Parma v Atalanta result

Full-time · Parma 1–1 Atalanta

Serie A · Sat, 30 Aug 2025 17:30 BST · Stadio Ennio Tardini

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Parma · Atalanta · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Parma 1–1 Atalanta — this Serie A match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4571 landed (95% range 76.1–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Atalanta: 1.20 to 0.81 in expected goals, from 11 shots to 7, ahead on xG from the 86th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Parma and Atalanta drew 1–1 at Stadio Ennio Tardini in Serie A on Saturday 30 August. Atalanta have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Atalanta: Mario Pašalić (79’, assisted by Nikola Krstović); Parma: Patrick Cutrone (85’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Patrick Cutrone’s goal on 85 minutes.

Discipline

Maurizio Mariani, Italy showed four yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Parma: Lautaro Valenti (77’) and Gaetano Oristanio (90+4’); Atalanta: I. Hien (75’) and Marten de Roon (90+4’).

What it changes

Atalanta are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Mario Pašalić (Atalanta) 8.2, Marten de Roon (Atalanta) 5.3 and Giorgio Scalvini (Atalanta) 5.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Parma or Atalanta (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3537 of 4571).

Next up

Parma next travel to Lazio on 24 October 2026.

Atalanta next travel to Ajax on 22 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Parma: Lazio v Parma, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Atalanta: Ajax v Atalanta, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Parma 1–1 Atalanta · Serie A
Venue: Stadio Ennio Tardini · Parma
Referee: Maurizio Mariani, Italy
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Parma 1 · draws 0 · Atalanta 5 · 4.5 goals/game
Recent form: Parma 2W 1D 2L · Atalanta 3W 1D 1L

Parma 1–1 Atalanta (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 2

Goals

against 1.13 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4 / 6.38

Corners

against 4.63 / 5.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.38 / 4.38

Shots on target

against 4 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 1.5

Cards

against 1.5 / 0.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.13 yellows

Referee · Maurizio Mariani, Italy

2.38 home / 1.75 away

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Parma for / against	Line	Atalanta for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.38 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	10 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.38 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.38 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.5 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Maurizio Mariani, Italy — 4.13 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 25.13 fouls over 8 matches (2.38 to the home side, 1.75 to the away side).

Home 2.38Away 1.75

Parma

Parma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Camara n 8	20.3	4.4 4/2	3.3 3/2	—
Mateo Pellegrino n 8	78.6	3.3 7/6	1.9 7/4	—
Hernani n 8	40.8	3.3 7/4	1.7 4/2	—
A. Benedyczak n 8	15.3	2.2 3/0	3 3/1	—
C. Ordoñez n 8	81	1.7 6/2	0.8 5/1	—

Parma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Mateo Pellegrino n 8	78.6	2.4 7/4	1.6 5/2
J. Ondrejka n 8	45	2.3 5/2	2.3 5/2
D. Man n 8	38.8	2.3 5/2	1.5 4/1
M. Đurić n 8	15.8	1.4 2/0	0.7 1/0
P. Almqvist n 8	57.8	1.2 4/2	0.4 2/0

Parma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Ondrejka n 8	45	1.3 3/2	0 0/0
M. Đurić n 8	15.8	0.7 1/0	0 0/0
E. Valeri n 8	83.5	0 0/0	0.5 3/1
O. Sørensen n 8	71.6	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
Mateo Pellegrino n 8	78.6	0.4 2/1	0 0/0

Parma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Hernani n 8	40.8	4.4 8/5
N. Estévez n 8	32.8	3.4 5/3
J. Ondrejka n 8	45	2.8 5/2
C. Ordoñez n 8	81	2.6 6/6
A. Bonny n 8	73.4	2.1 5/4

Parma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Z. Suzuki n 8	90	2.8 7/3

Atalanta

Atalanta — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Cuadrado n 8	32.1	2.5 5/2	3.5 7/2	—
G. Scalvini n 8	49.4	2.3 5/4	0.5 2/0	—
I. Hien n 8	90	1.8 6/4	1 5/2	—
M. Retegui n 8	83.5	1.8 6/4	1.2 5/3	—
M. Brescianini n 8	26.6	1.7 3/1	1.3 3/0	—

Atalanta — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Gianluca Scamacca n 8	56.5	4.4 8/6	2.2 6/3
D. Maldini n 8	30.9	3.6 4/3	1.8 4/1
M. Retegui n 8	83.5	2.8 8/5	1.1 5/2
M. Brescianini n 8	26.6	1.7 3/1	0.4 1/0
C. De Ketelaere n 8	48.8	1.6 3/3	0.7 2/1

Atalanta — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Gianluca Scamacca n 8	56.5	0.6 3/0	0.6 3/0
D. Maldini n 8	30.9	1.1 2/1	0 0/0
C. De Ketelaere n 8	48.8	0.5 1/1	0.5 2/0
M. Retegui n 8	83.5	0.4 3/0	0.5 3/1
M. Pašalić n 8	55.9	0.2 1/0	0.4 2/0

Atalanta — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
I. Sulemana n 8	35.1	2.9 5/3
Matteo Ruggeri n 8	49.9	2.3 5/3
G. Scalvini n 8	49.4	2.3 6/2
M. de Roon n 8	90	1.8 7/4
J. Cuadrado n 8	32.1	1.8 3/2

Atalanta — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Carnesecchi n 8	90	3.5 7/3
Rui Patrício n 8	90	2.6 7/3

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Parma		Atalanta
46%	Possession	54%
0.68	Expected goals (xG)	0.81
7	Shots	11
3	Shots on target	3
3	Shots off target	4
1	Blocked shots	4
3	Shots inside the box	8
1	Corners	2
1	Offsides	4
8	Fouls	15
2	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	2
345	Passes	420
78%	Pass accuracy	80%

Parma player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Z. Suzuki	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
E. Del Prato	90	0	1	1	0	2	0	6.7
A. Circati	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.5
L. Valenti	90	0	1	0	0	1	Y	6.5
M. Løvik	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
E. Valeri	90	0	1	0	2	1	0	6.7
Mateo Pellegrino	90	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
Adrián Bernabé	89	0	1	1	1	2	0	7.2
Mandela Keita	81	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
O. Sørensen	81	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
P. Almqvist	56	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
G. Oristanio sub	34	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.6
C. Ordoñez sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
P. Cutrone sub	9	1	1	1	0	0	0	7
N. Estévez sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Atalanta player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Carnesecchi	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
I. Hien	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.7
B. Djimsiti	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
R. Bellanova	90	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	7
M. de Roon	90	0	0	1	0	2	7	Y	7.5
M. Pašalić	90	1	0	3	2	1	2	0	8.3
C. De Ketelaere	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7
G. Scalvini	88	0	0	0	0	1	5	0	6.2
N. Zalewski	65	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.2
D. Maldini	64	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Gianluca Scamacca	64	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.2
N. Krstović sub	26	0	1	2	1	2	1	0	7
K. Sulemana sub	26	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
D. Zappacosta sub	25	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
M. Brescianini sub	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Parma v Atalanta — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

ParmaLDWWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

AtalantaWWWLD

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Parma 1 · 0 draws · Atalanta 5 · 4.5 goals/game

2025-05-25 Atalanta 2–3 Parma
2024-11-23 Parma 1–3 Atalanta
2021-05-09 Parma 2–5 Atalanta
2021-01-06 Atalanta 3–0 Parma
2020-07-28 Parma 1–2 Atalanta
2020-01-06 Atalanta 5–0 Parma

League standing · 2025/26

Parma#13 pos45 pts38 pl-18 GD

Atalanta#7 pos59 pts38 pl+15 GD

Goals per game

Parma scored0.74

Atalanta scored1.34

Parma conceded1.21

Atalanta conceded0.95

Shot map and expected goals

Parma 0.81 xG from 7 shots, Atalanta 1.20 from 11. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Parma (attacking right)Atalanta (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Parma	7	1	0.81
Atalanta	11	1	1.20

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Parma v Atalanta?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Parma v Atalanta was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Parma and Atalanta?: In their last 6 meetings, Parma won 1, Atalanta won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Parma and Atalanta?: Recent form — Parma 2W 1D 2L; Atalanta 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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