This Matchweek

UdineseLazio

Udinese v Lazio result

Full-time · Udinese 1–2 Lazio

Serie A · · Bluenergy Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Udinese · Lazio · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Udinese 1–2 Lazio — Lazio won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.36 at Betvictor
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 2,036 of 2,719 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Lazio: 1.99 to 0.80 in expected goals, from 19 shots to 10, ahead on xG from the 62nd minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Lazio won 2–1 at Bluenergy Stadium in Serie A on Monday 7 September. It is Lazio’s first win over Udinese since 7 January 2024, after five meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Udinese: Jesper Karlström (49’, assisted by Keinan Davis); Lazio: Davide Frattesi (75’, assisted by Mattia Zaccagni) and Albert Guðmundsson (88’, assisted by Danilho Doekhi).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Albert Guðmundsson’s goal on 88 minutes.

Discipline

Paride Tremolada, Italy showed six yellow cards — against 4.7 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Udinese: Jakub Piotrowski (13’), Lennon Miller (23’), Jesper Karlström (45+3’), Vakoun Bayo (67’) and Nicolò Bertola (84’); Lazio: Gustav Isaksen (25’).

What it changes

Udinese move down from second to 10th (shared) (three league matches played).

Lazio move up from fourth to third (three league matches played).

Lazio have won their last three matches in all competitions. Udinese have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Mattia Zaccagni (Lazio) 6.5, Davide Frattesi (Lazio) 6.3 and Keinan Davis (Udinese) 5.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

Udinese are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Lazio.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Udinese or Lazio (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Udinese next travel to Bologna on 22 November 2026.

Lazio next host Lecce on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Udinese: Bologna v Udinese, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Lazio: Lazio v Lecce, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Udinese 1–2 Lazio · Serie A
  • Venue: Bluenergy Stadium · Udine
  • Referee: Paride Tremolada, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Udinese 2 · draws 3 · Lazio 1 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Udinese 3W 1D 1L · Lazio 3W 0D 2L

Udinese 1–2 Lazio (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 21 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 0.75
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
3.63 / 4.25
Corners
against 4.88 / 3.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 4.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2.75
Cards
against 0.75 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameUdinese for / againstLineLazio for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.25our book
0.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
3.63 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.25 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
12.88 for · 13.25 against n 8
19.5standard
11.5 for · 12 against n 8
Shots on target
4.63 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
3.63 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.88 for · 10.25 against n 8
21.5standard
13.63 for · 11.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 0.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.75 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: Paride Tremolada, Italy.

Udinese

Udinese Goalkeeper

Udinese — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Okoye390270 min82.7 /9031 /9000 /90
B. Mrozek19090 min33 /9011 /9000 /90
Udinese — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Udinese before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Okoye n 890
2.86/5

Udinese Defensive

Udinese — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
O. Solet490360 min92.3 /9071.8 /9041 /90174.3 /9041 /9000 /90
J. Abankwah479315 min41.1 /9051.4 /9041.1 /9092.6 /9051.4 /9010.3 /90
M. Palma268135 min32 /9021.3 /9021.3 /9096 /9021.3 /9000 /90
E. Ebosse257113 min21.6 /9010.8 /9000 /9043.2 /9010.8 /9000 /90
N. Bertola23467 min00 /9011.3 /9000 /9000 /9011.3 /9011.3 /90
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Udinese — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Udinese before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Solet n 890
0.95/2
0.96/1
O. Provstgaard
J. Karlström n 884
0.96/1
1.15/3
Kenneth Taylor
M. Vojvoda n 484.3
00/0
0.82/1
Kenneth Taylor
J. Abankwah n 762.4
1.96/2
0.63/0
O. Provstgaard
H. Kamara n 877.8
0.75/0
0.42/1
Kenneth Taylor
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Udinese — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Udinese before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Solet n 890
2.97/6
J. Karlström n 884
0.84/2
M. Vojvoda n 484.3
3.24/3
J. Abankwah n 762.4
1.64/2
H. Kamara n 877.8
1.24/3
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Udinese Attacking

Udinese — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
I. Gueye438151 min00 /9000 /9053 /9000 /9031.8 /9000 /90
J. Ekkelenkamp386258 min10.3 /9010.3 /9051.7 /9020.7 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
K. Davis364191 min10.5 /9010.5 /9052.4 /9020.9 /9041.9 /9020.9 /90
N. Zaniolo276152 min00 /9000 /9031.8 /9010.6 /9031.8 /9031.8 /90
Unai Gómez266132 min00 /9000 /9032 /9032 /9010.7 /9010.7 /90
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Udinese — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Udinese before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Solet n 890
0.83/2
0.32/0
J. Karlström n 884
0.74/1
0.32/0
M. Vojvoda n 484.3
0.82/1
00/0
J. Abankwah n 762.4
00/0
00/0
H. Kamara n 877.8
0.62/1
0.42/1
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Udinese — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Udinese before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Solet n 890
00/0
0.11/0
J. Karlström n 884
00/0
00/0
M. Vojvoda n 484.3
00/0
0.31/0
J. Abankwah n 762.4
00/0
00/0
H. Kamara n 877.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
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Lazio

Lazio Goalkeeper

Lazio — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Mandas390270 min93 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Lazio — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Mandas n 890
2.15/2

Lazio Defensive

Lazio — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Doekhi390270 min20.7 /9010.3 /9031 /90134.3 /9062 /9000 /90
O. Provstgaard390270 min31 /9051.7 /9010.3 /9072.3 /9062 /9010.3 /90
Pedraza356169 min00 /9021.1 /9010.5 /9031.6 /9021.1 /9000 /90
R. Floriani Mussolini276151 min31.8 /9010.6 /9021.2 /9063.6 /9042.4 /9010.6 /90
A. Marušić255109 min10.8 /9010.8 /9000 /9054.1 /9021.7 /9000 /90
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Lazio — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Doekhi n 390
23/2
11/1
—
O. Provstgaard n 877.4
1.56/2
0.42/1
J. Abankwah
Kenneth Taylor n 878.5
0.95/1
16/1
H. Kamara
M. Zaccagni n 873.9
0.95/1
2.68/6
—
C. Mandas n 890
00/0
0.42/1
—
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Lazio — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Zaccagni n 873.9
1.46/3
O. Provstgaard n 877.4
0.93/2
D. Doekhi n 390
0.71/1
Kenneth Taylor n 878.5
0.64/0
B. Dia n 851.5
0.21/0
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Lazio Attacking

Lazio — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Zaccagni390270 min00 /9000 /9041.3 /9010.3 /9093 /9041.3 /90
B. Dia377230 min00 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9041.6 /9010.4 /90
M. Cancellieri362187 min00 /9000 /9073.4 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9031.4 /90
G. Isaksen23672 min00 /9000 /9011.3 /9000 /9011.3 /9000 /90
P. Ratkov11919 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9014.7 /9000 /90
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Lazio — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Zaccagni n 873.9
1.25/3
0.63/1
D. Doekhi n 390
12/1
00/0
Kenneth Taylor n 878.5
0.73/1
0.11/0
O. Provstgaard n 877.4
0.63/1
0.11/0
C. Mandas n 890
00/0
00/0
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Lazio — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Kenneth Taylor n 878.5
00/0
0.11/0
C. Mandas n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Doekhi n 390
00/0
00/0
O. Provstgaard n 877.4
00/0
00/0
M. Zaccagni n 873.9
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
UdineseLazio
40%Possession60%
0.85Expected goals (xG)1.83
10Shots19
6Shots on target6
1Shots off target7
3Blocked shots6
6Shots inside the box10
2Corners8
1Offsides1
13Fouls9
5Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
4Saves5
359Passes542
81%Pass accuracy88%

Udinese Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Ebosse9000000006.3
J. Ekkelenkamp9000111207
H. Kamara9000320407.2
J. Karlström90101103Y7.2
M. Okoye9000000007.9
M. Vojvoda9000001306.9
J. Abankwah7600001206.7
K. Davis7601222107.3
Unai Gómez4500001106.3
O. Solet3800000207.3
J. Piotrowski15000010Y6.5
Lennon Miller sub75000012Y7.2
C. Kabasele sub5200000106.3
V. Bayo sub45000000Y6.6
Oier Zarraga sub1400000006.3
N. Bertola sub14000001Y6.2

Lazio Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Mandas9000000007.5
R. Belahyane9000001307
D. Doekhi9001102007.2
R. Floriani Mussolini9000001306.2
O. Provstgaard9000000106.2
Nuno Tavares9000112107
Kenneth Taylor9000102406.9
M. Zaccagni8901422107.5
D. Frattesi8010110107.5
G. Isaksen53001000Y6.9
A. Pinamonti5300000006.3
M. Cancellieri sub3700114007
T. Noslin sub3700100006
A. Guðmundsson sub1010211007.3
Pedraza sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Udinese v Lazio — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
UdineseLWDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
LazioLWLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Udinese 2 · 3 draws · Lazio 1 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-04-27 Lazio 3–3 Udinese
  • 2025-12-27 Udinese 1–1 Lazio
  • 2025-03-10 Lazio 1–1 Udinese
  • 2024-08-24 Udinese 2–1 Lazio
  • 2024-03-11 Lazio 1–2 Udinese
  • 2024-01-07 Udinese 1–2 Lazio
League standing · 2026/27
Udinese#20 pos5 pts11 pl-13 GD
Lazio#1 pos29 pts11 pl+16 GD
Goals per game
Udinese scored1.09
Lazio scored2.27
Udinese conceded2.27
Lazio conceded0.82

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Udinese 0.80 xG from 10 shots, Lazio 1.99 from 19. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Mattia Zaccagni 62' · 0.43 xGKeinan Davis 55' · 0.12 xGMatteo Cancellieri 72' · 0.11 xGGustav Isaksen 15' · 0.10 xGKeinan Davis 39' · 0.09 xGOliver Provstgaard 62' · 0.09 xGJurgen Ekkelenkamp 72' · 0.09 xGDavide Frattesi 72' · 0.08 xGMattia Zaccagni 13' · 0.08 xGNuno Tavares 42' · 0.07 xGAlbert Gudmundsson 91' · 0.07 xGHassane Kamara 10' · 0.07 xGKeinan Davis 10' · 0.05 xGMattia Zaccagni 66' · 0.04 xGDavide Frattesi 61' · 0.04 xGUnai Gómez 7' · 0.04 xGMattia Zaccagni 86' · 0.04 xGKenneth Taylor 55' · 0.03 xGMatteo Cancellieri 94' · 0.03 xGNuno Tavares 4' · 0.03 xGDanilho Doekhi 63' · 0.03 xGHassane Kamara 38' · 0.02 xGKenneth Taylor 81' · 0.02 xGTijjani Noslin 64' · 0.02 xGJurgen Ekkelenkamp 35' · 0.01 xGHassane Kamara 89' · 0.01 xGDavide Frattesi 74' · 0.62 xG · goalJesper Karlström 48' · 0.30 xG · goalAlbert Gudmundsson 87' · 0.06 xG · goal
Udinese (attacking right)Lazio (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Udinese1010.80
Lazio1921.99

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Udinese 0.29, Lazio 0.28. At full time, Lazio led on xG, 1.99 to 0.80. The widest gap was 1.19 xG to Lazio, in the 94th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.01.000′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Udinese 48 minGoal - Lazio 74 minGoal - Lazio 87 min
Udinese 0.80 xGLazio 1.99 xGdots = goals · 29 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Udinese v Lazio?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Udinese v Lazio was Home or Away (best price 1.36 at Betvictor).
What is the head-to-head record between Udinese and Lazio?
In their last 6 meetings, Udinese won 2, Lazio won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Udinese and Lazio?
Recent form — Udinese 3W 1D 1L; Lazio 3W 0D 2L.

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