Mirassol v Gremio result

Full-time · Mirassol 2–1 Gremio

Serie A – Brazil · · Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Mirassol · Gremio

The model’s pre-match pick

Mirassol 2–1 Gremio — Mirassol won this Serie A – Brazil match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Mirassol beat Gremio 2–1 at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia in Serie A – Brazil on Saturday 18 July. Gremio have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Mirassol led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Mirassol: Bruno Santos (16’, assisted by Igor Formiga) and Edson Carioca (40’, assisted by Denilson); Gremio: Carlos Vinícius (77’, assisted by Cristian Pavón).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Bruno Santos’s goal on 16 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Mirassol 1.38, Gremio 0.52, from 14 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Bruno Arleu de Araujo, Brazil showed four yellow cards — against 4.7 yellows a game across the last 21 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Mirassol: Denilson (38’); Gremio: Walter Kannemann (41’), Gustavo Martins (65’) and Leonel Pérez (79’).

What it changes

Gremio are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Igor Formiga (Mirassol) 9.5, Cristian Pavón (Gremio) 8.1 and Edson Carioca (Mirassol) 7.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Mirassol or Gremio (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3501 of 4535).

Next up

Mirassol next host Sao Paulo on 24 October 2026.

Gremio next travel to Coritiba on 26 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Mirassol: Mirassol v Sao Paulo, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Gremio: Coritiba v Gremio, Monday 26 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Mirassol 2–1 Gremio · Serie A – Brazil
  • Venue: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia · Mirassol
  • Referee: Bruno Arleu de Araujo, Brazil
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Mirassol 3 · draws 0 · Gremio 0 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Mirassol 2W 0D 3L · Gremio 2W 2D 1L

Mirassol 2–1 Gremio (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 1.88
Goals
against 1 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
4.38 / 3.75
Corners
against 4.25 / 6.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 3.25 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 3
Cards
against 2.38 / 3.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.67 yellows
Referee · Bruno Arleu de Araujo, Brazil
2.43 home / 2.24 away
over 21 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 May 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMirassol for / againstLineGremio for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1 against n 8
2.25our book
1.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
3.75 for · 6.13 against n 8
Shots
11.63 for · 13.13 against n 8
19.5standard
11 for · 16.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 3.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
10 for · 14.13 against n 8
21.5standard
14.38 for · 16.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
3 for · 3.13 against n 8

Referee: Bruno Arleu de Araujo, Brazil — 4.67 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 26.86 fouls over 21 matches (2.43 to the home side, 2.24 to the away side).

Mirassol
Mirassol — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Igor Formiga n 875.8
37/5
0.64/0
Walter Kannemann
Denilson n 862.8
2.78/3
1.65/4
—
Chico Kim n 845.5
2.25/2
3.76/3
—
Jose Aldo n 875.8
1.97/5
0.73/1
—
Shaylon n 873.6
1.56/2
0.63/1
—
Mirassol — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Everton Galdino n 854
2.16/2
0.42/0
Alesson n 876.8
1.65/4
14/3
Reinaldo n 889.3
1.34/2
0.53/1
Shaylon n 873.6
1.24/3
0.53/0
Edson Carioca n 863.3
1.25/2
0.94/1
Mirassol — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Edson Carioca n 863.3
0.42/0
00/0
Carlos Eduardo n 862.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
Chico Kim n 845.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Alesson n 876.8
00/0
0.31/1
Eduardo n 839.1
0.31/0
00/0
Mirassol — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Igor Formiga n 875.8
37/4
Chico Kim n 845.5
34/2
Lucas Mugni n 847.5
2.65/4
Jose Aldo n 875.8
2.58/5
Denilson n 862.8
2.58/5
Mirassol — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Alex Muralha n 893.6
3.57/6
Walter n 893.9
1.95/3
Gremio
Gremio — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Riquelme Freitas n 829.5
2.74/3
2.74/3
—
Viery n 889.4
2.37/6
0.95/1
—
Leonel Pérez n 875.6
2.17/5
1.65/4
—
Tiago n 448.3
1.93/1
3.32/1
—
Walter Kannemann n 876
1.86/3
0.42/1
Igor Formiga
Gremio — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Tetê n 842.5
2.97/4
1.95/2
Carlos Vinícius n 876.4
1.96/5
1.36/2
Gabriel Mec n 864.1
1.96/4
1.15/1
F. Amuzu n 861.1
1.86/3
0.42/0
Willian n 846.6
14/0
0.21/0
Gremio — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Martin Braithwaite n 862.1
0.73/1
00/0
Gabriel Mec n 864.1
0.42/0
0.21/0
Carlos Vinícius n 876.4
0.63/1
00/0
Cristian Pavón n 880.4
0.11/0
0.42/1
F. Amuzu n 861.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
Gremio — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
José Enamorado n 845.3
3.26/6
Leonel Pérez n 875.6
3.18/7
Viery n 889.4
2.47/5
Cristian Pavón n 880.4
1.87/4
Luis Guedes n 467.8
1.73/1
Gremio — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Weverton n 885.1
2.86/4

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MirassolGremio
45%Possession55%
1.38Expected goals (xG)0.52
14Shots9
3Shots on target4
9Shots off target3
2Blocked shots2
10Shots inside the box5
5Corners4
0Offsides1
14Fouls9
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves1
340Passes445
80%Pass accuracy83%

Mirassol player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Walter9000000006.3
Igor Formiga9001102507.5
Joao Victor9000001006.6
Gabriel9000100207.5
Reinaldo9000304408.3
Jose Aldo9000110206.2
Denilson83010022Y7.2
Alesson8300101306.5
Japa7600000207.3
Bruno Santos7510310007.5
Edson Carioca7210210107.6
Carlos Eduardo sub1800000106.3
Andre Luis sub1500000006.2
Chico Kim sub1400000006.7
Fernandinho sub1400000006.5
Shaylon sub1400000006.5

Gremio player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Weverton9000000006.2
Cristian Pavón9001103206.6
Gustavo Martins90000025Y8
Walter Kannemann90000001Y6
Carlos Vinícius9010110007.5
Tetê8600220106.3
Juan Nardoni8000210506.3
Caio Paulista4500000006.2
Mathias Villasanti4500000106.9
Gabriel Mec4500000106.3
F. Amuzu4500101006.7
Pedro Gabriel sub4500000206.9
Willian sub4500000006.7
Leonel Pérez sub45000011Y6.9
Martin Braithwaite sub4500000006.2
Marcos Rocha sub1100000006.9
Riquelme Freitas sub1000000106.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Mirassol v Gremio — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MirassolLWWLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
GremioDWWDL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Mirassol 3 · 0 draws · Gremio 0 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2025-09-13 Gremio 0–1 Mirassol
  • 2025-04-16 Mirassol 4–1 Gremio
  • 2022-03-02 Mirassol 3–2 Gremio
League standing · 2026
Mirassol#14 pos36 pts31 pl-8 GD
Gremio#18 pos31 pts31 pl-10 GD
Goals per game
Mirassol scored1.16
Gremio scored1.1
Mirassol conceded1.42
Gremio conceded1.42

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Mirassol v Gremio?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Mirassol v Gremio was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Mirassol and Gremio?
In their last 3 meetings, Mirassol won 3, Gremio won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Mirassol and Gremio?
Recent form — Mirassol 2W 0D 3L; Gremio 2W 2D 1L.

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