This Matchweek

ParmaGenoa

Parma v Genoa result

Full-time · Parma 2–1 Genoa

Serie A · · Stadio Ennio Tardini

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Parma · Genoa · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Parma 2–1 Genoa — Parma won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home corners total under 6.5.

Free pick
Home corners total under 6.5
Odds: 1.21 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Parma 0.86, Genoa 0.86 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Parma beat Genoa 2–1 at Stadio Ennio Tardini in Serie A on Sunday 20 September. It is Parma’s first win over Genoa since 5 February 2023, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Parma led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Parma: David Romero (38’, assisted by El Touré) and Pontus Almqvist (80’, assisted by Nesta Elphege); Genoa: Milutin Osmajić (70’, assisted by Lorenzo Colombo).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Pontus Almqvist’s goal on 80 minutes.

Discipline

Maurizio Mariani, Italy showed six yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Parma: D. Drobnic (9’), Enrico Del Prato (85’) and Mariano Troilo (90+3’); Genoa: Sebastian Otoa (14’), Alessandro Marcandalli (44’) and Mikael Ellertsson (90+2’).

What it changes

Parma move up from 17th to 15th (five league matches played). Parma have scored eight goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Parma have conceded 15 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Genoa stay 19th after this result (five league matches played). Genoa have scored 10 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Genoa have conceded 14 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Junior Messias (Genoa) 7.9, David Romero (Parma) 5.0 and Diego Carlos (Parma) 4.7 led the match.

Head-to-head

Genoa are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Parma.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Parma corners total under 6.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Parma next host Bologna on 7 November 2026.

Genoa next host AC Milan on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Parma: Parma v Bologna, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Genoa: Genoa v AC Milan, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Parma 2–1 Genoa · Serie A
  • Venue: Stadio Ennio Tardini · Parma
  • Referee: Maurizio Mariani, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Parma 1 · draws 3 · Genoa 2 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Parma 0W 1D 4L · Genoa 1W 1D 3L

Parma 2–1 Genoa (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 4 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 1
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 2
over 8 matches
3.88 / 6
Corners
against 7.13 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.13 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.29 yellows
Referee · Maurizio Mariani, Italy
25.14 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameParma for / againstLineGenoa for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
2our book
1 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 7.13 against n 8
9.5standard
6 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
9.38 for · 16 against n 8
19.5standard
14.63 for · 13.13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.38 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
3.63 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.25 for · 13.25 against n 8
21.5standard
8.75 for · 11.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: Maurizio Mariani, Italy — 4.29 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 25.14 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Parma

Parma Goalkeeper

Parma — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Corvi590450 min193.8 /9061.2 /9000 /90
G. Daffara19090 min44 /9022 /9000 /90
Parma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Corvi n 890
3.16/5

Parma Defensive

Parma — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Del Prato590450 min40.8 /90102 /9051 /90112.2 /9010.2 /9010.2 /90
E. Valeri590450 min112.2 /9071.4 /9010.2 /90173.4 /9030.6 /9000 /90
M. Troilo589445 min51 /9081.6 /9061.2 /90153 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90
D. Drobnic290180 min21 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9073.5 /9042 /9000 /90
Diego Carlos268135 min00 /9000 /9042.7 /9010.7 /9032 /9000 /90
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Parma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Touré n 671.2
0.41/1
1.13/1
T. Baldanzi
Mandela Keita n 872
0.52/1
2.57/5
M. Frendrup
E. Valeri n 877.4
0.63/1
0.74/1
M. Frendrup
E. Del Prato n 888
0.11/0
0.11/0
M. Frendrup
E. Corvi n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
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Parma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Touré n 671.2
0.62/1
Mandela Keita n 872
1.66/2
E. Valeri n 877.4
1.96/3
E. Del Prato n 888
0.96/1
M. Troilo n 889.4
1.47/4
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Parma Attacking

Parma — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
E. Touré671427 min00 /9010.2 /9051.1 /9030.6 /9040.8 /9040.8 /90
S. Lontani566329 min30.8 /9000 /9082.2 /9051.4 /9010.3 /9061.6 /90
M. Frigan442166 min00 /9000 /9021.1 /9010.5 /9031.6 /9000 /90
David Romero439154 min10.6 /9000 /9095.3 /9063.5 /9000 /9000 /90
G. Fabbian268135 min00 /9000 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9000 /90
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Parma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Touré n 671.2
1.14/1
0.63/0
Mandela Keita n 872
0.53/0
0.21/0
E. Valeri n 877.4
0.62/2
0.11/0
E. Del Prato n 888
0.53/1
0.32/0
E. Corvi n 890
00/0
00/0
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Parma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Touré n 671.2
00/0
0.21/0
Mandela Keita n 872
00/0
00/0
E. Corvi n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Del Prato n 888
00/0
00/0
E. Valeri n 877.4
00/0
00/0
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Genoa

Genoa Goalkeeper

Genoa — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Bijlow590450 min142.8 /9091.8 /9000 /90
F. Stolz19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
Genoa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Genoa before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Bijlow n 890
3.15/4

Genoa Defensive

Genoa — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Marcandalli689531 min132.2 /9010.2 /9040.7 /90274.6 /9061 /9000 /90
J. Vásquez586431 min71.5 /9020.4 /9020.4 /90204.2 /9040.8 /9020.4 /90
L. Østigård576381 min51.2 /9061.4 /90112.6 /90215 /9071.7 /9040.9 /90
S. Otoa350149 min42.4 /9031.8 /9010.6 /90137.9 /9010.6 /9000 /90
D. Puczka19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /9022 /9000 /9000 /90
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Genoa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Genoa before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Marcandalli n 888
0.94/1
0.54/0
—
T. Baldanzi n 866.3
0.73/1
0.72/1
E. Touré
Vítinha n 872.3
0.84/1
1.47/2
—
L. Colombo n 871.3
1.16/1
2.27/6
—
M. Frendrup n 890
0.95/2
0.85/1
E. Del Prato
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Genoa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Genoa before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Marcandalli n 888
2.38/6
T. Baldanzi n 866.3
14/2
Vítinha n 872.3
1.96/3
L. Colombo n 871.3
1.14/3
M. Frendrup n 890
2.38/4
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Genoa Attacking

Genoa — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Vítinha666398 min00 /9000 /90122.7 /9040.9 /9010.2 /9030.7 /90
L. Colombo666395 min10.2 /9010.2 /9081.8 /9040.9 /9071.6 /9030.7 /90
Junior Messias529147 min00 /9000 /9031.8 /9000 /9053.1 /9074.3 /90
M. Osmajić369207 min10.4 /9000 /9041.7 /9010.4 /9041.7 /9010.4 /90
S. El Shaarawy23059 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.5 /9000 /90
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Genoa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Genoa before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Marcandalli n 888
0.53/1
0.11/0
T. Baldanzi n 866.3
1.95/2
0.52/1
Vítinha n 872.3
2.57/5
0.95/1
L. Colombo n 871.3
1.46/3
0.63/1
M. Frendrup n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
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Genoa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Genoa before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Marcandalli n 888
0.11/0
00/0
T. Baldanzi n 866.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
Vítinha n 872.3
00/0
00/0
L. Colombo n 871.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
M. Frendrup n 890
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ParmaGenoa
43%Possession57%
0.53Expected goals (xG)0.70
5Shots12
2Shots on target5
2Shots off target3
1Blocked shots4
3Shots inside the box7
2Corners5
3Offsides1
17Fouls14
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
4Saves0
333Passes442
79%Pass accuracy85%

Parma Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Corvi9000000007.2
M. Troilo90000000Y6.7
D. Drobnic90000000Y5.6
E. Del Prato90000000Y6.7
Mandela Keita9000000107.2
E. Valeri9000001006.9
Diego Carlos8100000307
Vincent Sierro8100000006.2
S. Lontani6700000206.2
E. Touré5701101206.6
David Romero5710110007.2
N. Elphege sub3301001007.5
P. Almqvist sub3310111007.3
G. Fabbian sub2300001006.3
Sascha Britschgi sub900000106.9
C. Ordoñez sub900100106.7

Genoa Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Bijlow9000001005.2
A. Marcandalli90000001Y6.6
L. Østigård9000210306.9
M. Frendrup9000001206.6
M. Ellertsson90000002Y6.2
M. Osmajić9010110007.3
Junior Messias8500330607.6
D. Sow8400003106.6
T. Baldanzi6900100106.6
S. Otoa60000002Y6.5
K. Ehizibue6000000006.5
D. Puczka sub3000000106.2
S. El Shaarawy sub3000000306.9
L. Colombo sub2101001006.3
H. Traorè sub1100001007.3
Vítinha sub1100100007.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Parma v Genoa — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ParmaLLLDL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
GenoaLLLDW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Parma 1 · 3 draws · Genoa 2 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2026-01-18 Parma 0–0 Genoa
  • 2025-10-19 Genoa 0–0 Parma
  • 2025-01-12 Genoa 1–0 Parma
  • 2024-11-04 Parma 0–1 Genoa
  • 2023-02-05 Parma 2–0 Genoa
  • 2022-09-03 Genoa 3–3 Parma
League standing · 2026/27
Parma#15 pos8 pts10 pl-7 GD
Genoa#11 pos13 pts10 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Parma scored0.8
Genoa scored1
Parma conceded1.5
Genoa conceded1.4

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Parma 0.86 xG from 5 shots, Genoa 0.86 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

El Bilal Touré 42' · 0.29 xGJunior Messias 67' · 0.08 xGNesta Elphege 95' · 0.07 xGVitinha 88' · 0.06 xGLeo Østigard 29' · 0.05 xGVitinha 93' · 0.05 xGJunior Messias 2' · 0.04 xGMilutin Osmajic 17' · 0.03 xGTommaso Baldanzi 45' · 0.03 xGJunior Messias 1' · 0.02 xGChristian Ordóñez 83' · 0.02 xGJunior Messias 65' · 0.02 xGJunior Messias 52' · 0.02 xGLeo Østigard 31' · 0.01 xGMilutin Osmajic 69' · 0.46 xG · goalPontus Almqvist 79' · 0.41 xG · goalDavid Romero 37' · 0.07 xG · goal
Parma (attacking right)Genoa (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Parma520.86
Genoa1210.86

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Parma 0.36, Genoa 0.19. At full time, xG was level: Parma 0.86, Genoa 0.86. The widest gap was 0.40 xG to Genoa, in the 69th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
0.90.400′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Parma 37 minGoal - Genoa 69 minGoal - Parma 79 min
Parma 0.86 xGGenoa 0.86 xGdots = goals · 17 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Parma v Genoa?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Parma v Genoa was Home corners total under 6.5 (odds 1.21 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Parma and Genoa?
In their last 6 meetings, Parma won 1, Genoa won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Parma and Genoa?
Recent form — Parma 0W 1D 4L; Genoa 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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