This Matchweek

TorinoAC Milan

Torino v AC Milan result

Full-time · Torino 1–2 AC Milan

Serie A · · Stadio Olimpico di Torino

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Torino · AC Milan · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Torino 1–2 AC Milan — AC Milan won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,910 of 2,556 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said AC Milan: 1.75 to 1.13 in expected goals, from 19 shots to 8, ahead on xG from the first minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

AC Milan won 2–1 at Stadio Olimpico di Torino in Serie A on Sunday 23 August. Torino have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — AC Milan: Alphadjo Cissè (64’, assisted by A. Rabiot) and A. Rabiot (66’, assisted by Samuel Chukwueze); Torino: Ché Adams (90’, assisted by Gvidas Gineitis).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Alphadjo Cissè’s goal on 64 minutes.

Discipline

L. Zufferli showed one yellow card — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — AC Milan: Ruben Loftus-Cheek (52’).

What it changes

Torino are 14th (shared) after this result (one league match played). Torino have scored 14 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Torino have conceded 16 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs.

AC Milan are fourth (shared) after this result (one league match played). AC Milan have scored 21 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). AC Milan have conceded 12 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Rabiot (AC Milan) 7.0, Alphadjo Cissè (AC Milan) 6.4 and Samuel Chukwueze (AC Milan) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Torino or AC Milan (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Torino next host Lecce on 7 November 2026.

AC Milan next travel to Genoa on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Torino: Torino v Lecce, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for AC Milan: Genoa v AC Milan, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Torino 1–2 AC Milan · Serie A
  • Venue: Stadio Olimpico di Torino · Turin
  • Referee: L. Zufferli
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Torino 2 · draws 1 · AC Milan 3 · 4.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Torino 2W 1D 2L · AC Milan 1W 1D 3L

Torino 1–2 AC Milan (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 0.75
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
3.63 / 2.88
Corners
against 5.13 / 3.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 3.38
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 4.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 2
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3 yellows
Referee · L. Zufferli
22.4 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameTorino for / againstLineAC Milan for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.25our book
0.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
3.63 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
2.88 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
11.13 for · 14.5 against n 8
19.5standard
11.5 for · 12.88 against n 8
Shots on target
2.63 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
3.38 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.88 for · 11 against n 8
21.5standard
10.5 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: L. Zufferli — 3 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.4 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Torino

Torino Goalkeeper

Torino — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Mascardi19090 min33 /9000 /9000 /90

Torino Defensive

Torino — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Saúl Coco19090 min11 /9011 /9011 /9033 /9011 /9000 /90
E. Cömert18989 min11 /9011 /9000 /9011 /9022 /9000 /90
P. Comuzzo16868 min00 /9022.6 /9000 /9022.6 /9011.3 /9000 /90
A. Ismajli12222 min00 /9000 /9000 /9028.2 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Cacciamani19090 min00 /9011 /9000 /9044 /9022 /9000 /90
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Torino — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Torino before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Casadei n 856.8
2.27/3
0.84/0
—
G. Gineitis n 878.8
27/4
1.45/2
—
Saúl Coco n 882.5
1.25/2
0.42/1
—
N. Vlašić n 888.3
0.95/1
16/2
—
G. Simeone n 882.8
1.14/2
1.67/3
—
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Torino — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Torino before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Gineitis n 878.8
2.38/4
Saúl Coco n 882.5
1.66/4
C. Casadei n 856.8
1.65/2
N. Vlašić n 888.3
1.57/4
G. Simeone n 882.8
15/2
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Torino Attacking

Torino — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Casadei19090 min00 /9000 /9022 /9011 /9000 /9011 /90
N. Vlašić19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9033 /9000 /90
G. Simeone17878 min11.2 /9000 /9044.6 /9022.3 /9000 /9000 /90
Z. Aboukhlal12222 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9014.1 /90
A. Cacciamani19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9022 /9011 /90
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Torino — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Torino before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Casadei n 856.8
1.44/3
0.83/1
G. Gineitis n 878.8
1.36/2
0.32/0
N. Vlašić n 888.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
Saúl Coco n 882.5
0.11/0
00/0
G. Simeone n 882.8
2.67/6
0.85/1
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Torino — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Torino before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Casadei n 856.8
0.42/0
00/0
N. Vlašić n 888.3
0.11/0
00/0
Saúl Coco n 882.5
00/0
00/0
G. Gineitis n 878.8
00/0
00/0
G. Simeone n 882.8
0.54/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
TorinoAC Milan
41%Possession59%
1.29Expected goals (xG)2.15
8Shots19
1Shots on target4
5Shots off target9
2Blocked shots6
7Shots inside the box19
2Corners4
2Offsides0
10Fouls9
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves0
384Passes547
82%Pass accuracy88%

Torino Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Mascardi9000000006.3
Saúl Coco9000100206.6
A. Ismajli9000000006.5
G. Gineitis9001001106.9
K. Fitz-Jim9000103107
N. Vlašić9000000106.2
P. Comuzzo8500100106.3
A. Cacciamani8100000106.3
M. Pedersen7000001107.2
C. Casadei7000000206.9
G. Simeone7000000006
N. Fortini sub2000000107
A. Njie sub2000101106.9
C. Adams sub2010110007.2
S. Kulenović sub900000006.5
Z. Aboukhlal sub900100006.5

AC Milan Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Maignan9000000006.5
K. De Winter9000000507.2
S. Pavlović9000000206.9
S. Chukwueze9001214107.7
Y. Musah9000000006.2
Gonçalo Ramos9000311006.3
Mario Gila7600001107.3
P. Estupiñán6600002007.2
A. Cissè6610311207.9
A. Jashari5600002006.9
R. Loftus-Cheek5600303006.2
L. Modrić sub3400001006.9
A. Rabiot sub3411111007.5
D. Bartesaghi sub2400002006.9
A. Saelemaekers sub2400100206.7
M. Gabbia sub1400000106.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Torino v AC Milan — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
TorinoLWLDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
AC MilanDLLWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Torino 2 · 1 draw · AC Milan 3 · 4.33 goals/game
  • 2026-03-21 AC Milan 3–2 Torino
  • 2025-12-08 Torino 2–3 AC Milan
  • 2025-02-22 Torino 2–1 AC Milan
  • 2024-08-17 AC Milan 2–2 Torino
  • 2024-05-18 Torino 3–1 AC Milan
  • 2023-08-26 AC Milan 4–1 Torino
League standing · 2026/27
Torino#10 pos13 pts10 pl-2 GD
AC Milan#5 pos21 pts10 pl+9 GD
Goals per game
Torino scored1.4
AC Milan scored2.1
Torino conceded1.6
AC Milan conceded1.2

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Torino 1.13 xG from 8 shots, AC Milan 1.75 from 19. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Zakaria Aboukhlal 83' · 0.28 xGPietro Comuzzo 78' · 0.28 xGAlieu Njie 73' · 0.28 xGGonçalo Ramos 71' · 0.14 xGAlexis Saelemaekers 68' · 0.12 xGGonçalo Ramos 68' · 0.11 xGRuben Loftus-Cheek 20' · 0.11 xGGonçalo Ramos 57' · 0.10 xGGiovanni Simeone 62' · 0.10 xGSamuel Chukwueze 29' · 0.09 xGRuben Loftus-Cheek 24' · 0.09 xGGonçalo Ramos 2' · 0.09 xGSamuel Chukwueze 29' · 0.08 xGGiovanni Simeone 8' · 0.06 xGSaúl Coco 52' · 0.06 xGEstupiñán 22' · 0.05 xGRuben Loftus-Cheek 5' · 0.05 xGAlphadjo Cissè 27' · 0.04 xGAlphadjo Cissè 1' · 0.03 xGRuben Loftus-Cheek 45' · 0.03 xGGonçalo Ramos 53' · 0.03 xGKoni de Winter 57' · 0.02 xGAlphadjo Cissè 31' · 0.01 xGKian Fitz-Jim 82' · 0.01 xGAdrien Rabiot 66' · 0.52 xG · goalChe Adams 92' · 0.05 xG · goalAlphadjo Cissè 63' · 0.03 xG · goal
Torino (attacking right)AC Milan (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Torino811.13
AC Milan1921.75

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, AC Milan led on xG, 0.67 to 0.06. At full time, AC Milan led on xG, 1.75 to 1.13. The widest gap was 1.52 xG to AC Milan, in the 71st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.80.900′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - AC Milan 63 minGoal - AC Milan 66 minGoal - Torino 92 min
Torino 1.13 xGAC Milan 1.75 xGdots = goals · 27 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Torino v AC Milan?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Torino v AC Milan was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Torino and AC Milan?
In their last 6 meetings, Torino won 2, AC Milan won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Torino and AC Milan?
Recent form — Torino 2W 1D 2L; AC Milan 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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