa Defensive

Genoa — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Vásquez39903491 min691.8 /90461.2 /90280.7 /902145.5 /90280.7 /9020.1 /90
A. Marcandalli33822719 min351.2 /90260.9 /90110.4 /901093.6 /90250.8 /9040.1 /90
L. Østigård31852644 min361.2 /90301 /90270.9 /901575.3 /90381.3 /9070.2 /90
S. Otoa1176832 min111.2 /90111.2 /90111.2 /90465 /9050.5 /9010.1 /90
M. Frendrup38853226 min1002.8 /90451.3 /90140.4 /901785 /90411.1 /9050.1 /90
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Genoa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Genoa before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Vásquez n 889.3
0.43/0
1.88/4
—
M. Frendrup n 888.4
0.96/1
0.84/2
Y. Ramadani
L. Colombo n 861.4
1.15/1
2.46/3
—
R. Malinovskyi n 853.9
15/0
0.21/0
—
M. Ellertsson n 884.6
0.94/2
1.76/5
S. Pierotti
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Genoa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Genoa before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Vásquez n 889.3
2.58/5
M. Frendrup n 888.4
2.98/6
L. Colombo n 861.4
0.53/0
R. Malinovskyi n 853.9
0.63/0
M. Ellertsson n 884.6
1.66/3
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Genoa Attacking

Genoa — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Colombo37642369 min70.3 /9020.1 /90532 /90271 /90240.9 /90190.7 /90
Vítinha32702232 min50.2 /9010 /90401.6 /90200.8 /90170.7 /90341.4 /90
C. Ekuban2735947 min40.4 /9010.1 /90242.3 /90101 /90111 /9070.7 /90
J. Ekhator2638984 min40.4 /9000 /90151.4 /9060.5 /9090.8 /90111 /90
Junior Messias2037730 min30.4 /9010.1 /90162 /9081 /9070.9 /90182.2 /90
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Genoa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Genoa before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Vásquez n 889.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
M. Frendrup n 888.4
00/0
00/0
L. Colombo n 861.4
2.25/3
1.13/1
R. Malinovskyi n 853.9
2.55/3
0.41/1
M. Ellertsson n 884.6
0.52/1
00/0
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Genoa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Genoa before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Vásquez n 889.3
0.11/0
00/0
M. Frendrup n 888.4
00/0
00/0
L. Colombo n 861.4
0.21/0
00/0
R. Malinovskyi n 853.9
0.21/0
00/0
M. Ellertsson n 884.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LecceGenoa
32%Possession68%
1.43Expected goals (xG)0.68
9Shots8
4Shots on target1
5Shots off target5
0Blocked shots2
7Shots inside the box6
1Corners6
3Offsides2
11Fouls6
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
1Saves3
240Passes510
73%Pass accuracy85%

Lecce Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
W. Falcone9000000007.2
Danilo Veiga9000001206.9
J. Siebert9000000207.2
Tiago Gabriel90000001Y6.9
A. Gallo9000102007.7
L. Coulibaly9000200006.7
Y. Ramadani89000021Y7.2
S. Pierotti8001101206.5
W. Cheddira8000210006.6
L. Banda6510331007.2
O. Ngom4500000006.3
O. Gandelman sub4500000006.5
K. N’Dri sub2500000006.5
G. Jean sub1000000006.6
N. Štulić sub1000000006.7
Kialonda Gaspar sub10000000–

Genoa Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Leali9000000007.3
S. Otoa9000000006.9
N. Zätterström9000000106.2
M. Frendrup9000000106.5
L. Colombo9000101206.3
M. Ellertsson9000001006.6
A. Marcandalli8300100207
P. Masini8300210506.9
Alexsandro Amorim6900002206.3
S. Sabelli6000200006.3
Aarón Martín6000002107.2
B. Norton-Cuffy sub3000000106.6
W. L. Ouedraogo sub3000000406.6
Jacopo Grossi sub2100000006.7
Gaël Lafont sub1000000006.7
Filippo Carbone sub1000000307.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lecce v Genoa — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LecceDDWLW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
GenoaWLDDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lecce 1 · 2 draws · Genoa 3 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2025-08-23 Genoa 0–0 Lecce
  • 2025-03-14 Genoa 2–1 Lecce
  • 2025-01-05 Lecce 0–0 Genoa
  • 2024-01-28 Genoa 2–1 Lecce
  • 2023-09-22 Lecce 1–0 Genoa
  • 2020-07-19 Genoa 2–1 Lecce
League standing · 2025/26
Lecce#17 pos38 pts38 pl-22 GD
Genoa#16 pos41 pts38 pl-10 GD
Goals per game
Lecce scored0.74
Genoa scored1.08
Lecce conceded1.32
Genoa conceded1.34

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Lecce 2.21 xG from 9 shots, Genoa 0.78 from 8. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Walid Cheddira 51' · 0.49 xGLameck Banda 14' · 0.45 xGPatrizio Masini 61' · 0.44 xGSantiago Pierotti 67' · 0.39 xGWalid Cheddira 5' · 0.13 xGJacopo Grossi 76' · 0.10 xGAlessandro Marcandalli 19' · 0.08 xGAntonino Gallo 10' · 0.07 xGStefano Sabelli 19' · 0.06 xGPatrizio Masini 42' · 0.04 xGLameck Banda 43' · 0.04 xGLorenzo Colombo 62' · 0.03 xGStefano Sabelli 48' · 0.03 xGLassana Coulibaly 70' · 0.02 xGStefano Sabelli 48' · 0.01 xGLassana Coulibaly 15' · 0.01 xGLameck Banda 5' · 0.61 xG · goal
Lecce (attacking right)Genoa (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Lecce912.21
Genoa800.78

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Lecce led on xG, 1.30 to 0.18. At full time, Lecce led on xG, 2.21 to 0.78. The widest gap was 1.58 xG to Lecce, in the 51st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.21.100′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Lecce 5 min
Lecce 2.21 xGGenoa 0.78 xGdots = goals · 17 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Lecce v Genoa?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lecce v Genoa was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Lecce and Genoa?
In their last 6 meetings, Lecce won 1, Genoa won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lecce and Genoa?
Recent form — Lecce 2W 2D 1L; Genoa 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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