This Matchweek

LecceJuventus

Lecce v Juventus result

Full-time · Lecce 0–2 Juventus

Serie A · · Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Lecce 0–2 Juventus — Juventus won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
Best price: 1.16 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.4% of 1419 landed (95% range 65.9–70.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 835 of 1,293 times (64.6%), against an average rating of 69.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Lecce 0.76, Juventus 0.80 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Juventus won 2–0 at Stadio Comunale Via del Mare in Serie A on Sunday 25 October. Juventus are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Lecce, every meeting checked.

The goals

Juventus led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Juventus: Weston McKennie (29’, assisted by Douglas Luiz) and Douglas Luiz (41’, assisted by Federico Gatti). Kialonda Gaspar (90+4’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Weston McKennie’s goal on 29 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Lecce: Kialonda Gaspar (76’).

What it changes

Lecce move down from 11th to 12th (eight league matches played). Lecce have scored nine goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games, ranked per game). Lecce have conceded 14 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs.

Juventus move up from eighth to seventh (eight league matches played). Juventus have scored 11 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games, ranked per game). Juventus have conceded eight goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Douglas Luiz (Juventus) 9.3, Federico Gatti (Juventus) 5.7 and Weston McKennie (Juventus) 5.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Juventus, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.4% of the time in the last 90 days (970 of 1419).

Next up

Lecce next travel to Lazio on 22 November 2026.

Juventus next travel to Fiorentina on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lecce: Lazio v Lecce, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Juventus: Fiorentina v Juventus, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Lecce 0–2 Juventus · Serie A
  • Venue: Stadio Comunale Via del Mare · Lecce
  • Referee: Fabio Maresca
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lecce 0 · draws 2 · Juventus 4 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lecce 2W 0D 3L · Juventus 2W 2D 1L

Lecce 0–2 Juventus (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.88 / 6.13
Corners
against 3.38 / 3.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 6.38 / 3 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.13
Cards
against 0.88 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLecce for / againstLineJuventus for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.75our book
1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 3.38 against n 8
9.5standard
6.13 for · 3.13 against n 8
Shots
12 for · 14.75 against n 8
19.5standard
15.63 for · 9.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.63 for · 6.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5.88 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 9.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11.25 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: Fabio Maresca.

Lecce

Lecce Goalkeeper

Lecce — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
W. Falcone890720 min354.4 /90141.8 /9000 /90
Lecce — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
W. Falcone n 890
4.47/6

Lecce Defensive

Lecce — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Danilo Veiga890720 min243 /90101.3 /9030.4 /90425.3 /90121.5 /9030.4 /90
A. Gallo784585 min91.4 /9081.2 /9040.6 /90162.5 /9010.2 /9000 /90
Tiago Gabriel773511 min101.8 /90122.1 /9020.4 /90366.3 /9071.2 /9000 /90
Kialonda Gaspar686516 min193.3 /9030.5 /9040.7 /90345.9 /9050.9 /9020.3 /90
J. Siebert679474 min142.7 /9091.7 /9030.6 /90315.9 /9071.3 /9010.2 /90
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Lecce — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Danilo Veiga n 890
1.57/2
1.16/2
Bremer
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
L. Coulibaly n 883.6
0.84/2
28/6
—
S. Pierotti n 865.9
1.97/3
0.21/0
—
O. Ngom n 858.6
2.15/4
0.62/1
Douglas Luiz
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Lecce — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Danilo Veiga n 890
38/6
L. Coulibaly n 883.6
1.56/3
S. Pierotti n 865.9
2.26/4
O. Ngom n 858.6
2.97/4
Y. Maleh n 857.4
1.86/2
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Lecce Attacking

Lecce — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Pierotti866527 min00 /9000 /9030.5 /9020.3 /9040.7 /9061 /90
K. N’Dri755388 min10.2 /9000 /90102.3 /9051.2 /9061.4 /9061.4 /90
N. Štulić651306 min00 /9000 /9061.8 /9020.6 /9020.6 /9000 /90
A. Ahmed Fatah641247 min10.4 /9000 /9041.5 /9020.7 /9031.1 /90134.7 /90
W. Geubbels562310 min00 /9000 /90144.1 /9061.7 /9041.2 /9000 /90
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Lecce — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Danilo Veiga n 890
0.11/0
00/0
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Coulibaly n 883.6
0.94/2
0.53/1
S. Pierotti n 865.9
0.52/1
0.32/0
O. Ngom n 858.6
0.83/1
0.42/0
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Lecce — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Danilo Veiga n 890
00/0
0.32/0
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Coulibaly n 883.6
0.31/1
0.11/0
S. Pierotti n 865.9
00/0
00/0
O. Ngom n 858.6
00/0
00/0
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Juventus

Juventus Goalkeeper

Juventus — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Guglielmo Vicario990809 min141.6 /9070.8 /9000 /90
K. Grabara19090 min33 /9000 /9000 /90
Juventus — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Guglielmo Vicario n 890
1.53/3

Juventus Defensive

Juventus — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Pierre Kalulu1086855 min242.5 /90101.1 /9010.1 /90363.8 /9040.4 /9000 /90
Bremer1077770 min121.4 /90131.5 /9040.5 /90394.6 /90101.2 /9000 /90
Z. Çelik978700 min192.4 /9070.9 /9010.1 /90314 /9070.9 /9010.1 /90
J. Lucumí874590 min91.4 /90101.5 /9010.2 /90152.3 /9030.5 /9030.5 /90
L. Kelly560300 min61.8 /9020.6 /9010.3 /90123.6 /9041.2 /9010.3 /90
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Juventus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Pierre Kalulu n 884.4
0.54/0
0.32/0
—
Bremer n 873.8
1.14/2
0.21/0
Danilo Veiga
R. Kolo Muani n 871.8
1.46/2
1.46/3
—
Guglielmo Vicario n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Douglas Luiz n 881
1.86/3
1.77/3
O. Ngom
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Juventus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Pierre Kalulu n 884.4
2.87/6
Bremer n 873.8
1.26/1
R. Kolo Muani n 871.8
0.64/0
Douglas Luiz n 881
1.88/4
Z. Çelik n 878.9
2.77/6
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Juventus Attacking

Juventus — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Kolo Muani1075754 min30.4 /9020.2 /90151.8 /9060.7 /9081 /90121.4 /90
N. Woltemade661368 min30.7 /9010.2 /90184.4 /9061.5 /90102.4 /9030.7 /90
E. Zhegrova528138 min21.3 /9010.7 /9095.9 /9074.6 /9095.9 /9063.9 /90
J. Boga335104 min00 /9000 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9021.7 /9032.6 /90
Jonathan David15757 min00 /9000 /9011.6 /9000 /9011.6 /9000 /90
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Juventus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Pierre Kalulu n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
Bremer n 873.8
0.63/1
0.21/0
R. Kolo Muani n 871.8
1.66/4
0.64/0
Guglielmo Vicario n 890
00/0
00/0
Douglas Luiz n 881
1.46/1
0.63/1
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Juventus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Pierre Kalulu n 884.4
00/0
00/0
Bremer n 873.8
0.21/0
00/0
R. Kolo Muani n 871.8
0.53/0
0.32/0
Guglielmo Vicario n 890
00/0
00/0
Douglas Luiz n 881
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LecceJuventus
42%Possession58%
0.86Expected goals (xG)1.06
16Shots8
4Shots on target2
8Shots off target6
4Blocked shots1
10Shots inside the box7
5Corners3
2Offsides4
10Fouls12
1Yellow cards0
1Red cards0
1Saves4
331Passes474
76%Pass accuracy82%

Lecce Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Gallo9000002206.9
Kialonda Gaspar90001102RY7.2
Y. Maleh9000102206.6
O. Ngom9000110106.9
Danilo Veiga9000002007.2
W. Falcone9000000005.9
K. N’Dri8600110106.9
W. Geubbels7100202006.5
Tiago Gabriel6000200406.9
A. Ahmed Fatah4500100106.5
M. Kaba4500100006.3
J. Siebert sub4500001106.6
Joël Monteiro sub4500101006.5
C. Ndaba sub3000000106.6
Paco Esteban sub1900110006.9
N. Štulić sub900000006.5

Juventus Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Guglielmo Vicario9000000007.9
Bremer9000100207.7
F. Gatti9001001207.5
Pierre Kalulu9000000207.3
T. Koopmeiners9000000407.7
J. Lucumí9000001107.2
N. Woltemade9000100106.2
W. McKennie8910110007.5
Douglas Luiz8311112009.3
A. Cambiaso6800101206.7
R. Kolo Muani6800100006.2
J. Boga sub2200100306.6
J. Cabal sub2200100307
P. Sarr sub1200001006.5
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lecce v Juventus — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LecceLWLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
JuventusWDWLD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lecce 0 · 2 draws · Juventus 4 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-05-09 Lecce 0–1 Juventus
  • 2026-01-03 Juventus 1–1 Lecce
  • 2025-04-12 Juventus 2–1 Lecce
  • 2024-12-01 Lecce 1–1 Juventus
  • 2024-01-21 Lecce 0–3 Juventus
  • 2023-09-26 Juventus 1–0 Lecce
League standing · 2026/27
Lecce#14 pos9 pts10 pl-10 GD
Juventus#7 pos17 pts10 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Lecce scored1.1
Juventus scored1.3
Lecce conceded2.1
Juventus conceded1

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Lecce 0.76 xG from 16 shots, Juventus 0.80 from 8. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Willem Geubbels 20' · 0.13 xGYoussef Maleh 48' · 0.09 xGWillem Geubbels 68' · 0.09 xGJuan Cabal 87' · 0.09 xGNick Woltemade 77' · 0.09 xGKialonda Gaspar 48' · 0.09 xGRandal Kolo Muani 36' · 0.08 xGPaco Esteban 74' · 0.07 xGJoël Monteiro 68' · 0.06 xGAndrea Cambiaso 46' · 0.05 xGMohamed Kaba 20' · 0.05 xGJeremie Boga 83' · 0.05 xGKonan N’Dri 79' · 0.04 xGAmar Ahmed Fatah 25' · 0.03 xGTiago Gabriel 56' · 0.02 xGJoël Monteiro 49' · 0.02 xGBremer 40' · 0.02 xGKialonda Gaspar 66' · 0.01 xGAntonino Gallo 66' · 0.01 xGTiago Gabriel 42' · 0.01 xGOumar Ngom 46' · 0.01 xGYoussef Maleh 62' · 0.01 xGWeston McKennie 28' · 0.38 xG · goalDouglas Luiz 40' · 0.03 xG · goal
Lecce (attacking right)Juventus (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Lecce1600.76
Juventus820.80

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Lecce 0.23, Juventus 0.51. At full time, xG was level: Lecce 0.76, Juventus 0.80.

xG timeline (cumulative)
0.80.400′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Juventus 28 minGoal - Juventus 40 min
Lecce 0.76 xGJuventus 0.80 xGdots = goals · 24 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Lecce v Juventus?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lecce v Juventus was Draw or Away (best price 1.16 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Lecce and Juventus?
In their last 6 meetings, Lecce won 0, Juventus won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lecce and Juventus?
Recent form — Lecce 2W 0D 3L; Juventus 2W 2D 1L.

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