This Matchweek

SassuoloJuventus

Sassuolo v Juventus result

Full-time · Sassuolo 3–2 Juventus

Serie A · · Mapei Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Sassuolo · Juventus · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Sassuolo 3–2 Juventus — Sassuolo won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.83 at Unibet
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 543 of 844 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Sassuolo 0.96, Juventus 1.18 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Sassuolo beat Juventus 3–2 at Mapei Stadium in Serie A on Sunday 13 September. It is Sassuolo’s first win over Juventus since 23 September 2023, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Sassuolo: Sebastiano Esposito (65’, assisted by Nemanja Matić), Kieron Bowie (89’, assisted by Darryl Bakola) and Vasilije Adžić (90’, assisted by Armand Laurienté); Juventus: Edon Zhegrova (82’; 90’, assisted by Randal Kolo Muani).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Edon Zhegrova’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

Juan Luca Sacchi, Italy showed four yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Sassuolo: Luca Lipani (48’) and Fedde Leysen (90+3’); Juventus: J. Lucumí (20’) and Douglas Luiz (76’).

What it changes

Sassuolo move up from 10th to ninth (four league matches played). Sassuolo have scored 16 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Sassuolo have conceded 26 goals, the most of the 20 clubs.

Juventus move down from fifth to eighth (four league matches played). Juventus have scored 13 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Juventus have conceded 10 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Sassuolo are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Sassuolo have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Juventus have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Edon Zhegrova (Juventus) 11.4, Nemanja Matić (Sassuolo) 7.1 and Sebastiano Esposito (Sassuolo) 5.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Juventus are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Sassuolo.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Sassuolo next travel to AS Roma on 7 November 2026.

Juventus next travel to Fiorentina on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sassuolo: AS Roma v Sassuolo, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Juventus: Fiorentina v Juventus, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Sassuolo 3–2 Juventus · Serie A
  • Venue: Mapei Stadium · Reggio Emilia
  • Referee: Juan Luca Sacchi, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Sassuolo 2 · draws 1 · Juventus 3 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sassuolo 2W 2D 1L · Juventus 2W 2D 1L

Sassuolo 3–2 Juventus (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 27 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1
Goals
against 1.5 / 0.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
3.86 / 8.13
Corners
against 5.43 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
6.14 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 4.86 / 2.75 · 4 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.29 / 1.63
Cards
against 2.29 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.29 yellows
Referee · Juan Luca Sacchi, Italy
25.86 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSassuolo for / againstLineJuventus for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.75our book
1 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
3.86 for · 5.43 against n 7
9.5standard
8.13 for · 2.13 against n 8
Shots
15.43 for · 14.14 against n 7
19.5standard
19 for · 7.88 against n 8
Shots on target
6.14 for · 4.86 against n 7
8.5standard
5.88 for · 2.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.43 for · 11.29 against n 7
21.5standard
13.88 for · 12.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.29 for · 2.29 against n 7
3.5standard
1.63 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: Juan Luca Sacchi, Italy — 3.29 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 25.86 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Sassuolo

Sassuolo Goalkeeper

Sassuolo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Murić490360 min164 /9051.3 /9000 /90
Sassuolo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Murić n 890
48/6

Sassuolo Defensive

Sassuolo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Josh Doig480321 min82.2 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90123.4 /9030.8 /9000 /90
S. Cinquegrano390270 min20.7 /9020.7 /9020.7 /9082.7 /9031 /9000 /90
S. Cinquegrano387262 min31 /9020.7 /9010.3 /9093.1 /9041.4 /9000 /90
F. Leysen365196 min41.8 /9010.5 /9031.4 /90125.5 /9020.9 /9000 /90
C. Odenthal290180 min10.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9021 /9021 /9000 /90
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Sassuolo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Laurienté n 886
1.27/2
2.15/4
—
A. Murić n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Josh Doig n 864.3
0.94/1
0.73/1
Bremer
Kieron Bowie n 479
1.74/2
24/1
—
N. Matić n 865.8
0.94/1
0.21/0
—
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Sassuolo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Laurienté n 886
0.95/1
Josh Doig n 864.3
1.85/3
Kieron Bowie n 479
0.62/0
N. Matić n 865.8
0.93/2
C. Volpato n 856.6
1.66/2
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Sassuolo Attacking

Sassuolo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Laurienté490360 min00 /9000 /90143.5 /9051.3 /9092.3 /9082 /90
Kieron Bowie479316 min00 /9000 /9082.3 /9041.1 /9061.7 /9000 /90
C. Volpato469276 min20.7 /9000 /9051.6 /9051.6 /90134.2 /9020.7 /90
B. Domínguez32370 min00 /9000 /9011.3 /9000 /9000 /9045.1 /90
D. Berardi23570 min11.3 /9000 /9033.9 /9033.9 /9022.6 /9000 /90
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Sassuolo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Laurienté n 886
38/5
1.36/4
A. Murić n 890
00/0
00/0
Josh Doig n 864.3
0.53/0
0.42/0
Kieron Bowie n 479
2.34/3
1.13/1
N. Matić n 865.8
0.21/0
00/0
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Sassuolo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Laurienté n 886
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Murić n 890
00/0
00/0
Josh Doig n 864.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
Kieron Bowie n 479
00/0
00/0
N. Matić n 865.8
00/0
00/0
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Juventus

Juventus Goalkeeper

Juventus — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Guglielmo Vicario390269 min51.7 /9010.3 /9000 /90
Juventus — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Guglielmo Vicario n 389.7
1.72/1

Juventus Defensive

Juventus — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Bremer390270 min51.7 /9051.7 /9010.3 /90155 /9041.3 /9000 /90
Pierre Kalulu390270 min51.7 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90103.3 /9010.3 /9000 /90
Z. Çelik382247 min72.6 /9051.8 /9000 /90114 /9031.1 /9010.4 /90
J. Lucumí283165 min31.6 /9010.5 /9000 /9073.8 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
L. Kelly253105 min00 /9000 /9000 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9000 /90
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Juventus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Locatelli n 890
2.48/5
1.96/6
—
R. Kolo Muani n 881.6
2.17/4
1.45/4
—
Bremer n 890
0.95/2
0.32/0
Josh Doig
Pierre Kalulu n 890
0.54/0
14/3
—
Guglielmo Vicario n 389.7
00/0
00/0
—
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Juventus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Locatelli n 890
2.38/5
Pierre Kalulu n 890
1.86/5
Bremer n 890
1.66/5
R. Kolo Muani n 881.6
0.32/0
Z. Çelik n 382.3
2.62/2
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Juventus Attacking

Juventus — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Kolo Muani390270 min00 /9000 /9051.7 /9020.7 /9010.3 /9020.7 /90
J. Boga335104 min00 /9000 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9021.7 /9032.6 /90
Jonathan David15757 min00 /9000 /9011.6 /9000 /9011.6 /9000 /90
E. Zhegrova12121 min00 /9000 /9014.3 /9000 /9028.6 /9000 /90
M. Locatelli390270 min00 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9000 /9062 /9000 /90
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Juventus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Kolo Muani n 881.6
1.87/4
15/1
Bremer n 890
1.67/4
0.54/0
M. Locatelli n 890
0.94/2
0.11/0
Pierre Kalulu n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
Guglielmo Vicario n 389.7
00/0
00/0
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Juventus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Kolo Muani n 881.6
0.42/1
0.11/0
Bremer n 890
0.11/0
00/0
M. Locatelli n 890
00/0
0.11/0
Pierre Kalulu n 890
00/0
00/0
Guglielmo Vicario n 389.7
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SassuoloJuventus
42%Possession58%
1.02Expected goals (xG)1.10
10Shots19
6Shots on target8
3Shots off target5
1Blocked shots6
6Shots inside the box11
3Corners10
3Offsides2
8Fouls13
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
6Saves3
421Passes589
86%Pass accuracy88%

Sassuolo Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Murić9000000008.2
S. Cinquegrano9000000206.3
F. Leysen90000002Y6.5
Josh Doig9000100106.7
N. Matić9001001407.3
A. Laurienté9001002107.2
J. Idzes8100100006.9
K. Thorstvedt7100000007
D. Berardi7100330207.3
S. Esposito7010213007.9
L. Lipani55000001Y6.3
D. Bakola sub3501001107
B. Domínguez sub2000000106.3
Vasilije Adžić sub1910110007.5
Kieron Bowie sub1910110107.6
D. Ćaleta-Car sub900000006.2

Juventus Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Guglielmo Vicario9000000006.9
Pierre Kalulu9000000306.5
Bremer9000001106.3
Z. Çelik9000002306.2
Douglas Luiz90001112Y6.9
R. Kolo Muani9001002106.3
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović8700431006.5
T. Koopmeiners7100110006.9
Francisco Conceição6000112107
N. González6000201206.9
J. Lucumí45000000Y6.9
L. Kelly sub4500000006
N. Woltemade sub3000200006.3
E. Zhegrova sub3020223109.3
P. Sarr sub1900000006.2
J. Oboavwoduo sub800000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sassuolo v Juventus — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SassuoloWLWDD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
JuventusLDWWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Sassuolo 2 · 1 draw · Juventus 3 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-03-21 Juventus 1–1 Sassuolo
  • 2026-01-06 Sassuolo 0–3 Juventus
  • 2024-01-16 Juventus 3–0 Sassuolo
  • 2023-09-23 Sassuolo 4–2 Juventus
  • 2023-04-16 Sassuolo 1–0 Juventus
  • 2022-08-15 Juventus 3–0 Sassuolo
League standing · 2026/27
Sassuolo#17 pos8 pts10 pl-10 GD
Juventus#7 pos17 pts10 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Sassuolo scored1.6
Juventus scored1.3
Sassuolo conceded2.6
Juventus conceded1

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Sassuolo 0.96 xG from 10 shots, Juventus 1.18 from 18. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Domenico Berardi 26' · 0.32 xGNick Woltemade 83' · 0.17 xGNick Woltemade 79' · 0.09 xGNicolás González 58' · 0.09 xGTeun Koopmeiners 32' · 0.06 xGKerim-Sam Alajbegovic 85' · 0.06 xGDouglas Luiz 68' · 0.06 xGKerim-Sam Alajbegovic 83' · 0.06 xGFrancisco Conceição 44' · 0.04 xGMehmet Zeki Çelik 78' · 0.04 xGJosh Doig 35' · 0.04 xGEdon Zhegrova 79' · 0.03 xGRandal Kolo Muani 78' · 0.03 xGDomenico Berardi 46' · 0.03 xGKerim-Sam Alajbegovic 19' · 0.03 xGKerim-Sam Alajbegovic 63' · 0.03 xGDomenico Berardi 42' · 0.02 xGJay Idzes 53' · 0.02 xGKerim-Sam Alajbegovic 45' · 0.02 xGNicolás González 46' · 0.02 xGKerim-Sam Alajbegovic 60' · 0.01 xGJosh Doig 40' · 0.01 xGSebastiano Esposito 36' · 0.01 xGEdon Zhegrova 81' · 0.31 xG · goalSebastiano Esposito 64' · 0.30 xG · goalVasilije Adzic 93' · 0.12 xG · goalKieron Bowie 88' · 0.09 xG · goalEdon Zhegrova 90' · 0.05 xG · goal
Sassuolo (attacking right)Juventus (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Sassuolo1030.96
Juventus1821.18

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Sassuolo 0.40, Juventus 0.15. At full time, xG was level: Sassuolo 0.96, Juventus 1.18. The widest gap was 0.46 xG to Sassuolo, in the 64th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.20.600′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Sassuolo 64 minGoal - Juventus 81 minGoal - Sassuolo 88 minGoal - Juventus 90 minGoal - Sassuolo 93 min
Sassuolo 0.96 xGJuventus 1.18 xGdots = goals · 28 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Sassuolo v Juventus?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sassuolo v Juventus was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.83 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between Sassuolo and Juventus?
In their last 6 meetings, Sassuolo won 2, Juventus won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sassuolo and Juventus?
Recent form — Sassuolo 2W 2D 1L; Juventus 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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