UdineseParma

Udinese v Parma result

Full-time · Udinese 0–1 Parma

Serie A · · Bluenergy Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Udinese · Parma · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Udinese 0–1 Parma — Parma won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Udinese 1.56, Parma 1.40 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Parma won 1–0 at Bluenergy Stadium in Serie A on Saturday 18 April. It is Parma’s first win over Udinese since 26 January 2020, after five meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Parma: Nesta Elphege (51’, assisted by Gabriel Strefezza).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Nesta Elphege’s goal on 51 minutes.

Discipline

D. Di Marco showed two yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Udinese: Nicolò Zaniolo (70’) and Jesper Karlström (84’).

What it changes

Udinese have scored 45 goals, the 10th-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Udinese have conceded 48 goals, the 10th-most of the 20 clubs.

Parma have scored 28 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Parma have conceded 46 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Parma are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Gabriel Strefezza (Parma) 7.4, Zion Suzuki (Parma) 4.8 and Adrián Bernabé (Parma) 4.7 led the match.

Head-to-head

Udinese are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Parma.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 55% of the time in the last 90 days (77 of 140).

Next up

Udinese next travel to Bologna on 22 November 2026.

Parma next host AS Roma on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Udinese: Bologna v Udinese, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Parma: Parma v AS Roma, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Udinese 0–1 Parma · Serie A
  • Venue: Bluenergy Stadium · Udine
  • Referee: D. Di Marco
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Udinese 4 · draws 1 · Parma 1 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Udinese 2W 2D 1L · Parma 0W 3D 2L

Udinese 0–1 Parma (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 0.88
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4.5
Corners
against 5.25 / 4.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 3.13
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.88 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameUdinese for / againstLineParma for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
9.75 for · 15.63 against n 8
19.5standard
10.75 for · 12.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
3.13 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.75 for · 10.38 against n 8
21.5standard
11.25 for · 12.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: D. Di Marco.

Udinese

Udinese Goalkeeper

Udinese — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Okoye23902070 min662.9 /90261.1 /9010 /90
R. Sava1089889 min202 /90171.7 /9000 /90
D. Padelli290180 min31.5 /9021 /9000 /90
Udinese — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Udinese before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Okoye n 890
2.96/4
R. Sava n 888.6
26/2

Udinese Defensive

Udinese — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
O. Solet31862672 min672.3 /90431.4 /90210.7 /901685.7 /90240.8 /9010 /90
T. Kristensen24872090 min231 /90200.9 /90200.9 /901004.3 /90241 /9040.2 /90
C. Kabasele23841937 min120.6 /90301.4 /90180.8 /90944.4 /90281.3 /9050.2 /90
N. Bertola23751726 min351.8 /90231.2 /90140.7 /90854.4 /90191 /9030.2 /90
S. Goglichidze762435 min122.5 /9081.7 /9010.2 /90214.3 /9051 /9020.4 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Udinese — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Udinese before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Karlström n 885.6
1.86/4
0.43/0
E. Valeri
O. Solet n 889.5
0.64/1
1.37/2
—
J. Ekkelenkamp n 873.4
1.14/2
0.21/0
Mateo Pellegrino
N. Zaniolo n 883
1.87/4
37/5
Adrián Bernabé
K. Davis n 878.8
1.96/4
2.47/6
—
See more players · Pro
Udinese — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Udinese before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Karlström n 885.6
0.95/2
O. Solet n 889.5
3.18/8
J. Ekkelenkamp n 873.4
26/5
N. Zaniolo n 883
1.54/3
K. Davis n 878.8
0.43/0
See more players · Pro

Udinese Attacking

Udinese — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
N. Zaniolo29712049 min60.3 /9060.3 /90411.8 /90200.9 /90411.8 /90251.1 /90
K. Davis29691994 min100.5 /9030.1 /90371.7 /90231 /90301.4 /90341.5 /90
A. Buksa1743729 min20.2 /9000 /9070.9 /9060.7 /9050.6 /9020.2 /90
V. Bayo1042417 min00 /9010.2 /9081.7 /9000 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90
I. Gueye824188 min00 /9000 /9021 /9010.5 /9000 /9010.5 /90
See more players · Pro
Udinese — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Udinese before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Karlström n 885.6
0.32/0
00/0
O. Solet n 889.5
0.64/1
0.32/0
J. Ekkelenkamp n 873.4
0.83/2
0.52/1
N. Zaniolo n 883
1.15/3
0.53/1
K. Davis n 878.8
1.35/3
1.15/2
See more players · Pro
Udinese — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Udinese before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Karlström n 885.6
00/0
00/0
O. Solet n 889.5
0.32/0
00/0
J. Ekkelenkamp n 873.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
N. Zaniolo n 883
00/0
0.54/0
K. Davis n 878.8
0.64/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Parma

Parma Goalkeeper

Parma — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Corvi16901440 min442.8 /90181.1 /9000 /90
Z. Suzuki16901440 min472.9 /90201.3 /9010.1 /90
F. Rinaldi19090 min44 /9000 /9000 /90
Parma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Corvi n 890
2.96/6
Z. Suzuki n 890
2.98/5

Parma Defensive

Parma — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Del Prato32852708 min321.1 /90240.8 /90220.7 /90772.6 /90180.6 /9050.2 /90
A. Circati26852216 min311.3 /90200.8 /90261.1 /901194.8 /90301.2 /9060.2 /90
L. Valenti25842100 min441.9 /90261.1 /90251.1 /901054.5 /90210.9 /9060.3 /90
M. Troilo15781175 min191.5 /90110.8 /90141.1 /90775.9 /90191.5 /9050.4 /90
A. N'Diaye771496 min132.4 /90101.8 /9010.2 /90407.3 /90101.8 /9040.7 /90
See more players · Pro
Parma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Del Prato n 884.4
0.43/0
00/0
—
Mandela Keita n 879
0.73/1
1.36/3
—
Mateo Pellegrino n 887.6
2.77/7
1.86/4
J. Ekkelenkamp
Adrián Bernabé n 879.5
0.63/1
1.66/4
N. Zaniolo
E. Valeri n 889.9
1.16/2
0.83/2
J. Karlström
See more players · Pro
Parma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Del Prato n 884.4
0.74/1
Mandela Keita n 879
1.36/3
Mateo Pellegrino n 887.6
0.65/0
Adrián Bernabé n 879.5
1.35/2
E. Valeri n 889.9
1.45/4
See more players · Pro

Parma Attacking

Parma — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Mateo Pellegrino32832662 min100.3 /9010 /90541.8 /90260.9 /90180.6 /90250.8 /90
J. Ondrejka1455771 min00 /9000 /90141.6 /9070.8 /9060.7 /90111.3 /90
P. Cutrone1368881 min00 /9000 /90161.6 /9060.6 /9040.4 /9050.5 /90
Gabriel Strefezza977696 min10.1 /9010.1 /90111.4 /9040.5 /90101.3 /90121.6 /90
A. Benedyczak955492 min20.4 /9010.2 /9091.6 /9061.1 /9040.7 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Parma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Del Prato n 884.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
Mandela Keita n 879
0.32/0
0.11/0
Mateo Pellegrino n 887.6
1.35/3
0.43/0
Adrián Bernabé n 879.5
15/2
0.63/1
E. Valeri n 889.9
0.43/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro
Parma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Del Prato n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
Mandela Keita n 879
00/0
0.11/0
Mateo Pellegrino n 887.6
0.32/0
00/0
Adrián Bernabé n 879.5
0.11/0
00/0
E. Valeri n 889.9
00/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
UdineseParma
57%Possession43%
1.13Expected goals (xG)1.23
16Shots10
3Shots on target1
9Shots off target5
4Blocked shots4
10Shots inside the box8
10Corners5
2Offsides1
11Fouls8
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
0Saves3
441Passes349
88%Pass accuracy84%

Udinese Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Okoye9000000006.3
C. Kabasele9000000106.5
O. Solet9000003207.9
J. Karlström90001011Y6.9
N. Zaniolo90004120Y6.5
A. Atta9000110007.2
T. Kristensen8100100106.5
K. Ehizibue7300001106.5
J. Ekkelenkamp7300100106.9
J. Piotrowski6400000106.7
H. Kamara6400101106.9
J. Arizala sub2600000106.9
I. Gueye sub2600311006.3
Oier Zarraga sub1700000006.6
A. Buksa sub1700002106.9
Branimir Mlačić sub900000006.7

Parma Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Z. Suzuki9000001007.2
A. Circati9000101207.3
M. Troilo9000100006.9
E. Del Prato9000000006.6
Mandela Keita9000000207.2
E. Valeri9000001207.3
A. N'Diaye7500000107.2
H. Nicolussi7200000307
Adrián Bernabé6600002307.2
Gabriel Strefezza6601103408
Mateo Pellegrino4500101006.7
N. Elphege sub4510210007.5
C. Ordoñez sub2400000106.5
J. Ondrejka sub2400000006.3
N. Estévez sub1800000006.3
Sascha Britschgi sub1500000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Udinese v Parma — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
UdineseDLWDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
ParmaDLLDD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Udinese 4 · 1 draw · Parma 1 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2025-11-29 Parma 0–2 Udinese
  • 2025-03-01 Udinese 1–0 Parma
  • 2024-09-16 Parma 2–3 Udinese
  • 2021-02-21 Parma 2–2 Udinese
  • 2020-10-18 Udinese 3–2 Parma
  • 2020-01-26 Parma 2–0 Udinese
League standing · 2025/26
Udinese#10 pos50 pts38 pl-3 GD
Parma#13 pos45 pts38 pl-18 GD
Goals per game
Udinese scored1.18
Parma scored0.74
Udinese conceded1.26
Parma conceded1.21

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Udinese 1.56 xG from 16 shots, Parma 1.40 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Nesta Elphege 58' · 0.57 xGIdrissa Gueye 75' · 0.54 xGNicolo Zaniolo 75' · 0.39 xGMateo Pellegrino 32' · 0.12 xGThomas Thiesson Kristensen 63' · 0.12 xGAlessandro Circati 2' · 0.08 xGIdrissa Gueye 82' · 0.08 xGGabriel Strefezza 55' · 0.07 xGOumar Solet 75' · 0.07 xGGabriel Strefezza 17' · 0.07 xGNicolo Zaniolo 6' · 0.06 xGArthur Atta 56' · 0.06 xGJakub Piotrowski 37' · 0.04 xGNicolo Zaniolo 95' · 0.04 xGHassane Kamara 32' · 0.04 xGIdrissa Gueye 94' · 0.03 xGAdrián Bernabé 16' · 0.03 xGMateo Pellegrino 21' · 0.03 xGArthur Atta 95' · 0.02 xGMariano Troilo 32' · 0.02 xGJesper Karlström 86' · 0.02 xGNicolo Zaniolo 45' · 0.02 xGArthur Atta 94' · 0.02 xGJurgen Ekkelenkamp 37' · 0.02 xGAdrián Bernabé 27' · 0.01 xGNesta Elphege 50' · 0.39 xG · goal
Udinese (attacking right)Parma (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Udinese1601.56
Parma1011.40

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Udinese 0.17, Parma 0.37. At full time, xG was level: Udinese 1.56, Parma 1.40. The widest gap was 1.17 xG to Parma, in the 58th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.60.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Parma 50 min
Udinese 1.56 xGParma 1.40 xGdots = goals · 26 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Udinese v Parma?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Udinese v Parma was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Udinese and Parma?
In their last 6 meetings, Udinese won 4, Parma won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Udinese and Parma?
Recent form — Udinese 2W 2D 1L; Parma 0W 3D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+