SassuoloAC Milan

Sassuolo v AC Milan result

Full-time · Sassuolo 2–0 AC Milan

Serie A ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Sassuolo · AC Milan · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Sassuolo 2–0 AC Milan — Sassuolo won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Sassuolo: 2.25 to 0.29 in expected goals, from 13 shots to 7, ahead on xG from the fourth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Sassuolo beat AC Milan 2–0 in Serie A on Sunday 3 May. It is Sassuolo’s first win over AC Milan since 29 January 2023, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Sassuolo led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Sassuolo: Domenico Berardi (5’, assisted by Armand Laurienté) and Armand Laurienté (47’, assisted by Kristian Thorstvedt). F. Tomori (24’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Domenico Berardi’s goal on 5 minutes.

Discipline

F. Maresca showed eight yellow cards and one red — against 5.6 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Sassuolo: Nemanja Matić (38’), U. Garcia (57’), Cristian Volpato (89’) and Alieu Fadera (90+4’); AC Milan: F. Tomori (9’), F. Tomori (24’), Samuele Ricci (71’) and Ruben Loftus-Cheek (77’).

What it changes

Sassuolo move up from 10th to ninth (35 league matches played).

AC Milan stay third after this result (35 league matches played).

Sassuolo are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Armand Laurienté (Sassuolo) 9.7, Kristian Thorstvedt (Sassuolo) 8.1 and Domenico Berardi (Sassuolo) 5.3 led the match.

Head-to-head

AC Milan are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Sassuolo.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Sassuolo next travel to AS Roma on 7 November 2026.

AC Milan next travel to Genoa on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sassuolo: AS Roma v Sassuolo, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for AC Milan: Genoa v AC Milan, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Sassuolo 2–0 AC Milan · Serie A
  • Referee: F. Maresca
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Sassuolo 1 · draws 3 · AC Milan 2 · 4.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sassuolo 2W 2D 1L · AC Milan 2W 1D 2L

Sassuolo 2–0 AC Milan (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.13 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.25 / 3.75
Corners
against 5.63 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 3.13
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 3.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 1.13
Cards
against 1.63 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.56 yellows
Referee · F. Maresca
27.67 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSassuolo for / againstLineAC Milan for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.75our book
0.88 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
3.75 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
9.5 for · 16.5 against n 8
19.5standard
12.75 for · 12.13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.25 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
3.13 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
11 for · 10.25 against n 8
21.5standard
9.88 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: F. Maresca — 5.56 yellow cards a game, 0.78 red cards, 27.67 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Sassuolo

Sassuolo Goalkeeper

Sassuolo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Murić31902790 min1173.8 /90411.3 /9010 /90
S. Turati590450 min142.8 /9061.2 /9000 /90
Sassuolo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Murić n 890
3.57/4
S. Turati n 590
2.84/2

Sassuolo Defensive

Sassuolo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Walukiewicz34822785 min511.6 /90240.8 /90110.4 /901113.6 /90361.2 /9070.2 /90
J. Idzes33902969 min280.8 /90411.2 /90230.7 /90983 /90321 /9020.1 /90
T. Muharemović30892655 min461.6 /90421.4 /90291 /901364.6 /90240.8 /9060.2 /90
Josh Doig27711923 min341.6 /90221 /90140.7 /90914.3 /90180.8 /9050.2 /90
W. Coulibaly1360775 min172 /9070.8 /9040.5 /90384.4 /90131.5 /9020.2 /90
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Sassuolo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Walukiewicz n 878.4
1.65/3
0.42/1
S. Pavlović
A. Laurienté n 876.4
1.55/2
16/1
—
J. Idzes n 890
0.96/1
0.43/0
S. Pavlović
I. Koné n 882.1
0.53/1
1.66/4
A. Saelemaekers
A. Pinamonti n 867
0.74/0
15/1
—
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Sassuolo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Walukiewicz n 878.4
27/5
A. Laurienté n 876.4
16/1
J. Idzes n 890
0.94/3
I. Koné n 882.1
1.15/3
A. Pinamonti n 867
00/0
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Sassuolo Attacking

Sassuolo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Laurienté34692345 min50.2 /9080.3 /90461.8 /90220.8 /90471.8 /90261 /90
A. Pinamonti32752390 min80.3 /9030.1 /90522 /90271 /90170.6 /9040.2 /90
A. Fadera26411071 min20.2 /9010.1 /90100.8 /9050.4 /9080.7 /90110.9 /90
D. Berardi23791812 min70.3 /9050.2 /90321.6 /90190.9 /90351.7 /90100.5 /90
M'Bala Nzola833264 min10.3 /9010.3 /9031 /9020.7 /9020.7 /9031 /90
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Sassuolo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Walukiewicz n 878.4
0.11/0
00/0
A. Laurienté n 876.4
1.64/4
0.63/1
J. Idzes n 890
0.11/0
00/0
I. Koné n 882.1
0.74/1
0.32/0
A. Pinamonti n 867
28/3
16/0
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Sassuolo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Walukiewicz n 878.4
00/0
00/0
A. Laurienté n 876.4
0.11/0
0.42/1
J. Idzes n 890
00/0
00/0
I. Koné n 882.1
0.32/0
00/0
A. Pinamonti n 867
0.74/0
0.21/0
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AC Milan

AC Milan Goalkeeper

AC Milan — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Maignan37893301 min1022.8 /90300.8 /9020.1 /90
P. Terracciano262124 min42.9 /9000 /9000 /90
AC Milan — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Maignan n 890
3.18/4

AC Milan Defensive

AC Milan — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Pavlović34842864 min501.6 /90260.8 /90110.3 /901665.2 /90260.8 /9050.2 /90
F. Tomori33842766 min712.3 /90321 /90250.8 /901023.3 /90361.2 /9060.2 /90
M. Gabbia26872255 min160.6 /90130.5 /90170.7 /90763 /90190.8 /9030.1 /90
K. De Winter24821963 min291.3 /90120.6 /90120.6 /90803.7 /90311.4 /9020.1 /90
Zachary Athekame1443601 min101.5 /9020.3 /9000 /90263.9 /90101.5 /9030.4 /90
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AC Milan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Maignan n 890
00/0
00/0
—
A. Saelemaekers n 874.3
0.94/1
1.25/3
I. Koné
S. Pavlović n 890
1.15/3
0.96/1
J. Idzes
L. Modrić n 886.5
0.95/2
17/1
—
F. Tomori n 877.1
14/3
0.42/1
—
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AC Milan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Saelemaekers n 874.3
2.38/5
S. Pavlović n 890
2.58/5
L. Modrić n 886.5
16/2
F. Tomori n 877.1
2.27/6
Y. Fofana n 864.4
1.27/0
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AC Milan Attacking

AC Milan — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Rafael Leão27671819 min100.5 /9030.1 /90422.1 /90241.2 /90211 /90251.2 /90
C. Pulišić26641662 min90.5 /9030.2 /90372 /90221.2 /90422.3 /90281.5 /90
C. Nkunku22561224 min60.4 /9020.1 /90221.6 /90110.8 /90151.1 /9050.4 /90
N. Füllkrug1733564 min10.2 /9000 /90111.8 /9050.8 /9061 /9020.3 /90
S. Giménez1364827 min10.1 /9010.1 /90232.5 /9091 /9050.5 /9030.3 /90
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AC Milan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Maignan n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Saelemaekers n 874.3
0.96/0
0.53/0
S. Pavlović n 890
0.84/2
0.32/0
L. Modrić n 886.5
0.74/1
0.11/0
F. Tomori n 877.1
00/0
00/0
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AC Milan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Maignan n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Saelemaekers n 874.3
00/0
00/0
S. Pavlović n 890
0.32/0
00/0
L. Modrić n 886.5
00/0
00/0
F. Tomori n 877.1
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SassuoloAC Milan
58%Possession42%
1.58Expected goals (xG)0.24
13Shots7
4Shots on target1
5Shots off target5
4Blocked shots1
9Shots inside the box2
2Corners3
1Offsides1
16Fouls16
4Yellow cards4
0Red cards1
1Saves2
550Passes392
93%Pass accuracy86%

Sassuolo Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Turati9000000006.9
S. Walukiewicz9000001007.5
T. Muharemović9000000207.3
U. Garcia90000012Y7.2
I. Koné9000000207.5
K. Thorstvedt9001302307.3
M'Bala Nzola8400322006.7
A. Laurienté8411113109.3
D. Berardi5910211007.5
N. Matić45000000Y7.2
J. Idzes4000000006.6
W. Coulibaly sub5000001307.2
L. Lipani sub4500001207.2
C. Volpato sub31000000Y6.5
A. Pinamonti sub1000000106.6
A. Fadera sub10000002Y6.9

AC Milan Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Maignan9000000006.3
M. Gabbia9000000106.7
S. Pavlović9000000007
A. Rabiot9000000406.9
P. Estupiñán9000000107
A. Jashari6600100206.3
A. Saelemaekers5900100306.7
Y. Fofana5900000106.5
Rafael Leão5900100006.3
C. Nkunku4500000006.3
F. Tomori24000000RY3.7
Zachary Athekame sub4500202106.3
R. Loftus-Cheek sub31000001Y6.6
S. Giménez sub3100000006.2
C. Pulišić sub3100111006.5
S. Ricci sub24000000Y6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sassuolo v AC Milan — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SassuoloDWLWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
AC MilanWLLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Sassuolo 1 · 3 draws · AC Milan 2 · 4.17 goals/game
  • 2025-12-14 AC Milan 2–2 Sassuolo
  • 2024-12-03 AC Milan 6–1 Sassuolo
  • 2024-04-14 Sassuolo 3–3 AC Milan
  • 2023-12-30 AC Milan 1–0 Sassuolo
  • 2023-01-29 AC Milan 2–5 Sassuolo
  • 2022-08-30 Sassuolo 0–0 AC Milan
League standing · 2025/26
Sassuolo#11 pos49 pts38 pl-4 GD
AC Milan#5 pos70 pts38 pl+18 GD
Goals per game
Sassuolo scored1.21
AC Milan scored1.39
Sassuolo conceded1.32
AC Milan conceded0.92

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Sassuolo 2.25 xG from 13 shots, AC Milan 0.29 from 7. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Kristian Thorstvedt 50' · 0.95 xGKristian Thorstvedt 25' · 0.38 xGM'Bala Nzola 75' · 0.19 xGKristian Thorstvedt 49' · 0.15 xGM'Bala Nzola 54' · 0.12 xGStrahinja Pavlovic 85' · 0.10 xGM'Bala Nzola 6' · 0.10 xGDomenico Berardi 49' · 0.07 xGKristian Thorstvedt 35' · 0.07 xGChristian Pulisic 92' · 0.06 xGRafael Leão 17' · 0.05 xGCristian Volpato 69' · 0.05 xGUlisses García 16' · 0.04 xGDomenico Berardi 26' · 0.03 xGZachary Athekame 80' · 0.03 xGAlexis Saelemaekers 47' · 0.03 xGZachary Athekame 48' · 0.02 xGArdon Jashari 61' · 0.01 xGDomenico Berardi 4' · 0.06 xG · goalArmand Lauriente 46' · 0.05 xG · goal
Sassuolo (attacking right)AC Milan (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Sassuolo1322.25
AC Milan700.29

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Sassuolo led on xG, 0.68 to 0.05. At full time, Sassuolo led on xG, 2.25 to 0.29. The widest gap was 2.15 xG to Sassuolo, in the 75th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.31.100′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Sassuolo 4 minGoal - Sassuolo 46 min
Sassuolo 2.25 xGAC Milan 0.29 xGdots = goals · 20 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Sassuolo v AC Milan?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sassuolo v AC Milan was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Sassuolo and AC Milan?
In their last 6 meetings, Sassuolo won 1, AC Milan won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sassuolo and AC Milan?
Recent form — Sassuolo 2W 2D 1L; AC Milan 2W 1D 2L.

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